Predictive estimates of subsidence of the earth’s surface during the development of the Yamburgskoye oil and gas condensate field
The production of hydrocarbons is associated with a change in the physical and mechanical properties of oil and gas reservoirs under the influence of rock and reservoir pressures. Deformation of the reservoir due to a drop in reservoir pressure leads to the formation of various natural and man-made geodynamic and geomechanical phenomena, one of which is the formation of a subsidence trough of the earth's surface, which leads to a violation of the stability of field technological objects.In order to ensure geodynamic safety, a set of works is used, which includes analysis of geological and field indicators and geological and tectonic models of the field, interpretation of aerospace photographs, identification of active faults, construction of a predictive model of subsidence of the earth's surface of the field with identification of zones of geodynamic risk.This work was carried out to assess the predicted parameters of rock displacement processes during field development; even insignificant disturbances in the operation of technological equipment caused by deformation processes can cause significant damage.Prediction of rock displacements is possible only on the basis of a reservoir deformation model that adequately reflects the geomechanical and geodynamic processes occurring in the subsoil. The article presents a model of reservoir deformation with a drop in reservoir pressure, describes its numerical implementation, and performs calculations of schemes for typical development conditions.