scholarly journals Prediction of crisis condition and anti-crisis regulation of regional economy

Author(s):  
Надежда Калюжнова ◽  
Екатерина Горбатенко

The article considers approaches to forecasting crisis conditions in the regions of the national economy. The regions of the national economy act as business entities. A list of indicators has been developed to comprehensively identify the presence of crisis conditions in the region’s economy. Grouping of Russian regions was carried out according to the degree of probability of a crisis. The directions of crisis management in the region are proposed.

TEM Journal ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 766-776
Author(s):  
Natalia Iershova ◽  
Oksana Portna ◽  
Viktoriia Tretyak ◽  
Karina Moskalenko ◽  
Oleksii Vasyliev

Under crisis conditions, the behavioural model for business entities is determined by the effectiveness of crisis management which requires the use of innovative financial and accounting technologies, as well as changes that occur within the overall management system of the company. In the course of the current research the mechanism of crisis management of business activity and its elements is proposed and the system of procedural support for the crisis management process is determined. The compliance of accounting and financial instruments and technologies with the functions of crisis management of the company is presented. The paper analyses the importance of organizational changes in the process of crisis management. This allows optimizing the processes of information support for the decision-making process and improving the quality of crisis management of a company.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (523) ◽  
pp. 140-150
Author(s):  
O. T. Zamaslo ◽  
◽  
D. A. Kozak ◽  

The article is aimed at examining the problem of laundering black money in the offshore jurisdictions. Attention is paid to the key factors that attract economic entities regarding business registration in offshore zones. The impact of the tax burden on the process of moving profits to offshore jurisdictions is considered. The volumes of losses of the State Budget of Ukraine related to tax evasion of the funds placed on the accounts of offshore companies have been studied. The most typical schemes of laundering black money in offshore zones are presented, as well as a number of stages that form the process of laundering are highlighted. Emphasis is placed on round tripping investment as a key mechanism for returning foreign funds to a resident in the form of foreign direct investment, the main factors in the use of round trip transactions by Ukrainian business entities are allocated. Attention is drawn to the percentage of countries, which are the largest investors in Ukraine. It is determined that the use of offshore schemes by Ukrainian businesses contributes to the growth of the shadowing of the national economy and causes a direct negative impact on Ukrainian financial security, which is confirmed by the results of the National Risk Assessment 2019. Emphasis is placed on the OECD / G20 Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) initiative to prevent money laundering offshore, and Ukraine’s key measures to implement relevant international standards are specified. Prospects for further research in this direction are to identify measures directed towards deoffshorization of the national economy, including through the implementation of the BEPS 2.0 Action Plan.


Author(s):  
O.F. Bystrov ◽  
◽  
A.A. Rubtsova ◽  

The basic algorithm of the BOF method is described. The method of applying the BOF method is presented in the case of both positive and negative values of quantitative values of indicators, using the transition from real values to encoded ones. The proposed method is an innovation that allows you to conduct a comparative analysis of any number of enterprises and projects in terms of their financial stability. The methods described in this article can be used for crisis management, as well as for calculating the balance of a portfolio of projects and programs.


Author(s):  
Sergei Filippovich Volodin

The subject of this research is the questions of motivating the workers of Tula Cartridge Plant during the civil war. Based on methodology of economic and social microhistory, the author analyzes the practice of using methods of war communism and monetary measures to encourage worker of Tula Cartridge Plant in accomplishment of strenuous government contracts. The research results can be valuable in training management professionals in the context of comprehension of the phenomenon of national economy through the prism of social practices, particular administrative experience in crisis conditions. Writing company’s history necessitates the inclusion of methodology of economic and social microhistory into the research process. Scientific analysis of life of the company as a holistic socioeconomic phenomenon allows determining corporate practices that are essential for understanding the functionality of national economy in a specific historical period. The conclusion is made that objectively, the differentiated plant production significantly adjusted to mobilization regime of war communism using special mechanisms. Among them is the unlimited efficiency wage, non-tariff ways of incentivizing skilled workers, and determination of the urgent work areas with accord wages. At the same time, the war communism method of mobilization of industrial production implemented specific measures of financial incentives for workers. It included the guaranteed minimum of means for each employee, bargain-collective forms of bonuses, and simultaneously, directive allocation of major operations and byworks with due remuneration. The contradictory combination of all these methods of financial incentives ensured a specific effectiveness criterion reflected in the material items of military consumption.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 121-131
Author(s):  
Albin Skwarek

The article deals with the issues of the functioning of enterprises in the conditions of crisis. It presents the specifics of crisis management and proposals for remedial actions that should be considered by companies affected by the crisis. The main thesis of the article is that company management in crisis situations is based on a combination of reactive and prospective decisions taken in order to counteract the destabilization of its functions. The research problem boils down to answering the question: whether and to what extent, in the face of the uncertainty caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, are micro and small enterprises inclined to make quick prospective decisions? For the purposes of this article, a survey method was carried out, which enabled the implementation of the main goal of the article, which was to identify and assess the usefulness of actions taken and solutions implemented by the surveyed entities in connection with the Covid-19 pandemic. The adopted research hypothesis assumes that micro and small enterprises, in the face of a pandemic, make quick, prospective decisions to a limited extent.


2019 ◽  
Vol 135 ◽  
pp. 04032 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valeriya Krolivetskaya ◽  
Eduard Krolivetsky

The article reveals the essence and functional purpose of forecasting economic and social results, efficiency, economic security of organizations and sectoral components of the national economy, the relationship of the main economic characteristics and economic security, justifies the feasibility of using economic and mathematical methods of forecasting to ensure economic security, accuracy and significance of forecast estimates. The article reveals the composition of generalizing indicators of correlation characterizing for the medium and long-term development of sectoral and local components. Also it reveals a set of measures and actions to collect and systematize socio-economic information about the current and retrospective activity of the object of planning and forecasting which would ensure the adequacy of forecasting of the normative and threshold values of economic security, interaction with other technological elements of the management system of medium and longterm development of business entities, economic activities (sectoral components) of the services sector.


10.12737/6733 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (6) ◽  
pp. 40-46
Author(s):  
Тураев ◽  
B. Turaev

Role and value of tourism as a factor for impact on economy are considered in this paper. Prerequisites and conditions promoting its development have been revealed. The need in development and implementation of data (including forecast data) in the frame of national economy complex evolution has been justified. The main dynamic and structural tendencies of tourism regional market development, using Uzbekistan as an example, with elements of comparative analysis related to similar indicators of tourism development at the level of world, national and regional economy are investigated in this paper as well. Proceeding from this analysis, recommendations on the tourist services market development have been given.


Author(s):  
M.S. Oborin ◽  
◽  
M.R. Martirosyan ◽  
◽  
◽  
...  

The evolution of economic relations, changes in the regimes and conditions of doing business naturally contributed to the formation of the institution of bankruptcy, which has economic and legal characteristics and content. The institution of bankruptcy is a mechanism for regulating macroeconomic and market processes by the state, controlling the stability of financial and economic activities in the regions of the country, regardless of the level of risk and industry affiliation of business entities. Bankruptcy of an enterprise —is an economic state of insufficient liquid assets to cover urgent obligations (subjective bankruptcy), which can be fixed in court (objective bankruptcy). One of the reasons that lead any business structure to ruin is the mistakes of the management structure when making strategic decisions regarding the alternative development of the company. Thus, the main component of effective enterprise development and forecasting of potential risks is a rationally developed management strategy. The purpose of the study is to clarify the substantive and procedural aspects of bankruptcy as a complex intersectoral institution and to develop a model of preventive and anti-crisis management of the risk of bankruptcy of enterprises. The main research methods are historical-legal, content-analysis of normative-legal acts regulating the issues of insolvency, analysis of statistical data on the studied problem, modeling. The article considers various directions of scientific and theoretical interpretation of the concept and signs of bankruptcy. The effectiveness of regulatory and economic methods and institutions of bankruptcy regulation in Russia has been evaluated. The stages of development of the conceptual foundations of insolvency related to the formation of legislation are presented. The structure of bankruptcy as a complex intersectoral institution is presented, taking into account the substantive and procedural aspects. The scientific novelty of the research lies in the development of a model of preventive and anti-crisis management of the risk of bankruptcy of enterprises, the significance of which lies in the predictive determination of key risks, taking into account the strategy and tactics of entrepreneurial activity. Successful foresight of negative changes in the external and internal environment, development of scenarios of compensation of consequences are most important in the prevention of insolvency. The directions of future research are related to the formation of a strategic management system focused on the characteristics of small and medium-sized businesses and the development of parameters for predicting the risk of bankruptcy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey Kivalov ◽  
Olha Kibik

The purpose of the article is the research of economic-legal and organizational principles of problem solution of economic agents’ functioning and implementation of activities within the system of anti-crisis measures in order to ensure the effective functioning of the country’s economic system. Crisis phenomena change the living tendencies of any economic agent. The purpose of each economic agent is to create sufficient capacity for functioning and development in favourable and especially in crisis conditions. In order to ensure the effective development of a business entity as an economic agent, the main condition is the maximization of its value by increasing the investment attractiveness and level of competitiveness in the domestic and foreign markets. Formation of this condition is a prerequisite for survival in a crisis situation and development ensuring in favourable circumstances. The elements of anti-crisis management should be correctly integrated into the general policy of the management system of economic agents at the microeconomic and macroeconomic level. The subject of the study is the functioning of economic agents in a crisis. Research methodology. The study is based on the use of general scientific and specialscientific methods of scientific knowledge. The dialectical method allowed investigating the definition of agency relations. The method of system analysis was used to study the principles and economic and legal preconditions of the functioning of the anti-crisis management systems. The system-structural method helped to study basic precrisis measures to develop crisis-response potential of maritime agency service. Practical implications. The article considers the mechanism of economic and legal provision of anti-crisis management drawing on the example of maritime agents. The most significant components of the transaction costs of the principal are determined. Value/originality. The role of maritime agents’ associations has been identified. The necessity and preconditions for accelerating the adaptation of the world experience of the functioning of self-regulated organizations in the field of the maritime agency, in order to improve the state of the majority of economic entities, is proved. The development of cluster forms of the organization of interaction of different participants in maritime activity was determined as a positive trend. The promising area for further research is the formation of a model of responsible relationships between economic agents of different levels in order to achieve optimal results of realization of individual and social economic interests at key stages of the life cycle of the economic systems functioning.


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