scholarly journals Validation of Predictive Ability of Bobi Score in Burn Patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  

Introduction: Scoring systems have been used successfully in burn centers to predict the prognosis and take measures for careful monitoring of the burned patient. Belgium Outcome Burn Injury score is one of them which takes into consideration age, burn surface area, and presence of inhalation burn. Objectives: This presentation aims to validate the use of the BOBI prognostic score in our patients. Patients and Methods: The study is a retrospective analytical study that utilized the investigation of the medical charts of 1515 patients hospitalized with severe burns within the ICU of the Service of Burns in Tirana, Albania during 2010-2019. Results: The overall mortality of our patients was 7.06% (107 deaths in 1515 patients). Up to BOBI score 6, we have noticed better mortality than prediction while there is a very good prediction up to score 10. Area Under the Curve was 0.978 (p<0.0001) which is an outstanding result in being a classifier between deaths and survivors. Conclusions: BOBI score is a very good prediction score for mortality in burn patients.

BMJ Open ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. e023709 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther MM Van Lieshout ◽  
Daan T Van Yperen ◽  
Margriet E Van Baar ◽  
Suzanne Polinder ◽  
Doeke Boersma ◽  
...  

IntroductionThe Emergency Management of Severe Burns (EMSB) referral criteria have been implemented for optimal triaging of burn patients. Admission to a burn centre is indicated for patients with severe burns or with specific characteristics like older age or comorbidities. Patients not meeting these criteria can also be treated in a hospital without burn centre. Limited information is available about the organisation of care and referral of these patients. The aims of this study are to determine the burn injury characteristics, treatment (costs), quality of life and scar quality of burn patients admitted to a hospital without dedicated burn centre. These data will subsequently be compared with data from patients with<10% total bodysurface area (TBSA) burned who are admitted (or secondarily referred) to a burn centre. If admissions were in agreement with the EMSB, referral criteria will also be determined.Methods and analysisIn this multicentre, prospective, observational study (cohort study), the following two groups of patients will be followed: 1) all patients (no age limit) admitted with burn-related injuries to a hospital without a dedicated burn centre in the Southwest Netherlands or Brabant Trauma Region and 2) all patients (no age limit) with<10% TBSA burned who are primarily admitted (or secondarily referred) to the burn centre of Maasstad Hospital. Data on the burn injury characteristics (primary outcome), EMSB compliance, treatment, treatment costs and outcome will be collected from the patients’ medical files. At 3 weeks and at 3, 6 and 12 months after trauma, patients will be asked to complete the quality of life questionnaire (EuroQoL-5D), and the patient-reported part of the Patient and Observer Scar Assessment Scale (POSAS). At those time visits, the coordinating investigator or research assistant will complete the observer-reported part of the POSAS.Ethics and disseminationThis study has been exempted by the medical research ethics committee Erasmus MC (Rotterdam, The Netherlands). Each participant will provide written consent to participate and remain encoded during the study. The results of the study are planned to be published in an international, peer-reviewed journal.Trial registration numberNTR6565.


2019 ◽  
Vol 121 (09) ◽  
pp. 974-981 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fengmei Guo ◽  
Hua Zhou ◽  
Jian Wu ◽  
Yingzi Huang ◽  
Guozhong Lv ◽  
...  

AbstractNutrition therapy is considered an important treatment of burn patients. The aim of the study was to delineate the nutritional support in severe burn patients and to investigate association between nutritional practice and clinical outcomes. Severe burn patients were enrolled (n 100). In 90 % of the cases, the burn injury covered above 70 % of the total body surface area. Mean interval from injury to nutrition start was 2·4 (sd 1·1) d. Sixty-seven patients were initiated with enteral nutrition (EN) with a median time of 1 d from injury to first feed. Twenty-two patients began with parenteral nutrition (PN). During the study, thirty-two patients developed EN intolerance. Patients received an average of about 70 % of prescribed energy and protein. Patients with EN providing &lt;30 % energy had significantly higher 28- d and in-hospital mortality than patients with EN providing more than 30 % of energy. Mortality at 28 d was 11 % and in-hospital mortality was 45 %. Multiple regression analysis demonstrated that EN providing &lt;30 % energy and septic shock were independent risk factors for 28- d prognosis. EN could be initiated early in severe burn patients. Majority patients needed PN supplementation for energy requirement and EN feeding intolerance. Post-pyloric feeding is more efficient than gastric feeding in EN tolerance and energy supplement. It is difficult for severe burn patients to obtain enough feeding, especially in the early stage of the disease. More than 2 weeks of underfeeding is harmful to recovery.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S6-S7
Author(s):  
Katherine J Choi ◽  
Christopher H Pham ◽  
Zachary J Collier ◽  
Melissa Mert ◽  
Ryan K Ota ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction The four main prognostic models used to determine risk of burn mortality are the revised Baux (rBaux), Belgian Outcome in Burn Injury (BOBI), Abbreviated Burn Severity Index (ABSI), and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA). These models fail to factor in medical comorbidities. The ASA PS (American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status) is a simple scale incorporating severity of traumatic injury with comorbidities, which strongly predicts mortality in surgical patients. The purpose of this study is to determine whether the ASA PS is an adequate adjunct to measure burn severity. Methods All adults admitted to an ABA verified burn center from January 2016 to April 2019 with TBSA ≥10% who underwent surgery were reviewed. Demographics (age, gender, TBSA, race, ASA PS), vital signs (GCS, blood pressure, respiratory rate), and outcome variables (length of stay [LOS], mechanical ventilation [MV] days, and complications) were evaluated. rBaux, BOBI, ABSI, and qSOFA scores were calculated. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. After descriptive statistical analysis, mortality associations of the models were assessed by determining odds ratios. Firth’s logistic regression and area under the receiver operator curves determined the predictive utility of the prognostic scores. Results Of the 183 patients who fit inclusion criteria, median age was 44 years (30–57), and the majority (70%) were male. Median TBSA was 20%, 65% (n=118) had full thickness burns, 14% (n=25) had inhalation injury, and mortality was 9% (n=17). rBaux score was the best predictor of mortality (AUC=.84), ICU LOS (R2=.04), and MV days (R2=.06). For every 10-point increase in rBaux score, there was a 1.7 times increase in mortality (OR=1.7, CI 1.4–2.3, p&lt; .00). The predicted ICU LOS increases from 2.8 to 31.4 days for the lowest and highest rBaux score quartiles. Compared to rBaux scores of 30–53, patients with scores of 54–70 had 4 times more MV days (CI 1.5–11, p&lt; .00). The ASA PS was slightly inferior to rBaux in predicting mortality (AUC=.72), although not statistically significant (p=0.1). As ASA PS score went from I/II to III, III to IV, and IV to V/VI; mortality increased by 2.8 (OR=2.8, CI 1.5–5.5, p&lt; .00). Conclusions rBaux is the best predictor of mortality, ICU LOS, and MV days although ASA PS also predicts mortality. Future studies should determine the combined predictive ability of ASA PS and rBaux. Applicability of Research to Practice rBaux and ASA PS scores can be used to determine risk of mortality in burn patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 52-58
Author(s):  
Matthew Metcalf

Treatment for burn injuries has typically involved the immediate cooling of the affected area with water to reduce pain and halt the progression of heat-induced tissue necrosis. For patients suspected to be at risk of airway compromise following inhalation burn injury, historical research has long advocated early prophylactic endotracheal intubation. In contrast, current literature is showing a change in the evidence base. To investigate this, a literature review was carried out and the evidence scrutinised in conjunction with local and national guidance. Controversy has more recently emerged over whether prophylactic endotracheal intubation is appropriate in the initial emergency management of suspected inhalation burn injury. Compounding this, it appears that no appropriate evidence-based guidelines have yet been made available. Traditional indications for prophylactic endotracheal intubation are sensitive but not specific. Research has subsequently demonstrated that large numbers of patients are being unnecessarily intubated and thus placed at risk of avoidable iatrogenic harm. A higher threshold for airway intervention is warranted. Additionally, a consensus remains over the use of prehospital cooling for burn injuries. This practice is, however, informed primarily by anecdotal and animal evidence. Patients with severe burns are at significant risk of hypothermia, which is associated with mortality. There is significantly more literature demonstrating the detrimental effects of hypothermia over the benefits of burn injury cooling in patients with severe burns. Treatment should therefore focus on the maintenance of normothermia as a priority. If cooling burned areas risks inducing hypothermia, it should be postponed.


Intra-abdominal hypertension (IAH) and abdominal compartment syndrome (ACS) are consistently associated with morbidity and mortality among the critically ill or injured. Thus, avoiding or potentially treating these conditions may improve patient outcomes. Despite a large number of special publications devoted to this problem, very little attention is paid to the ACS in patients with severe burn injuries. Severe burns have been shown to be a risk factor for developing IAH. Fluid resuscitation practices used in burns management further predispose patients to increase intra-abdominal pressure. The incidence of intraabdominal hypertension in patients with severe thermal injury is, according to different authors, 57.8–82.6 %. The mortality associated with IAH in severe burns is very high once organ dysfunction occurs. The purpose of this work is to collect and analyze the problem of abdominal hypertension in burn patients, as well as to draw conclusions on the prevention of this condition and improve the results of treatment of patients with severe burn injury. Intra-abdominal hypertension is a frequent complication in severe burn patients requiring massive fluid resuscitation. Development of ACS in burn patients is associated with high mortality. Prevention, early detection and proper management may avoid this usually fatal complication. Fluid resuscitation volume is directly responsible for the development of ACS in severe burned patients. Thus, optimal fluid resuscitation can be the best prevention of IAH and ACS.


Author(s):  
Rachel M Nygaard ◽  
Frederick W Endorf

Abstract It is well-established that survival in burn injury is primarily dependent on three factors: age, percent total-body surface area burned (%TBSA), and inhalation injury. However, it is clear that in other (nonburn) conditions, nonmedical factors may influence mortality. Even in severe burns, patients undergoing resuscitation may survive for a period of time before succumbing to infection or other complications. In some cases, though, families in conjunction with caregivers may choose to withdraw care and not resuscitate patients with large burns. We wanted to investigate whether any nonmedical socioeconomic factors influenced the rate of early deaths in burn patients. The National Burn Repository (NBR) was used to identify patients that died in the first 72 hours after injury and those that survived more than 72 hours. Both univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to examine factors including age, gender, race, comorbidities, burn size, inhalation injury, and insurance type, and determine their influence on deaths within 72 hours. A total of 133,889 burn patients were identified, 1362 of which died in the first 72 hours. As expected, the Baux score (age plus burn size), and inhalation injury predicted early deaths. Interestingly, on multivariate analysis, patients with Medicare (p = .002), self-pay patients (p < .001), and those covered by automobile policies (p = .045) were significantly more likely to die early than those with commercial insurance. Medicaid patients were more likely to die early, but not significantly (p = .188). Worker’s compensation patients were more likely to survive the first 72 hours compared with patients with commercial insurance (p < .001). Men were more likely to survive the early period than women (p = .043). On analysis by race, only Hispanic patients significantly differed from white patients, and Hispanics were more likely to survive the first 72 hours (p = .028). Traditional medical factors are major factors in early burn deaths. However, these results show that nonmedical socioeconomic factors including race, gender, and especially insurance status influence early burn deaths as well.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jayme A. Farina ◽  
Marina Junqueira Rosique ◽  
Rodrigo G. Rosique

Patients who suffer from severe burns develop metabolic imbalances and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) which can result in multiple organ failure and death. Research aimed at reducing the inflammatory process has yielded new insight into burn injury therapies. In this review, we discuss strategies used to curb inflammation in burn injuries and note that further studies with high quality evidence are necessary.


Author(s):  
Janine Duke ◽  
James Boyd ◽  
Sean Randall ◽  
Mark Fear ◽  
Fiona Wood

ABSTRACTObjectivesWhile the most obvious impact of a burn is a visible scar, there are hidden impacts. The main contributors to adverse health outcomes after burns are the metabolic, inflammatory, immune and endocrine changes that occur in response to the initial injury. These responses have been shown to persist for at least three years after paediatric severe burns, with adverse effects to the circulatory and musculoskeletal systems. Recent evidence demonstrates that minor burns and severe burns can trigger these systemic responses. Currently, minimal data on the long-term effects of burns are available, and the data that do exist are primarily related to paediatric severe burns. We have used population-based record linkage to support a research program to shed light on the spectrum of long-term morbidity, expressed in terms of hospital admissions, experienced by burn patients to guide burn clinicians in the management of their patients. We report here our current findings of post-burn mortality and morbidity.ApproachA population-based longitudinal study using linked hospital morbidity and death data from Western Australia was undertaken of all persons hospitalised for a first burn injury (n=30,997) in 1980–2012 and a frequency matched non-injury comparison cohort, randomly selected from Western Australia’s birth registrations and electoral roll (n = 127,000). Crude admission rates and cumulative length of stay for disease-specific admissions were calculated. Negative binomial and Cox proportional hazards regression modelling were used to generate incidence rate ratios (IRR) and hazard ratios (HR), respectively, adjusting for sociodemographic and health factors. ResultsFor both paediatric and adult burn patients we identified increased long-term all-cause mortality (IRR, 95%CI: <15 years: 1.6, 1.3-2.0; 15-44 years: 1.8, 1.7-2.0; ≥ 45 years: 1.4, 1.3-1.5). Increased post-burn discharge health service use for cardiovascular diseases (IRR, 95%CI: <15 years: 1.3, 1.1-1.6; 15-44 years: 1.6, 1.4-1.7; ≥ 45 years: 1.5, 1.4-1.6) and musculoskeletal conditions (IRR, 95%CI: <20 years: 1.9, 1.7-2.1; ≥ 20 years: 2.0, 1.9-2.1) were also found. Analyses found significantly elevated admission rates for minor and severe burns. Adjusted HRs identified time periods after discharge where burn patients experienced significantly elevated disease-specific incident admissions (results not provided).ConclusionsBoth minor and severe burns were associated with increased long-term cardiovascular and musculoskeletal morbidity and mortality. These results identify treatment needs for burn patients for a prolonged time after discharge. Further research that links primary care and pharmaceutical data is required to facilitate identification of at-risk patients and appropriate treatment pathways to reduce post-burn morbidity.


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nauman Jahangir ◽  
Nicholas Lanzotti ◽  
Kyle Gollon ◽  
Mehwish Farooqi ◽  
Michael Buhnerkempe ◽  
...  

Introduction: In recent years, many scoring models have been proposed to predict clinical outcomes after acute ischemic stroke. Aim of our study was to perform a comparative analysis of these scoring systems to assess predictive reliability. Method: This retrospective single center study included 166 community-based patients presenting with an acute ischemic stroke between 2015 and 2018 who had undergone mechanical thrombectomy with or without IV r-tPA administration prior to the procedure. Patients with unknown 90 day Modified Ranking Scale (mRS) were excluded from the study. We included SPAN-100, THRIVE, HIAT2, iScore , TPI, DRAGON, ASTRAL and HAT predictive models to our study. To predict MRS at 90 days, we first dichotomize mRS into two groups: scores of 0 and 1 and scores 2 and above. We then used logistic regression to find the association between a stroke score and the probability of having a 90-day mRS of 2 or above. Separate univariate logistic regressions were fit for each stroke score. We assessed the ability of each stroke score to predict 90-day mRS using the area-under-the-curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC - plot of sensitivity against 1-specificity). AUC values range from 0.5 to 1 with values above 0.7 showing good discriminatory ability. Results: SPAN-100, HIAT2, iScore, and ASTRAL scores have similar predictive ability with AUC values over 0.7 (Table 1). The ASTRAL score had the highest predictive ability with a score above 31.5 indicating a high likelihood of a 90-day MRS ≥ 2 (Table 1). The TPI, DRAGON, and HAT scores all had AUCs below 0.65 indicating poor predictive performance in our data. Conclusion: The SPAN-100, HIAT2, iScore, and ASTRAL scores reliably predicts 90-day mRS of 2 or greater in patients with acute ischemic stroke.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S159-S160
Author(s):  
Karina J Berenbaum ◽  
Lawrence Gottlieb ◽  
Annemarie O’Connor ◽  
Megan Teele ◽  
Cheryl Esbrook ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction As extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) becomes more popular, there is increasing evidence supporting the safety and feasibility of early physical and occupational therapy (PT, OT) and mobility with patients on ECMO. However, there is limited evidence to support mobilizing burn ECMO patients. This case discusses safety and feasibility and explains how to successfully mobilize a burn patient on ECMO. Methods The patient is a 56-year old male admitted after sustaining 16% total body surface area partial and full thickness burns to his face, neck, forearms, and hands following an explosion at work. He sustained an inhalational injury and was intubated upon admission. Progression of his inhalation injury led to respiratory failure despite maximal ventilatory support. To maintain appropriate oxygenation, he underwent placement of left femoral-left internal jugular veno-venous ECMO (VV-ECMO). The patient received PT and OT throughout his stay in the Burn ICU. After starting ECMO, the patient resumed therapy with a sitting restriction to &lt; 45 degrees of left hip flexion. The critical care, burn, OT, PT, and cardiothoracic surgery teams discussed factors impacting his ability to participate in therapy, e.g., managing sedation to maximize wakefulness and titrating medications due to hypertension. Modifications to therapy treatments were made based on medical changes and the patient’s ability to participate. The patient was seen daily for mobilization by a PT, OT, nurse, and ECMO specialist team. Clinicians had extensive training and experience working with patients with acute mechanical circulatory support. Safety considerations were followed during all therapy sessions, including careful monitoring of ECMO flows, vitals signs, and securement of medical devices. Results While on ECMO for 11 days, the patient was engaged in daily therapy consisting of active exercise, bed mobility, transfers and standing balance activities. ECMO flows were maintained and no adverse events occurred during mobilization. From the first session on ECMO to day of discharge, the patient exhibited a 14-point increase in his Boston University Activity Measure for Post-Acute Care functional outcome score and progressed to ambulating 300 feet. Conclusions Burn patients on VV-ECMO with femoral cannulation can safely and effectively engage in therapy and early mobilization, which yield positive functional outcomes. A well-coordinated inter-disciplinary team and highly skilled staff is essential to provide safe and effective intervention. Applicability of Research to Practice Early mobilization of burn patients on ECMO is feasible and can ameliorate the effects of immobility. Burn therapists are an integral part of the inter-disciplinary team and should be trained to be skilled at providing care for patients on mechanical circulatory support.


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