scholarly journals Building a mathematical model for the free groundwater Resources of the plain area in the lattakia basin: بناء نموذج رياضي لموارد المياه الجوفية الحرة للمنطقة السهلية في حوض اللاذقية

Author(s):  
Nedaa Saedallah Rajab, Ahmed Mohammed, Sharif Hayek Nedaa Saedallah Rajab, Ahmed Mohammed, Sharif Hayek

The results of the stratigraphic modeling of the study area showed that the stratigraphic formations constitute a hydrogeological system that is hydrodynamically linked to each other represented by a water layer with a free underground flow.                                                    The results of the mathematical model that was built for the region also showed that the high values of the leaching factor were concentrated in the northern and central part of the research area, where the faults were located, the difference between the input values and the calibration results in most areas of the hydraulic conductivity distribution of the layer did not exceed 10%. The water resources in the northeastern part of the study area are of good quality, large quantities, and easy to invest, with a total intake of (134607.3) m3/day. The thickness of the carrier ranged about 50 m in the northern section and increased towards the area of the falcon band within the course of the Arab River to reach about 125 m. As for the thickness of the carrier in the southern section, it ranged between (75 – 60) m. the groundwater system in the study area is stable, and the largest part of the amount of water resources formed in the region to the lateral inflow of the ground and and amounted to about 90% of total value of the resources.

Author(s):  
Yoshifumi Mori ◽  
Takashi Saito ◽  
Yu Mizobe

We focused on vibration characteristics of reciprocating compressors and constructed the mathematical model to calculate the natural frequencies and modes for crank angles and proposed a method to estimate the degree and the suspicious portion of failure by difference of temporal parameter values obtained using measuring data in operation and the mathematical model. In this paper, according to the proposed method, a case study is carried out using the field data, where the data were acquired before and after the failures occurred in the connecting parts of connecting rod, to prospect the difference between each parameter value for two operating states. Inspecting resonant characteristics each in the frequency response data relating to the natural frequencies for bending modes of the piston rod, we determined two resonant frequencies, which could correspond to the 1st and 2nd mode about bending of the piston rod. To equate the calculated each natural frequency from eigen value analysis based on the proposed model with each resonant frequency, we define the error function for the identified problem, namely optimum problem. In the identified results, it is found that some parameter values have much difference and the corresponding failure could occur around the connecting rod. We could show the possibility to detect both the change of the parameter values and the deterioration parts for two different kinds of the operating states by our proposed method.


2014 ◽  
Vol 955-959 ◽  
pp. 3225-3230
Author(s):  
Yu Jie Liu ◽  
Hui Cao ◽  
Qiang An ◽  
De Chang Xie ◽  
Ning Qiu Huang

Given the increasing groundwater exploitation, an attempt is enforced to establish the hydro geological conceptual model of this area. This carries on the numerical simulation of groundwater flow by using the IGW, which is known as the international standard software. The mathematical model established in this paper has reflected the local practical hydro geological conditions and can be used to predict and manage groundwater resources.


2005 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 1469-1486 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashutosh Bagchi

Model updating is an important step for correlating the mathematical model of a structure to the real one. There are a variety of techniques available for model updating using dynamic and static measurements of the structure’s behavior. This paper concentrates on the model updating techniques using the natural frequencies or frequencies and mode shapes of a structure. An iterative technique is developed based on the matrix update method. The method hasbeenappliedtothefiniteelement models of a three span continuous steel free deck bridge located in western Canada. The finite element models of the bridge have been constructed using three-dimensional beam and facet shell elements and the models have been updated using the measured frequencies. From the study it is clear that the initial model needs to be built such that it represents the actual structure as closely as possible. The results demonstrate that the difference between the modal parameters from the model and field tests affect the quality of the model updating process.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e18663-e18663
Author(s):  
Isabel Blancas ◽  
David Martínez-Rodríguez ◽  
Fernando Rodríguez-Serrano ◽  
Rafael Jacinto Villanueva ◽  
Jose Manuel Garrido

e18663 Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has threatened to collapse hospital and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) services, and it seems to limit the care of oncologic patients. The objective was to develop a mathematical model designed to predict the hospitalization and ICU admission demands due to COVID-19 to forecast the availability of hospital resources for the scheduling of oncological surgery and medical treatment that require hospitalitation or possible use of ICU services. Methods: We have implemented a SEIR model designed to predict the number of patients requiring hospitalization and ICU admissions for COVID-19. We evaluated the model using the number of cases registered in the hospitals of the province of Granada (Spain), that altogether cover 914,678 inhabitants. Calibration was performed using data recorded between March 15 and September 22, 2020. After that, the model was validated by comparing the predictions with data registered between September 23 and November 7, 2020. Besides, we performed a predictive analysis of scenarios regarding different possible sanitary measures. Results: Using patient registered data we developed a mathematical model that reflects the flow among the different sub-groups related to COVID-19 pandemics (Table). The best algorithm that fitted the disease dynamics was Particle Swarm Optimization, that minimized the difference between model output and real data used to calibrate the model. The validation phase showed the accuracy of the predictions, especially concerning trends in hospitalizations and ICU admissions. The different scenarios modelled on November 10, 2020 allowed us to predict the evolution of the pandemic until July 1, 2021, and to detect the peaks and valleys of disease prevalence. Conclusions: The mathematical model presented provides predictions on the evolution of COVID-19, the prevalence and hospital or ICU care demands. The predictions can be used to detect periods of greater availability of hospital resources that make it possible to schedule the oncologic surgery and intensify the care for oncologic patients. Furthermore, our model can be adapted to other population by recalibrating the model according to demographic data, the local evolution of the pandemic and the health policies. [Table: see text]


2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (1-2.) ◽  
Author(s):  
Klára Wenzel ◽  
Ágnes Urbin

The aim of the measurement detailed in this paper was to measure the just-noticable stimuli of the participating subjects. The stimuli were defined by chromaticity and intensity as the main parameters of the mathematical model. The results show correlance between intensity and the just-noticable stimuli, as described in the Weber-Frechner Law but a contradiction was shown after the analysis in the function of chromaticity. This contradiction can be explained by the difference between the sensitivity of the three cones of the eye.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 148-159
Author(s):  
I. A. Sharifullin ◽  
A. L. Nosko ◽  
E. V. Safronov

Introduction. Increasing the efficiency of using a warehouse with a constant volume is an urgent task, the solution of which is possible through block or deep-lane storage systems. One such solution is the pallet flow rack, which saves up to 25% of the distance travelled by a forklift compared to the single-deep racks. The main element of the safe operation of the gravity roller conveyors used in a pallet flow rack is a brake roller. The most promising design is a magnetic (eddy current) type brake roller.The purpose of the work is to carry out a comparative analysis of the results of the calculated and experimental studies to determine the speed of movement of a pallet along a magnetic brake roller.Materials and methods. The research area is the magnetic brake roller. Its construction and description of work presented. The results of calculated and experimental study of the coefficient of magnetic viscosity presented.Results. The calculated and experimental dependences of the pallet movement speed along the magnetic brake roller were obtained. It was found that with an increase in the speed of movement of the pallet along the magnetic brake roller, the error of the mathematical model increases, and, first of all, after crossing with the straight line of a drag peak speed.Conclusions. A comparative analysis of the results of the calculated and experimental studies to determine the speed of movement of the pallet along the magnetic brake roller carried out. It was found that the developed design of a magnetic brake roller in the operating range of the pallet masses from 100 to 600 kg with up to 16 magnets located on one side of the disc, and from 100 to 1150 kg with up to 8 pairs of the magnets located on both sides of the disc, provides a speed control within the limits not exceeding the permissible speeds of the pallet movement on the gravitational roller conveyor. The verification of the mathematical model showed that the average value of the error of the mathematical model in the entire range of the pallet masses at speeds not exceeding the permissible speeds of pallet movement on a gravitational roller conveyor and below the drag peak speed is no more than 8.2%.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feng Lin ◽  
Yi Huang ◽  
Huifang Zhang ◽  
Xu He ◽  
Yonghua Yin ◽  
...  

AbstractThis study focuses on evaluating the different policies of controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in mainland China and in some European countries. The study is based on mathematical model which is a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model. The model takes death and recovery into consideration which in convenience is called the susceptible-infected-recovered-death (SIRD) model. The criterion for the recovered patients is assumed by COVID-19 nucleic acid testing negative. The mathematical model is constructed by retrospective study. Determination of the parameters in the model is based on the epidemic bulletin supplied by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (NHC) from Jan 16 2020 to Mar 5 2020. The data cover the date when the epidemic situation is reported and the data showed that the epidemic situation is almost under control in China. The mathematical model mainly simulates the active cases and the deaths during the outbreak of COVID-19. Then apply the mathematical model to simulate the epidemic situations in Italy and Spain, which are suffering the outbreak of COVID-19 in Europe. The determination of the parameters for the 2 European countries is based on the data supplied by Worldometers. By comparing the difference of the parameters based on the same mathematical model, it is possible to evaluate the different policies in different countries. It turns out that the relatively easing control policies might lead to rapid spread of the disease.


2019 ◽  
Vol 97 ◽  
pp. 01028
Author(s):  
Elena Kitaytseva

Formation of balance of thermal energy and the heat carrier for a thermal network is carried out for the purpose of increase of efficiency of work of the heat supplying organization. The standard approach proposes to write off the difference between the released and realized heat energy for heat losses. The article proposes a new approach to the formation of the balance of thermal energy and coolant. It includes statistical analysis of telemetry data relating to the released thermal energy. Heat consumption was estimated by contractual load for heating, ventilation and hot water supply. In the mathematical model of the thermal balance for each term weight coefficients were introduced. To obtain the numerical values of these coefficients, the method of least squares was used. The results of checking the adequacy of mathematical models that take into account or neglect thermal losses are presented. The obtained coefficients for the mathematical model of heat balance were used for the mathematical model of mass balance. The results can be used to predict the cost of production and transmission of heat energy and coolant, to assess the efficiency of the heat network and the formation of tariff applications for the future.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dario Friso

A mathematical model was developed to correlate the four heat penetration parameters of 57 Stumbo’s tables (18,513 datasets) in canned food:g(the difference between the retort and the coldest point temperatures in the canned food at the end of the heating process),fh/U(the ratio of the heating rate index to the sterilizing value),z(the temperature change required for the thermal destruction curve to traverse one log cycle), andJcc, (the cooling lag factor). The quantitiesg,z, andJcc, are input variables for predictingfh/U, whilez,Jccandfh/Uare input variables for predicting the value ofg, which is necessary to calculate the heating process timeB, at constant retort temperature, using Ball’s formula. The process time calculated using thegvalue obtained from the mathematical model closely followed the time calculated from the tabulatedgvalues (root mean square of absolute errors RMS = 0.567 min, average absolute error = 0.421 min with a standard deviation SD = 0.380 min). Because the mathematical model can be used to predict the intermediate values of any combination of inputs, avoiding the storage requirements and the interpolation of 57 Stumbo’s tables, it allows a quick and easy automation of thermal process calculations and to perform these calculations using a spreadsheet.


2021 ◽  
pp. 12-20

As a result of the research on the utilization of polyethylene terephthalate-containing household waste, a promising direction was identified in the production of a new type of secondary polyethylene terephthalate (SPET) - unsaturated polyesters. It was revealed that the final product, which formed when the alcoholization process is complete in any proportion of of glycol and secondary polyethylene terephthalate, is the bisalkylent terephthalate of terephthalic acid; the content of the alcoholysis product consists of bisalkylent terephthalate, different molecule mass, functionally hydroxyl-containing complex polyester polyol and free diols. The laws of alcoholization of secondary polyethylene terephthalate have been studied and the mechanism has been established. Studies have shown that, in contrast to existing theories, such as the formation of ethylene glycol in the polycondensation of phthalic anhydride bisalkylene glycol derivatives, the increase in ethylene glycol in the process was found to be due to the exchange of diethylene glycol in the macrochain. The formation of unsaturated polyesters goes stage by stage, first ethylene-, diethylene glycol acid esters are formed, then they are exposed to hydroxyl-containing oligomers - secondary polyethylene terephthalate alcohol products. A mathematical model of the process of alcoholization of SPET and diethylene glycol was created, studies showed that the difference between the values obtained as a result of the mathematical model and experiments are less than 5%. The unsaturated polyesters were synthesized on the basis of SPET alcoholization products. Many of them have shown their superiority over unsaturated polyesters PN-1, PN-3, PN-15, which are used in industry for general purposes. By developing unsaturated polyesters on the basis of secondary polyethylene terephthalate alcohol products, it was found that the structure of these polyesters is close to that of imported resins "Body", 196, 196A, used in industry.


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