scholarly journals Demand Analysis Models for Passenger Air Transportation

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 134-144
Author(s):  
V. E. Zhukov
Keyword(s):  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Expert Knowledge ◽  
Demand Management ◽  
Demand Forecasting ◽  
Air Transportation ◽  
Demand Analysis ◽  
Air Transport ◽  
Demand Forecast ◽  
Route Network ◽  
Transport Services

Analysis of demand for air transportation is a key business process around which each airline develops strategic and operational plans. Based on the demand forecast, strategic plans for development of the airline’s route network are developed, as well as budgeting, financial planning, sales and marketing plans, aircraft fleet planning, risk assessment and plans to overcome their consequences. Demand analysis also facilitates important management activities, such as decision-making, performance evaluation, and reasonable allocation of resources in specific and uncertain conditions for development of the air transport system. Based on the specific requirements of the airline or in relation to a specific airline, an individual demand forecasting model can be developed. Such a model is an extension or a combination of various qualitative and quantitative methods for forecasting demand. The task of developing a custom model is often iterative, highly detailed, and driven by expert knowledge and can be accomplished by introducing suitable demand management software. The task stated in the article is not a staging task for building a model, but only offers to study the available theoretical material for the analysis of demand for air transportation based on the most famous models for forecasting demand for transportation. The method of scientific research of the problem posed in the article is the method of scientific analysis of existing models. Offer and demand for air transport services are reciprocal but asymmetric. Although the realized demand for transportation cannot take place without an appropriate level of supply, an air transport service can exist without appropriate demand. This is often found in projects that are developed with a margin that meets the expected level of demand, which may or may not be realized, or it may take several years to be realized. Regular air transport services form a supply that exists even if demand is insufficient. Several models presented in the article emphasize the conditions in which there is supply saturation, and on the other hand, the models in which demand is formed due to the mutual attractiveness of the entities that form demand are considered.

scholarly journals Economic and geographic factors of development of air transport and accessibility of passenger air transportation in the Republic of Belarus

2020 ◽  
pp. 47-59
Author(s):  
Ekaterina A. Antipova ◽  
Tat’yana V. Slivinskaya
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Analysis ◽  
Air Transportation ◽  
Transport Infrastructure ◽  
Air Transport ◽  
Geographic Factors ◽  
Transport Services ◽  
Potential Development ◽  
Intensive Use ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Regional Airports

The article is devoted to the identification and analysis of economic and geographical factors in the development of air transport and their impact on the level of accessibility of passenger air transportation in the Republic of Belarus for the period from 2005 to 2017. The relevance of the study of the air transport development factors in Belarus is due to the geographical specificity of the country and the lack of domestic research on similar subjects in recent decades. On the basis of correlation analysis, the authour’s grouping of factors of the development of air transport has been proposed with the identification of the main, secondary and minor, which served as the basis for identifying the differentiation of administrative regions of Belarus by the level of accessibility of passenger air transportation. The results indicate that 40 % of the administrative regions or about 50 % of the population are characterised by limited abilities to consume air transport services, which requires diversification of the number of carriers and more intensive use of the existing air transport infrastructure. Based on this, special attention is paid to the use of the capabilities of regional airports and the potential development of domestic regional air traffic. These proposals will increase the availability of passenger air transportation, which will reduce up to 10 % the share of the population with disabilities in the consumption of air transport services.

scholarly journals Analisis Kesehatan Kerja Personel di Lingkungan Bandar Udara Tjilik Riwut - Palangkaraya

WARTA ARDHIA ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 233
Author(s):  
Yuke Sri Rizki ◽  
Jenni Sartika Dimanik
Keyword(s):  
Factor Analysis ◽  
Human Resources ◽  
Air Transportation ◽  
Transport Infrastructure ◽  
Air Transport ◽  
Protective Equipment ◽  
Transportation Demand ◽  
Significant Function ◽  
Direct Observations ◽  
Transport Services

Air transportation demand is continously increase. Therefore airports as air transport infrastructure has a significant function in providing the facilities and human resources for the operation of air transport services. This research concern to analyse the personnel occupation health for human resources and personnel involved in the airport operation. This assessment uses a qualitative approach, which at the end of the analysis produces conclusions and recommendations addressed to the personne / officers and airport organizer related to the development of occupational health personnel, especially the activity at the air side of the airport. From the results of data collection and direct observations the peronnel health conditions in the area airside and equipment / protective equipment are pretty well. From the analysis of the factor analysis, there are four (4) factors from (10) existing indicators to explain 66.203% of the total variance. This presentage is quite high because it is able to explain more than 50% of the variance of the ten (10) existing indicators. Keywords: airport, personnel health, factor analysis. Transportasi udara pada saat ini semakin banyak diminati masyarakat. Oleh karena itu bandar udara sebagai prasarana penerbangan memiliki fungsi yang sangat penting dalam menyediakan fasilitas dan SDM untuk pengoperasian angkutan udara. Banyaknya SDM dan petugas yang terlibat pekerjaan di lingkungan bandara menjadikan masalah kesehatan kerja di lingkungan bandara sangat perlu diperhatikan. Tujuan pengkajian ini adalah untuk mengetahui kondisi kesehatan kerja personel yang bekerja di bandar udara. Pengkajian ini menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif, dimana pada akhir analisis menghasilkan kesimpulan dan rekomendasi yang ditujukan kepada personel/ petugas dan penyelenggara bandar udara terkait peningkatan kesehatan kerja personel yang khususnya beraktifitas di sisi udara bandar udara. Dari hasil pengumpulan data dan pengamatan langsung yang dilakukan dapat diketahui secara garis besar kondisi kesehatan personel di area airside dan perlengkapan/peralatan pelindung bagi personel cukup baik. Dari hasil analisis dengan analisa faktor terbentuk 4 (empat) faktor dari 10 (sepuluh) indikator yang ada dan mampu menjelaskan 66,203% dari total varian. Angka ini cukup besar karena mampu menjelaskan lebih dari 50% varian dari 10 (sepuluh) indikator yang ada. Kata kunci: bandar udara, kesehatan personil, analisis faktor.

scholarly journals Kajian Evaluasi Pengoperasian Angkutan Pemadu Moda Di Bandara Hang Nadim Batam

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 188
Author(s):  
Rosita Sinaga ◽  
Rita Rita
Keyword(s):  
Motor Vehicle ◽  
Air Transportation ◽  
Air Transport ◽  
Human Settlements ◽  
Transport Services

Ha11g Nadim Airport began operations on August 9, 1965, located in Big Stone area about 20 km from downtown Batam can accommodate 18 (eighteen) wide-bodied aircraft like Boeing 767 and has the lo11gest runway in Indonesia which is 4025 meters. Movement of passengers 011 m.•erage 6,000 people/day, with 42 flights/day. To improve air transport services after getting of the plane tawards the ultimate goal, the Hang Nadim Airport in cooperation with PT. Dmnri in order to improve services, especially for passenger air transportation that will melajutkan journey towards the ultimate goal in Batam that is by adding alloying modes of transport other than taxis and motor vehicle (motorcycle taxis). Damri buses started operating on December 5, 2008, and is still running but not according to what was expected because as the location of parking too far from the gate making it difficult for passengers to board buses and schedules refe1Ted to (headway) and things that can diapstikan this is because the number of bus fleet is too small. To peninkgatan services necessary to the addition of the bus fleet and the addition of routes I new routes, especially to human settlements in the area of Batam.

scholarly journals Scientific and practical aspects of airport activities management mechanism formation within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Union

Upravlenie ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 15-23
Author(s):  
T. M. Gainochenko
Keyword(s):  
Demand Management ◽  
Natural Monopoly ◽  
Integrated System ◽  
Air Transport ◽  
Economic Regulation ◽  
Member States ◽  
Management Platform ◽  
Eurasian Economic Union ◽  
Transport Services ◽  
Economic Union

The article analyses the current practice of economic regulation of airport activities of the member states of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). The author concludes, that the demand management tools available to the air transport market entities of the EAEU member states are limited. In order to eliminate this limitation, the paper proposes the idea of an integrated information management platform for marketing management in public-private partnership with a shift in focus towards the demand for transport services. The study formulates the main tasks, that such a platform should solve, as follows: 1) managing the flight schedule of airlines and the work of railway and bus operators at the airports of the EAEU member states; 2) the management of a database on the demand for air transport services from tourist operators, as well as enterprises involved in the organization and holding of exhibitions, conferences, cultural events; 3) the management of an integrated system for offering air transport services for cargo and mail delivery. The paper gives recommendations for the formation of a single transport space of the EAEU member states through a digital decision-making system for assessing the economic potential of airports. In the course of the study, the author clarifies the concepts of "natural monopoly" and "competitive market".

scholarly journals How does the built environment affect transit use by train, tram and bus?

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 625-650
Author(s):  
Chris De Gruyter ◽  
Tayebeh Saghapour ◽  
Liang Ma ◽  
Jago Dodson
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Built Environment ◽  
Public Transport ◽  
Demand Management ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Demand Forecasting ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Transport Services ◽  
Transit Ridership ◽  
Transit Use

While much research has explored the influence of the built environment on public transport use, little focus has been given to how this influence varies by public transport mode. Using a case study of Melbourne, this study assesses the influence of the built environment and other characteristics (transit service quality, demand management and socio-demographics) on commuting by train, tram and bus. Key findings indicate that the built environment has a significant influence, but with notable differences between individual public transport modes. Commuting by tram was found to have the strongest association with the explanatory variables, while bus had the weakest explanatory power. Differences in the geographical coverage of public transport services in Melbourne play a key role in explaining the influence of the built environment. Population density is positively associated with tram use, which operates in older, higher density environments, but is negatively associated with train and bus use. Furthermore, the association with land-use mix is only significant for train and tram use, as buses tend to operate in areas with greater land-use homogeneity. When focused on inner Melbourne only, the influence of the built environment is diluted, while distance to public transport becomes more significant. The findings have important implications for practice, not only in terms of improving transit demand forecasting but also in targeting changes to the built environment to leverage higher transit ridership by mode.

Pelayanan PT. Lion Mentari Air Rute Jakarta - Yogyakarta

WARTA ARDHIA ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 261-275
Author(s):  
Lukiana Lukiana
Keyword(s):  
Customer Satisfaction ◽  
Industrial Development ◽  
Air Transportation ◽  
Air Transport ◽  
Service Users ◽  
Average Performance ◽  
Satisfaction Index ◽  
Minimum Standards ◽  
Transport Services ◽  
Service Standards

The growth number of passenger of air transportation increased rapidly as an indicator of industrial development of air transport services must be balanced with the service and information from the airlines' services to service users in order to feel the services delivered as expected. Airline companies should be able to provide services as required passengers who have different characters. Services provided by the airlines in carrying out its activities are divided into 3 (three) groups: service with a maximum standards (full service), service with a medium standards (medium service) and services with minimum standards (no frills). Passengers PT. Lion Mentari Air Jakarta – Yogyakarta route with minimum service standards (no frills) is a sample in this study. The results of calculations using the average performance (X) 3.56 and the average expectation of passengers(Y) 4.45 indicating that the performance of PT. Lion Mentari Air is still low compared with the expectations of passengers. The results of the analysis of customer satisfaction index of 17 indicators of service provided through the 71.14% scored less satisfactorily interpreted so that the performance of PT. Lion Air still needs refinement and improvement.

Elicitation of expert knowledge to develop decision support tools for use in water demand management planning

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 53-60
Author(s):  
D. Inman ◽  
D. Simidchiev ◽  
P. Jeffrey
Keyword(s):  
Decision Support ◽  
Water Demand ◽  
Expert Knowledge ◽  
Demand Management ◽  
Decision Processes ◽  
Conservation Strategy ◽  
Influence Diagrams ◽  
Decision Support Tools ◽  
Water Demand Management ◽  
Support Tools

This paper examines the use of influence diagrams (IDs) in water demand management (WDM) strategy planning with the specific objective of exploring how IDs can be used in developing computer-based decision support tools (DSTs) to complement and support existing WDM decision processes. We report the results of an expert consultation carried out in collaboration with water industry specialists in Sofia, Bulgaria. The elicited information is presented as influence diagrams and the discussion looks at their usefulness in WDM strategy design and the specification of suitable modelling techniques. The paper concludes that IDs themselves are useful in developing model structures for use in evidence-based reasoning models such as Bayesian Networks, and this is in keeping with the objectives set out in the introduction of integrating DSTs into existing decision processes. The paper will be of interest to modellers, decision-makers and scientists involved in designing tools to support resource conservation strategy implementation.

scholarly journals Automotive OEM Demand Forecasting: A Comparative Study of Forecasting Algorithms and Strategies

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 6787
Author(s):  
Jože M. Rožanec ◽  
Blaž Kažič ◽  
Maja Škrjanc ◽  
Blaž Fortuna ◽  
Dunja Mladenić
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Automotive Industry ◽  
Demand Management ◽  
Demand Forecasting ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Forecast Errors ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Case Scenario ◽  
Crucial Component

Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management, directly impacting manufacturing companies’ planning, revenues, and actors through the supply chain. We evaluate 21 baseline, statistical, and machine learning algorithms to forecast smooth and erratic demand on a real-world use case scenario. The products’ data were obtained from a European original equipment manufacturer targeting the global automotive industry market. Our research shows that global machine learning models achieve superior performance than local models. We show that forecast errors from global models can be constrained by pooling product data based on the past demand magnitude. We also propose a set of metrics and criteria for a comprehensive understanding of demand forecasting models’ performance.

The effects of airline strategies on environmental sustainability

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gamze Orhan
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Impacts ◽  
Environmental Effects ◽  
Environmental Sustainability ◽  
Corporate Sustainability ◽  
Air Transportation ◽  
Air Transport ◽  
Business Strategies ◽  
Emission Rates ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose Deregulation of domestic markets and the liberalization of international markets have dramatically changed air transportation. One of the important results of this change is the environmental effects of air transportation. This study aims to examine the implications of air transportation on environmental sustainability in the context of airline business strategies in liberalized and globalized air transport industry. Design/methodology/approach The paper discusses the relationship between liberalization, airline strategies and environmental sustainability of air transportation using the related literature. Then, to show some environmental impacts on the axis of the relationship discussed, emission rates for the aircraft landing and take-off phase were calculated on a global basis based on the aircraft traffic. Findings The discussion in the paper shows that the liberalization policies and the strategies of airlines supported by these policies, in essence, contradict the environmental sustainability of air transport. Considering the flight share projections of EUROCONTROL for different aircraft types on a global basis and the World Bank’s global flight traffic forecast for the years 2016 and 2025, it has been demonstrated that the number of aircraft departures will increase by 30%, whilst the number of aircraft emissions will increase by 41.5%. Practical implications Airlines are one of the main actors that will play a role in reducing the environmental impacts of air transportation. Therefore, this study is important in giving an idea to both policymakers and airline managers on how airline companies’ strategies should be shaped to realize both corporate sustainability and environmentally sustainable air transportation. Originality/value There are many studies in the literature regarding the environmental effects of air transport. However, there are not many studies linking environmental impacts with airline strategies that directly affect air transport demand. This study is different in that it gives environmental sustainability by associating it with its root causes.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document