Russian Economy in the Context of World Trends

2015 ◽  
pp. 32-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Zamaraev ◽  
A. Kiyutsevskaya

Analyzing the changes of key macroeconomic indicators in the context of global trends, the authors conclude that the prolonged stagnation of the Russian economy, deeply integrated into global economic processes, is a natural consequence of weakening its competitiveness and reducing investment attractiveness. “Moderately tight” monetary policy conducted against the background of large-scale monetary expansion in developed countries has made its contribution.

2021 ◽  
Vol 144 (5) ◽  
pp. 96-101
Author(s):  
Viktor Yu. Tatuzov ◽  

The author suggests a non-customary approach to the study and forecasting of the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and the Global Value Chains (GVC) — within the modern framework of Kondratieff long waves hypothesis. Taking into account long waves (about 40 years), in 2009 the author warned about the possible economic crises in Russia in 2014–2015,2020 and such crises actually happened. There were three economic crises in Russia — 40 years after the world economic crises of 1969, 1974–1975 and 1980. The question is raised about the large-scale spread of COVID-19. Also the author concludes that it is necessary to continue studying long waves approach with the aim of its use in forecasting.


2021 ◽  
pp. 20
Author(s):  
Oleksandr Dziubliuk

Introduction. Inflation targeting, as a commitment by the central bank to adhere to quantitative inflation rates, has become a fairly common monetary regime in the last few decades in developed countries and developing economies. However, the impact of the pandemic crisis on the course of economic processes has revealed serious problems associated with the low efficiency of this regime. Therefore, there is an objective need to re-evaluate the system in which the central bank focuses monetary regulation solely on price stability, ignoring other strategic directions of government policy related to the need to save economic activity and prevent a large-scale recession.Purpose. Clarification of the peculiarities of the implementation of monetary policy on the basis of the inflation targeting regime and identification of problematic aspects of this regime in the conditions of external shocks and the unfolding economic crisis.Methods. General scientific and empirical techniques and tools of economics, methods of analysis and synthesis, comparison, compilation and grouping are used.Results. The crisis indicates the need to build a monetary regime that would meet the interests of sustainable economic growth and social welfare. In Ukraine, there were no proper initial preconditions for the inflation targeting regime implementation. Therefore, adjusting the priorities of monetary policy in the crisis should reflect the gradual transition to a more flexible regime using monetary methods to support households and businesses, promote job creation, and stimulate aggregate demand.Prospects. Research of ways to increase the level of flexibility of monetary regulation, opportunities to expand the mandate of the central bank and improve the choice of optimal areas of influence on the economy with the help of monetary instruments at its disposal.


2021 ◽  
Vol 129 ◽  
pp. 01001
Author(s):  
Armen Altunyan ◽  
Tatiana Kotcofana ◽  
Anastasiya Titova

Research background: The coronavirus pandemic, which has affected all spheres of society and the economy, has formed new realities and conditions for modern world development. The governments of many countries have faced a choice of how to combine the security of citizens ’ lives and the need to resist the decline in production, employment, and income. Purpose of the article: The main purpose of the presented article is to study the instruments of stabilization policy during the pandemic and post-pandemic economy and to identify measures aimed at reorienting from ensuring monetary and budgetary stability to expanding effective demand and stimulating the economy. Methods: To conduct the study, we used official statistics data, the analysis of which allowed us to determine the degree of mutual influence of key parameters of economic development. Findings & Value added: The results show that in developed countries, support measures by monetary policy instruments are limited, so for the most part, fiscal mechanisms to support the population and business are implemented. In Russia, the opportunities to soften monetary policy with traditional monetary policy measures still retain some effectiveness. However, the current economic policy imposes a forced type of consumer behavior based on making financial decisions in the absence of choice, so such decisions form negative consequences — indebtedness and poverty. In this regard, recommendations are given for the implementation of stabilization policy instruments aimed at reorienting it from ensuring monetary and budgetary stability to stimulating the Russian economy and expanding the monetary base of demand.


2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (11) ◽  
pp. 2442-2464
Author(s):  
Dmitrii Yu. FEDOTOV

Subject. This article examines the currency relations formed under the influence of the monetary policy of the Bank of Russia, and the dynamics of the official exchange rate of the ruble against the US dollar and the exchange rate at purchasing power parity. Objectives. The article aims to investigate the impact of changes in exchange rates on the development of the Russian economy. Methods. For the study I used the methods of correlation, logical, and statistical analyses. Results. The article identifies the main objectives of the monetary policy of the Bank of Russia related to the strengthening of the devaluation of the Russian ruble. It reveals a correlation between the dynamics of the official ruble exchange rate and changes in macroeconomic indicators characterizing the economic security of Russia. Conclusions and Relevance. The current monetary policy of the Bank of Russia restrains the country's economic advancement. The results obtained can be used by government authorities when developing currency policy measures.


2018 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
pp. 04005
Author(s):  
Olga Aleshina ◽  
Svetlana Demchenko ◽  
Yulia Suslova ◽  
Andrey Voloshin

The large-scale structural transformations of Russian economy – the new industrialization – is a core of its transition to sustainable development. The importance of new industrialization is proved by the possibility of overcoming technical and technological lagging behind the leading countries and expanding deep processing and high-tech industries. Based on the analysis of statistics, the features of structure of economy of Russia are revealed. It is shown that transition to new industrialization is a characteristic of the industrially developed countries of the world and the source of environment-friendly industries’ boosting. The mechanism of the “window of opportunities” implementation when changing technological layers is considered. The hypothesis of a research assumes that opening the “window of opportunities” when replacing the fifth technological layer with the sixth, is a reference point for definition of the directions of strategic transformations in the context of sustainable development and extended environment protection.


Author(s):  
Serdar Öztürk ◽  
Ali Sözdemir ◽  
Özlem Ülger

Capitalism has faced the most severe and the longest crisis since 1929. Resource of the emerging financial crisis in the second half of 2007 was mortgage crisis that experienced in the United States. The collapse of housing market has caused great instability in the financial markets and then turned into the strong liquidity crisis and spread all over the world. The impact of global economic crisis on the world economies in the last quarter of 2008 was very fast and it occured in a devastating way. In this process, the asset prices declined, capital of financial institutions seriously damaged and this caused bankruptcy of many large financial organizations such as Lehman Brothers. In this context, the growth rates in the world fell down quickly, external demand contraction and global export decreased. At this point, developed countries applied large scale financial incentive packages. Especially, the Central Banks of developed countries have provided exceptional levels of liquidity that is used as a monetary policy tool by taking the risk of deterioration of their balance sheets. During this period, as a result of these policies followed by money and finance authorities have changed only the shape of global crisis and as a result the financial crisis has turned into a debt crisis. The effects of Global Economic Crisis on the Turkish economy emerged prominently in the last quarter of 2008. However, in comparison with many European countries, it is clear that all dynamics have became more favourable for Turkey after 2010.


2004 ◽  
pp. 95-111
Author(s):  
T. Zolotoukhina

The problem of interaction between Russian currency appreciation and positive dynamics of macroeconomic indicators is studied. Main economic factors of ruble appreciation are analyzed. Consequences of the Russian Central Bank's policy directed to oppose ruble appreciation and problems in financial area due to the increase of money supply through the exchange market are considered. Influence of exchange rate appreciation on economic growth, inflation, export, import, capital flows are discussed. It is concluded that Russian ruble appreciation stimulates an increase in efficiency of the Russian economy.


2004 ◽  
pp. 4-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Lisin

The problem of interaction between Russian currency appreciation and positive dynamics of macroeconomic indicators is studied. Main economic factors of ruble appreciation are analyzed. Consequences of the Russian Central Bank's policy directed to oppose ruble appreciation and problems in financial area due to the increase of money supply through the exchange market are considered. Influence of exchange rate appreciation on economic growth, inflation, export, import, capital flows are discussed. It is concluded that Russian ruble appreciation stimulates an increase in efficiency of the Russian economy.


2007 ◽  
pp. 4-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ershov

Growing involvement of Russian economy in international economic sphere increases the role of external risks. Financial problems which the developed countries are encountered with today result in volatility of Russian stock market, liquidity problems for banks, unstable prices. These factors in total may put longer-term prospects of economic growth in jeopardy. Monetary, foreign exchange and stock market mechanisms become the centerpiece of economic policy approaches which should provide for stable development in the shaky environment.


2008 ◽  
pp. 94-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Sorokin

The problem of the Russian economy’s growth rates is considered in the article in the context of Russia’s backwardness regarding GDP per capita in comparison with the developed countries. The author stresses the urgency of modernization of the real sector of the economy and the recovery of the country’s human capital. For reaching these goals short- or mid-term programs are not sufficient. Economic policy needs a long-term (15-20 years) strategy, otherwise Russia will be condemned to economic inertia and multiplying structural disproportions.


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