scholarly journals Pemilihan Titik Knot Optimal Model Spline Truncated Dalam Regresi Nonparametrik Multivariabel dengan GCV

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 78
Author(s):  
Luh Putu Safitri Pratiwi

One of the most frequently studied nonparametric regression model approaches is the spline truncated. This method is applied to cases of Maternal Mortality Rate because in various cases there is an increase in maternal mortality problems so that the government is expected to be more serious in dealing with and suppressing the MMR value through the programs launched or by overcoming the factors that significantly influence the high MMR value. This study aims to examine the determination of the optimal knot point of the multivariable nonparametric spline regression model using the GCV method as the optimal knot point selection method. The criteria for selecting the best model in this study using the MSE value. The results obtained are the best model suitable for AKI 2017, namely by using the GCV method which is located in the three knot linear spline, which is 0.07722 and an MSE value of 0.018. The variables that have an effect on the model are the percentage of deliveries performed with the help of medical personnel (x1), the percentage of pregnant women who receive Fe1 tablets (x2), the percentage of pregnant women implementing the K1 (x3), and the percentage of pregnant women implementing the K4 (x4).

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 211 ◽  
Author(s):  
NI PUTU RINA ANGGRENI ◽  
NI LUH PUTU SUCIPTAWATI ◽  
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI

Tuberculosis is a contagious disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Based on data from the health office of Bali Province, in 2015 tuberculosis cases found 0,96%, while in 2016 tuberculosis cases increase to 1,05%. This research used truncated spline nonparametric regression to model tuberculosis cases in Bali Province in 2016. This method was used because truncated spline has high flexibility compared to other polynomial models. The truncated spline function has a connecting point called knots. The best estimation of truncated spline regression model is obtained from optimal knot point selection by calculating minimum generalized cross validation. The estimated truncated model is linear with one knot point with determination coefficient equals to 70,48 %. In addition, it is also found in order to reduce tuberculosis cases the government of Bali Province should increase percentage of family who lives clean and healthy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 31-37
Author(s):  
Mohammad Fajri ◽  
Eka Rizky Wulansari ◽  
Ayu Anggraeni ◽  
Mufitatul Annisa

Local Own-source Revenue (LOR) is all regional revenue that comes from the region's original economic resources. It is very important to identify it by researching and determining the Regional Local Own-source Revenue (LOR) by properly researching and managing the source of revenue so as to provide maximum results. Central Sulawesi Province itself has Local Own-source Revenue (LOR) in the Regional Revenue and Expenditure Budget of the 2018 Budget Year has reached Rp1 trillion. The increase or decrease in growth of local revenue is influenced by the amount and type of tax, levies collected by local governments and the lack of incentives for the management apparatus to carry out tax collection and levies. This study uses spline regression analysis because the data of the Local Own-source Revenue (LOR) in Central Sulawesi in 2018 does not have a pattern so that it fits perfectly with that method. Then after processing the data obtained the results of spline nonparametric regression modeling using the optimal knots point obtained from the minimum GCV value. The best spline nonparametric regression model is written as follow . It can be concluded that in Central Sulawesi in 2018 the lowest Local Own-source Revenue (LOR) value was Banggai Laut Regency with 21,776 billion rupiahs and the highest Local Own-source Revenue (LOR) value was Palu City at 267,402 billion rupiahs.


Author(s):  
Le Yang ◽  
Hongman Wang

Abstract Background: The maternal mortality ratio (MMR) is not only an important indicator of maternal and infant safety, but also a sign of the development of economy, education, and medical care in a country. In the last 60 years, the Chinese government has implemented various strategies and policies to reduce the MMR, especially in the rural areas. Aim: This study aimed to discuss the strategies developed by the Chinese government, showing the successful experience of Chinese intervention programs and highlighting the challenges to the government in the context of current economic and social status. Method: This study probed into the Chinese government’s efforts and achievements in the MMR reducing by reviewing the relevant health policies, extracting the data from China Health Statistics Yearbook of 2015, analyzing the reduction of maternal death in rural areas and the major causes from 1991 to 2015, comparing the MMR trend in urban and rural areas, and discussing the changes of the situation in China. Finding: Although it seems that Chinese government’s efforts have brought evangel to the rural pregnant women and significantly reduced rural maternal mortality, the government still needs to develop more equitable and flexible primary health care policies to narrow the imbalance in health resource allocation and pay more attention to the health care for the rural-to-urban migration in China.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-34
Author(s):  
Untung Kurniawan

Poisson regression is a regression model which often used to analyze the count data. In this study, poisson regression has been used bivariate poisson regression where the regression is a method which is used to model a pair of correlated count data with multiple predictor variables. The model is used covariance which has a function of the independent variable. The purposes of this study is obtain parameter estimates, test statistics of bivariate poisson regression, and determine the factors that influence of infant mortality and maternal mortality. The data is used from the infant mortality and maternal mortality in Central Java 2015. Based on the result, the parameter estimation of poisson bivariate regression model using maximum likelihood (MLE) method. The results obtained from the parameter estimation are not close form so it needs to be done by Newton-Raphson iteration method. In testing the hypothesis using the Maximum Likelihood Ratio Test method (MLRT) by comparing the value between likelihood below H0 and likelihood below population. Partial of parameters model λ1 (infant mortality) there are six independent variables that have significant influence, namely, delivery by health personnel (X1), pregnant women carry out the program K4 (X3), pregnant women who get Fe3 tablet (X4), handling obstetric complication (X5), exclusively breastfed infants (X7), and households living a clean and healthy life (X8). While for model λ2 (maternal death) only variable handling of neonatal complication (X6) which have no significant influence to response variable.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Febrina Oktavinola Kaban ◽  
Farida Linda Sari Siregar ◽  
Evi Indriani Br Karo

Various programs attempt to reduce the maternal mortality rate implemented by the government to pregnant women. The activity "Optimization of Normal Delivery Through Birth Preparation Center" in the Medan City Maternity Clinic" was carried out in two partners. This service partner were Klinik Bidan Eka in Medan Denai and  Klinik Pratama Serasi Medan Helvetia. As many as 80% of pregnant women are afraid of giving birth normally, for reasons of fear of pain that will be experienced later in labor. 85% of pregnant women are negatively pregnant. As many as 90% of pregnant women do not prepare physically. As many as 55% of pregnant women experience hip pain, back pain, and cramps in the legs during pregnancy. 90% of husbands do not motivate their wives. 90% of pregnant women and husbands are anxious about facing childbirth. The methods used are education, hypnobirthing and prenatal yoga. The activities at the Pratama Serasi Clinic were held twice, on 10 and 11 April 2018, this activity was attended by 20 pregnant women. The activities in the second partner were in the Bidan Eka, on May 5, 2018, and was attended by 17 pregnant women. Activities went well and smoothly, publication of activities in Post media massa Sumatera Utara, and Youtube.Keywords: birth preparation, hipnobirthing, yoga prenatal


Author(s):  
Desi Oktariana

In Indonesia, maternal mortality is still an important problem that requires comprehensive treatment and follow-up. Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR) is still high and has not reached the target set by the government. Maternal mortality can be prevented through Antenatal Care (ANC) services. ANC visit, for example, is influenced by the knowledge and attitudes of pregnant women. Unfortunately, there are still pregnant women who don't know about the importance of ANC, so they don't make ANC visits. This community service activity is carried out to provide education, in the form of counseling, for pregnant women about Antenatal Care (ANC), with the aim of increasing awareness of pregnant women to maintain health during pregnancy and increase the participation of pregnant women in ANC visits.


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 32-37
Author(s):  
R. N. Pati

A very Poor attention is given to reproductive health issues of pregnant women in rural regions of African countries. Ethiopia is one of the countries in horn of Africa representing highest maternal mortality rate in the continent. The Government of Ethiopia has reformed health policy and program to promote community involvement in maternal health, promotion of emergency obstetric health care, health seeking behavior for optimal utilization of maternal health services by women during pregnancies. The women living in pastoralist and small land holders’ communities are exposed to high risks of reproductive health hazards. Material delays comprising of delay in making the decision for referral, delay in arriving at hospital and delay in receiving appropriate maternal health services are major contributing factors for growing maternal deaths in Ethiopia. The illiteracy of woman, exposure to frequent pregnancies at adolescent age, poor decision making power of women in patriarchal society, poor employment status of women are main predicators of low utilization of maternal services and high ,maternal death in rural regions of the country. This article is based on synthesis of research projects completed by different authors on multiple dimensions of maternal mortality in Ethiopia. The promotion of referral support service and bridging up the referral gaps would address issues of maternal mortality and growing unsafe abortions among young mothers in rural regions of the country. This paper examines critically different socio – cultural barriers that prevent women living in rural area for accessing appropriate utilization of maternal and health services and infrastructure available. Int. J. Soc. Sc. Manage. Vol. 4, Issue-1: 32-37


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Victoria Mukami

Background. Maternal health represents an area of significant concern in the world. With various innovations in healthcare, maternal mortality rates are decreasing exponentially. However, this is not the situation in developing countries, specifically Kenya. Several causes of maternal mortality exist; however, it is noted that one of the key causes is due to a lack of information by pregnant women. Traditional strategies such as free maternal health care at public hospitals have been in place to improve overall pregnancy outcomes. While this is aimed at a reduction in maternal mortalities, it has not been as effective in Kenya. Non-conventional strategies are needed to improve maternal health outcomes and reduce maternal mortality. Information Communication Technology (ICT) is one of the areas that has been proven successful in reducing maternal mortality. Aim. The aim of the research was to create an ICT framework that aided in educating pregnant women using an mHealth dissemination tool and thus reduce complications that led to mortalities within Kajiado North Constituency. Methods. The study utilized a sequential mixed-method design. Phase one consisted of a retrospective chart review and a cross-sectional survey on nurses and pregnant women. The first phase focused on understanding the maternal mortality rates within Kajiado North and to determine procedures pregnant women and nurses took during pregnancy. The retrospective chart review was conducted for a period of six months at two health facilities, the Ongata Health Centre (OHC) and Ngong Sub District hospital (NSD). The cross-sectional survey interrogated the mitigation strategies with a focus on information and communication technologies (ICT). Phase two was a prospective multi-location randomized clinical trial (RCT). A two-arm, two-site RCT was conducted using an intervention in the form of an ICT prototype with messages aimed at educating the pregnant participants. The trial was conducted at two public health facilities namely the Ongata Health Center and the Ngong Sub District. A total of 211 pregnant women were recruited from both locations after they had met the inclusion and exclusion criteria and after providing consent to participate in the study. During the RCT, an intervention was developed using the Design Science Research Methodology (DSRM) and was used to send messages to participants within the intervention arm. The DSRM approach allowed for two iterations to be created, with one iteration being tested during the pilot test and the other during the RCT. Pregnant participants within the intervention groups received messages on their mobile phones about well-being during pregnancy. Women in the control group continued to receive their established standard of care. Both groups completed a post-test survey at the end of the trial. Data were analysed using ANOVA with the probability set at p≤0.05%. The relationship between the number of antenatal visits and the place of delivery on the complication rate was shown using the correlation coefficient. Additionally, a multiple regression model was generated based on the antenatal visits, place of delivery and the study arms and their impact on the complications. Results. Data from phase one of the study showed a need for a messaging system to send messages to pregnant women. The retrospective data showed no maternal mortalities, however, the nurse survey highlighted possible explanations for the lack of mortalities. From the RCT, there were no known maternal mortalities. There were three neonatal mortalities (p=0.154), one from the OHC intervention group and two from the OHC control group. The ANC visits relationship towards the complication rate was calculated. At the NSD site, the effect size of the ANC visits based on the participants' study arm toward the complication rate was low (0.027) and statistically insignificant (p=0.15). At the OHC site, the effect size was moderate (0.405) and statistically significant (p=0.003) for the ANC visits variable. The place of delivery relationship towards the complication rate was calculated. At the NSD site, the effect size of the place of delivery based on the participants' study arm toward the complication rate was moderate (0.366) but statistically insignificant (p=0.479). At the OHC site, the effect size of the variables was low (0.237) and statistically insignificant (p=0.789). The stepwise regression model at the OHC site showed significance when ANC visits (p=0.007), place of delivery (p=0.003) and participants study arm (p=0.008) were sequentially entered. The multiple variables (R=0.516) Only had a medium effect size (0.266) toward the complication rate. The stepwise regression model at the NSD site was statistically insignificant when the place of delivery (p=0.283), participants study arm (p=0.445) and ANC visits (p=0.655) were sequentially entered. The multiple variables (R=0.217) had a small effect size (0.047) toward the complication rate. Conclusion: Qualitative findings revealed that maternal health was affected adversely by several lengthy health worker strikes. Negligence on part of the health worker was a lead contributor to neonatal deaths. The study also found that accountability systems for referrals were lacking within the county and measures needed to be put in place to mitigate the consequences. In addition, feedback from the study participants indicated that the messages had aided in helping them to take necessary action based on complications and warning symptoms. Based on the data, the study finally proposed a framework that would allow for a reduction of maternal and neonatal mortality rates using ICT technologies. The study equally contributed to knowledge when using technology to empower women on maternal health matters as well as areas of maternal health practice that need improvement


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ratna Dwi Wulandari ◽  
Agung Dwi Laksono ◽  
Nikmatur Rohmah

Abstract Background The government is obliged to guarantee equal access to antenatal care (ANC) between urban and rural areas. This study aimed to analyze urban-rural disparities in ≥4 ANC visits during pregnancy in the Philippines and Indonesia. Methods The study processed data from the 2017 PDHS and the 2017 IDHS. The analysis unit was women aged 15–49 years old who had given birth in the last 5 years. The weighted sample size was 7992 respondents in the Philippines and 14,568 respondents in Indonesia. Apart from ANC as the dependent variable, other variables analyzed were residence, age, husband/partner, education, parity, and wealth. Determination of urban-rural disparities using binary logistic regression. Results The results show that women in the urban Philippines are 0.932 times more likely than women in the rural Philippines to make ≥4 ANC visits. On the other side, women in urban Indonesia are more likely 1.255 times than women in rural Indonesia to make ≥4 ANC visits. Apart from the type of residence place (urban-rural), five other tested multivariate variables also proved significant contributions to ANC’s use in both countries, i.e., age, have a husband/partner, education, parity, and wealth status. Conclusions The study concluded that disparities exist between urban and rural areas utilizing ANC in the Philippines and Indonesia. Pregnant women in the rural Philippines have a better chance of making ≥4 ANC visits. Meanwhile, pregnant women in urban Indonesia have a better chance of making ≥4 ANC visits.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 248
Author(s):  
Dini Rima Fadilah ◽  
Shrimarti Rukmini Devy

<span lang="EN-US">The death of pregnant women is still the world's attention in the field of health. The SDG's indicator provides one of the goals in the health field. The target to be achieved is a global maternal mortality ratio of less than 70/100,000 live births by 2030. According to WHO, preeclampsia is one of the leading causes of maternal death in the world, including Indonesia. East Java Province with the highest ranking in Indonesia. One of the cities in East Java which is the leading contributor to preeclampsia is Surabaya with 16 cases in 2016. The government carries out the treatment to reduce maternal mortality due to preeclampsia through antenatal care. This study aimed to analyze antenatal care visits for early detection of preeclampsia. The method in this research is qualitative research method with data retrieval technique using in-depth interview. Based on the results of research antenatal care visits have an effect on early detection of preeclampsia. Pregnant women who regularly make antenatal visits can prevent possible dangers of pregnancy as early as possible. So the maternal mortality rate (MMR) due to pre-eclampsia can be decreased.</span>


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