scholarly journals A Novel Nomogram for Predicting the Risk of Short-Term Recurrence After Surgery in Glioma Patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianwei Wang ◽  
Chihao Zhu ◽  
Shuyu Zheng ◽  
Zhijun Liao ◽  
Binghong Chen ◽  
...  

ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to establish a nomogram model for predicting the risk of short-term recurrence in glioma patients.MethodsThe clinical data of recurrent glioma patients were summarized and analyzed in this study. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to analyze the correlation between clinical data and the risk of short-term recurrence after operation. A nomogram was established based on the multivariate logistic regression model results.ResultsA total of 175 patients with recurrent glioma were enrolled, with 53 patients in the short-term recurrence (STR) group (recurrent time ≤6 months) and 122 patients in the long-term recurrence (LTR) group (recurrent time ≥36 months). Univariate analysis revealed that age at diagnosis, Karnofsky performance scores (KPSs), tumor location, glioma grade, glioma type, extent of resection (EOR), adjuvant chemotherapy (ad-CT), concurrent chemotherapy (co-CT), and isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) status were significantly associated with the short-term glioma recurrence. Multivariate analyses revealed that age at diagnosis, KPS, glioma grade, EOR, and IDH were independent risk factors for short-term glioma recurrence. A risk nomogram for the short-term recurrence of glioma was established, with the concordance index (C-index) of 0.971. The findings of calibration and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showed that our nomogram model had good performance and discrimination to estimate short-term recurrence probability.ConclusionThis nomogram model provides reliable information about the risk of short-term glioma recurrence for oncologists and neurosurgeons. This model can predict the short-term recurrence probability and give assistance to decide the interval of follow-up or formulate individualized treatment strategies based on the predicted results. A free online prediction risk tool for this nomogram is provided: https://rj2021.shinyapps.io/Nomogram_ recurrence-risk/.

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xueqian Wang ◽  
Xuejiao Ma ◽  
Mo Yang ◽  
Yan Wang ◽  
Yi Xie ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Lung cancer was often accompanied by depression and anxiety. Nowadays, most investigations for depression and anxiety were concentrated in western medical hospitals, while few related studies have been carried out in the tradition Chinese medicine (TCM) ward. It was necessary to understand the prevalence and risk factors of depression and anxiety in the inpatients with lung cancer in TCM hospital. Methods This study adopted cross-sectional research method, which enrolled a total of 222 inpatients with lung cancer in TCM hospital. PHQ-9 and GAD-7 scales were used to assess depression and anxiety for the inpatients, respectively. Demographic and clinical data were also collected. Statistical methods of the univariate analysis and the multivariate logistic regression model were used. Results The prevalence of depression and anxiety in the inpatients with lung cancer were 58.1% and 34.2%, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis prompted that the common risk factor of depression and anxiety was the symptom of insomnia. Constipation and gender were the two anther risk factors of depression. Conclusion Depression and anxiety were common for the inpatients with lung cancer in TCM hospital. Gender, insomnia and constipation were risk factors for depression, and insomnia was risk factor for anxiety. Therefore, medical workers should pay close attention to the emotional changes of these high-risk patients and intervene the symptoms as early as possible.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 636
Author(s):  
N. Rajeshwari ◽  
A. Savitha ◽  
J. Prahada

Background: “Signs of inflammation that can kill” (SICK) score is one of the severities scoring systems used for predicting outcome of children at admission. The aim of the present study was to study the clinical and demographic profile of children admitted to Paediatric ward, to assess the usefulness of SICK score in predicting the mortality and evaluate the risk factors in predicting mortality.  Methods: SICK scoring was done for 369 children on admission. The outcome was recorded as death or discharge. The associated factors were analysed using SPSS software package analysis. Receiver operating curve was used to arrive at the cut-off point of SICK score for predicting mortality. Quantitative data differences between children who died and children who were discharged from the hospital were analysed using student independent t test. Need for assisted ventilation, presence of shock, age less than 3 years, and SICK score>2 were studied to find their association with mortality. Statistical analysis was done using univariate analysis and those factors that were significantly associated with mortality were subjected multivariate logistic regression analysis.Results: The performance of SICK score was “excellent” in discriminating between death and survival with area under the receiver operating characteristics curve 0.94. Age<3-year presence of shock, need for mechanical ventilation and SICK score>2 showed statistically significant association with mortality as evidenced by multivariate logistic regression model.  Conclusions: SICK score performed extremely well in predicting mortality on admission. Age<3 years, SICK score>2, Presence of Shock and need for assisted ventilation showed statistically significant association with mortality.


2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 198-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Miguel Rivera-Caravaca ◽  
Inmaculada Viedma-Viedma ◽  
Vanessa Roldán

Introduction: Treatment of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is classically based on oral vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). Due to the disadvantages and side effects of these drugs, monitoring the quality of anticoagulation by assessing time within therapeutic range (TTR) is recommended. Variables altering the TTR in patients with VTE are yet to be determined. The aim of this study was to analyze the quality of anticoagulation in patients with VTE treated with VKAs and to identify factors associated with poor-quality anticoagulation. Methods: A retrospective observational study was performed in a cohort of 94 patients diagnosed with VTE undergoing treatment with VKAs. The TTR at 6 months was analyzed by the Rosendaal method. Univariate and a multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to unravel factors that increase risk of poor-quality anticoagulation. Results: The TTR at 6 months in this cohort was 60.5%; 54 patients had a TTR < 65%. In the univariate analysis, female sex, age ≥ 65 years, and renal impairment were significantly associated with poor-quality anticoagulation. However, in the multivariate logistic regression model, only renal impairment was independently associated with poor-quality anticoagulation (odds ratio = 3.31, 95% confidence interval [1.049, 10.486], p = .041). Discussion: The average quality of anticoagulation was 60.5%, and a high percentage of patients had a quality of anticoagulation below recommended levels. Study findings indicate that renal impairment is an independent risk factor for poor-quality anticoagulation in patients with VTE treated with VKAs.


2022 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Huang ◽  
Xuejun Zhang ◽  
Jian Zhou ◽  
Gang Li ◽  
Gang Zheng ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective To analyse the risk factors for intracranial infection after neuroendoscopic transnasal pituitary adenoma resection (NTPAR) to provide a reference for the prevention and treatment of postoperative intracranial infection. Methods The clinical data of 387 patients who underwent NTPAR in the Department of Neurosurgery of the First People’s Hospital of Yichang from March 2013 to March 2021 were retrospectively analysed. The patients were divided into an infected group and a noninfected group according to the occurrence of intracranial infection. The detailed clinical data of the two groups were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used to analyse the risk factors for intracranial infection after NTPAR. Results Among the 387 surgical patients, 32 patients (8.27%) were in the intracranially infected group and 355 patients (91.73%) were in the noninfected group. The results of the univariate analysis suggested that age > 45 years, tumour size > 1 cm, operation time > 240 min, blood loss > 400 ml, Kelly Grade of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leakage > Grade 2, postoperative CSF leakage, lumbar cistern drainage and blood transfusion were the influencing factors for postoperative intracranial infection, while the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis implied that intraoperative CSF leakage (Kelly Grade > 2) and postoperative CSF leakage were independent influencing factors for intracranial infection after NTPAR, and perioperative use of antibiotics was an independent protective factor for postoperative intracranial infection. Conclusions There are a variety of risk factors for intracranial infection after NTPAR, which indicates that it is necessary to develop different repair strategies for CSF leakage according to the Kelly Grade, timely treatment of postoperative CSF leakage and perioperative use of antibiotics. These measures have been shown to effectively reduce the probability of intracranial infection after NTPAR.


2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (40) ◽  
pp. 5213-5219
Author(s):  
Yun Chen ◽  
Jinwei Zheng ◽  
Junping Chen

Background: Postoperative delirium (POD) is a very common complication in elderly patients with gastric cancer (GC) and associated with poor prognosis. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) serve as key post-transcriptional regulators of gene expression via targeting mRNAs and play important roles in the nervous system. This study aimed to investigate the potential predictive role of miRNAs for POD. Methods: Elderly GC patients who were scheduled to undergo elective curative resection were consequently enrolled in this study. POD was assessed at 1 day before surgery and 1-7 days after surgery following the guidance of the 5th edition of Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM V, 2013). The demographics, clinicopathologic characteristics and preoperative circulating miRNAs by quantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) were compared between patients with or without POD. Risk factors for POD were assessed via univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Results: A total of 370 participants were enrolled, of which 63 had suffered from POD within postoperative 7 days with an incidence of 17.0%. Preoperative miR-210 was a predictor for POD with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.921, a cut-off value of 1.67, a sensitivity of 95.11%, and a specificity of 92.06%, (P<0.001). In the multivariate logistic regression model, the relative expression of serum miR-210 was an independent risk factor for POD (OR: 3.37, 95%CI: 1.98–5.87, P=0.003). Conclusions: In conclusion, the present study highlighted that preoperative miR-210 could serve as a potential predictor for POD in elderly GC patients undergoing curative resection.


2021 ◽  
pp. 000313482110241
Author(s):  
Christine Tung ◽  
Junko Ozao-Choy ◽  
Dennis Y. Kim ◽  
Christian de Virgilio ◽  
Ashkan Moazzez

There are limited studies regarding outcomes of replacing an infected mesh with another mesh. We reviewed short-term outcomes following infected mesh removal and whether placement of new mesh is associated with worse outcomes. Patients who underwent hernia repair with infected mesh removal were identified from 2005 to 2018 American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. They were divided into new mesh (Mesh+) or no mesh (Mesh-) groups. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to compare morbidity between the two groups and to identify associated risk factors. Of 1660 patients, 49.3% received new mesh, with higher morbidity in the Mesh+ (35.9% vs. 30.3%; P = .016), but without higher rates of surgical site infection (SSI) (21.3% vs. 19.7%; P = .465). Mesh+ had higher rates of acute kidney injury (1.3% vs. .4%; P = .028), UTI (3.1% vs. 1.3%, P = .014), ventilator dependence (4.9% vs. 2.4%; P = .006), and longer LOS (8.6 vs. 7 days, P < .001). Multivariate logistic regression showed new mesh placement (OR: 1.41; 95% CI: 1.07-1.85; P = .014), body mass index (OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.03; P = .022), and smoking (OR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.05-1.95; P = .025) as risk factors independently associated with increased morbidity. New mesh placement at time of infected mesh removal is associated with increased morbidity but not with SSI. Body mass index and smoking history continue to contribute to postoperative morbidity during subsequent operations for complications.


2021 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Luo ◽  
Huan Zeng ◽  
Mao Zeng ◽  
Xueqing Liu ◽  
Xianglong Xu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background After the implementation of the universal two-child policy in China, the increase in parity has led to an increase in adverse pregnancy outcomes. The impact of one and two fetuses on the incidence of fetal macrosomia has not been fully confirmed in China. This study aimed to explore the differences in the incidence of fetal macrosomia in first and second pregnancies in Western China after the implementation of the universal two-child policy. Methods A total of 1598 pregnant women from three hospitals were investigated by means of a cross-sectional study from August 2017 to January 2018. Participants were recruited by convenience and divided into first and second pregnancy groups. These groups included 1094 primiparas and 504 women giving birth to their second child. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to discuss the differences in the incidence of fetal macrosomia in first and second pregnancies. Results No significant difference was found in the incidence of macrosomia in the first pregnancy group (7.2%) and the second pregnancy group (7.1%). In the second-time pregnant mothers, no significant association was found between the macrosomia of the second child (5.5%) and that of the first child (4.7%). The multivariate logistic regression model showed that mothers older than 30 years are not likely to give birth to children with macrosomia (odds ratio (OR) 0.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.4,0.9). Conclusions The incidence of macrosomia in Western China is might not be affected by the birth of the second child and is not increased by low parity.


2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Fernandes ◽  
Beatriz Donato ◽  
Adriana Paixão Fernandes ◽  
Luís Falcão ◽  
Mário Raimundo ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims Anemia is a well-know complication of Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) and it seems to contribute for deterioration of kidney function. Experimental data suggest that anemia produces hypoxia of tubular cells which leads to tubulointerstitial damage resulting on CKD progression. Other mechanism described is that red blood cells have antioxidant properties that prevent the damage of tubulointerstitial cells and glomerulosclerosis from oxidative stress. There aren’t many observational studies that evaluated the association between anemia and progression of CKD. Therefore, our aim was to evaluate the association of anemia and CKD progression and its association outcomes in an outpatient ND-CKD population. Method We conduct a retrospective, patient-level, cohort analysis of all adult ND-CKD patients evaluated in an outpatient nephrology clinic over a 6 years period. The follow up time was at least 12 months. Anemia was defined according to the WHO definition (hemoglobin [hb] &lt; 13.0 g/dL in men and 12.0 g/dL in women). Progression of CKD was defined by one of the following criteria: decline in eGFR (CKD-EPI) superior to 5 ml/min/1.73 m2/year; duplication of serum creatinine or the need renal replacement therapy. Demographics and clinical data were also accessed. Results Out of 3008 patients referred to the nephrology clinic, 49.9% had anemia (mean age 71.9±15.9 years; 50.4% male; 92% white; mean follow-up time of 2.3±1.2 years). The mean Hb was 11.8 ±1.9 g/dL. Important cardiovascular comorbidities in patients with anemia were arterial hypertension (86.7%), obesity (65.5%), Diabetes Mellitus (DM) (52%) and dyslipidemia (46%). In univariate analysis, mortality was associated with anemia (36.9 vs 13.0%, p&lt;0.001), obesity (30.1 vs 21.8%, p&lt;0.001) and DM (30.1 vs 21.1%, p&lt;0.001). Of the patients with anemia, 738 met the criteria for CKD progression. In univariate analysis, CKD progression was associated with anemia (49.6 vs 43.9%, p=0.002), male gender (49.5 vs 43.6% p= 0.001); DM (49.6 vs 44.8 % p=0.009) and hypertension (47.9 vs 42.3% p=0.0018). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, anemia emerged was an independent predictor of CKD progression (OR 1.435, CI 95% 1.21-1.71, p&lt;0,001). Comparing hb values intervals (hb ≤10g/dl; hb10-12 g/dL; hb ≥12 g/dL), in the multivariate logistic regression analysis, hb ≤10g/dl was not associated with CKD progression and hb value between 10-12 g/dL was associated (OR 1,486, CI 95% 1.23-1.80, p&lt;0,001), when compared with the group with hb ≥12g/dL. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the independent predictors of mortality were: older age (OR per 1 year increase: 1.048, 95% CI 95% 1.04-1.06, p&lt;0.001); arterial hypertension (OR 0.699 CI 95% 0.51-0.96, p=0.0029); obesity (OR 0.741, CI 95% 0.60-0.91, p=0.004) and hb value (OR per 1 g/dL decrease: 1.301, CI 95% 1.23-1.38, p&lt;0.001). Cardiovascular events were correlated with Hb levels between 10-12 g/dL (univariate analysis: OR 2.021, CI 95% 1.27-3.22, P=0.003), but not with the group with hb≤10 g/dL (univariate analysis: OR 1.837, CI 95% 0.96-3.51, P=0.066), having the group with hb ≥12g/dL was reference. Anemia was strongly associated with hospitalizations (multivariate logistic regression analysis: OR per 1 g/dL of Hb decrease: 1.256 CI 95% 1.12-1.32 p&lt;0.001), and this strong association was also observed on the groups with hb hb≤10 g/dL (multivariate logistic regression analysis: OR 3.591 CI 95% 32.67-4.84 p&lt;0.001) and between 10-12 g/dL (multivariate logistic regression analysis: OR 1.678 CI 95% 1.40-2.02, p&lt;0.001) Conclusion Our study suggests that anemia, at first consultation, increases the risk for rapid CKD progression and global mortality. This study could guide us on the development of futures studies in order to prove if anemia correction can slow the progression of CKD.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Brian H. Rowe ◽  
Esther H. Yang ◽  
Lindsay A. Gaudet ◽  
Leeor Eliyahu ◽  
Daniela R. Junqueira ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVE Patients with concussion frequently present to the emergency department (ED). Studies of athletes and children indicate that concussion symptoms are often more severe and prolonged in females compared with males. Given infrequent study of concussion symptoms in the general adult population, the authors conducted a sex-based comparison of patients with concussion. METHODS Adults (≥ 17 years of age) presenting with concussion to one of three urban Canadian EDs were recruited. Discharged patients were contacted by telephone 30 and 90 days later to capture the extent of persistent postconcussion symptoms using the Rivermead Post Concussion Symptoms Questionnaire (RPQ). A multivariate logistic regression model for persistent symptoms that included biological sex was developed. RESULTS Overall, 250 patients were included; 131 (52%) were women, and the median age of women was significantly higher than that of men (40 vs 32 years). Women had higher RPQ scores at baseline (p < 0.001) and the 30-day follow-up (p = 0.001); this difference resolved by 90 days. The multivariate logistic regression identified that women, patients having a history of sleep disorder, and those presenting to the ED with concussions after a motor vehicle collision were more likely to experience persistent symptoms. CONCLUSIONS In a community concussion sample, inconsequential demographic differences existed between adult women and men on ED presentation. Based on self-reported and objective outcomes, work and daily activities may be more affected by concussion and persistent postconcussion symptoms for women than men. Further analysis of these differences is required to identify different treatment options and ensure adequate care and management of injury.


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