Machine learning as a successful approach for predicting complex spatio–temporal patterns in animal species abundance

Our aim was to identify an optimal analytical approach for accurately predicting complex spatio–temporal patterns in animal species distribution. We compared the performance of eight modelling techniques (generalized additive models, regression trees, bagged CART, k–nearest neighbors, stochastic gradient boosting, support vector machines, neural network, and random forest –enhanced form of bootstrap. We also performed extreme gradient boosting –an enhanced form of radiant boosting– to predict spatial patterns in abundance of migrating Balearic shearwaters based on data gathered within eBird. Derived from open–source datasets, proxies of frontal systems and ocean productivity domains that have been previously used to characterize the oceanographic habitats of seabirds were quantified, and then used as predictors in the models. The random forest model showed the best performance according to the parameters assessed (RMSE value and R2). The correlation between observed and predicted abundance with this model was also considerably high. This study shows that the combination of machine learning techniques and massive data provided by open data sources is a useful approach for identifying the long–term spatial–temporal distribution of species at regional spatial scales.

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Techniques for Detecting Malware Traffic: A Comprehensive Approach to Feature Selection and Classification

International Journal for Research in Applied Science and Engineering Technology ◽

10.22214/ijraset.2021.39088 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 9 (12) ◽

pp. 1-10

Author(s):

Harsha A K

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Feature Selection ◽

Random Forest ◽

Learning Algorithms ◽

Malware Detection ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Steady Increase ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting

Abstract: Since the advent of encryption, there has been a steady increase in malware being transmitted over encrypted networks. Traditional approaches to detect malware like packet content analysis are inefficient in dealing with encrypted data. In the absence of actual packet contents, we can make use of other features like packet size, arrival time, source and destination addresses and other such metadata to detect malware. Such information can be used to train machine learning classifiers in order to classify malicious and benign packets. In this paper, we offer an efficient malware detection approach using classification algorithms in machine learning such as support vector machine, random forest and extreme gradient boosting. We employ an extensive feature selection process to reduce the dimensionality of the chosen dataset. The dataset is then split into training and testing sets. Machine learning algorithms are trained using the training set. These models are then evaluated against the testing set in order to assess their respective performances. We further attempt to tune the hyper parameters of the algorithms, in order to achieve better results. Random forest and extreme gradient boosting algorithms performed exceptionally well in our experiments, resulting in area under the curve values of 0.9928 and 0.9998 respectively. Our work demonstrates that malware traffic can be effectively classified using conventional machine learning algorithms and also shows the importance of dimensionality reduction in such classification problems. Keywords: Malware Detection, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Feature Selection.

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Mapping of the Canopy Openings in Mixed Beech–Fir Forest at Sentinel-2 Subpixel Level Using UAV and Machine Learning Approach

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs12233925 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 12 (23) ◽

pp. 3925

Author(s):

Ivan Pilaš ◽

Mateo Gašparović ◽

Alan Novkinić ◽

Damir Klobučar

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Forest Canopy ◽

Vegetation Index ◽

Predictive Performance ◽

Spatial Extent ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Stochastic Gradient Boosting ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽

Sentinel 2

The presented study demonstrates a bi-sensor approach suitable for rapid and precise up-to-date mapping of forest canopy gaps for the larger spatial extent. The approach makes use of Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) red, green and blue (RGB) images on smaller areas for highly precise forest canopy mask creation. Sentinel-2 was used as a scaling platform for transferring information from the UAV to a wider spatial extent. Various approaches to an improvement in the predictive performance were examined: (I) the highest R2 of the single satellite index was 0.57, (II) the highest R2 using multiple features obtained from the single-date, S-2 image was 0.624, and (III) the highest R2 on the multitemporal set of S-2 images was 0.697. Satellite indices such as Atmospherically Resistant Vegetation Index (ARVI), Infrared Percentage Vegetation Index (IPVI), Normalized Difference Index (NDI45), Pigment-Specific Simple Ratio Index (PSSRa), Modified Chlorophyll Absorption Ratio Index (MCARI), Color Index (CI), Redness Index (RI), and Normalized Difference Turbidity Index (NDTI) were the dominant predictors in most of the Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. The more complex ML algorithms such as the Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Stochastic Gradient Boosting (GBM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Catboost that provided the best performance on the training set exhibited weaker generalization capabilities. Therefore, a simpler and more robust Elastic Net (ENET) algorithm was chosen for the final map creation.

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Modelos de machine learning para predição do sucesso de startups

Revista de Gestão e Projetos ◽

10.5585/gep.v12i2.18942 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 12 (2) ◽

pp. 28-55

Author(s):

Fabiano Rodrigues ◽

Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues ◽

Thelma Valéria Rocha Rodrigues

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Support Vector Machine ◽

Random Forest ◽

Decision Tree ◽

Initial Public Offering ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Trade Offs ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽

Public Offering

Este estudo analisa resultados obtidos com modelos de machine learning para predição do sucesso de startups. Como proxy de sucesso considera-se a perspectiva do investidor, na qual a aquisição da startup ou realização de IPO (Initial Public Offering) são formas de recuperação do investimento. A revisão da literatura aborda startups e veículos de financiamento, estudos anteriores sobre predição do sucesso de startups via modelos de machine learning, e trade-offs entre técnicas de machine learning. Na parte empírica, foi realizada uma pesquisa quantitativa baseada em dados secundários oriundos da plataforma americana Crunchbase, com startups de 171 países. O design de pesquisa estabeleceu como filtro startups fundadas entre junho/2010 e junho/2015, e uma janela de predição entre junho/2015 e junho/2020 para prever o sucesso das startups. A amostra utilizada, após etapa de pré-processamento dos dados, foi de 18.571 startups. Foram utilizados seis modelos de classificação binária para a predição: Regressão Logística, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Extreme Gradiente Boosting, Support Vector Machine e Rede Neural. Ao final, os modelos Random Forest e Extreme Gradient Boosting apresentaram os melhores desempenhos na tarefa de classificação. Este artigo, envolvendo machine learning e startups, contribui para áreas de pesquisa híbridas ao mesclar os campos da Administração e Ciência de Dados. Além disso, contribui para investidores com uma ferramenta de mapeamento inicial de startups na busca de targets com maior probabilidade de sucesso.

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Research on dairy products detection based on machine learning algorithm

MATEC Web of Conferences ◽

10.1051/matecconf/202235503008 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 355 ◽

pp. 03008

Author(s):

Yang Zhang ◽

Lei Zhang ◽

Yabin Ma ◽

Jinsen Guan ◽

Zhaoxia Liu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Electronic Nose ◽

Milk Fat ◽

Dairy Products ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting

In this study, an electronic nose model composed of seven kinds of metal oxide semiconductor sensors was developed to distinguish the milk source (the dairy farm to which milk belongs), estimate the content of milk fat and protein in milk, to identify the authenticity and evaluate the quality of milk. The developed electronic nose is a low-cost and non-destructive testing equipment. (1) For the identification of milk sources, this paper uses the method of combining the electronic nose odor characteristics of milk and the component characteristics to distinguish different milk sources, and uses Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Linear Discriminant Analysis , LDA) for dimensionality reduction analysis, and finally use three machine learning algorithms such as Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest (RF) to build a milk source (cow farm) Identify the model and evaluate and compare the classification effects. The experimental results prove that the classification effect of the SVM-LDA model based on the electronic nose odor characteristics is better than other single feature models, and the accuracy of the test set reaches 91.5%. The RF-LDA and SVM-LDA models based on the fusion feature of the two have the best effect Set accuracy rate is as high as 96%. (2) The three algorithms, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Random Forest (RF), are used to construct the electronic nose odor data for milk fat rate and protein rate. The method of estimating the model, the results show that the RF model has the best estimation performance( R2 =0.9399 for milk fat; R2=0.9301for milk protein). And it prove that the method proposed in this study can improve the estimation accuracy of milk fat and protein, which provides a technical basis for predicting the quality of dairy products.

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A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Prediction of Insurance Uptake in Kenya

10.20944/preprints202010.0186.v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Nelson Yego ◽

Juma Kasozi ◽

Joseph Nkrunziza

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Characteristic Curve ◽

Confusion Matrix ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Sampled Data ◽

Learning Models ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽

Machine Learning Models

The role of insurance in financial inclusion as well as in economic growth is immense. However, low uptake seems to impede the growth of the sector hence the need for a model that robustly predicts uptake of insurance among potential clients. In this research, we compared the performances of eight (8) machine learning models in predicting the uptake of insurance. The classifiers considered were Logistic Regression, Gaussian Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machines, K Nearest Neighbors, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Machines and Extreme Gradient boosting. The data used in the classification was from the 2016 Kenya FinAccess Household Survey. Comparison of performance was done for both upsampled and downsampled data due to data imbalance. For upsampled data, Random Forest classifier showed highest accuracy and precision compared to other classifiers but for down sampled data, gradient boosting was optimal. It is noteworthy that for both upsampled and downsampled data, tree-based classifiers were more robust than others in insurance uptake prediction. However, in spite of hyper-parameter optimization, the area under receiver operating characteristic curve remained highest for Random Forest as compared to other tree-based models. Also, the confusion matrix for Random Forest showed least false positives, and highest true positives hence could be construed as the most robust model for predicting the insurance uptake. Finally, the most important feature in predicting uptake was having a bank product hence bancassurance could be said to be a plausible channel of distribution of insurance products.

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Sign language dactyl recognition based on machine learning algorithms

Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies ◽

10.15587/1729-4061.2021.239253 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 4 (2(112)) ◽

pp. 58-72

Author(s):

Chingiz Kenshimov ◽

Zholdas Buribayev ◽

Yedilkhan Amirgaliyev ◽

Aisulyu Ataniyazova ◽

Askhat Aitimov

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Support Vector Machine ◽

Random Forest ◽

Sign Language ◽

Gesture Recognition ◽

Research Work ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting

In the course of our research work, the American, Russian and Turkish sign languages were analyzed. The program of recognition of the Kazakh dactylic sign language with the use of machine learning methods is implemented. A dataset of 5000 images was formed for each gesture, gesture recognition algorithms were applied, such as Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, Extreme Gradient Boosting, while two data types were combined into one database, which caused a change in the architecture of the system as a whole. The quality of the algorithms was also evaluated. The research work was carried out due to the fact that scientific work in the field of developing a system for recognizing the Kazakh language of sign dactyls is currently insufficient for a complete representation of the language. There are specific letters in the Kazakh language, because of the peculiarities of the spelling of the language, problems arise when developing recognition systems for the Kazakh sign language. The results of the work showed that the Support Vector Machine and Extreme Gradient Boosting algorithms are superior in real-time performance, but the Random Forest algorithm has high recognition accuracy. As a result, the accuracy of the classification algorithms was 98.86 % for Random Forest, 98.68 % for Support Vector Machine and 98.54 % for Extreme Gradient Boosting. Also, the evaluation of the quality of the work of classical algorithms has high indicators. The practical significance of this work lies in the fact that scientific research in the field of gesture recognition with the updated alphabet of the Kazakh language has not yet been conducted and the results of this work can be used by other researchers to conduct further research related to the recognition of the Kazakh dactyl sign language, as well as by researchers, engaged in the development of the international sign language

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Performance of Statistical and Machine Learning-Based Methods for Predicting Biogeographical Patterns of Fungal Productivity in Forest Ecosystems

10.21203/rs.3.rs-122045/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Albert Morera ◽

Juan Martínez de Aragón ◽

José Antonio Bonet ◽

Jingjing Liang ◽

Sergio de-Miguel

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Learning Approaches ◽

Learning Models ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽

Machine Learning Models ◽

Modelling Approaches

Abstract BackgroundThe prediction of biogeographical patterns from a large number of driving factors with complex interactions, correlations and non-linear dependences require advanced analytical methods and modelling tools. This study compares different statistical and machine learning models for predicting fungal productivity biogeographical patterns as a case study for the thorough assessment of the performance of alternative modelling approaches to provide accurate and ecologically-consistent predictions.MethodsWe evaluated and compared the performance of two statistical modelling techniques, namely, generalized linear mixed models and geographically weighted regression, and four machine learning models, namely, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, support vector machine and deep learning to predict fungal productivity. We used a systematic methodology based on substitution, random, spatial and climatic blocking combined with principal component analysis, together with an evaluation of the ecological consistency of spatially-explicit model predictions.ResultsFungal productivity predictions were sensitive to the modelling approach and complexity. Moreover, the importance assigned to different predictors varied between machine learning modelling approaches. Decision tree-based models increased prediction accuracy by ~7% compared to other machine learning approaches and by more than 25% compared to statistical ones, and resulted in higher ecological consistence at the landscape level.ConclusionsWhereas a large number of predictors are often used in machine learning algorithms, in this study we show that proper variable selection is crucial to create robust models for extrapolation in biophysically differentiated areas. When dealing with spatial-temporal data in the analysis of biogeographical patterns, climatic blocking is postulated as a highly informative technique to be used in cross-validation to assess the prediction error over larger scales. Random forest was the best approach for prediction both in sampling-like environments as well as in extrapolation beyond the spatial and climatic range of the modelling data.

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Evaluation of Three Different Machine Learning Methods for Object-Based Artificial Terrace Mapping—A Case Study of the Loess Plateau, China

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs13051021 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (5) ◽

pp. 1021

Author(s):

Hu Ding ◽

Jiaming Na ◽

Shangjing Jiang ◽

Jie Zhu ◽

Kai Liu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Loess Plateau ◽

Water Conservation ◽

Nearest Neighbor ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

K Nearest Neighbor ◽

The Loess Plateau ◽

Object Based ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting

Artificial terraces are of great importance for agricultural production and soil and water conservation. Automatic high-accuracy mapping of artificial terraces is the basis of monitoring and related studies. Previous research achieved artificial terrace mapping based on high-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) or imagery. As a result of the importance of the contextual information for terrace mapping, object-based image analysis (OBIA) combined with machine learning (ML) technologies are widely used. However, the selection of an appropriate classifier is of great importance for the terrace mapping task. In this study, the performance of an integrated framework using OBIA and ML for terrace mapping was tested. A catchment, Zhifanggou, in the Loess Plateau, China, was used as the study area. First, optimized image segmentation was conducted. Then, features from the DEMs and imagery were extracted, and the correlations between the features were analyzed and ranked for classification. Finally, three different commonly-used ML classifiers, namely, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN), were used for terrace mapping. The comparison with the ground truth, as delineated by field survey, indicated that random forest performed best, with a 95.60% overall accuracy (followed by 94.16% and 92.33% for XGBoost and KNN, respectively). The influence of class imbalance and feature selection is discussed. This work provides a credible framework for mapping artificial terraces.

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Machine learning models to identify low adherence to influenza vaccination among Korean adults with cardiovascular disease

BMC Cardiovascular Disorders ◽

10.1186/s12872-021-01925-7 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Moojung Kim ◽

Young Jae Kim ◽

Sung Jin Park ◽

Kwang Gi Kim ◽

Pyung Chun Oh ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Influenza Vaccination ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Support Vector ◽

Age Group ◽

Learning Models ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽

Machine Learning Models

Abstract Background Annual influenza vaccination is an important public health measure to prevent influenza infections and is strongly recommended for cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients, especially in the current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The aim of this study is to develop a machine learning model to identify Korean adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination Methods Adults with CVD (n = 815) from a nationally representative dataset of the Fifth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES V) were analyzed. Among these adults, 500 (61.4%) had answered "yes" to whether they had received seasonal influenza vaccinations in the past 12 months. The classification process was performed using the logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) machine learning techniques. Because the Ministry of Health and Welfare in Korea offers free influenza immunization for the elderly, separate models were developed for the < 65 and ≥ 65 age groups. Results The accuracy of machine learning models using 16 variables as predictors of low influenza vaccination adherence was compared; for the ≥ 65 age group, XGB (84.7%) and RF (84.7%) have the best accuracies, followed by LR (82.7%) and SVM (77.6%). For the < 65 age group, SVM has the best accuracy (68.4%), followed by RF (64.9%), LR (63.2%), and XGB (61.4%). Conclusions The machine leaning models show comparable performance in classifying adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination.

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Development and validation of a difficult laryngoscopy prediction model using machine learning of neck circumference and thyromental height

BMC Anesthesiology ◽

10.1186/s12871-021-01343-4 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Jong Ho Kim ◽

Haewon Kim ◽

Ji Su Jang ◽

Sung Mi Hwang ◽

So Young Lim ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Confidence Interval ◽

Neck Circumference ◽

Difficult Laryngoscopy ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Test Set ◽

Equal Distribution ◽

Light Gradient ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting

Abstract Background Predicting difficult airway is challengeable in patients with limited airway evaluation. The aim of this study is to develop and validate a model that predicts difficult laryngoscopy by machine learning of neck circumference and thyromental height as predictors that can be used even for patients with limited airway evaluation. Methods Variables for prediction of difficulty laryngoscopy included age, sex, height, weight, body mass index, neck circumference, and thyromental distance. Difficult laryngoscopy was defined as Grade 3 and 4 by the Cormack-Lehane classification. The preanesthesia and anesthesia data of 1677 patients who had undergone general anesthesia at a single center were collected. The data set was randomly stratified into a training set (80%) and a test set (20%), with equal distribution of difficulty laryngoscopy. The training data sets were trained with five algorithms (logistic regression, multilayer perceptron, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and light gradient boosting machine). The prediction models were validated through a test set. Results The model’s performance using random forest was best (area under receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.79 [95% confidence interval: 0.72–0.86], area under precision-recall curve = 0.32 [95% confidence interval: 0.27–0.37]). Conclusions Machine learning can predict difficult laryngoscopy through a combination of several predictors including neck circumference and thyromental height. The performance of the model can be improved with more data, a new variable and combination of models.

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