scholarly journals Elasticity and Buoyancy of Federal Taxes in Pakistan

1986 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syeda Fizza Gillani
Keyword(s):  
Federal Government ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Index Method ◽  
Tax System ◽  
Divisia Index ◽  
Adjustment Method ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Fiscal System ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Federal Taxes

This paper focuses on the revenue-expenditure activities of the federal government and evaluates the performance of the fiscal system on the basis of estimates of revenue productivity. Two methodologies for the estimation of the short-run and long-run elasticity and buoyancy for tax revenue are evaluated. It is found that the Divisia Index method is superior on both theoretical and practical grounds and the results obtained are substantiated by the proportional - adjustment method. The study finds that the built-in elasticity of Pakistan's tax system was greater than unity.

scholarly journals Tax Incidence by Income Classes in Pakistan

1989 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Hussain Malik ◽  
Najam Us Saqib
Keyword(s):  
Federal Government ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Tax Incidence ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Tax System ◽  
Indirect Taxes ◽  
Federal Taxes

In this study an attempt has been made to estimate the incidence of federal taxes, for the fiscal year 1978·79, on households belonging to different incomebrackets. All the major direct and indirect taxes have been studied. The tax system turns out to be slightly progressive for the country as a whole. For urban areas, it is slightly progressive, and for rural areas it is slightly regressive. Indirect taxes, a major source of the federal government tax revenue, are generally slightly regressive.

AN ANALYSIS OF THE MANAGEMENT OF FISCAL DEFICIT OF PAKISTAN: AN ECONOMETRIC STUDY OF AUTO-REGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTIVE LAGS (ARDL) APPROACH

2018 ◽  
pp. 1-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
KHURRAM EJAZ CHANDIA ◽  
MUHAMMAD BADAR IQBAL ◽  
SAIRA AZIZ ◽  
IFRA GUL ◽  
BINESH SARWAR
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Federal Government ◽  
Government Expenditures ◽  
Fiscal Deficit ◽  
Policy Reforms ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive

Fiscal policy is an essential ingredient of economic performance. The fiscal policy is considered as a short-run measure; however, this has long-lasting outcomes for any economy. The current study has examined the connection among different constituents of fiscal policy, i.e., federal government revenues and federal government expenditures; federal government revenues and different components of federal government expenditures; federal government expenditures and different components of federal government revenues and fiscal deficit and influential budgetary variables in the context of the economy of Pakistan. The study has empirically investigated the relationship among the budgetary variables for Pakistan from 1979 to 2017. For data analysis, time-series econometric techniques such as auto-regressive distributive lag (ARDL) approach and Granger causality test have been employed. The results of ARDL bounds test approach suggest the existence of long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables. The result of CUSUM and CUSUMSQ shows the stability of functional relationship tested in this study, which means that model is a useful instrument for policymaking. So, a rise or fall in budgetary variables causes changes in fiscal deficit in long run. The results of study endorse the proof of spent-and-tax hypothesis in the economy of Pakistan. The study suggests the need for extensive fiscal policy reforms in Pakistan.

scholarly journals Taxation, government spending and economic growth: The case of Bulgaria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 255-266
Author(s):  
G. Ganchev ◽  
◽  
I. Todorov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this article is to estimate the impact of three fiscal instruments (direct taxes, indirect taxes, and government expenditure) on Bulgaria’s economic growth. The study employs an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) and Eurostat quarterly seasonally adjusted data for the period 1999–2020. Four control variables (the shares of gross capital formation, household consumption, and exports in GDP as well as the economic growth in the euro area) are included in the model to account for the influence of non-fiscal factors on Bulgaria’s real GDP growth rate. The empirical results indicate a long-run equilibrium relationship between Bulgaria’s economic growth and the independent variables in the ARDL. In the short term, Bulgaria’s real GDP growth rate is affected by its own past values and the previous values of the shares of direct tax revenue, exports, government consumption, and indirect tax revenue in GDP. In the long term, Bulgaria’s economic growth is influenced by its own previous values and the past values of the share of household consumption in GDP and the euro area’s real GDP growth rate. Fiscal instruments can be used to stabilize Bulgaria’s growth in the short run but they are neutral in the long run. The direct tax revenue, government consumption, and indirect tax revenue are highly effective and can be used as tools for invigorating and stabilizing Bulgaria’s economic growth in the short run. However, in the long term, the real GDP growth rate can be hastened only by encouraging domestic demand (final consumption expenditure of households) and promoting exports. This research cannot answer the question of whether flat income taxation stabilizes the economy or not, since it does not separate the impact of tax rate changes from the influence of tax base modifications.

scholarly journals Analysis of Indonesian Tax Revenue

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (01) ◽  
pp. 71
Author(s):  
Amalia Wijayanti ◽  
Firmansyah Firmansyah
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

<p>This study analyzes the long-run and short-run effect of macroeconomic factors, such as real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation rate, exchange rate and government spending on Indonesia’s tax revenue during 1976-2013, by utilizing the Error Correction Model (ECM). The finding of the study demontrates that in the long-run; the real GDP, exchange rate, and government spending affect Indonesia’s tax revenue, except the inflation rate. In short-run, Indonesia’s tax revenue statisically affected by government spending, while others variable do not influence Indonesia’s tax revenue. Error Correction Term (ECT) coefficient is 0.221, explains incompatibility tax revenue occur in long-run is corrected of 22 percent in one period.</p><p><br />JEL Classification: E01, E20, H20<br />Keywords: Error Correction Model, Macroeconomic, Tax revenue</p>

Government revenue and economic growth of Pakistan (1979 – 2017)

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wajahat Rehman ◽  
Raza Ali Khan ◽  
Shazia Kousar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Government Revenue ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Revenue Sources ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

The study is conducted to identify the relationship between economic growth of Pakistan and government revenue sources – i.e. Tax Revenue, Non-tax Revenue and Additional Receipts, while measuring the change in economic development occurs due to change in government revenue sources in short-run as well as in long-run. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) is performed on time series secondary data for the period from 1979 to 2017 and a forecasting model is developed to anticipate change in economic growth due to change in government revenue sources. Results concluded that Tax Revenue has positive significant relationship and Additional Receipts have negative significant relationship, however, Non-tax Revenue has positive insignificant relationship with economic growth of Pakistan in long-run, whereas no short-run relationship is identified among dependent and independent variables. The analysis indicated that 1% change in Tax Revenue results in 1.24% change in economic growth in the same direction, whereas 1% change in Additional Receipts results in 0.18% change in opposite direction in economic growth of Pakistan in long-run. However, evidences showed that in recent years, government has increased its dependency on the Additional Receipts as compared to Tax Revenue and Non-tax Revenue. For prosper and accelerated economic growth, it is suggested that policy makers should focus on increasing the revenue collection from Tax Revenue sources since economic growth of Pakistan is positively influenced by Tax Revenue and minimize dependency on the Additional Receipts as it hinders the economic growth. Proposed forecasting model provides promising results and projected the gross domestic product (GDP) for year 2018 with mare 0.32% and 4.44% deviation in logarithm value and rupee values, respectively.

scholarly journals Seigniorage Revenue, Inflation Tax and Indian Economy: A Cointegration Analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-15
Author(s):  
Md. Samsur Jaman
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Indian Economy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Nominal Interest Rates ◽  
Time Series Dataset ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Inflation Tax ◽  
Short Run

The aim of this paper is to test the relationship between seigniorage revenue, inflation tax and interest rates for Indian Economy. For this purpose, we estimate the Mankiw’s optimal seigniorage model by using time series dataset for the time period 1970-2015 for Indian Economy with the cointegration and vector error correction methods (VECM). According to estimated econometric results, there is a significant relationship between inflation, nominal interest rates and tax revenue in the long run. However, in short run there is a causality relationship from nominal interest rates and inflation to tax revenue and tax revenue to nominal interest rates. Thus, this study suggests that in the long run higher tax rates are associated with lower inflation rates and lower nominal interest rates for Indian Economy

scholarly journals Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure in Sri Lanka: An Econometric AEG Testing Approach

2016 ◽  
Vol 66 ◽  
pp. 31-37 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.L.M. Aslam
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Independent Variable ◽  
The Government ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Cointegration Relationship

In the global economic administration, tax revenue has been identified as the engine of the government expenditure, but the relationship of them was not investigated econometrically, this situation formulated a research gap for tasting the relationship of them. The aim of this study was to examine the Cointegration relationship among the tax revenue and the government expenditure in Sri Lanka. This study considered two time series variables such as the tax revenue and the government expenditure. The tax revenue was considered as the independent variable and the government expenditure was considered as the dependent variable. The sample period of this study was from 1950 to 2013.The Cointegration technique was used to check the long run relationship and the Error Correction Mechanism was employed to investigate the short run behavior of the tax revenue on the government expenditure. According to the empirical results, the R-squared of the estimated model was 0.99. In the meantime, the Durbin Watson statistics was 0.828. However, this model did not suffer from the spurious problem because the residual of this model was stationary. The tax revenue has sustained positive relationship with government expenditure. And also, the partial coefficients of tax revenue and its probability values in the estimated model were 0.695 (0.000) in short run and 1.031 (0.000) in long run periods. Therefore, the tax revenue and government expenditure had cointegrated at level form I(0) and maintained the long and short run relationship between them.

scholarly journals Tax Buoyancy and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence of Bulgaria

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 236-248
Author(s):  
S. Tanchev ◽  
◽  
I. Todorov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Social Security ◽  
Income Tax ◽  
Personal Income ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Personal Income Tax ◽  
Corporate Tax ◽  
Social Security Contributions ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

The study analyzes the long-run and short-run tax buoyancies of Bulgaria and their relationship with Bulgaria’s economic growth. The buoyancy measures the response of tax revenue to changes in economic growth. The buoyancy indicates whether collectability of the tax on income, profit, and consumption increases. The object of this study is the collectability of aggregate tax revenues and of the revenues from different types of taxes – value added tax, personal income tax, corporate tax and social security contributions in Bulgaria. The subject of the study is the relationship of different tax revenues with economic growth. The research methods employed are the fully modified least squares (FMOLS) and autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL). The research covers the period from the first quarter of 1999 to the second quarter of 2017 and uses the Eurostat data (78 observations). The study aims to show which type of revenues (from direct or from indirect taxes) is more important for Bulgaria’s state budget. It is shown that the buoyancies of aggregate tax revenue, personal income tax and social security contributions significantly differ from one another in the long-run. The buoyancies of the value-added tax and the corporate tax are above one in the long run. In the short-run the buoyancy of the aggregate tax revenues, the corporate tax, the income tax and the social security contributions are different from one. The short-run buoyancy of VAT exceeds one, hence dynamics of VAT revenues is sustainable. The collectability of the aggregate tax revenue, personal income tax and social security contributions has increased neither in the long run nor in the short run. It is therefore recommended that inefficient taxes, whose collectability does not increase, be reformed.

scholarly journals Dynamics of Public Policy on Economic Activity: The Case of Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 230-241
Author(s):  
Saima Shafique ◽  
M. Mansoor Ali ◽  
Anwar-ul Mujahid Shah ◽  
Seema Zubair
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Government Expenditures ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Aggregate Output ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Tax Shocks ◽  
Vector Auto Regression ◽  
Auto Regression ◽  
Structural Vector

The unanticipated domestic and international changes in conjunction with policy discretion become reason for shocks to overall economy that affect overall economic growth. Based on methodology by Blanchard and Perotti (2002) the study used timing of fiscal decisions in a Structural Vector Auto-Regression (SVAR) to map dynamics of shocks due to tax revenue, government expenditures and aggregate output in Pakistan. When tax decisions precede expenditure decision, the tax shocks have a volatile short run impact causing expenditures to sharply adjust. Expenditure shocks persistently increase tax revenues and government expenditures. But in the second specification, expenditure shocks reduce the tax revenue and aggregate output that reverts to equilibrium only in the long run. The response of output shocks is almost identical for both the scenarios. Therefore, growth in output increases taxes collection in Pakistan enabling better management of burden of debt and deficit.

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