scholarly journals FEATURES OF ASSESSMENT AND FORECASTING OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONS IN UKRAINE

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (5) ◽  
pp. 129-136
Author(s):  
Serhii Makarenko ◽  
Nataliia Oliinyk ◽  
Tetiana Kazakova

The purpose of the article is to carry out an analysis and improvement of the methodological approach for estimating and forecasting socio-economic devel-opment of regions. The methodological basis of the study consisted of scientific works of domestic and foreign scientists and leading specialists, statistical and analytical materials of state authorities. The results are obtained through the use of such methods as: expert – to identify the impact of qualitative and quantitative indicators on the socio-economic development of the region; economicmathematical analysis – to study the influence of a defined group of indicators on the level of development of the region; abstract-logical – for a theoretical synthesis and formulation of conclusions. The results of the study suggest that the introduction of a sound scientific and methodological approach to assessing and forecasting the level of development of the country and regions in particular will allow not only to identify problem areas in the development of the respective territories, but also to get the potential investor reliable information about the real state of affairs and to determine the justification of further investment in the activity of the research object. Using an unjustified scientific and methodological approach not only can distort the real state of affairs in the regions and the country in general, but also send limited financial resources of the State and local budgets in the conditions of the crisis to improve the indicators that have a minor impact on the development of the economy. It is proved that in current crisis conditions, the functioning of the national economy, state authorities should implement a more effective discretionary fiscal policy aimed at reducing the tax burden in the formation of the wage fund of the socially vulnerable population. The errors, ob-tained during misuse of information technologies in the assessment of socio-economic development of regions are revealed. The scientific and methodological approach to determining the coefficient of competence of experts and the value of 1 point of qualification competences during the construction of forecast scenarios and the development of regional economic development programs using intuitive fore-casting methods has been improved. Proposals for improving the system of taxation of the socially vulnerable population are developed.

2019 ◽  
pp. 354-365 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nataliya Tyukhtenko ◽  
Serhii Makarenko ◽  
Nataliia Oliinyk ◽  
Krzysztof Gluc ◽  
Edwin Portugal ◽  
...  

In the conditions of limited sources of financing for the introduction of advanced innovative technologies and equipment modernization, to retain the existing positions and increase the overall level of competitiveness can only the company that establishes a close relationship with government bodies, local governments and trade union organizations with the aim of obtaining possible preferences for development within the existing regulatory right field. The purpose of the article is to analyze the main socio-economic indicators of the development of Ukraine and its regions, the definition and justification of possible areas of establishing interaction between private enterprises and government agencies. The methodological basis of the study consisted of scientific works of domestic and foreign scientists and leading specialists, statistical and analytical materials of state authorities. The results are obtained through the use of such methods as expert – to identify the impact of qualitative and quantitative indicators on the socio-economic development of the Kherson region; economics and mathematics – to study the influence of a defined group of indicators on the index of the physical volume of the gross regional product; abstract-logical – for a theoretical synthesis and formulation of conclusions. It is revealed that among the key areas of interaction is the promotion of the state and local authorities in the creation of industrial parks. The conducted research on identifying the strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats of the economy of the Kherson region indicates the need to develop measures to ensure the economic security of the region. To solve these problems at the regional level, it is proposed to implement a state policy that would be carried out in the following areas: ensuring a solid institutional protection of investor's property rights; improvement of the legislative framework; establishing an effective mechanism for combating corruption in Ukraine, developing an effective state policy on amnesty and unshadowing of incomes of individuals and legal entities. Keywords: socio-economic development, management, innovation, industrial park, competitiveness, foreign investment, amnesty of capital.


2018 ◽  
Vol 212 ◽  
pp. 08013
Author(s):  
Boris Saneev ◽  
Alexandr Sokolov ◽  
Svetlana Muzychuk

The energy efficiency of the Russian economy lags far behind the developed countries of the world that worsens its socio-economic development. To increase energy efficiency, it is necessary to introduce innovative solutions that require large investments. The object of the research is the economy of the Irkutsk region that energy efficiency growth, being the most important priority of socio-economic development, is of particular relevance due to its high energy intensity. The purpose of the study is to perform an energy-economic analysis of the Irkutsk region, and to determine the impact of investment on the energy efficiency growth. The methodological approach developed by the authors and used in this research is based on the balance and statistical methods. In course of the research, retrospective fuel and energy balances (FEB) of the Irkutsk region have been developed, and the energy efficiency indicators have been calculated on their basis. The main directions for the fuller use of the fuel and energy resources (FER) have been identified, the implementation of which will significantly increase the energy efficiency indicators. It will require an increase in investments in the fuel and energy complex (FEC) by 1.7-2 times by 2030 as compared to 2016.


Author(s):  
Irina Skobliakova ◽  
Svetlana Efremova

Introduction. No standard methodological approach has yet been developed for an objective assessment of the value of the human resource from the position of its effect on the results of the related industry. Food industry is a strategically important branch of the National Economy. It has its specific requirements for labor resources, which can be used as indicators of their effective use in the production process. The on-going transformation of the food industry structure requires customization of such indicators. The present research objective was to form a group of indicators to assess the efficiency of the use of human capital in food industry. Study objects and methods. Food industry ensures domestic food security and provides the rational use of all resources in the production process. The research featured indicators of human capital assessment adopted in international financial reporting, as well as methods of statistical and mathematical data analysis. Results and discussion. The present article introduces a new methodological approach to determine the impact of human capital on the socio-economic efficiency of a food industry enterprise. The calculation of the integrated human capital index was based on statistical indicators of demand and the intellectual component in the industry, e.g. indices of employment, education, and industrial production. According to the proposed approach, the indicative function was performed by an integrated indicator of socio-economic development, which included indices reduced to a comparable form. The indices reflected the ecological, economic, and social efficiency of food production. The method was tested at a local cereal-producing company. An average increase in costs for the development of human capital by 1% increased the indicators of the socio-economic development from 4 to 5%. The objectivity of the assessment depended on the provision of a given level of human capital development and the choice of target criteria for the development of the food industry. Conclusion. The proposed method can facilitate labor management decisions in food industry. The list of indicators can be expanded in accordance with the objectives and installations of scientific research.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-47
Author(s):  
Nadiya Dekhtyar ◽  
Katarina Valaskova ◽  
Olga Deyneka ◽  
Nataliya Pihul

Further improvement of financial relations at the local level and the development of local budgets take place in the context of financial decentralization. This implies strengthening the role of local governments in attracting necessary financial resources to ensure socio-economic development of territories. The purpose of this paper is to identify the impact of decentralization on the state of local budgets and to develop a scientific and methodological approach to assessing the level of financial decentralization of local budgets using the example of Ukraine for 2010–2019. The developed methodology consists of six successive stages. A comparative analysis of the dynamics of indicators of local budget execution in Ukraine in terms of revenues, expenditures and transfers using an integrated index obtained through taxonomic analysis is conducted. As a result of evaluating the effectiveness of the basic principles of financial decentralization, the expediency of calculating the integrated index of local budget financial decentralization is substantiated. This index is formed using intermediate indicators of autonomy to cover expenses and generate income both on the basis of own sources and taking into account the received state transfers for the implementation of their own and delegated powers of local governments. The implementation of the proposed method allow one to assess the levels of financial decentralization of local budgets to establish the degree of financial autonomy and financial self-sufficiency of the territories. The results obtained should be considered when determining the effectiveness of financial support for local budgets in the process of socio-economic development of regions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 92 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-74
Author(s):  
Mariana Melnyk ◽  
Iryna Leshchukh

The paper proposes a methodological approach to evaluating the impact of the transformation taking place in the economies of cities of regional significance (CRSs) on the socio-economic development of regions (oblasts). The analysis is conducted for cities of regional significance in the western part of Ukraine. The article emphasizes the asymmetry of regional socio-economic development as a result of the concentration of business activity and capital in the CRSs, a higher level of reception of growing direct foreign investment in the economies of CRSs compared to capital investment; a strong impact of structural changes in the economies of CRS on the Gross Regional Product (GRP). The authors found that the development of most CRSs was based on industrial production. Only half of the oblasts in Western Ukraine analyzed in the study showed evidence indicating that economies of their CRSs are undergoing a transformation towards service economy (which should correspond to the post-industrial development of the country).


At present, the socio-economic development of the subarctic territories is of primary importance, since they ensure security and stability of the national development. It is necessary to solve a complex task related to reforming the activities of public institutions that ensure stable development of the northern regions. To do this, the authors have performed the research aimed at deepening the knowledge of the functioning of formal and informal institutions, studying the characteristics of their interaction and influence on the development of the territories. The purpose of the study is to develop a methodological approach in order to assess the impact of institutional actors on the socio-economic development of the subarctic territories. This approach includes the analysis of the functions of institutions, identification of their incentive and disincentive effects, structuring parameters and indicators for each institution and working out of solutions aimed at the development of the region. The results of the study assessing the impact of institutions on the socio-economic development of the territory can be used by the authorities of the subarctic territories to address priority issues of regional development


Author(s):  
Olga Rudachenko ◽  
Tamara Klebanova

The article develops a mechanism for diagnosing crisis situations in the systems of socio-economic development of regions, the practical application of which allows to analyze the current state of regions to avoid negative consequences of crisis situations, prevent the crisis in time, forming a set of preventive measures to improve indicators of the country's efficiency. It is proved that the general socio-economic development of the country depends on regional development, so special attention is paid to this issue. However, regional development may have different strategies and directions, depending on the source data. It should be noted that in the formation of methods for assessing the effectiveness of socio-economic development of the region and the subsequent choice of effective methods of influencing the socio-economic development of the region it is necessary to objectively determine the priority direction of development of both country and region. Defining priorities in the socio-economic development of the region will allow to qualitatively determine preventive management measures. Many factors are considered in the formation of strategies and goal setting, such as the availability and specificity of natural resources, demographic situation, geographical location, production structure and specialization. The integral indicator of social and economic development of the country which gave the chance to reveal crisis situations in the country caused by a few external and internal factors is constructed in work. The current crisis situations were also confirmed by the indicators of the gross domestic product of the country. The share of each of the regions in the formation of GDP during periods of crisis in the country has been established. Among each of the considered years, which are defined as crisis years, the largest share in the formation of GDP is occupied by Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv and Kyiv regions. The mechanism of crisis diagnostics considered in the work allows to trace changes of influence of separate regions on formation of GDP. The mechanism also makes it possible to identify those regions that, in different circumstances, are in crisis and offer them a set of measures aimed at accelerating economic growth, including attracting foreign investment and creating new jobs. The result of such measures should be individual socio-economic development programs aimed at achieving regional and state goals, developed jointly with interested state and local authorities.


Author(s):  
A. I. Bizyaev ◽  
◽  
D. A. Maryasis ◽  

This paper evaluates the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on social and economic development of Israel. We begin with a short description of the state of affairs in Israel from social, economic and political points of view before the advent of pandemic. First, we analyze the role of ongoing Israeli political crisis in the current environment, describe leading political actors’ reaction and list some politically-destabilizing factors. We proceed with an analysis of COVID-19 impact on various economic branches and on Israeli economy as a whole. We provide estimates of adverse impact of the coronavirus on some important industries, such as tourism, energy, diamonds and air transport, supplemented by Bank of Israel economic forecast for post-crisis development. Additionally, we describe how high-tech sector as one of the drivers of Israeli economy is trying to adapt to the new environment brought by the pandemic. Despite the negative shocks on exports and labor markets, Israeli high-tech sector is flexible and ready to reorganize itself to better react for changing market conditions. This has already been reflected in the way how entrepreneurs and researchers are channeling their efforts into high-demand areas such as medicine and telecommunications, which in itself suggests existence of positive trends in the industry. We conclude our paper with a brief summary and a forecast of the development of Israeli economy. Despite diverse opinions on the efficiency of anti-crisis measures adopted by Israeli government, we admit that the current crisis is a substantial challenge for Israeli society but we also maintain that COVID-19 pandemic will not pose any existential threat to Israeli national economy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 63 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-37
Author(s):  
Lidia Mierzejewska ◽  
Jerzy Parysek

Abstract The complexity of the reality studied by geographical research requires applying such methods which allow describing the state of affairs and ongoing changes in the best possible way. This study aims to present a model of research on selected aspects of the dynamics and structure of socio-economic development. The idea was to determine whether we deal with the process of reducing or widening the differences in terms of individual features. The article primarily pursues a methodological goal, and to a lesser extent an empirical one. The methodological objective of the paper was to propose and verify a multi-aspect approach to the study of development processes. The analyses carried out reveal that in terms of the features taken into account in the set of 24 of the largest Polish cities the dominating processes are those increasing differences between cities, which are unfavourable in the context of the adopted development policies aiming at reducing the existing disparities. In relation to the methodological objective, the results of the conducted research confirm the rationale of the application of the measures of dynamics and the feature variance to determine the character (dynamics and structure) of the socio-economic development process of cities. Comparatively less effective, especially for interpretation, is the application of principal component analysis and a multivariate classification, which is mainly the result of differences in the variance of particular features.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 148-155
Author(s):  
K. N. Yusupov ◽  
V. M. Timiryanova, ◽  
Iu. S. Toktamysheva ◽  
A. F. Zimin,

The article presents a methodology for assessing the impact of spatial environment on the socioeconomic development of municipalities. It relies on existing tools for assessing the state and potential of the geographical location of municipalities. An integrated approach allows to determine the potential of the interaction of the municipality with the neighbors of the first and second order. The methodology was tested on statistical data on the Blagovarsky municipal district.


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