scholarly journals Spatial and temporal effects of climate change and land use change on runoff, sediment, nitrogen and phosphorus loss in the Haihe River Basin over the past 40 years

Author(s):  
nan ding ◽  
yi chen ◽  
Fulu Tao

Investigating the impacts of climate and land use changes on basin’s hydrological cycle and environment is important to provide scientific evidence to manage the trade-off and synergies among water resource, agricultural production and environment protection. In this study, we quantified the contributions of climate and land-use changes to runoff, sediment, nitrogen and phosphorus losses in the Haihe River basin since the 1980s. The results showed that (1) climate and land-use changes significantly increased evapotranspiration (ET), transport loss (TL), sediment input (SI) and output (SO), and organic nitrogen (ON) and phosphorus production (OP), with ET, SI, and ON affected most. (2) The runoff, sediment and ammonia nitrogen were affected most by climate and land use changes in the Daqing River Basin (217.3 mm), Nanyun River Basin (3917.3 ton) and Chaobai River Basin (87.6 kg/ha), respectively. (3) The impacts of climate and land-use changes had explicit spatial-temporal patterns. In the Daqing River, Yongding River and Nanyun River, the contribution of climate change to runoff and sediment kept increasing and reached 88.6%~98.2% and 63%~77.2%, respectively. In the Ziya River and Chaobai River Basin, the contribution of land use was larger, reaching 88.6%~92.8% and 59.8%~92.7%, respectively. In the Yongding River Basin, Chaobai River Basin, Ziya River Basin and Daqing River Basin, the contribution of land use to nitrogen and phosphorus loss showed an increasing trend in the past 40 years (maximum: 89.7%). By contrast, in Nanyun River and Luanhe River, the contribution of climate change to nitrogen and phosphorus loss increased more obviously (maximum: 92.1%). We quantitatively evaluated the spatial and temporal impacts of climate and land-use changes on runoff, sediment, and nitrogen and phosphorus loss, which are useful to support the optimizations of land and water resources in the River Basin.

Author(s):  
Huashan Xu ◽  
Yufen Ren ◽  
Hua Zheng ◽  
Zhiyun Ouyang ◽  
Bo Jiang

During the past decades, runoff has been highly influenced by climate change and human activities in Haihe River basin, and it is important to analyze the runoff trends and the drivers of its change to guide water resources management. The Mann–Kendall method and Pettitt test were conducted to analyze the hydrological and climate trends. Data from six sub-basins were used, including runoff at six representative hydrological stations and precipitation and air temperature at 49 meteorological stations. We used multiple-regression analysis and policy review to explore the influence of climate change and human activities on the runoff change at six sub-basins. According to the results, annual runoff showed a significant downward trend at six hydrological stations (p < 0.05), and the most probable change points at all stations showed up during the period from the late 1970s to the early 1980s. Moreover, the middle and late 1990s could be another probable abrupt change point at Luan River and Chaobai River. The declining trend of the annual mean precipitation at the six sub-basins was insignificant (p > 0.05), and there were no significant abrupt change points except the Zhang River area (p < 0.05). Compared with the precipitation trend, the annual mean air temperature exhibited a significant increasing trend at all stations, and the period from the late 1980s to the early 1990s might be the most probable abrupt change points at all four sub-basins. The trend analysis and the abrupt change point analysis suggest that mean air temperature is the main climate factor that will lead to the decline in the runoff time-series, while the insignificant downward trend of the precipitation might accelerate the downward trend of the runoff data. Through elevant policy measures, including land-use reform and the construction of the Three-North (north, northeast, and northwest China) Shelter Forest, China started to implement a family-contract responsibility system and initiated the first stage of construction of the Three-North Shelter Forest Program in 1978. The land-use reform policies greatly stimulated the peasants’ initiative for land management and significantly changed the land use pattern and water use quantity in the Haihe River basin in a short time. Besides, the precipitation decreased and the air temperature rose, so an abrupt change in runoff occurred from the late 1970s to the early 1980s. The abrupt change in the runoff in the middle and late 1990s highly tallied with the construction time of the Three-North Shelter Forest Program. After near 20 years of construction of the Three-North Shelter Forest Program, the forest area increased, the forest quality had been improved, and the vegetation coverage on the underlying surface had been changed significantly, so the construction of the Three-North Shelter Forest Program was an important cause of runoff change in the middle and late 1990s. Also, change in precipitation and air temperature enlarged the effect of change in the runoff.


2011 ◽  
Vol 26 (15) ◽  
pp. 2294-2306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenxin Bao ◽  
Jianyun Zhang ◽  
Jiufu Liu ◽  
Guoqing Wang ◽  
Xiaolin Yan ◽  
...  

Forests ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 545
Author(s):  
Yu Zhao ◽  
Xuanchang Zhang ◽  
Yang Bai ◽  
Feng Mi

Research Highlights: Land use/cover change (LUCC) has an impact on the water use efficiency (WUE) of green space in the Haihe River Basin. Background and Objectives: The Haihe River Basin has historically been one of the most water-stressed basins in China. With the increase in green space and economic development, land use and water use in the Haihe River Basin have changed significantly. In order to contribute to the sustainable development of basin water management, the impacts of LUCC on the WUE of the Haihe River Basin were assessed with the goal to support decision makers with regard to water resources planning and watershed management. Materials and Methods: (1) Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data and land use data were used to produce land use/land cover and other related maps. (2) The WUE equation was used to calculate the green space WUE. (3) The contribution rates of changes in land use were assessed to illustrate how LUCC affected green space WUE. Results: (1) Artificial surfaces increased and large areas of farmland were converted to non-agricultural use, accompanied by the addition of green space. (2) Green space WUE increased significantly from 2005 to 2015. The average annual WUE exhibited a relatively uniform spatial distribution in the Haihe River Basin. Except for the central area of urban land, the WUE of most areas exhibited an increasing trend. (3) The impact of LUCC on WUE was mainly a result from the conversion of farmland and artificial surfaces and the increase in green space. Ecological restoration and crop adjustment contributed greatly to the improvement in green space WUE in the basin. Conclusions: Green space WUE of the Haihe River Basin was significantly affected by LUCC and there is room for improvement in the WUE of green spaces in the basin. The paper concludes with recommendations for further research to assist in planning for green space to promote sustainable development related to land use and water management.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1551-1569
Author(s):  
Zhenxin Bao ◽  
Jianyun Zhang ◽  
Xiaolin Yan ◽  
Guoqing Wang ◽  
Junliang Jin ◽  
...  

Abstract The impact of future climate change on streamflow is assessed in the Haihe River basin (HRB) by the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model, using the outputs from 18 general circulation models (GCMs) of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Three Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios have been used, including RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5. Based on the model parameters calibration in six catchments in the HRB and parameter regionalization, the hydrological simulation for the whole HRB denotes good performance of the VIC model. Taking the period 1961–1990 as a baseline period, the outputs from the GCMs indicate that the HRB will become warmer and wetter in the 21st century (2010–2099). There might be an increasing trend for the streamflow in the HRB under future climate change scenarios. For example, in the 2050s (2040–2069), the streamflow may increase by 12%, 28%, and 24% under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. Monthly, the highest and lowest increase in streamflow is in dry and wet seasons, respectively. Spatially, the increasing trend for streamflow in the north HRB is higher than that in the south HRB. The uncertainty from the GCMs and climatic scenarios should be further focused.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 1664
Author(s):  
Yuhang Han ◽  
Bin Liu ◽  
Dan Xu ◽  
Chaoguo Yuan ◽  
Yanan Xu ◽  
...  

The impact of global climate change on the temporal and spatial variations of precipitation is significant. In this study, daily temperature and precipitation data from 258 meteorological stations in the Haihe River Basin, for the period 1960–2020, were used to determine the trend and significance of temperature and precipitation changes at interannual and interseasonal scales. The Mann–Kendall test and Spearman’s correlation analysis were employed, and significant change trends and correlations were determined. At more than 90% of the selected stations, the results showed a significant increase in temperature, at both interannual and interseasonal scales, and the increasing trend was more significant in spring than in other seasons. Precipitation predominantly showed a decreasing trend at an interannual scale; however, the change trend was not significant. In terms of the interseasonal scale, the precipitation changes in spring and autumn showed an overall increasing trend, those in summer showed a 1:1 distribution ratio of increasing and decreasing trends, and those in winter showed an overall decreasing trend. Furthermore, the Spearman’s correlation analysis showed a negative correlation between temperature and precipitation in the entire Haihe River Basin, at both interannual and interseasonal scales; however, most of the correlations were weak.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 268
Author(s):  
Wenjing Yang ◽  
Yong Zhao ◽  
Qingming Wang ◽  
Buliao Guan

Vegetation regulates the exchange of terrestrial carbon and water fluxes and connects the biosphere, hydrosphere, and atmosphere. Over the last four decades, vegetation greening has been observed worldwide using satellite technology. China has also experienced a notably widespread greening trend. However, the responsiveness of vegetation dynamics to elevated CO2 concentration, climate change, and human activities remains unclear. In this study, we attempted to explore the impact of natural (precipitation, air temperature), biogeochemical (CO2), and anthropogenic drivers (nighttime light, afforestation area) on changes in vegetation greenness in the Haihe River Basin (HRB) during 2002–2018 at the county-level. We further determined the major factors affecting the variation in satellite-derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) from moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) for each county. The results indicated that over 85% of the counties had a significantly increased NDVI trend, and the average linear trend of annual NDVI across the study region was 0.0037 per year. The largest contributor to the NDVI trend was CO2 (mean contribution 45%), followed by human activities (mean contribution of 27%). Additionally, afforestation was a pronounced driving force for NDVI changes in mountainous areas, resulting from ecosystem restoration efforts. Our findings emphasize the crucial role of CO2 fertilization in vegetation cover change, while considering CO2 concentration, climate change, and human activities, and shed light on the significant influences of afforestation programs on water resources, especially in mountainous areas.


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