THE ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF WORKING-AGE POPULATION ON INDONESIAN LABOUR

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 97
Author(s):  
Muhammad Arif ◽  
Rosni Rosni ◽  
Zukya Rona Islami ◽  
M Taufik Rahmadi
Keyword(s):  
Labor Force ◽  
Regional Economy ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Government Policies ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Interesting Object ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Object Of Study ◽  
The Impact

The population is a very interesting object of study. It is because human is the main actor in economic activity, especially in terms of the labor force. The population as a workforce is one aspect of the factors of production that will contribute to the economic growth in a particular region. If the working-age population and non-working age population is well facilitated, including the enactment of government policies regarding improving their productivity, the population growth would benefit the regional economy. Indonesia is a country with a large population so that it potentially has a large workforce for economic development. Therefore, this research aims to examine the effect of the working-age population on the labor force in Indonesia. To achieve this goal, this research uses a literature review method. The data used in this study is secondary data obtained from BPS and BAPPENAS publications, books, and research articles. The discussion in this paper describes the development of the productive age population, employment issues in Indonesia, and the effect of the working-age population on employment in Indonesia. in conclusion, the high number of populations of productive age (demographic bonus) does not immediately occur. The working-age population greatly influences the workforce in Indonesia. The researchers hope that this article can be a reference for similar research in the future.Keywords: analysis, population, working-age, employment, IndonesiaPermasalahan kependudukan sangat menarik untuk dikaji dan dianalisis. Hal ini dikarenakan penduduk khususnya manusia merupakan pelaku utama dalam kegiatan ekonomi termasuk dalam hal ketenagakerjaan. Penduduk sebagai tenaga kerja merupakan salah satu variabel dalam faktor produksi yang akan mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi di suatu wilayah. Bila komposisi penduduk usia produktif dan yang belum produktif dipfasilitasi dengan baik, termasuk adanya kebijakan pemerintah yang menfokuskan pada kemajuan produktivitas mereka, maka pertumbuhan penduduk dengan komposisi yang demikian akan menguntungkan perekonomian daerah tersebut. Indonesia merupakan salah satu negara dengan jumlah penduduk yang banyak sehinnga berpotensi memiliki tenaga kerja yang banyak untuk kemajuan ekonomi. Oleh karena itu, penelitian iin bertujian untuk menalaah pengaruh jumlah penduduk usia produktif terhadap kondisi ketenagakerjaan di Indonesia.  Agar tujuan peneliti tercapai, peneliti menggunakan metode kajian pustaka. Data yang digunkan adalah data sekunder yang diperoleh dari publikasi BPS, BAPPENAS, buku serta artikel penelitian yang relevan dengan tema kajian penelitian. Pembahasan pada tulisan ini memaparkan mengenai perkembangan penduduk usia produktif, problematika ketenagakerjaan di Indonesia, serta pengaruh penduduk usia produktif terhadap ketenagakerjaan di Indonesia. Beberapa hal yang dapat disimpulkan yaitu, Jumlah penduduk usia produktif yang tinggi (bonus demografi) tidak langsung terjadi, Jumlah penduduk usia produktif sangat berpengaruh pada ketengakerjaan di Indonesia. Penulis berharap artikel ini dapat menjadi referensi bagi penelitian sejenis. Kata kunci: analisis, penduduk, usia produktif, ketenagakerjaan, Indonesia

scholarly journals The labor potential reproduction in depopulation period of 2019–2035 and the compensating role of migration

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 70-84
Author(s):  
A. V. Topilin ◽  
O. D. Vorob’eva ◽  
A. S. Maksimova
Keyword(s):  
Young People ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Forecast Period ◽  
Age Cohorts ◽  
Time Migration ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Labor Potential

Purpose of the research. To examine the dynamics of reproduction of labor potential and labor supply in Russia for the period up to 2035, depending on the impact factors of its reproduction: generation change (changes in the proportion of cohort, entering and leaving at the age composition of the labor potential), fertility and mortality rates, migration balance in the individual age cohorts.  Materials and methods. The concept of “replacement of generations” is introduced. The coefficient of replacement of generations is developed and its value for labor potential of Russia for the period up to 2035 is calculated. The influence of factors of natural population movement on the dynamics of labor potential is analyzed. The compensating role of the migration factor in the conditions of labor potential reduction is calculated. Russian regions were grouped according to the following criteria: the direction and intensity of changes in the working-age population in 2020–2035 and the proportion of young people aged 0–15 years.  Results.  – There will be the reduction and aging of labor potential during the second stage of depopulation due to demographic factors.  – The decline in the working-age population in the second wave of depopulation is expected to be smaller than in the first wave.  – In Russia there will be a decrease in the replacement of generations in the contingent of people of the working age.  – The growth of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in the forecast period should not be expected, because until 2030 a gradual decrease in the number of women of reproductive age is expected.  – The deepest failure in the population of the working age will be in 2020–2025 accounting for 1.7 million people according to the average variant of the forecast.  – In the forecast period, the labor force in the most productive age of 25–39 years will decrease by 10.5 million people, and the employment rate will decrease from 65.5% to 63.5%.  – Regional features of the formation of demand and supply of labor force in Russia cause the allocation of six homogeneous groups of regions.  – In order to compensate for the losses, it is necessary to increase the migration gain in the average version of ROSSTAT forecast by 2–2.5 times.  Conclusion. To meet the needs of the economy in the labor force in the forecast period, it is necessary to solve two interrelated tasks: compensation for the reduction of labor potential and ensuring the quality of labor potential necessary for the introduction of new technologies and digitalization of the economy. The unfavorable situation with the formation of labor resources is exacerbated by regional imbalances in the distribution of labor potential and differences in its quality across the country. In the future, migration is once again the only source of replenishment of labor potential and replacement of generations, despite the risks of quality losses due to the emigration of highly qualified persons and young people. It is necessary to take measures to increase the compensatory role of migration in the next five – six years. At the same time, migration policy measures should be considered in close conjunction with other measures to stimulate fertility and reduce mortality, ensuring a positive impact on the components of the population growth.  

scholarly journals Tingkat Pengangguran Akibat Covid-19 di Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Barat

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-30
Author(s):  
Ikang Murapi ◽  
Dewa Ayu Oki Astarini ◽  
I Nyoman Subudiartha
Keyword(s):  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Growth Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Working Hours ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Descriptive Method

This study aims to determine the increase in the unemployment rate due to Covid 19 in West Nusa Tenggara Province. This type of research is a descriptive method using secondary data which is analyzed using growth analysis at the unemployment rate. The results showed that of the 3.82 million working age population, there were 455.56 thousand people (11.93 percent) who were affected by Covid-19. Most of the working age population affected by Covid-19 experienced a reduction in working hours, namely 378.85 thousand people (83.16 percent). Meanwhile, the number of unemployed due to the impact of Covid-19 was 28.39 thousand people or around 25.03 percent of the total unemployed (113.43 thousand people) in NTB. The results of these calculations are carried out qualitatively by referring to tables and graphs during the period 2018-2020

Pension Reform in Russia: Assessing the Susceptibility of GDP Production to a Shift in the Number of the Working-Age Population

2019 ◽  
pp. 80-86
Author(s):  
T. P. Skufina ◽  
S. V. Baranov
Keyword(s):  
Pension Reform ◽  
Fixed Capital ◽  
Economic Effects ◽  
Pension Scheme ◽  
Retirement Age ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Long Term Forecasting ◽  
The Impact

The presented study considers the susceptibility of gross domestic product (GDP) production to a shift in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in retirement age starting with 2019.Aim. The study aims to examine the quantitative assessments of GDP production in Russia with allowance for the changes in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in the actual retirement age.Tasks. The authors forecast the number of the working-age population with allowance for an increase in the retirement age; develop a model to establish a correlation between the number of the workingage population, investment in fixed capital, and GDP production; quantify the impact of the shift in the number of the working-age population on GDP production in Russia. Methods. This study is based on the results of modeling and long-term forecasting.Results. An economic-mathematical model to establish a correlation between the number of the working-age population, investment in fixed capital, and GDP production is presented. To specify the economic effects of a shift in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in the retirement age, Russia’s GDP production is forecasted for the “old” and “new” (increased retirement age) pension scheme. The forecast is provided for three variants of the number of the working-age population.Conclusions. It is found that with the “old” pension scheme with a lower retirement age GDP production across all three variants will decrease by 2036 compared to 2017. With regard to the “new” scheme that increases the retirement age, it is concluded that an increase in the retirement age is a factor that facilitates GDP production. However, its effect on economic growth will be insignificant.

scholarly journals The Impact of Ageing Population on Economic Growth in South Asia

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (7) ◽  
pp. 70
Author(s):  
D.K.Y. Abeywardhana
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Asia ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Ageing Population ◽  
The South ◽  
Healthcare Facilities ◽  
Main Challenge ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The Impact

The share of working age population has declined all over the world. It is forecasted that this will continue for the coming years in all countries in South Asia. Low growth in working age population in South Asia will be effecting negatively for the economic growth. This paper studies whether the South Asia 2050 employment targets would be sufficient to compensate for the downward impact of demographic burden and whether the impact of demography on economic growth differs between South Asian countries. The results show that degreasing working age population is the main challenge the South Asian region faces. Further it shows that growth in GDP mainly depend on the demographic change. Population who contributed the economic development become maturing and dependents of their children. The consumption of the ageing population is very high as of higher spending on healthcare facilities. This effect badly on the economic growth in the region and cause lots of challenges to the nations.

The Composition of Labor Supply and Its Evolution from 2010 to 2016 in Jordan

2019 ◽  
pp. 11-42
Author(s):  
Ragui Assaad ◽  
Caroline Krafft ◽  
Caitlyn Keo
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Labor Supply ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Sex Education ◽  
Labor Force Participation ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Place Of Residence ◽  
Panel Surveys ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population

This chapter investigates the changing character of labor supply in Jordan from 2010 to 2016. We examine recent demographic developments as well as the rapid increases in educational attainment among Jordanians. A particular focus of the chapter is on the demographic changes, such as the large increase in the working age population, generated by the recent refugee influx. Labor force participation, as well as its components of unemployment and employment, are examined using a variety of definitions. We examine differential patterns of participation by age, sex, education, and place of residence. Data from the Jordan Labor Market Panel Surveys of 2010 and 2016 are supplemented with annual data from the Jordanian Employment and Unemployment Survey (EUS) for the intervening years.

scholarly journals Unemployment Invariance

2004 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 297-317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marika Karanassou ◽  
Dennis J. Snower
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Capital Stock ◽  
Growth Path ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Endogenous Growth Model ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Invariance Hypothesis ◽  
Working Age Population

Abstract This paper provides a critique of the ‘unemployment invariance hypothesis’, according to which the behavior of the labor market, by itself, ensures that the long-run unemployment rate is independent of the size of the capital stock, productivity and the labor force. In the context of an endogenous growth model, we show that the labor market alone need not contain all the equilibrating mechanisms to ensure unemployment invariance; in particular, other markets may perform part of the equilibrating process as well. By implication, policies that raise the growth path of capital or increase the effective working-age population may influence the long-run unemployment rate.

Impacts of globalization on worker injury in host countries

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-133
Author(s):  
Michael D. Stackhouse ◽  
Kaustav Misra ◽  
Micah DelVecchio
Keyword(s):  
Social Responsibility ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Panel Study ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
International Expansion ◽  
Host Countries ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Iso 26000 ◽  
The Impact

Purpose International expansion is an inevitable consequence for companies that are seeking revenue growth. Foreign direct investment (FDI) by global enterprises is a common route of such expansion. As companies invest abroad, competing interests cause concerns over the impact (both positive and negative) on the local labor force (necessitating corporate social responsibility) caused by FDI. Therefore, there is a logical link between FDI, a country’s labor force and globalization. The purpose of this study is to explore this untested relationship. Design/methodology/approach This panel study uses cross-country data from the World Bank to understand the pattern of influence of globalization on worker injury. A secondary data set of 36 developed and developing countries from 2003 to 2007 are gathered for this paper to analyze. Findings The results of this paper indicate that, companies are seeking to maintain higher levels of social responsibility should not only consider a framework such as ISO 26000 themselves but also they should encourage compliance from their upstream suppliers as well. Originality/value Goods for these companies are manufactured in Bangladesh, but unfortunately, a serious tragedy occurred when a building collapsed, resulting in the death of 1,127 people, which was not the first of such events in Bangladesh (The Associated Press, 2013). Inspired by this recent tragedy, this study examines possible connections between globalization and the factors that are associated with the incidences of worker injury. Globalization is a well-studied phenomenon, however very little has been done to examine its impact on worker injuries; this paper helps fill that gap.

scholarly journals ANALISIS DAYA SAING USAHA PEMBESARAN IKAN NILA PETANI PEMODAL KECIL DI KABUPATEN MUSI RAWAS

2016 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 279-291
Author(s):  
Very Yarda Ningsih ◽  
Putri Suci Asriani ◽  
. Sriyoto
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Competitive Advantage ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Government Policies ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Stratified Random Sampling ◽  
Small Farmers ◽  
Business Competitiveness ◽  
The Impact

This research was done to investigate whether tilapia growers has business competitiveness both in competitive and comparative. This study aimed to analyze the competitive advantage, comparative advantage, the impact of government policies on output and input. Effect of output and input changing based on a sensitivity analysis on the competitiveness of tilapia fish rearing business, the level of tilapia grower business competitiveness between small farmers in Musi Rawas regency. The respondent was determined by purposive method deliberately carried out in accordance with the criteria set by the researcher. The respondents was conducted by using proportionate stratified random sampling. This study used the primary data and secondary data. The result of Pam Method shows that a small farmers of tilapia enlargement at musi rawas regency has competitive advantage with PCR < 1 by 0,55.  It also has comparativeadvantage with DRCR < 0,37.  The goverment policies toward  tradadable input produkction were in the form of subsidies.  Based of sensitivity analysis the enlargemen of tilapia will be lost if tilapia production decrease 10%, the price of tilapia it self decrease 5,5% and if the feed price increase 7%. Keywords: small farmers, competitive, comparative, sensitivity

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