scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP EKSPOR NON MIGAS DI INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 37
Author(s):  
Reni Novianti Sari ◽  
Ali Anis ◽  
Yeniwati Yeniwati
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
National Income ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Inductive Analysis

This study aims to determine the effect of Inflation, National Income, Interest Rate and Money Supply through exchange rate moderation variables to non oil and gas exports in Indonesia. The type of research used is descriptive and associative research. The type of data in this study is secondary data and time series data in the form of monthly and quarterly data from 2005 to 2016. Data analysis used is descriptive analysis and inductive analysis. In the inductive analysis there are several tests: Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA), classical assumption test and t test. This result shows that (1) exchange rate has no significant effect to moderate the relationship between inflation to non oil and gas exports in Indonesia (2) Exchange rate has significant effect to moderate the relationship between national income to non-oil exports in Indonesia (3) Interest rate has no significant effect moderate relationship Interest rate on non-oil and gas exports in Indonesia (4) The exchange rate has a significant effect on moderating the relationship between the money supply to non-oil and gas exports in Indonesia.

scholarly journals EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION

10.26458/1815 ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence Olisaemeka UFOEZE ◽  
J. C ODIMGBE ◽  
V. N. EZEABALISI ◽  
Udoka Bernard ALAJEKWU
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy ◽  
Positive Effect

The study investigated effect of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria. The natural log of the GDP was used as the dependent variables against the explanatory monetary policy variables: monetary policy rate, money supply, exchange rate, lending rate and investment. The time series data is the market controlled period covering 1986 to 2016. The study adopted an Ordinary Least Squared technique and also conducted the unit root and co-integration tests. The study showed that long run relationship exists among the variables. Also, the core finding of this study showed that monetary policy rate, interest rate, and investment have insignificant positive effect on economic growth in Nigeria. Money supply however has significant positive effect on growth in Nigeria. Exchange rate has significant negative effect on GDP in Nigeria. Money supply and investment granger cause economic growth, while economic growth causes interest rate in Nigeria. On the overall, monetary policy explain 98% of the changes in economic growth in Nigeria. Thus, the study concluded that monetary policy can be effectively used to control Nigerian economy and thus a veritable tool for price stability and improve output.

scholarly journals The Effect of Inflation, Rupiah Exchange Rate, Interest Rate, Money Supply, Industry Production Index, Dow Jones Islamic Market Index in Malaysia and Japan on ISSI

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 107-115
Author(s):  
Rizki Nur Gunawan ◽  
Anton Bawono
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Production Index ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Supply Industry

The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of inflation, rupiah exchange rate, interest rate, money supply, industry production index, Dow Jones Islamic Market Index Malaysia and Japan on ISSI. This research used secondary time series data which is accessed from the official website of ISSI. The sampling technique used a saturated sample with 62 observations. The research method uses descriptive statistics and multiple linear regression analysis. The results show that inflation has a negative but not significant effect on ISSI. The Rupiah exchange rate, interest rate, and DJIJP have a negative and significant effect on ISSI. The money supply, industrial production index, and DJMY25D have a positive and significant effect on ISSI.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS OUTPUT, KURS, SUKU BUNGA DAN INFLASI DENGAN INVESTASI ASING DI INDONESIA

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 143
Author(s):  
Maltio Maltio ◽  
Melti Roza Adry ◽  
Yeniwati Yeniwati
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

This study investigates the relationship among output, exchange rate, interest rate (BI rate) and inflation with foreign investment (FDI), in Indonesia. The relationship among that variables is very important, because Indonesia getting start to optimize the growth economic arising out of crisis.This study used a VAR model to see causality output, exchange rate, interest rate (BI rate) and inflation with foreign investment (FDI). The data used is the time series data from 2003: 1-2014: 3 collected through documentation of relevant government agencies. In more detail, the technique used is the Vector Autoregression (VAR) to analyze the causal relationship.The results obtained indicate that foreign direct investment (FDI) has a causal relationship with the output. But there was no causal relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) with the exchange rate, interest rate (BI rate) and inflation only unidirectional relationship in which foreign investment (FDI) effect on the exchange rate and foreign investment affect the BI rate.Keyword : foreign investment, exchange rates, interest rate ad inflation

scholarly journals FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI INFLASI DI INDONESIA

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 137
Author(s):  
Chairannisa Arjunita
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Model ◽  
Series Data

This study aims to  analyze the effect of interest rate, money supply,exchange rate and inflation targeting framework policy on inflation in Indonesia.The type of this research are descriptive and associative using time series data fromthe first quarter of 1997 until the fourth quarter of 2015 with documentation datacollected technique. Data were analyzed with multiple linear regression model, theprerequisite test (multicolinearity, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity), t test, andF test. The result shows that (1) Interest Rates has positive and significant effect oninflation in Indonesia. (2) Money Supply has positive and not significant effect oninflation in Indonesia. (3) Exchange rate has negative and not significant effect oninflation in Indonesia.  (4) Inflation Targeting Framewrok Policy has positive andsignificant effect on inflation in Indonesia.

scholarly journals PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR, INFLASI DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP PENDAPATAN NASIONAL DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN MODEL DINAMIS

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 98
Author(s):  
Zakiah Zakiah ◽  
Umaruddin Usman
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
National Income ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Vector Autoregression Model ◽  
Autoregression Model ◽  
One Year ◽  
Analyze Data

This study aims to determine the effect of the money supply, inflation and the rupiah exchange rate on national income in Indonesia. This study uses time series data from 1996-2017 obtained from www.bi.go.id, and www.bps.go.id. The tool used to analyze data is the Vector Autoregression Model (VAR) with the Impulse Respo Function (IRF). Based on research that uses the results of the VAR analysis model which shows that there is a unidirectional relationship between the variable money supply to national income and the unidirectional relationship between national income and the rupiah exchange rate. The results of the study with the analysis of the response response of the money supply took one year, the inflation variable took four years, and the exchange rate variable took three years to be stable after the shock caused by other variables in the study.

scholarly journals PENGARUH FAKTOR – FAKTOR EKONOMI TERHADAP INFLASI DI INDONESIA PASCA-KRISIS KEUANGAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 73-84
Author(s):  
Jechlien Melinda Reawaruw
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aimed to identify the influenceof Interest Rate, Money Supply, and Exchange Rate to inflationin Indonesia after Financial Crisis 2008 with quantitative approach and analyzed using OLS (Ordinary Least Square). Data Methods in this research used time series data in the period 2008:1 until 2015:2. The result of this research indicate that Interest Rate, Money Supply, and Exchange Rate simultaneously effect the inflationin Indonesia after Financial Crisis 2008. Interest Rate has a positive effect 2.755885%, Money Supply has a positive effect 1.28E-06%, and Exchange Rate have a negative effect 0.000841%. Bank Indonesia as an institution that is responsible for determining the inflatin target has a very important role and coordinate with the government in implementing fiscal policy and monetary policy appopriately.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Variabel Moneter terhadap Variabel Internal Bank Konvensional di Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 202
Author(s):  
Ali Akbar
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Partial Least Square ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Internal Variables ◽  
Operating Income ◽  
Conventional Banks

This research is to know the influence of monetary variables ((interest rate, exchange rate and amount of money supply) on the internal variables of conventional banks (amount of credit and operational expense than operating income (BOPO)). The population in this research is the whole of conventional banks in Indonesia year of 2010-2017. The sampel is the conventional banks by as much as 14 banks, with time series data. The method used is the analysis of partial least square (PLS). The results showed that monetary variables ((interest rate, exchange rate and amount of money supply) have a positive and significant influence on the internal variables of conventional banks (amount of credit and BOPO), where excange rate (rupiah on dollar AS) is the most influential variable on amount of credit and BOPO of conventional banks compared to the interest rate and amount of money supply variable.

Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Nilai Tukar Dollar Amerika Serikat Terhadap Rupiah Tahun 2000–2013

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-191
Author(s):  
Rizki Rahma Kusumadewi ◽  
Wahyu Widayat
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Conditions ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Arch Model ◽  
United States Dollar ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Exchange rate is one tool to measure a country’s economic conditions. The growth of a stable currency value indicates that the country has a relatively good economic conditions or stable. This study has the purpose to analyze the factors that affect the exchange rate of the Indonesian Rupiah against the United States Dollar in the period of 2000-2013. The data used in this study is a secondary data which are time series data, made up of exports, imports, inflation, the BI rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and the money supply (M1) in the quarter base, from first quarter on 2000 to fourth quarter on 2013. Regression model time series data used the ARCH-GARCH with ARCH model selection indicates that the variables that significantly influence the exchange rate are exports, inflation, the central bank rate and the money supply (M1). Whereas import and GDP did not give any influence.

Testing Structural Break in the Relationship Between Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Variables

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 442-453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saidia Jeelani ◽  
Joity Tomar ◽  
Tapas Das ◽  
Seshanwita Das
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Structural Break ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ripple Effect ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Parameter Instability ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Relationship

The article aims to study the relationship between those macroeconomic factors that the affect (INR/USD) exchange rate (ER). Time series data of 40 years on ER, GDP, inflation, interest rate (IR), FDI, money supply, trade balance (TB) and terms of trade (ToT) have been collected from the RBI website. The considered model has suggested that only inflation, TB and ToT have influenced the ER significantly during the study period. Other macroeconomic variables such as GDP, FDI and IR have not significantly influenced the ER during the study period. The model is robust and does not suffer from residual heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation and non-normality. Sometimes the relationship between ER and macroeconomic variables gets affected by major economic events. For example, the Southeast Asian crisis caused by currency depreciation in 1997 and sub-prime loan crisis of 2008 severely strained the national economies. Any global economic turmoil will affect different economic variables through ripple effect and this, in turn, will affect the ER of different economies differently. The article has also diagnosed whether there is any structural break or not in the model by applying Chow’s Breakpoint Test and have obtained multiple breaks between 2003 and 2009. The existence of structural breaks during 2003–2009 is explained by the fact that volume of crude oil imported by India is high and oil price rise led to a deficit in the TB alarmingly, which caused a structural break or parameter instability.

scholarly journals Macro Economic Challenges and Third Party Funds of Islamic Commercial Banks in Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anik Anik ◽  
Iin Emy Prastiwi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Data Gathering ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
Gathering Data

This article aims to determine the effect of inflation, the BI Rate, the exchange rate of the rupiah to the US dollar, and the amount of money supply for Third Party Funds (TPF) in Indonesians’ Islamic Banks during 2013-2016. This research method uses multiple regression analysis with time series data; gathering data from 48 samples of which are monthly data on the variables.  The result of this research find that the inflation and exchange rate variables have no significant effect on TPF, while the BI Rate variable and the money supply have a significant effect on TPF. In doing so, Islamic banking can pay serious attention to the BI rate and the money supply and in this study the BI rate on the direction of TPF. Keywords: inflation, BI rate, exchange rate, Third Party Funds

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