scholarly journals A Forecast Model of the Number of Containers for Containership Voyage

Algorithms ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 193
Author(s):  
Yuchuang Wang ◽  
Guoyou Shi ◽  
Xiaotong Sun
Keyword(s):  
Container Terminal ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Gray Relational Analysis ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Container Ship ◽  
Kernel Support Vector Machine ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Svm Model ◽  
Pass Through

Container ships must pass through multiple ports of call during a voyage. Therefore, forecasting container volume information at the port of origin followed by sending such information to subsequent ports is crucial for container terminal management and container stowage personnel. Numerous factors influence container allocation to container ships for a voyage, and the degree of influence varies, engendering a complex nonlinearity. Therefore, this paper proposes a model based on gray relational analysis (GRA) and mixed kernel support vector machine (SVM) for predicting container allocation to a container ship for a voyage. First, in this model, the weights of influencing factors are determined through GRA. Then, the weighted factors serve as the input of the SVM model, and SVM model parameters are optimized through a genetic algorithm. Numerical simulations revealed that the proposed model could effectively predict the number of containers for container ship voyage and that it exhibited strong generalization ability and high accuracy. Accordingly, this model provides a new method for predicting container volume for a voyage.

Forecast Model for Gas Well Productivity Based on GA and SVM

2011 ◽  
Vol 71-78 ◽  
pp. 4958-4962
Author(s):  
Chun Bi Xu ◽  
Jing Cheng Liu ◽  
Jun Li
Keyword(s):  
Forecast Model ◽  
Maximum Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Gas Well ◽  
Well Productivity ◽  
Engineering Research ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Svm Model ◽  
Practical Engineering ◽  
Bp Neural Network Model

The accurate prediction of gas well productivity is an important task in gas reservoir engineering research. According to the global optimization ability of the genetic algorithm (GA) and the superior regression performance of the support vector machine (SVM), this paper proposed a method based on GA and SVM to improve the prediction accuracy. As the proposed model can reduce the dimensionality of data space and preserve features of gas well productivity, compared with BP neural network model, the proposed GA-SVM model for gas well productivity in practical engineering has higher accuracy and speed, the maximum error is 1.5%. Thus, it provided a new method for the forecast of gas well productivity.

scholarly journals Predicting Corporate Financial Sustainability Using Novel Business Analytics

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 64 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyoung-jae Kim ◽  
Kichun Lee ◽  
Hyunchul Ahn
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Financial Sustainability ◽  
Business Analytics ◽  
Financial Distress Prediction ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Distress Prediction

Measuring and managing the financial sustainability of the borrowers is crucial to financial institutions for their risk management. As a result, building an effective corporate financial distress prediction model has been an important research topic for a long time. Recently, researchers are exerting themselves to improve the accuracy of financial distress prediction models by applying various business analytics approaches including statistical and artificial intelligence methods. Among them, support vector machines (SVMs) are becoming popular. SVMs require only small training samples and have little possibility of overfitting if model parameters are properly tuned. Nonetheless, SVMs generally show high prediction accuracy since it can deal with complex nonlinear patterns. Despite of these advantages, SVMs are often criticized because their architectural factors are determined by heuristics, such as the parameters of a kernel function and the subsets of appropriate features and instances. In this study, we propose globally optimized SVMs, denoted by GOSVM, a novel hybrid SVM model designed to optimize feature selection, instance selection, and kernel parameters altogether. This study introduces genetic algorithm (GA) in order to simultaneously optimize multiple heterogeneous design factors of SVMs. Our study applies the proposed model to the real-world case for predicting financial distress. Experiments show that the proposed model significantly improves the prediction accuracy of conventional SVMs.

Multivariate information fusion for identifying antifungal peptides with Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haohao Zhou ◽  
Hao Wang ◽  
Yijie Ding ◽  
Jijun Tang
Keyword(s):  
Fungal Infections ◽  
Practical Significance ◽  
Gaussian Kernel ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Sequence Information ◽  
Kernel Support Vector Machine ◽  
Svm Model ◽  
Antifungal Peptides ◽  
Independence Criterion ◽  
Better Than

Background: Antifungal peptides (AFP) have been found to be effective against many fungal infections. Objective: However, it is difficult to identify AFP. Therefore, it is great practical significance to identify AFP via machine learning methods (with sequence information). Method: In this study, a Multi-Kernel Support Vector Machine (MKSVM) with Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) is proposed. Proteins are encoded with five types of features (188-bit, AAC, ASDC, CKSAAP, DPC), and then construct kernels using Gaussian kernel function. HSIC are used to combine kernels and multi-kernel SVM model is built. Results: Our model performed well on three AFPs datasets and the performance is better than or comparable to other state-of-art predictive models. Conclusion: Our method will be a useful tool for identifying antifungal peptides.

SVM MODELS FOR DIAGNOSING BALANCE PROBLEMS USING STATISTICAL FEATURES OF THE MTC SIGNAL

2008 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 317-331 ◽  
Author(s):  
DANIEL T. H. LAI ◽  
REZAUL BEGG ◽  
MARIMUTHU PALANISWAMI
Keyword(s):  
Feature Selection Method ◽  
Gaussian Kernel ◽  
Polynomial Kernel ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Statistical Features ◽  
Gait Patterns ◽  
Healthy Elderly ◽  
Svm Model ◽  
Balance Problems

Trip-related falls are a major problem in the elderly population and research in the area has received much attention recently. The focus has been on devising ways of identifying individuals at risk of sustaining such falls. The main aim of this work is to explore the effectiveness of models based on Support Vector Machines (SVMs) for the automated recognition of gait patterns that exhibit falling behavior. Minimum toe clearance (MTC) during continuous walking on a treadmill was recorded on 10 healthy elderly and 10 elderly with balance problems and with a history of tripping falls. Statistical features obtained from MTC histograms were used as inputs to the SVM model to classify between the healthy and balance-impaired subjects. The leave-one-out technique was utilized for training the SVM model in order to find the optimal model parameters. Tests were conducted with various kernels (linear, Gaussian and polynomial) and with a change in the regularization parameter, C, in an effort to identify the optimum model for this gait data. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) plots of sensitivity and specificity were further used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the model. The maximum accuracy was found to be 90% using a Gaussian kernel with σ2 = 10 and the maximum ROC area 0.98 (80% sensitivity and 100% specificity), when all statistical features were used by the SVM models to diagnose gait patterns of healthy and balance-impaired individuals. This accuracy was further improved by using a feature selection method in order to reduce the effect of redundant features. It was found that two features (standard deviation and maximum value) were adequate to give an improved accuracy of 95% (90% sensitivity and 100% specificity) using a polynomial kernel of degree 2. These preliminary results are encouraging and could be useful not only for diagnostic applications but also for evaluating improvements in gait function in the clinical/rehabilitation contexts.

Model-Based EEG Analysis: Proposal and Verification of Mathematical Model for Application to Neurotechnology

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenyu Uehara ◽  
Takashi Saito
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Binary Classification ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Mental Condition ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Eeg Analysis ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Proposed Model

Abstract We have modeled dynamics of EEG with one degree of freedom nonlinear oscillator and examined the relationship between mental state of humans and model parameters simulating behavior of EEG. At the IMECE conference last year, Our analysis method identified model parameters sequentially so as to match the waveform of experimental EEG data of the alpha band using one second running window. Results of temporal variation of model parameters suggested that the mental condition such as degree of concentration could be directly observed from the dynamics of EEG signal. The method of identifying the model parameters in accordance with the EEG waveform is effective in examining the dynamics of EEG strictly, but it is not suitable for practical use because the analysis (parameter identification) takes a long time. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to test the proposed model-based analysis method for general application as a neurotechnology. The mathematical model used in neuroscience was improved for practical use, and the test was conducted with the cooperation of four subjects. model parameters were experimentally identified approximately every one second by using least square method. We solved a binary classification problem of model parameters using Support Vector Machine. Results show that our proposed model-based EEG analysis is able to discriminate concentration states in various tasks with an accuracy of over 80%.

A computational model for predicting transmembrane regions of retroviruses

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (03) ◽  
pp. 1750010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ze Liu ◽  
Hongqiang Lv ◽  
Jiuqiang Han ◽  
Ruiling Liu
Keyword(s):  
Selection Criterion ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Evolutionary Information ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Hydrophobic Residues ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Svm Model ◽  
Feature Importance ◽  
Covalently Linked ◽  
Env Glycoprotein

Transmembrane region (TR) is a conserved region of transmembrane (TM) subunit in envelope (env) glycoprotein of retrovirus. Evidences have shown that TR is responsible for anchoring the env glycoprotein on the lipid bilayer and substitution of the TR for a covalently linked lipid anchor abrogates fusion. However, universal software could not achieve sufficient accuracy as TM in env also has several motifs such as signal peptide, fusion peptide and immunosuppressive domain composed largely of hydrophobic residues. In this paper, a support vector machine-based (SVM) model is proposed to identify TRs in retroviruses. Firstly, physicochemical and evolutionary information properties were extracted as original features. And then, the feature importance was analyzed by minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance (mRMR) feature selection criterion. Our model achieved an Sn of 0.955, Sp of 0.998, ACC of 0.995, MCC of 0.954 using 10-fold cross-validation on the training dataset. These results suggest that the proposed model can be used to predict TRs in non-annotation retroviruses and 11917, 3344, 2, 289 and 6 new putative TRs were found in HERV, HIV, HTLV, SIV, MLV, respectively.

scholarly journals Predicting Tunnel Squeezing Using Multiclass Support Vector Machines

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Sun ◽  
Xianda Feng ◽  
Lingqiang Yang
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Average Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Svm Model ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
Multiclass Support Vector Machine ◽  
Multiclass Svm ◽  
Tunnel Instability ◽  
Weak Rock Masses

Tunnel squeezing is one of the major geological disasters that often occur during the construction of tunnels in weak rock masses subjected to high in situ stresses. It could cause shield jamming, budget overruns, and construction delays and could even lead to tunnel instability and casualties. Therefore, accurate prediction or identification of tunnel squeezing is extremely important in the design and construction of tunnels. This study presents a modified application of a multiclass support vector machine (SVM) to predict tunnel squeezing based on four parameters, that is, diameter (D), buried depth (H), support stiffness (K), and rock tunneling quality index (Q). We compiled a database from the literature, including 117 case histories obtained from different countries such as India, Nepal, and Bhutan, to train the multiclass SVM model. The proposed model was validated using 8-fold cross validation, and the average error percentage was approximately 11.87%. Compared with existing approaches, the proposed multiclass SVM model yields a better performance in predictive accuracy. More importantly, one could estimate the severity of potential squeezing problems based on the predicted squeezing categories/classes.

scholarly journals Forecasting Dry Bulk Freight Index with Improved SVM

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qianqian Han ◽  
Bo Yan ◽  
Guobao Ning ◽  
B. Yu
Keyword(s):  
Wavelet Transform ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Shipping Industry ◽  
Combined Model ◽  
Final Model ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Svm Model ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Short Term Trend

An improved SVM model is presented to forecast dry bulk freight index (BDI) in this paper, which is a powerful tool for operators and investors to manage the market trend and avoid price risking shipping industry. The BDI is influenced by many factors, especially the random incidents in dry bulk market, inducing the difficulty in forecasting of BDI. Therefore, to eliminate the impact of random incidents in dry bulk market, wavelet transform is adopted to denoise the BDI data series. Hence, the combined model of wavelet transform and support vector machine is developed to forecast BDI in this paper. Lastly, the BDI data in 2005 to 2012 are presented to test the proposed model. The 84 prior consecutive monthly BDI data are the inputs of the model, and the last 12 monthly BDI data are the outputs of model. The parameters of the model are optimized by genetic algorithm and the final model is conformed through SVM training. This paper compares the forecasting result of proposed method and three other forecasting methods. The result shows that the proposed method has higher accuracy and could be used to forecast the short-term trend of the BDI.

Study on the Quantitative Method of Oversaturated Intersection

2014 ◽  
Vol 587-589 ◽  
pp. 2100-2104
Author(s):  
Qin Liu ◽  
Jian Min Xu ◽  
Kai Lu
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Travel Speed ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Guangzhou City ◽  
Traffic System ◽  
Traffic Conditions ◽  
Svm Model

Oversaturation in the modern urban traffic often happens. In order to describe the degree of oversaturation, the indexes of intersection oversaturation degree are put forward include dissipation time, stranded queue, overflow queue and travel speed. On the basis of selected indexes, the genetic algorithm support vector machine (GA-SVM) model was proposed to quantify the degree of oversaturation. In this method the genetic algorithm is used to select the model parameters. The GA-SVM model built is used to quantify the degree of oversaturation. Combining with the volume of intersections in Guangzhou city the method is calculated and simulated through programming. The simulation results show that GA-SVM method is effective and the accuracy of GA-SVM is higher than support vector machine (SVM).This method provides a theoretical basis for the analysis of traffic system under over-saturated traffic conditions.

Forecast Model for Gas Well Productivity Based on PSO and SVM

2011 ◽  
Vol 71-78 ◽  
pp. 1915-1919
Author(s):  
Min Yang ◽  
Jun Li ◽  
Jing Cheng Liu
Keyword(s):  
Forecast Model ◽  
Maximum Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Gas Well ◽  
Well Productivity ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Svm Model ◽  
Practical Engineering ◽  
Productivity Prediction ◽  
Bp Neural Network Model

It is very important to forecast the gas well productivity of gas reservoir accurately. On the basis of analyzing the parameter performance of support vector machine (SVM) for regression estimation, the paper proposes gas well productivity prediction model based on particle swarm optimization (PSO) and SVM. The parameter of SVM was optimized by PSO. This method took advantage of the minimum structure risk of SVM and the quickly globally optimizing ability of PSO. Compared with BP neural network model, the proposed GA-SVM model for gas well productivity in practical engineering has higher accuracy and speed, and the maximum error is 2.8% . Thus, it provided a new approach to predict the gas well productivity.

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