scholarly journals Relationship between Boro Rice Production and MODIS Derived NDVI for Rice Production Forecasting: A Case Study on Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-40
Author(s):  
BM Refat Faisal ◽  
Hafizur Rahman ◽  
Sukumar Dutta ◽  
Nasrin Sultana ◽  
Md Abu Taleb Pramanik
Keyword(s):  
Crop Production ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Regression Equation ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Production Forecasting ◽  
Terra Modis ◽  
Boro Rice

The present investigation illustrates an inclusive approach to extract remotely sensed Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) (AQUA/TERRA) imageries to find out a relationship with Boro rice production for forecasting crop production in the context of Bangladesh. This study utilizes AQUA/TERRA MODIS reflectance data (250 m resolution) for the month of March (Peak-greenness period) to calculate the average NDVI values by following MODIS based algorithm at district level during 2011-2016. The linear regression analysis of calculated average NDVI and BBS estimated Boro rice production statistics reveals a significant positive relationship due to maximize photosynthetic activities. Among the regression equations from (2011-2016), the highest regression coefficients R2=0.87 and R2=0.85 for AQUA and TERRA MODIS data have been found respectively in 2015. Therefore this regression equation can be used for future estimation of Boro rice production at country scale. However, further testing and simulation of this regression model is required to generate Boro rice production forecasting dataset on timely basis. Hence this study summarizes that, NDVI based regression equation may be an effective process to forecast the Boro rice production which can play an important role in decision-making process relevant to the food security issues of Bangladesh. The Dhaka University Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vol. 8(1), 2019, P 33-40

scholarly journals Remotely Sensed Boro Rice Production Forecasting Using MODIS-NDVI: A Bangladesh Perspective

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 356-375 ◽  
Author(s):  
B.M. Refat Faisal ◽  
Hafizur Rahman ◽  
Nur Hossain Sharifee ◽  
Nasrin Sultana ◽  
Mohammad Imrul Islam ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Regression Coefficient ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Production Model ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Modis Ndvi ◽  
Production Forecasting ◽  
Boro Rice

This research work dealt with the development of an operational methodology with appropriate technical components for monitoring and forecasting of rice crop (Boro) production in Bangladesh. Designed system explores integrated application of remote sensing (RS) sciences and Geographic Information System (GIS) technology. Terra MODIS 16-day Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) maximum value composite (MVC) image product MOD13A1 of 500 m spatial resolution covering Bangladesh have been utilized for a period 2011–2017. Hence the district-wise sum of NDVI on pixel-by-pixel has been calculated from Jan–April during 2011–2017. Regression analysis between district-based pixel-wise summation of MODIS-NDVI and district-wise BBS (Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics) estimated Boro production revealed strong correlation (R2 = 0.57–0.85) where in March most of the regression coefficient shows significant correlation due to maximize photosynthetic activities. Therefore, the highest regression coefficient value from derived set of coefficient value (BCP-Boro Crop Production Model 2) has been utilized to obtain year-wise rice productions for all the years (2011–2017). Global Positioning System (GPS)-based field verification, accuracy assessment and validation operation have been carried out at randomly selected geographical positions over the country using various statistical tools. The results demonstrate good agreement between estimated and predicted yearly Boro rice production during 2011–2017 time period with Mean Bias Error (MBE) = −29,881 to 19,431 M.Ton; Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) = 5238 to 11,852 M.Ton; Model Efficiency (ME) = (0.86–0.94); Correlation Coefficients = 0.65 to 0.87. Therefore MODIS-NDVI based regression model seems to be effective for Boro production forecasting. The system generally appears to be relatively fast, simple, reasonably accurate and suitable for nation-wide crop statistics generation and food security issues.

scholarly journals ESTIMASI PRODUKSI PADI DENGAN ANALISIS CITRA SATELIT LANDSAT 8 DI KABUPATEN KLUNGKUNG PROVINSI BALI

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 93
Author(s):  
Made Arya Bhaskara Putra ◽  
I Wayan Nuarsa ◽  
I Wayan Sandi Adnyana
Keyword(s):  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Satellite Image ◽  
Image Data ◽  
Research Area ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Landsat 8 ◽  
Estimation Model ◽  
Accuracy Test ◽  
Accuracy Level

Rice crop is one of the important commodities that must always be available, so estimation of rice production becomes very important to do before harvesting time to know the food availability. The technology that can be used is remote sensing technology using Landsat 8 Satellite. The aims of this study were (1) to obtain the model of estimation of rice production with Landsat 8 image analysis, and (2) to know the accuracy of the model that obtained by Landsat 8. The research area is located in three sub-districts in Klungkung regency. Analysis in this research was conducted by single band analysis and analysis of vegetation index of satellite image of Landsat 8. Estimation model of rice production was developed by finding the relationship between satellite image data and rice production data. The final stage is the accuracy test of the rice production estimation model, with t test and regression analysis. The results showed: (1) estimation of rice production can be calculated between 67 to 77 days after planting; (2) there was a positive correlation between NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) vegetation index value with rice yield; (3) the model of rice production estimation is y = 2.0442e1.8787x (x is NDVI value of Landsat 8 and y is rice production); (4) The results of the model accuracy test showed that the obtained model is suitable to predict rice production with accuracy level is 89.29% and standard error of production estimation is + 0.443 ton/ha. Based on research results, it can be concluded that Landsat 8 Satellite image can be used to estimate rice production and the accuracy level is 89.29%. The results are expected to be a reference in estimating rice production in Klungkung Regency.

scholarly journals Development of a remote sensing-based rice yield forecasting model

2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. e0907 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mostafa K. Mosleh ◽  
Quazi K. Hassan ◽  
Ehsan H. Chowdhury
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Rice Yield ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Moderate Resolution ◽  
Resolution Imaging ◽  
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer ◽  
Boro Rice

This study aimed to develop a remote sensing-based method for forecasting rice yield by considering vegetation greenness conditions during initial and peak greenness stages of the crop; and implemented for “boro” rice in Bangladeshi context. In this research, we used Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)-derived two 16-day composite of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) images at 250 m spatial resolution acquired during the initial (January 1 to January 16) and peak greenness (March 23/24 to April 6/7 depending on leap year) stages in conjunction with secondary datasets (i.e., boro suitability map, and ground-based information) during 2007-2012 period. The method consisted of two components: (i) developing a model for delineating area under rice cultivation before harvesting; and (ii) forecasting rice yield as a function of NDVI. Our results demonstrated strong agreements between the model (i.e., MODIS-based) and ground-based area estimates during 2010-2012 period, i.e., coefficient of determination (R2); root mean square error (RMSE); and relative error (RE) in between 0.93 to 0.95; 30,519 to 37,451 ha; and ±10% respectively at the 23 district-levels. We also found good agreements between forecasted (i.e., MODIS-based) and ground-based yields during 2010-2012 period (R2 between 0.76 and 0.86; RMSE between 0.21 and 0.29 Mton/ha, and RE between -5.45% and 6.65%) at the 23 district-levels. We believe that our developments of forecasting the boro rice yield would be useful for the decision makers in addressing food security in Bangladesh.

scholarly journals Hybrid Methodology for the Estimation of Crop Coefficients Based on Satellite Imagery and Ground-Based Measurements

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Spiliotopoulos ◽  
Loukas
Keyword(s):  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Atmospheric Correction ◽  
Crop Coefficient ◽  
Experimental Period ◽  
Spectral Measurements ◽  
Image File ◽  
Crop Coefficients

The objective of the current study was the investigation of specific relationships between crop coefficients and vegetation indices (VI) computed at the water-limited environment of Lake Karla Watershed, Thessaly, in central Greece. A Mapping ET (evapotranspiration) at high Resolution and with Internalized Calibration (METRIC) model was used to derive crop coefficient values during the growing season of 2012. The proposed methodology was developed using medium resolution Landsat 7 ETM+ images and meteorological data from a local weather station. Cotton, sugar beets, and corn fields were utilized. During the same period, spectral signatures were obtained for each crop using the field spectroradiometer GER1500 (Spectra Vista Corporation, NY, U.S.A.). Relative spectral responses (RSR) were used for the filtering of the specific reflectance values giving the opportunity to match the spectral measurements with Landsat ETM+ bands. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI) and Enhanced Vegetation Index 2 (EVI2) were then computed, and empirical relationships were derived using linear regression analysis. NDVI, SAVI, and EVI2 were tested separately for each crop. The resulting equations explained those relationships with a very high R2 value (>0.86). These relationships have been validated against independent data. Validation using a new image file after the experimental period gives promising results, since the modeled image file is similar in appearance to the initial one, especially when a crop mask is applied. The CROPWAT model supports those results when using the new crop coefficients to estimate the related crop water requirements. The main benefit of the new approach is that the derived relationships are better adjusted to the crops. The described approach is also less time-consuming because there is no need for atmospheric correction when working with ground spectral measurements.

scholarly journals Estimation of different data compositions for early-season crop type classification

PeerJ ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. e4834 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pengyu Hao ◽  
Mingquan Wu ◽  
Zheng Niu ◽  
Li Wang ◽  
Yulin Zhan
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Remote Sensing Data ◽  
Classification Performance ◽  
Distribution Maps ◽  
Production Forecasting ◽  
Crop Type ◽  
Ndvi Time Series ◽  
Multi Temporal

Timely and accurate crop type distribution maps are an important inputs for crop yield estimation and production forecasting as multi-temporal images can observe phenological differences among crops. Therefore, time series remote sensing data are essential for crop type mapping, and image composition has commonly been used to improve the quality of the image time series. However, the optimal composition period is unclear as long composition periods (such as compositions lasting half a year) are less informative and short composition periods lead to information redundancy and missing pixels. In this study, we initially acquired daily 30 m Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) time series by fusing MODIS, Landsat, Gaofen and Huanjing (HJ) NDVI, and then composited the NDVI time series using four strategies (daily, 8-day, 16-day, and 32-day). We used Random Forest to identify crop types and evaluated the classification performances of the NDVI time series generated from four composition strategies in two studies regions from Xinjiang, China. Results indicated that crop classification performance improved as crop separabilities and classification accuracies increased, and classification uncertainties dropped in the green-up stage of the crops. When using daily NDVI time series, overall accuracies saturated at 113-day and 116-day in Bole and Luntai, and the saturated overall accuracies (OAs) were 86.13% and 91.89%, respectively. Cotton could be identified 40∼60 days and 35∼45 days earlier than the harvest in Bole and Luntai when using daily, 8-day and 16-day composition NDVI time series since both producer’s accuracies (PAs) and user’s accuracies (UAs) were higher than 85%. Among the four compositions, the daily NDVI time series generated the highest classification accuracies. Although the 8-day, 16-day and 32-day compositions had similar saturated overall accuracies (around 85% in Bole and 83% in Luntai), the 8-day and 16-day compositions achieved these accuracies around 155-day in Bole and 133-day in Luntai, which were earlier than the 32-day composition (170-day in both Bole and Luntai). Therefore, when the daily NDVI time series cannot be acquired, the 16-day composition is recommended in this study.

scholarly journals Validation and Accuracy Assessment of MODIS C6.1 Aerosol Products over the Heavy Aerosol Loading Area

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 548 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinpeng Tian ◽  
Zhiqiang Gao
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Accuracy Assessment ◽  
Aerosol Loading ◽  
Deep Blue ◽  
Moderate Resolution ◽  
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer ◽  
Terra Modis ◽  
Reflecting Surface

The aim of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) aerosol optical depth (AOD) products over heavy aerosol loading areas. For this analysis, the Terra-MODIS Collection 6.1 (C6.1) Dark Target (DT), Deep Blue (DB) and the combined DT/DB AOD products for the years 2000–2016 are used. These products are validated using AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET) data from twenty-three ground sites situated in high aerosol loading areas and with available measurements at least 500 days. The results show that the numbers of collections (N) of DB and DT/DB retrievals were much higher than that of DT, which was mainly caused by unavailable retrieval of DT in bright reflecting surface and heavy pollution conditions. The percentage falling within the expected error (PWE) of the DT retrievals (45.6%) is lower than that for the DB (53.4%) and DT/DB (53.1%) retrievals. The DB retrievals have 5.3% less average overestimation, and 25.7% higher match ratio than DT/DB retrievals. It is found that the current merged aerosol algorithm will miss some cases if it is determined only on the basis of normalized difference vegetation index. As the AOD increases, the value of PWE of the three products decreases significantly; the undervaluation is suppressed, and the overestimation is aggravated. The retrieval accuracy shows distinct seasonality: the PWE is largest in autumn or winter, and smallest in summer. The most severe overestimation and underestimation occurred in the summer. Moreover, the DT, DB and DT/DB products over different land cover types still exhibit obvious deviations. In urban areas, the PWE of DB product (52.6%) is higher than for the DT/DB (46.3%) and DT (25.2%) products. The DT retrievals perform poorly over the barren or sparsely vegetated area (N = 52). However, the performance of three products is similar over vegetated area. On the whole, the DB product performs better than the DT product over the heavy aerosol loading area.

Assessing Hemlock Decline Using Visible and Near-Infrared Spectroscopy: Indices Comparison and Algorithm Development

2005 ◽  
Vol 59 (6) ◽  
pp. 836-843 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer Pontius ◽  
Richard Hallett ◽  
Mary Martin
Keyword(s):  
Linear Regression ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Near Infrared ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Accuracy Assessment ◽  
Stress Index ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Near Infrared Reflectance ◽  
Full Spectrum ◽  
Hemlock Decline

Near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy was evaluated for its effectiveness at predicting pre-visual decline in eastern hemlock trees. An ASD FieldSpec Pro FR field spectroradiometer measuring 2100 contiguous 1-nm-wide channels from 350 nm to 2500 nm was used to collect spectra from fresh hemlock foliage. Full spectrum partial least squares (PLS) regression equations and reduced stepwise linear regression equations were compared. The best decline predictive model was a 6-term linear regression equation ( R2 = 0.71, RMSE = 0.591) based on: Carter Miller Stress Index (R694/R760), Derivative Chlorophyll Index (FD705/FD723), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ((R800 – R680)/(R800 + R680)), R950, R1922, and FD1388. Accuracy assessment showed that this equation predicted an 11-class decline rating with a 1-class tolerance accuracy of 96% and differentiated healthy trees from those in very early decline with 72% accuracy. These results indicate that narrow-band sensors could be developed to detect very early stages of hemlock decline, before visual symptoms are apparent. This capability would enable land managers to identify early hemlock woolly adelgid infestations and monitor forest health over large areas of the landscape.

scholarly journals The Aggression of Human Activities on Chalanbeel a Threat on Wetland Environment: Study on Natore - Rajshahi Region of Bangladesh

2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 151-159
Author(s):  
MM Rahman ◽  
MR Rahman ◽  
M Asaduzzaman
Keyword(s):  
Crop Production ◽  
Biological Diversity ◽  
Public Awareness ◽  
Road Construction ◽  
Northern Region ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Cropping Pattern ◽  
Management Options ◽  
Large Reservoir ◽  
Boro Rice

The Chalanbeel is the main wetland of Northwestern region of Bangladesh. It is not only the source of water but also one of the main sources of occupation for thousands of people. It supplies fresh water as well as abundant of aquatic resources. This wetland is the large source of native fishes. It plays a vital role to keep the environment of the surrounding vast region balanced. It makes the land fertile, alluvial and alive for whole the year round. It is also a large reservoir of biological diversity of this region. Recently the aggression of man on this great beel increases in such a rate that the overall environment of this wetland fall in a crisis. It is going to loss its tradition and pride of her resources. Specially the aggression of settlement and road construction along the wetland hampered the natural characteristics. Reach it and an investigation was conducted to study the overall condition of the wetland. The observation indicates horror news for both the environment and its inhabitant of the surrounding area. Soils under lower Natore- Rajshahi region of Bangladesh with a view to evaluate the agricultural potentiality, environmental condition and their management options. The studied wetlands were nutritionally very productive. It is believed that the soils of this area became enriched by siltation during flooding. Soil textural condition is very much appropriate for rice production in these basin floodplains. The content of nitrogen and boron is low. Probably, the denitrification process leads to the loss of nitrogen in these soils; other nutrients seem to be in balanced condition for the successful growth of deep water aman and boro rice. High yielding boro rice got preference over broadcast aman and aous as major rice crops in the area. Availability of irrigation water in the dry periods and deep inundation level in the monsoon may be the main cause of such cropping pattern. Recently a problem is found that is the gradual decreasing of crop production in these areas. Both soil fertility and water table deterioration is noticed as the main causes of this alarming news for North Bengal. As this area is consider as the rice production zone of Northern region of Bangladesh. Over pumping of water during dry season is also a cause to deteriorate the environmental balanced of this wetland. For the betterment of grater environment of this area it is essential to take necessary step to stop all kind of human aggression on wetland. Public awareness should increase about the matter. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3329/jsf.v8i1-2.14638 J. Sci. Foundation, 8(1&2): 151-159, June-December 2010

scholarly journals Applicability of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) in Index-Based Crop Insurance Design

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 271-284 ◽  
Author(s):  
Calum G. Turvey ◽  
Megan K. Mclaurin
Keyword(s):  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Crop Insurance ◽  
The United States ◽  
Extreme Heat ◽  
Precipitation Extreme ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Agricultural Insurance

Abstract Index insurance is becoming increasingly popular because of its ability to provide low-cost, relatively easy to implement agricultural insurance for vegetation types whose productivity has been notoriously difficult to measure and to farmers in less-developed nations where traditional crop insurance schemes are not reasonable to implement. This study examines if the remotely sensed normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) can be an effective basis for index-based crop insurance over a diverse set of locations. To do this the authors compare Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) values to cumulative precipitation, extreme heat, and crop yields for 60 locations across the United States for the years 1982–2003. Quadratic regression equations are used to explore these relationships. The findings suggest that the relationship between NDVI, precipitation, extreme heat, and crop yields is highly variable and dependent on location-specific characteristics. Without site-specific calibration, NDVI should not be widely applied to index-based insurance product design. However, NDVI may still be a useful tool in insurance design under certain circumstances. This may be disappointing to proponents of NDVI as a risk transfer mechanism but the authors believe it important to report negative results as a caveat, and to give researchers and practitioners pause before investing time and money into the proposition.

scholarly journals Exploring Climate Change Effects on Vegetation Phenology by MOD13Q1 Data: The Piemonte Region Case Study in the Period 2001–2019

Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 555
Author(s):  
Filippo Sarvia ◽  
Samuele De Petris ◽  
Enrico Borgogno-Mondino
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Arable Land ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Climate Change Effects ◽  
Earth Observation Data ◽  
Nw Italy ◽  
Terra Modis ◽  
Phenological Metrics

Rising temperature, rainfall, and wind regime changes, increasing of frequency and intensity of extreme events are only some of the effects of climate change affecting the agro-forestry sector. Earth Observation data from satellite missions (often available for free) can certainly support analysis of climate change effects on vegetation, making possible to improve land management in space and time. Within this context, the present work aims at investigating natural and agricultural vegetation, as mapped by Corine Land Cover (CLC) dataset, focusing on phenological metrics trends that can be possibly conditioned by the ongoing climate-change. The study area consists of the entire Piemonte region (NW-Italy). MOD13Q1-v6 dataset from TERRA MODIS mission was used to describe pluri-annual (2001–2019) phenological behavior of vegetation focusing on the following CLC classes: Non-irrigated arable land, Vineyards, Pastures, and Forests. After computing and mapping some phenological metrics as derivable from the interpretation of at-pixel level NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) temporal profile, we found that the most significant one was the maximum annual NDVI (MaxNDVI). Consequently, its trend was analyzed at CLC class level for the whole Piemonte region. Natural and semi-natural vegetation classes (Pastures and Forests) were furtherly investigated testing significance of the Percent Total Variation (TV %) of MaxNDVI in the period 2001–2019 for different altitude classes. Results proved that Non-irrigated arable land showed a not significant trend of MaxNDVI; differently, vineyards and forests showed a significant increasing one. Concerning TV %, it was found that it increases with altitude for the Forests CLC class, while it decreases with altitude for the pastures class.

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