scholarly journals DOMINANT FACTORS CHANGE OF LAND FUNCTION IN RAPUAN ROAD CORRIDOR UBUD BALI DUE TO TOURISM ACTIVITIES

ASTONJADRO ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 118
Author(s):  
Ni Nyoman Samitri Putri ◽  
Ngakan Ketut Acwin Dwijendra
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Fields ◽  
Internal Factors ◽  
Tourist Destinations ◽  
Tourist Accommodation ◽  
Collection Methods

<p>Bali is the most popular tourist destination with Ubud one of the tourist destinations with its beautiful landscapes and rice fields. Mas Village, Ubud is one of the tourist villages that has been inaugurated by the Gianyar Regency Government based on the Decree of the Gianyar Regent Number 429/E-02/HK/2017 regarding the establishment of a Tourism Village. Jalan Rapuan which is located in Tarukan Tourism Village, Mas is one of the strategic corridors in Mas Tourism Village because it is a stretch of rice fields that has a high tourism selling value. The purpose of this study is to identify changes in land use in 2013-2021 due to tourism activities seen from the aspects that have a dominant influence on land use changes. Quantitative method is the method used with primary and secondary data collection methods and stages of analysis in the form of descriptive analysis of tourism activities in Mas Village, statistical-descriptive analysis of land use change with overlay analysis on the Jalan Rapuan corridor. The results showed that there was a change in land use along the Rapuan corridor in 2013-2021 by 14% of the non-built land to be built in the form of tourist accommodation and housing. The indicators analyzed by factor analysis were able to explain important factors, namely external factors of 31.69%, internal factors of 23.821% and regulatory factors of 17.218% with a total of factors able to explain land use change of 72.73%.</p>

scholarly journals Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan di Kawasan Keamanan dan Ketahanan Pangan di Kabupaten Sleman

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Farida Afriani Astuti ◽  
Herwin Lukito
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Food Security ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Rice Field ◽  
Research Study ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Rice Fields ◽  
Driving Factor ◽  
Annual Productivity ◽  
Descriptive Method

Kabupaten Sleman memiliki banyak daya tarik yang memicu terjadinya urbanisasi yang dapat terlihat dari fenomeno perubahan penggunaan lahan . Perubahan penggunaan lahan di Kabupaten Sleman terjadi pada kawasan keamanan dan ketahanan pangan yang terdiri dari Kecamatan Moyudan, Minggir, Sayegan, Godean, Mlati, dan Tempel.  Fenomena perubahan penggunaan lahan penting untuk dikontrol dan dikendalikan karena kawasan tersebut memiliki peran penting bagi ketahanan pangan di Kabupaten Sleman. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah metode deskriptif. Di dalam metode deskriptif terdapat metode survey yang digunakaan untuk mengetahui kondisi eksisting penggunaan lahan di daerah penelitian. Sedangkan untuk perubahan penggunaan lahan pada kawasan keamanan dan ketahanan pangan di Kabupaten Sleman dari Tahun 2012 sampai Tahun 2018 diperoleh dengan metode overlay peta penggunaan lahan yang diperoleh dari Citra Quickbird pada tahun tersebut. Perubahan penggunaan lahan pada kawasan keamanan dan ketahanan pangan Kabupaten Sleman mencapai 57,33 km2 atau 33,93% dari luas total daerah penelitian. Perubahan penggunaan lahan didominasi oleh perubahan lahan sawah menjadi hutan produksi seluas 15,05 km2. Faktor pendorong adanya perubahan penggunaan lahan tersebut adalah produktivitas pertanian sawah yang semakin menurun tiap tahunnya.Sleman Regency has many attractions that trigger urbanization which can be seen from the phenomenon of land-use change. This phenomenon occurs in Sleman Regency particularly in the area of food security and sustainability which is spreading in various districts such as Moyudan, Minggir, Sayegan, Godean, Mlati, and Tempel. The phenomenon of land change must be managed and controlled because the areas have an important role for food security in Sleman Regency. The method used for the research is descriptive method. Survey is a part of descriptive method which used to determine the existing conditions of land use in the research object areas. Whereas for land-use changes in the area of food security and sustainability in Sleman Regency from 2012 to 2018 was obtained with the method of land-use map overlay obtained from Quickbird imagery in those years.Land-use change in the area of food security and sustainability of  Sleman Regency reaches 57.33 km2 or 33.93% from the total of research study area. Land-use change is dominated by the diversions of rice fields to forests that reach 15.05 km2. The driving factor for this phenomenon is the decreasing annual productivity of rice field. 

scholarly journals PENGARUH PERKEMBANGAN PARIWISATA TERHADAP PERUBAHAN ALIH FUNGSI LAHAN DI DESA CANGGU KECAMATAN KUTA UTARA KABUPATEN BADUNG

Widya Accarya ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-62
Author(s):  
I Made Kartika ◽  
I Gede Sujana ◽  
Alquinus Jehapu
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Research Question ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Land Conversion ◽  
Sociocultural Change ◽  
Library Research ◽  
The People

Abstrak Canggu adalah sebuah desa yang terletak di kabupaten Kuta Utara, Kabupaten Badung sebagai Daerah Pengembangan Badung Tengah yang memiliki kebijakan mempertahankan Badung Tengah sebagai daerah pertanian dalam arti luas dan mencegah konversi sawah. Pertanyaan penelitian dari penelitian ini adalah tentang dampak pariwisata terhadap konversi lahan. Pemilihan desa Canggu sebagai lokasi penelitian karena desa Canggu berada di tengah-tengah wilayah Badung sebagai daerah pertanian, alam dan budaya sebagai semangat pariwisata desa Canggu, desa Canggu dipengaruhi oleh pembangunan fasilitas akomodasi. Jenis data dalam penelitian ini adalah sumber data kualitatif dan kuantitatif dari data primer dan sekunder. Data penelitian ini dikumpulkan melalui wawancara dan studi kepustakaan. Penentuan informan penelitian ini dimulai dengan menentukan informan pertama dan informan kunci. Teknik analisis data penelitian ini adalah analisis deskriptif kualitatif. Menurut hasil penelitian di desa Canggu didapat hasil sebagai berikut pengembangan pariwisata berdampak pada peningkatan konversi lahan pertanian, perubahan penggunaan lahan juga berdampak pada perubahan sosiokultural. Adapun lokasi penelitian ditentukan berdasarkan perkembangan pariwisata terhadap alih fungui lahan, hasil dari penelitian ini perkembangan pariwisata terhadap alih fungsi lahan berdampak pada kesejahtraan masyarakat Desa Canggu. Lahan yang dialih fungsikan dibangun Hotel, Homestay, Villa, Restoran, Laundry dan lain sebagainya yang menunjang ketertarikan wistawan, untuk berwisata ke Desa Canggu.  Alih fungsi lahan merupakan suatu tolok ukur untuk meningkatkan pendapatan ekonomi warga Desa canggu. Hal ini menyebabkan minat masyarakat menjadi meningkat untuk mengubah fungsi lahan mereka sebagai media penghubung perkembangan pariwisata tersebut. Faktor lain yang menyebabkan perubahan alih fungsi lahan di Desa Canggu adalah tingginya nilai permintaan dari wisatawan terhadap vasilitas yang disediakan. Kata kunci: Pariwisata dan alih fungsi lahan   Abstract Canggu is a village located in North Kuta district, Badung Regency as the Central Badung Development Area which has a policy of maintaining Central Badung as an agricultural area in the broad sense and conversion of rice fields. The research question of this research is about research on land conversion. The selection of the Canggu village as a research location is because the Canggu village is in the middle of the Badung area as an agricultural, natural and cultural area such as the spirit of tourism in the Canggu village, the Canggu village works with the construction of recreational facilities. The type of data in this study is the source of qualitative and quantitative data from primary and secondary data. Research data were collected through interviews and library research. The determination of the informants of this study begins with determining the first informant and key informant. The data analysis technique of this research is descriptive qualitative analysis. According to the results of research in the village of Canggu obtained the following results the development of tourism has an impact on increasing agricultural land conversion, land use changes also have an impact on sociocultural change. The research location is determined based on the development of tourism on land use change, the results of this study the development of tourism on land use change has an impact on the welfare of the people of Canggu Village. The land that has been converted has been built by hotels, homestays, villas, restaurants, laundry and others that support the interests of tourists, for a trip to Canggu Village. Transfer of land functions is a benchmark to increase the economic income of residents of Canggu Village. This causes the interest of the community to increase to change the function of their land as a media liaison with the development of tourism. Another factor causing changes in land use change in Canggu Village is the high value of requests from tourists for the facilities provided. Keywords: Tourism and land use change

scholarly journals DAMPAK KONVERSI LAHAN PERTANIAN KE NON-PERTANIAN TERHADAP PENDAPATAN RUMAH TANGGA PETANI DI KECAMATAN CIBADAK KABUPATEN SUKABUMI

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (01) ◽  
pp. 21-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Hatta ◽  
Lia Warlina
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Total Change ◽  
Type Settlement ◽  
Change Impact ◽  
The Impact

ABSTRAK The research objective were to identify land use change in Kecamatan Cibadak and to describe the impact of land use change toward farmer’s income. This research used primary and secondary data. Primary data was collected by distribution of questionary, while secondary data was obtained from related intitutions.overlay technique was used to identify land use change. In other hand, descriptive analysis was use to describe land use change impact toward on farmer’s income. The total change of land use was 1,86 % in seven years (2006-2013). The total change of land use was 1,19 % in three years (2013-2016). The total income of land use type settlement was 33,112 ha in the ten years. However, the total change of agricultural land was 19,699 ha. It were 11 farmers who convert their land stated that theor income were in change deu to land conversion. Their agricultural land was converted into built area. The farmers still own the land and the culding or houses.   Kata Kunci : Guna Lahan, Perubahan Guna Lahan, Pemasukan

scholarly journals ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK TERHADAP PERUBAHAN PENGGUNAAN LAHAN DI KOTA BUKITTINGGI

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 200
Author(s):  
Sri Mariya
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Urban Space ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Population Data ◽  
Final Analysis ◽  
Rice Fields ◽  
Dominant Factor ◽  
Urban Village

Bukitinggi city is the most populous city in West Sumatra, experiencing an increase in population from year to year, the limitations of urban space that causes pressure on urban space. Such as the occurrence of land conversion for the physical construction of the city, such as: settlement, trade and services, and others. Based on this research, the aim of this study is to obtain information, discuss and analyze (1) population growth of Bukittinggi City in 2000-2010, (2) to identify land use change of Bukitinggi city in 2000-2010, and (3) to identify the characteristics of change Land use due to population growth and how the utilization of Bukitinggi City space. The type of research used is descriptive research with secondary data analysis method with the support of Geographic Information System (GIS). The data used are population data of Bukittinggi City 10 years (2000-2010), Land Use Map of Bukit Tinggi City (2000 and 2010), and Map of RTRW Kota Bukitinggi 2010 as final analysis. The results showed that: (1) the population growth of Bukittinggi City in 2000-2010 was 0.02 or 2% which indicated an increase in population. The dominant factor that affects is migration (residents coming). The most populous urban village is Sapiran 12orang / km2 which is the center of TNI and Polri dormitory, while the urban village is Puhun Pintu Kabun with density of 2 person / km2, (2) land use change in settlement, rice field, mixed or moorland, Services. The largest expansion occurred from mixed or cultivated gardens of 1.75 km2. Other changes occurred in the settlement of 0.06 km2 and trade and services 0.14 km2. (3) Characteristics of land use change due to population growth in relation to spatial use dominated by mixed or mooring farms into 6.89% (174.6 ha) settlements, rice fields became 0.25% (6.4 ha) settlements, and rice fields became Mixed garden 0.55% (14 ha). Linkages to the use of space is the study of green space: Park City, Village Pintu Kabun and Bukit Apit there is development of settlements as the development of the area towards the north which needs to be done policy priorities.

Analisis Perubahan Tata Guna Lahan di Kabupaten Bantul Menggunakan Metode Global Moran’s I

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Matheus Supriyanto Rumetna ◽  
Eko Sediyono ◽  
Kristoko Dwi Hartomo
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Spatial Autocorrelation ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Geographical Information ◽  
Moran’S I ◽  
Complete Spatial Randomness ◽  
Moran's I ◽  
Global Moran’S I ◽  
Spatial Randomness

Abstract. Bantul Regency is a part of Yogyakarta Special Province Province which experienced land use changes. This research aims to assess the changes of shape and level of land use, to analyze the pattern of land use changes, and to find the appropriateness of RTRW land use in Bantul District in 2011-2015. Analytical methods are employed including Geoprocessing techniques and analysis of patterns of distribution of land use changes with Spatial Autocorrelation (Global Moran's I). The results of this study of land use in 2011, there are thirty one classifications, while in 2015 there are thirty four classifications. The pattern of distribution of land use change shows that land use change in 2011-2015 has a Complete Spatial Randomness pattern. Land use suitability with the direction of area function at RTRW is 24030,406 Ha (46,995406%) and incompatibility of 27103,115 Ha or equal to 53,004593% of the total area of Bantul Regency.Keywords: Geographical Information System, Land Use, Geoprocessing, Global Moran's I, Bantul Regency. Abstrak. Analisis Perubahan Tata Guna Lahan di Kabupaten Bantul Menggunakan Metode Global Moran’s I. Kabupaten Bantul merupakan bagian dari Provinsi Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta yang mengalami perubahan tata guna lahan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji perubahan bentuk dan luas penggunaan lahan, menganalisis pola sebaran perubahan tata guna lahan, serta kesesuaian tata guna lahan terhadap RTRW yang terjadi di Kabupaten Bantul pada tahun 2011-2015. Metode analisis yang digunakan antara lain teknik Geoprocessing serta analisis pola sebaran perubahan tata guna lahan dengan Spatial Autocorrelation (Global Moran’s I). Hasil dari penelitian ini adalah penggunaan tanah pada tahun 2011, terdapat tiga puluh satu klasifikasi, sedangkan pada tahun 2015 terdapat tiga puluh empat klasifikasi. Pola sebaran perubahan tata guna lahan menunjukkan bahwa perubahan tata guna lahan tahun 2011-2015 memiliki pola Complete Spatial Randomness. Kesesuaian tata guna lahan dengan arahan fungsi kawasan pada RTRW adalah seluas 24030,406 Ha atau mencapai 46,995406 % dan ketidaksesuaian seluas 27103,115 Ha atau sebesar 53,004593 % dari total luas wilayah Kabupaten Bantul. Kata Kunci: Sistem Informasi Georafis, tata guna lahan, Geoprocessing, Global Moran’s I, Kabupaten Bantul.

scholarly journals Land-Use Change Impacts from Sustainable Hydropower Production in EU28 Region: An Empirical Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4599
Author(s):  
Mohd Alsaleh ◽  
Muhammad Mansur Abdulwakil ◽  
Abdul Samad Abdul-Rahim
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Dioxide ◽  
Land Use ◽  
European Union ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Carbon Dioxide Emissions ◽  
Energy Production ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Hydropower Production

Under the current European Union (EU) constitution approved in May 2018, EU countries ought to guarantee that estimated greenhouse-gas releases from land use, land-use change, or forestry are entirely compensated by an equivalent accounted removal of carbon dioxide (CO2) from the air during the period between 2021 and 2030. This study investigates the effect of sustainable hydropower production on land-use change in the European Union (EU28) region countries during 1990–2018, using the fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS). The results revealed that land-use change incline with an increase in hydropower energy production. In addition, economic growth, carbon dioxide emissions, and population density are found to be increasing land-use changes, while institutional quality is found to be decreasing land-use change significantly. The finding implies that land-use change in EU28 region countries can be significantly increased by mounting the amount of hydropower energy production to achieve Energy Union aims by 2030. This will finally be spread to combat climate change and environmental pollution. The findings are considered robust as they were checked with DOLS and pooled OLS. The research suggests that the EU28 countries pay attention to the share of hydropower in their renewable energy combination to minimize carbon releases. Politicians and investors in the EU28 region ought to invest further in the efficiency and sustainability of hydropower generation to increase its production and accessibility without further degradation of forest and agricultural conditions. The authorities of the EU28 region should emphasize on efficiency and sustainability of hydropower energy with land-use management to achieve the international commitments for climate, biodiversity, and sustainable development, reduce dependence on fossil fuel, and energy insecurity.

scholarly journals Land Use Dynamics and Optimization from 2000 to 2020 in East Guangdong Province, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 3473
Author(s):  
Yong Lai ◽  
Guangqing Huang ◽  
Shengzhong Chen ◽  
Shaotao Lin ◽  
Wenjun Lin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Landscape Connectivity ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Research Result ◽  
Global Environmental Change ◽  
Ecological Processes ◽  
Buffer Zones ◽  
Conflict Zones ◽  
Land Use Dynamics

Anthropogenic land-use change is one of the main drivers of global environmental change. China has been on a fast track of land-use change since the Reform and Opening-up policy in 1978. In view of the situation, this study aims to optimize land use and provide a way to effectively coordinate the development and ecological protection in China. We took East Guangdong (EGD), an underdeveloped but populous region, as a case study. We used land-use changes indexes to demonstrate the land-use dynamics in EGD from 2000 to 2020, then identified the hot spots for fast-growing areas of built-up land and simulated land use in 2030 using the future land-use simulation (FLUS) model. The results indicated that the cropland and the built-up land changed in a large proportion during the study period. Then we established the ecological security pattern (ESP) according to the minimal cumulative resistance model (MCRM) based on the natural and socioeconomic factors. Corridors, buffer zones, and the key nodes were extracted by the MCRM to maintain landscape connectivity and key ecological processes of the study area. Moreover, the study showed the way to identify the conflict zones between future built-up land expansion with the corridors and buffer zones, which will be critical areas of consideration for future land-use management. Finally, some relevant policy recommendations are proposed based on the research result.

scholarly journals The position of the farm holiday in Austrian tourism

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 697-711 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erika Quendler
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Research ◽  
Relative Position ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Local Context ◽  
Supply Side ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Demand Side ◽  
Tourist Destinations ◽  
Tourist Accommodation

AbstractTourism is vitally important to the Austrian economy. The number of tourist destinations, both farms and other forms of accommodation, in the different regions of Austria is considerably and constantly changing. This paper discusses the position of the ‘farm holiday’ compared to other forms of tourism. Understanding the resilience of farm holidays is especially important but empirical research on this matter remains limited. The term ‘farm holiday’ covers staying overnight on a farm that is actively engaged in agriculture and has a maximum of 10 guest beds. The results reported in this paper are based on an analysis of secondary data from 2000 and 2018 by looking at two types of indicator: (i) accommodation capacity (supply side) and (ii) attractiveness of a destination (demand side). The data sets cover Austria and its NUTS3 regions. The results show the evolution of farm holidays vis-à-vis other forms of tourist accommodation. In the form of a quadrant matrix they also show the relative position of farm holidays regionally. While putting into question the resilience of farm holidays, the data also reveals where farm holidays could act to expand this niche or learn and improve to effect a shift in their respective position relative to the market ‘leaders’. However, there is clearly a need to learn more about farm holidays within the local context. This paper contributes to our knowledge of farm holidays from a regional point of view and tries to elaborate on the need for further research.

The Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform: IEEM Platform Technical Guides: User Guide for the IEEM-enhanced Land Use Land Cover Change Model Dyna-CLUE

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter H. Verburg ◽  
Žiga Malek ◽  
Sean P. Goodwin ◽  
Cecilia Zagaria
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Ecosystem Services ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Environmental Modeling ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Regional Modelling ◽  
Model Application ◽  
Climatic Regions ◽  
Single Region

The Conversion of Land Use and its Effects modeling framework (CLUE) was developed to simulate land use change using empirically quantified relations between land use and its driving factors in combination with dynamic modeling of competition between land use types. Being one of the most widely used spatial land use models, CLUE has been applied all over the world on different scales. In this document, we demonstrate how the model can be used to develop a multi-regional application. This means, that instead of developing numerous individual models, the user only prepares one CLUE model application, which then allocates land use change across different regions. This facilitates integration with the Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform for subnational assessments and increases the efficiency of the IEEM and Ecosystem Services Modeling (IEEMESM) workflow. Multi-regional modelling is particularly useful in larger and diverse countries, where we can expect different spatial distributions in land use changes in different regions: regions of different levels of achieved socio-economic development, regions with different topographies (flat vs. mountainous), or different climatic regions (dry vs humid) within a same country. Accounting for such regional differences also facilitates developing ecosystem services models that consider region specific biophysical characteristics. This manual, and the data that is provided with it, demonstrates multi-regional land use change modeling using the country of Colombia as an example. The user will learn how to prepare the data for the model application, and how the multi-regional run differs from a single-region simulation.

scholarly journals Strong increases in flood frequency and discharge of the River Meuse over the late Holocene: impacts of long-term anthropogenic land use change and climate variability

2008 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 159-175 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. J. Ward ◽  
H. Renssen ◽  
J. C. J. H. Aerts ◽  
R. T. van Balen ◽  
J. Vandenberghe
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Winter Precipitation ◽  
Flood Frequency ◽  
High Flow ◽  
Recurrence Time ◽  
Strong Increase ◽  
Historical Sources

Abstract. In recent years the frequency of high-flow events on the Meuse (northwest Europe) has been relatively great, and flooding has become a major research theme. To date, research has focused on observed discharge records of the last century and simulations of the coming century. However, it is difficult to delineate changes caused by human activities (land use change and greenhouse gas emissions) and natural fluctuations on these timescales. To address this problem we coupled a climate model (ECBilt-CLIO-VECODE) and a hydrological model (STREAM) to simulate daily Meuse discharge in two time-slices: 4000–3000 BP (natural situation), and 1000–2000 AD (includes anthropogenic influence). For 4000–3000 BP the basin is assumed to be almost fully forested; for 1000–2000 AD we reconstructed land use based on historical sources. For 1000–2000 AD the simulated mean annual discharge (260.9 m3 s−1) is significantly higher than for 4000–3000 BP (244.8 m3 s−1), and the frequency of large high-flow events (discharge >3000 m3 s−1) is higher (recurrence time decreases from 77 to 65 years). On a millennial timescale almost all of this increase can be ascribed to land use changes (especially deforestation); the effects of climatic change are insignificant. For the 20th Century, the simulated mean discharge (270.0 m3 s−1) is higher than in any other century studied, and is ca. 2.5% higher than in the 19th Century (despite an increase in evapotranspiration). Furthermore, the recurrence time of large high-flow events is almost twice as short as under natural conditions (recurrence time decreases from 77 to 40 years). On this timescale climate change (strong increase in annual and winter precipitation) overwhelmed land use change as the dominant forcing mechanism.

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