scholarly journals Stabilization policy of the state in the post-pandemic period

2021 ◽  
Vol 129 ◽  
pp. 01001
Author(s):  
Armen Altunyan ◽  
Tatiana Kotcofana ◽  
Anastasiya Titova

Research background: The coronavirus pandemic, which has affected all spheres of society and the economy, has formed new realities and conditions for modern world development. The governments of many countries have faced a choice of how to combine the security of citizens ’ lives and the need to resist the decline in production, employment, and income. Purpose of the article: The main purpose of the presented article is to study the instruments of stabilization policy during the pandemic and post-pandemic economy and to identify measures aimed at reorienting from ensuring monetary and budgetary stability to expanding effective demand and stimulating the economy. Methods: To conduct the study, we used official statistics data, the analysis of which allowed us to determine the degree of mutual influence of key parameters of economic development. Findings & Value added: The results show that in developed countries, support measures by monetary policy instruments are limited, so for the most part, fiscal mechanisms to support the population and business are implemented. In Russia, the opportunities to soften monetary policy with traditional monetary policy measures still retain some effectiveness. However, the current economic policy imposes a forced type of consumer behavior based on making financial decisions in the absence of choice, so such decisions form negative consequences — indebtedness and poverty. In this regard, recommendations are given for the implementation of stabilization policy instruments aimed at reorienting it from ensuring monetary and budgetary stability to stimulating the Russian economy and expanding the monetary base of demand.

2021 ◽  
Vol 129 ◽  
pp. 01015
Author(s):  
Tatiana Kotcofana ◽  
Anastasiya Titova ◽  
Armen Altunyan

Research background: In 2020, all the world's economies faced a new, special phenomenon – the coronacrisis caused by the pandemic, and with the fall of most economic indicators. In the current conditions, it is extremely important to build a competent monetary policy in order to soften the "blows" caused by the global recession for national economies. Purpose of the article: The main purpose of the presented article is the analysis of measures to stimulate the economy using monetary policy instruments in the conditions of the coronacrisis. Methods: To conduct the study, we used official statistics data, on the basis of which an econometric model was built, which allowed us to determine the forecast values for inflation, taking into account the impact of monetary and non-monetary factors. Findings & Value added: The econometric analysis show the high importance of non-monetary factors of inflation. This makes it difficult to assess the monetary policy, since Central banks are able to influence non-monetary factors only indirectly. The paper notes the influence of the refinancing rate on loans to the real sector of the economy, since the stabilization monetary policy should be primarily aimed at maintaining economic growth. The correlation field of the relationship between the index of rigidity of restrictions developed by the University of Oxford and loans to small and medium-sized businesses is constructed. It is noted that with the reduction of administrative restrictions, the volume of loans granted to small and medium-sized businesses increases.


2021 ◽  
Vol 06 (02) ◽  
pp. 28-29
Author(s):  
Nurlan Hajizade Nurlan Hajizade

One of the important vectors of economic development in the modern world is the minimization of the negative consequences of human economic and other activities. Therefore, highly developed countries impose mandatory and voluntary requirements on the development of products and implement a series of measures. Necessary regulatory activities of the state in this direction include the definition of mandatory requirements, their proper implementation and the application of sanctions. All these processes are carried out through technical regulation. It is important to apply technical regulation in every sector of the economy. This importance plays a special role in the energy sector, which is closely linked to all sectors of the economy, and differs even more. In this regard, the role and importance of technical regulation in increasing the efficiency of the energy sector in the research work is highlighted.


2015 ◽  
pp. 32-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Zamaraev ◽  
A. Kiyutsevskaya

Analyzing the changes of key macroeconomic indicators in the context of global trends, the authors conclude that the prolonged stagnation of the Russian economy, deeply integrated into global economic processes, is a natural consequence of weakening its competitiveness and reducing investment attractiveness. “Moderately tight” monetary policy conducted against the background of large-scale monetary expansion in developed countries has made its contribution.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (4) ◽  
pp. 68-80
Author(s):  
Nataliia Sheludko

The paper considers the monetary policy of leading world central banks that were used to overcome the global financial and economic crisis in 2008–2009. Advanced developed countries managed to overcome this crisis, primarily through monetary mechanisms. For this purpose, a non-traditional monetary policy was invented and applied for the first time. It included the following: quantitative easing with a corresponding rapid growth of central bank liabilities; de facto maintaining a plurality of their objectives, including ensuring financial stability and reducing unemployment; and expanded participation of central banks in financing governments' budget deficits. The measures taken helped to overcome the recession in developed countries and promoted the transition to a trajectory of economic growth. The current practice of monetary policy normalization, initiated in the United States, involves a gradual increase in the key interest rate and a curtailment of central bank balances. However, in many developed countries (EU), the practice of non-traditional monetary policy is still persistent and is an important factor for determining the trends of the global economy. In general, the results of this policy can be evaluated differently, but it is important for Ukraine to conclude on the relevance of monetary policy to stimulate economic development. Global volatility, increasingly determined by trade wars and other forms of protectionism in global economies, poses challenges (primarily in terms of maintaining/enhancing export and production capacity). For the economy of Ukraine, which is vulnerable to external shocks, these factors, combined with internal centres of instability, form a bunch of complicated tasks, in particular in terms of the cessation of further loss of investment potential, which should be addressed rationally by the monetary policy instruments.


2020 ◽  
pp. 131-142
Author(s):  
Maksym A. Zhyvko ◽  
Andriy R. Zastavnyy ◽  
Oleh V. Ivashchuk

The geospace stratification substantiate and its spatial differences reveal based on the analysis of the economic growth dynamics. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the slowdown in economic growth confirmed and its negative consequences for the investment sphere clarified, because the ability of countries to respond adequately to these processes is different. It has been determined that under the globalization influence, the world acts as a single whole, and the core of developed countries and the periphery is formed as well as local civilizations are transformed. Attention focuses on the research of the values problems that determine the state of society development. The research of the essential characteristics of civilizations carried out and the ideas of the main European civilizational schools characterized. Based on M. Rokeach’s concept, the features that characterize values are determined. It confirmed the values that dominate in society are the main element of culture. The model for measuring the cultural variability of the cross-cultural plane, which was developed by the Dutch psychologist G. Hofstede, is detailed, and the influence of cultural characteristics on the new economy formation is analyzed. The «World Values Survey» study has been assessed. It confirmed that, due to the impossibility of full-fledged self-realization of the individual, migration processes activated and their analysis shows a tendency towards growth. It substantiated that in the modern world the questions about the nature of the socio-cultural integrity of civilizations and civilizational ecumene, associated with religious differences and demographic processes, remain unresolved. An assessment of the demographic situation in the world carried out and its growing dynamics and regional asymmetries clarified. A spatial analysis of the distribution of countries in the global space with dominant religions carried out and the main trends in the world religions development revealed. The role of strengthening the intangible component in the structure of modern economic reproduction argues. It confirmed that the potential of the countries and the world development as a whole takes place in the process of deepening cross-civilization-integration processes. The main civilizational challenges of global economic development are formulated, they are formed under the multi-vector processes in the world, including: spatial asymmetry of countries’ development, universalization of values, socio-cultural differences, ethnic problems, religious differences, demographic and migration processes.


2017 ◽  
pp. 5-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Kudrin ◽  
E. Goryunov ◽  
P. Trunin

In the paper we critically assess the stimulative monetary policy, proposed by the Stolypin Club and other experts. We discuss its inflationary consequences, the ability to accelerate economic growth along with created distortions in credit markets. We argue that the long-term macroeconomic stability cannot be sustained under managed exchange rate. We provide counterarguments to views, according to which inflation in Russia has nonmonetary roots and it is possible to increase money supply without causing inflation due to undermonetization of Russian economy and low utilization of production capacities. Negative consequences of monetary easing are illustrated with recent Belorussian experience.


Author(s):  
Людмила Субракова ◽  
Ludmila Subrakova

The informal economy is becoming more and more noticeable fact in the modern world. The study of the informal economy in developing and developed countries, in urban and rural areas, has broadened the understanding of this multifaceted phenomenon. But the informal economy of small villages remains unexplored. Small villages of the Republic of Khakassia were threatened with extinction due to low incomes, unemployment and lack of social infrastructure. Therefore, since 2013 the state programs for the preservation and development of small villages were started in the region, providing for the repair of roads and houses, the creation of improvement facilities, assistance to consumer cooperation. The economic activity of the inhabitants of small villages remains largely informal, but its volume was not estimated either by statistical observation or monitoring of the employment service. The purpose of this article is to assess the informal economy of small villages of the Republic of Khakassia as a potential for their development. To this end, the author proposes an estimation method based on official statistics and the state employment service using the balance method, modeling employment, determining the volume of the informal economy on the basis of gross value added. The realization of this potential is impossible without the support of households and entrepreneurship of small villages by the state and municipal authorities of the Republic of Khakassia. The article concluded that the growth rate of the informal economy of small villages in Khakassia converged with the regional economy growth rates, and the volume is comparable to the revenues of the municipal budget of one district. It is noted that the Republican program of preservation and development of small villages, aimed at maintaining their social sphere, had a positive impact on economic development, including the informal economy.


VUZF Review ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 180-186
Author(s):  
Vitaliy Shapran

The article considers the problems and practice of using the tools of monetary and fiscal stimulation of the economy. The main problems of the application of monetary instruments in practice in emerging markets are identified. The author paid special attention to the definition of classical monetary policy instruments and their role in economic growth in emerging markets. Critical assessment of the role of monetary policy instruments in stimulating economic growth is based on the practice of central banks in emerging markets. Recommendations for the analysis of the efficiency of monetary transmission are given. Problems of efficiency of application of fiscal stimulus instruments in emerging markets are raised. The mechanisms of the dependence between fiscal and monetary policies and the strengthening of such dependence in the case of a significant informal sector of the economy and an underdeveloped financial market are demonstrated. The author not only points out the need for coordination in choosing between monetary and fiscal policy but also advocates the idea of having an independent arbitrator between monetary and fiscal authorities in developing countries. The article also focuses on the analyzing algorithm of the use of monetary policy instruments for economic growth effectiveness. The conclusions made in the article will be especially useful for those who are interested in the issue of optimal choice between monetary and fiscal instruments to stimulate economic development in emerging markets.


2017 ◽  
Vol 55 (4) ◽  
pp. 465-480
Author(s):  
Andriana Milošević ◽  
Mirjana Jemović

AbstractAfter multiple decreases in the reference interest rate and its reaching zero bounds in certain countries during the recent global financial crisis, central banks in developed countries have started applying non-standard measures of monetary policy. This does not refer to introducing new monetary policy instruments, but rather to a certain relativisation within the framework of standard instruments, in terms of maturity of liquidity provision, collateral policy and counterparties. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to examine the role of non-standard measures of monetary policy as a mechanism for overcoming problems in the implementation of the neoliberal concept of monetary policy in the conditions of the financial crisis. The answer to this question is rather sensitive, considering the fact that the neoliberal concept was supported by the most developed countries, that is, in fact, their central banks were using non-standard instruments of monetary policy for the greatest part.


2004 ◽  
pp. 4-19
Author(s):  
G. Fetisov

There is the inherent contradiction in the present-time monetary policy -between the containment of the increase in the exchange rate of the rouble and too high Central Bank rate. This contradiction is caused by limiting the legislatively established goals of Bank of Russia to a target of inflation decrease. To provide macroeconomic stability under conditions of both high and low oil price conjuncture Bank of Russia should use diverse monetary and credit policy instruments including refinancing banking credits to enterprises and purchase of Russian government securities. Since the monetization of the Russian economy is low the threat of inflation strengthening as a result of increase of domestic credit is grossly overestimated. The evidence of this fact is the dynamics of monetary aggregates in constant prices and in terms of dollars as well as in proportion to GDP.


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