Additional Evidence on Causality between Government Revenue and Government Expenditure

1988 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 763 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rati Ram
2012 ◽  
Vol 01 (07) ◽  
pp. 17-29
Author(s):  
Furrukh Bashir ◽  
Shahbaz Nawaz ◽  
Rahat Ullah ◽  
Muhammad Ramzan Arshad ◽  
Munwar Bagum ◽  
...  

Education is always considered as the major determinant for the development of any economy. Enrollment at various levels also shows that how much education is common within the citizens of the country. Considering the importance of enrollment, the current study examines the influence of some macroeconomic variables on various levels i.e. primary, secondary, higher, college, professional and university enrollment in Pakistan. Time series data has been gathered on consumer price index, government revenue, employed labor force, government expenditure, and health expenditure for the period from 1972 to 2010. For long run estimates, Johansen Co integration test is used and short run estimates are taken through error correction model. The results of the study exhibit positive association of employed labor force, government expenditure and health expenditure with primary, secondary, higher, college, professional and university enrollment in Pakistan. On the other side, consumer price index and government revenue have been found to be inversely influencing enrollment at various levels. Short run results are also much favorable for the economy and reveals convergence towards long run equilibrium due to any disturbances in the short run period. At the end study gives some policy implications that government should decrease consumer price index and tax rate and to increase government expenditure in terms of education and health for higher enrollment rates in Pakistan.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Alno Sardi Putra ◽  
Ali Anis

This study has three main objectives, namely, first to find out how the causal relationship between local government revenue and local government expenditure in provinces in Indonesia, the second objective is to find out how the causal relationship between local government expenditure and GRDP in provinces in Indonesia. Meanwhile, the third objective is to determine the causal relationship between local government revenue and GRDP in provinces in Indonesia. In this study, the objects in this study are 33 provinces throughout Indonesia. The data used are from 2010 to 2019. The data used are secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). The analytical method used is the VAR (Vector Auto Regression) time series analysis and the cluasaility granger test. which is processed using the help of Eviews. Based on the results of hypothesis testing, it shows that: (1) There is no causal relationship between local government revenue and local government expenditure in 33 provinces in Indonesia, but what is formed is a one-way relationship between government revenue and local government expenditure in 33 Indonesian provinces. In the hypothesis testing stage (2) there is no causal relationship between local government spending and GRDP in 33 provinces in Indonesia, in the analysis stage there is no one-way or two-way relationship between government spending and GRDP. Thus the hypothesis is rejected, while the results of hypothesis testing (3) There is no causal relationship between local government revenue and GRDP in 33 provinces in Indonesia. In the analysis stage, there is no one-way or two-way relationship between each variable. Thus the third hypothesis is rejected.


Author(s):  
Patrick Ologbenla ◽  

The study examined the impact of fiscal fundamental on unemployment rate in Nigeria from 1980 to 2020 focusing on COVID-19 imperatives. The research work embraces OLS estimating techniques to estimate the relationship between the variables. The result of the analysis revealed that government expenditure had positive and significant effect on the rate of unemployment. Also government revenue had a positive but insignificant impact on unemployment during. The implication of these findings for COVID-19 is that the narrative which is obtained from the analysis needs to be changed. Government revenue should be made to have significant impact on unemployment. The pandemic has led to a lot of job lost and the unemployment rate in Nigeria has risen by about 55% peaking at 36% youth unemployment rate as at last quarter of 2020. The study therefore, recommends that government should refocus expenditure and revenue in the country in such a way it will target development of infrastructural facilities so as to increase productivity and in turn facilitate employment generation.


2014 ◽  
Vol 222 ◽  
pp. 17-39
Author(s):  
THÀNH SỬ ĐÌNH

The effect of government relative size on economic growth is a contentious issue. This paper is undertaken to test the relationship between government size and economic growth in Vietnam. The study is a panel data investigation, involving 60 provinces over the period 1997–2012. Various measures of government size are defined: provincial government expenditure as a share of gross provincial product (GPP), provincial government revenue as a share of GPP, real provincial government expenditure per capita, and real provincial government revenue per capita. Empirical estimates are employed by conducting Difference Generalized Method of Moments method proposed by Arellano and Bond (1991) and Pooled Mean-Group method by Pesaran, et al. (1999). These tests reveal: (i) provincial government expenditure (revenue) as a share of GPP has a significantly negative effect on economic growth; and (ii) the real government expenditure (revenue) per capita has a significantly positive effect on economic growth. It is also found that the long-run and short-run coefficients of government expenditure size are significant and negative, that the correction mechanism from the short run disequilibrium to the long run equilibrium is not convergent, and that government employment has a negative correlation with economic growth.


1978 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 418-438 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vali Jamal

Amuch neglected topic in the economic history of Uganda is the contribution of fiscal policy to the inequality of income. While generalizations have been made about the heavy burden of taxation on Uganda's Africans and the bias in the distribution of government expenditure, no systematic analysis of these issues has been undertaken. It is my objective to rectify this shortcoming, and to provide estimates of the incidence of taxation on different races and sectors of the economy at different periods. This study should be of parallel interest to my earlier article, demonstrating the extent of inequality in Uganda, since it shows that the government's tax policy had a major effect on the distribution of income in the country. The present paper focuses particularly on the farmers, who have always been at the bottom of the distribution ladder, and attempts to answer the following questions. 1.) What were the major sources of tax revenue in Uganda, and what proportion of the revenue was derived from the farmers? 2.) What was the farmers' rate of taxation compared to that of other sections of the population? 3.) How was expenditure out of government revenue distributed?


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-63
Author(s):  
Hastu Sarkoro ◽  
Zulfikar Zulfikar

The purpose of this research is to examine the significant impact of Local Government Expenditure, General Allocation Fund, Special Allocation Fund and Original Local Government Revenue in Human Development Index at Province Governance in Indonesia. The method of this research is purposive sampling with 33 province as a sample for every year from 34 province at Indonesia  for 2012-2014 period. This research utilizies secondary data. The data are taken from the website BPS Statistic Indonesia (www.bps.go.id). The data which is analyzed in this research are collected through the realitation revenue and expenditure of provincial government. The data which have already collected are processed with classic assumption test before hypothesis test. Hypothesis test in this research use multiple regression with t test, F test and coefficient determination test. The result of this research show that partially Local Government Expenditure and Original Local Government Revenue have a positive significant impact to the Human Development Index. Whereas, General Allocation Fund and Special Allocation Fund have a negative significant impact to the Human Development Index. Local Government Expenditure, General Allocation Fund, Special Allocation Fund and Original Local Government Revenue have a positive significant impact to the Human Development Index simultaneously.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-39
Author(s):  
Juliana Mohd Abdul Kadir ◽  
Mohamed Aslam Gulam Hassan ◽  
Zarinah Yusof

Goods and services tax (GST) has been a controversial topic in Malaysia when it was first implemented. This study examines the impact of the GST on the Malaysian economy from three major perspectives. First, it investigates the consequent changes in sectoral responses, including output and prices for 15 main sectors. Second, the study presents the results of GST impact on seven macroeconomic variables, namely, consumption, investment, government revenue, government expenditure, export, import, and gross domestic product. Third, the results of household welfare are discussed. A computable general equilibrium model is utilized to simulate GST impact on the Malaysian economy, and a simple comparative static model is performed. The results prove that the higher the GST rate, the higher is the impact on each sector. The sectors most affected by GST are communication and ICT, and the electricity and gas sectors. By contrast, agriculture, forestry and logging, and the petroleum and natural gas sectors are the least affected. Consumption and investment receive the largest negative effect, whereas government revenue and expenditure show the largest positive effect. The study likewise finds that by lowering GST rate, the welfare loss was minimized and the higher-income groups were affected more than the lower-income groups.


2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 47-58
Author(s):  
Hafiz Saqib Mehmood Najmi ◽  
Farrukh Bashir ◽  
Saman Maqsood

Keeping in view the objective that is to observe the usefulness of fiscal policy on real GDP of Pakistan, the study collects time series data from 1976 to 2012 through reliable sources of statistical bureaus of Pakistan. Using Johansen Cointegration test, the long run results demonstrate investment and government expenditure as raising factor for real GDP of Pakistan while GDP Deflator and government revenue as de-motivating factor for real GDP of Pakistan in the long run.


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Ologbenla

The study investigated the factors that determine fiscal behavior in Nigeria. The vulnerability of fiscal policy framework in Nigeria to different shocks and the attendant effects on the behavior of fiscal policy are parts of the reasons that prompted this research work. Annual data between 1980 and 2015 on core fiscal variables such as government revenue, government expenditure, fiscal balance, public debt, as well as other variables such as oil price, exchange rate, and inflation rate commodity price among others, are used. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag ARDL estimating technique is used to analyze both the long-run and short-run effects of these variables on fiscal behavior in Nigeria. Findings from the study show that fiscal policy in Nigeria is highly vulnerable to shocks from these variables mostly in the short run. Notwithstanding, variables like government revenue, government expenditure, regime of administration, oil price and commodity price volatilities all have sustained effects till the long-run periods. It was discovered that oil price movements is not the only external factor that has pronounced effects on fiscal behavior, but commodity prices volatility generally constitutes an important influential factor in determination of fiscal policy behavior in Nigeria.


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