scholarly journals Stop Suffering! Economic Downturns and Pentecostal Upsurge

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisco J M Costa ◽  
Angelo Marcantonio Junior ◽  
Rudi Rocha
Keyword(s):  
Vote Share ◽  
Direct Link ◽  
Religious Groups ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
Economic Distress ◽  
Economic Downturns ◽  
Pentecostal Churches

This paper estimates the effects of economic downturns on the expansion of Pentecostal Evangelicalism in Brazil. We find that regions more exposed to economic distress experienced a persistent rise both in Pentecostal affiliation and in the vote share of candidates connected to Pentecostal churches in national legislative elections. Once elected, these politicians carried out an agenda with greater emphasis on issues that are sensitive to fundamental religious principles. These results uncover a direct link between economic distress and a sustained entrenchment of more fundamentalist religious groups in a contemporary democracy.

Voters reward hard-working MPs: empirical evidence from the French legislative elections

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 469-483 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abel François ◽  
Julien Navarro
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Political System ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Electoral System ◽  
Vote Share ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
National Assembly ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Legislative Election

AbstractThis paper studies the relationship between incumbent MPs’ activities and their electoral fortune. We address this question in the context of the French political system characterized by an executive domination, a candidate-centered electoral system, and an electoral schedule maximizing the impact of the presidential elections. Given the contradictory influence of these three institutional features on the relationship between MPs’ activities and electoral results, the overall link can only be assessed empirically. We test the effects of several measurements of MPs’ activities on both their vote share and reelection probability in the 2007 legislative election. We show that MPs’ activities are differently correlated to both the incumbents’ vote shares in the first round and their reelection. Despite the weakness of the French National Assembly, several parliamentary activities, especially bill initiation, have a significant effect on MPs’ electoral prospects.

How opposition parties sustain single-party dominance

2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 262-273 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Ziegfeld ◽  
Maya Tudor
Keyword(s):  
Quantitative Analysis ◽  
Political Parties ◽  
Electoral Systems ◽  
Vote Share ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
Dominant Party ◽  
Party Dominance ◽  
Crucial Part ◽  
Opposition Parties

When elections are free and fair, why do some political parties rule for prolonged periods of time? Most explanations for single-party dominance focus on the dominant party’s origins, resources, or strategies. In this article, we show how opposition parties can undermine or sustain single-party dominance. Specifically, opposition parties should be central in explaining single-party dominance in countries with highly disproportional electoral systems and a dominant party whose vote share falls short of a popular majority. Employing a quantitative analysis of Indian legislative elections as well as a paired case study, we show that opposition coordination plays a crucial part in undermining single-party dominance.

Medicaid Access During Economic Distress: Lessons Learned From the Great Recession

2020 ◽  
pp. 107755872090923 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Benitez ◽  
Victoria Perez ◽  
Eric Seiber
Keyword(s):  
Great Recession ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
Eligibility Criteria ◽  
The Public ◽  
Economic Distress ◽  
The Great Recession ◽  
Medicaid Enrollment ◽  
Economic Downturns ◽  
Medicaid Eligibility ◽  
New Evidence

Medicaid enrollment increases during economic downturns which imply households using the public health insurance program during coverage gaps due to job loss. However, we provide new evidence demonstrating that the Medicaid program’s countercyclical protections against economic downturns are largely concentrated in states with more generous Medicaid eligibility criteria for adults. We exploit the timing of the 2007-2009 Great Recession to compare trends in recession-linked Medicaid enrollment between states with more generous Medicaid eligibility guidelines and states with more restrictive guidelines. For similar effects of the recession, Medicaid enrollment grew larger states in with more generous Medicaid programs. Our work suggests for every 100 people becoming unemployed in states with a restrictive Medicaid program, about 96 would be uninsured, and about 11 would enroll in Medicaid. Conversely, about 49 would be uninsured in a state with more generous Medicaid guidelines and 57 would enroll in Medicaid.

When Does Information Influence Voters? The Joint Importance of Salience and Coordination

2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (6) ◽  
pp. 851-891 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claire Adida ◽  
Jessica Gottlieb ◽  
Eric Kramon ◽  
Gwyneth McClendon
Keyword(s):  
Field Experiment ◽  
Vote Share ◽  
Electoral Behavior ◽  
Voter Behavior ◽  
Access To Information ◽  
Performance Information ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
Electoral District ◽  
Legislative Performance

Scholars argue that access to information about a politician’s programmatic performance helps voters reward good performers and punish poor ones. But in places where resources are made conditional on collective electoral behavior, voters may not want to defect to vote for a strong legislative performer if they do not believe that others will. We argue that two conditions must hold for information about politician performance to affect voter behavior: Voters must care about the information and believe that others in their constituency care as well. In a field experiment around legislative elections in Benin, voters rewarded good programmatic performance only when information was both made relevant to voters and widely disseminated within the electoral district. Otherwise, access to positive legislative performance information actually lowered vote share for the incumbent’s party. These results demonstrate the joint importance of Salience and voter coordination in shaping information’s impact in clientelistic democracies.

Catholic religious identity, prosocial and pro-environmental behaviors, and connectedness to nature in Chile

2021 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-50
Author(s):  
Alexander Neaman ◽  
Pablo Díaz-Siefer ◽  
Elliot Burnham ◽  
Mónica Castro ◽  
Sarah Zabel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Religious Identity ◽  
Catholic Church ◽  
Environmental Behavior ◽  
Catholic Identity ◽  
Direct Link ◽  
Religious Groups ◽  
Environmental Behaviors ◽  
Connectedness To Nature ◽  
Catholic University ◽  
The Catholic Church

Prosociality (caring for one another) has been identified as a correlate of pro-environmental behavior. While our study affirmed the role of the Catholic Church in teaching prosociality, it did not reveal any direct link between Catholic identity and pro-environmental behavior. By incorporating environmental education into its teaching, the Catholic Church might promote environmentalism and inspire followers to take a leap towards their “ecological conversion”.Catholic religious groups have historically been underrepresented in environ mental movements. On the other hand, researchers have sought for decades to understand the factors that determine pro-environmental behavior. In this paper, data were obtained from two studies capturing different sample populations in Chile. The objective of the first study was to explore the interconnection of the Catholic religious identity, prosocial and pro-environmental behaviors. The objective of the second study was to explore the interconnection of the Catholic religious identity, pro-environmental behavior and connectedness to nature. Participants were students at a Catholic university and members of the general public. The findings demonstrate that Catholic identity positively correlated with prosocial behavior, which in turn positively correlated with pro-environmental behavior. However, we found no direct link between Catholic identity and pro-environmental behavior. Likewise, self-reporting Catholic individuals scored significantly lower on the scale of connectedness to nature, in comparison with nonreligious persons. Finally, the surveys revealed that connectedness to nature positively correlated with pro-environmental behavior.

Seizing the Opportunity: Euroscepticism and Extremist Party Success in the Post-Maastricht Era

2012 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
pp. 544-573 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renee L. Buhr
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Theoretical Model ◽  
Vote Share ◽  
Supply Side ◽  
Demand Side ◽  
Political Opportunity ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
Member States ◽  
Eu Member States ◽  
Eu Integration

AbstractCan extremist parties benefit from a backlash against European Union integration? A theoretical model that integrates demand-side, supply-side and political opportunity space explanations for extremist party success is used here in an effort to predict the conditions under which extremist parties may have utilized increased public discontent with EU integration to increase their vote share in national legislative elections. The plausibility of the model is then tested against the evidence in 14 EU member states from 1992 to 2006, with the use of matrices and political opportunity space maps. In the majority of the elections examined, extremist parties increased their vote share in circumstances fitting the theoretical model.

scholarly journals Assessing the Strength of Pentecostal Churches’ Electoral Support: Evidence from Brazil

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 3-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fábio Lacerda
Keyword(s):  
Regression Models ◽  
Statistical Relationship ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Qualitative Evidence ◽  
Electoral Support ◽  
Pentecostal Churches ◽  
State Legislative ◽  
The Church ◽  
Support Evidence

Since the 1980s, the number of Pentecostal candidates elected to the Brazilian legislatures has grown remarkably. Literature has argued that the phenomenon is related to Pentecostal churches’ support for particular candidates. To date, however, this claim has been based only on ethnographies or studies relying on a few cases of elected candidates. Drawing from a new data set of Evangelical (Protestant) candidates for the Federal Chamber of Deputies and state legislative assemblies, I try to answer the following questions: Do Pentecostal candidates raise fewer campaign resources than other candidates? What is the effect of being a Pentecostal candidate on the vote in Brazilian legislative elections? Is the structure of the church relevant to this effect? Using OLS regression models, I show that being a Pentecostal has a negative, though not significant effect on campaign spending. Additionally, there is a positive statistical relationship between being a Pentecostal and receiving votes, and between having the support of more centralized churches and receiving votes. Qualitative evidence of six Pentecostal politicians who lost their churches’ support at some point between elections, attempted reelection, and performed considerably worse than before reinforces the importance of having the support of a Pentecostal church.

The Relationship between Seats and Votes in Multiparty Systems

2012 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 400-416 ◽  
Author(s):  
Drew A. Linzer
Keyword(s):  
Compositional Data ◽  
Finite Mixture Model ◽  
The United States ◽  
Vote Share ◽  
Electoral Rules ◽  
Popular Vote ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
Party Vote Shares ◽  
Number Of Parties ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship between a party's popular vote share and legislative seat share—its seats—votes swing ratio—is a key characteristic of democratic representation. This article introduces a general approach to estimating party-specific swing ratios in multiparty legislative elections, given results from only a single election. I estimate the joint density of party vote shares across districts using a finite mixture model for compositional data and then computationally evaluate this distribution to produce parties' expected change in legislative seats for plausible changes in their vote share. The method easily extends to systems with any number of parties, employing both majoritarian and proportional electoral rules. Applications to legislative elections in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and Botswana demonstrate how parties' swing ratios vary both within countries and over time, indicating that parties under majoritarian electoral rules are subject to unique and possibly divergent geographic—political constraints.

Gadodiamide, NSF: Direct Link Identified

2007 ◽  
Vol 38 (12) ◽  
pp. 37 ◽  
Author(s):  
HANNAH BROWN
Keyword(s):  
Direct Link
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document