Evaluating the Performance of Individual and Novel Ensemble of Machine Learning and Statistical Models for Landslide Susceptibility Assessment at Rudraprayag District of Garhwal Himalaya

Landslides are known as the world’s most dangerous threat in mountainous regions and pose a critical obstacle for both economic and infrastructural progress. It is, therefore, quite relevant to discuss the pattern of spatial incidence of this phenomenon. The current research manifests a set of individual and ensemble of machine learning and probabilistic approaches like an artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), logistic regression (LR), and their ensembles such as ANN-RF, ANN-SVM, SVM-RF, SVM-LR, LR-RF, LR-ANN, ANN-LR-RF, ANN-RF-SVM, ANN-SVM-LR, RF-SVM-LR, and ANN-RF-SVM-LR for mapping landslide susceptibility in Rudraprayag district of Garhwal Himalaya, India. A landslide inventory map along with sixteen landslide conditioning factors (LCFs) was used. Randomly partitioned sets of 70%:30% were used to ascertain the goodness of fit and predictive ability of the models. The contribution of LCFs was analyzed using the RF model. The altitude and drainage density were found to be the responsible factors in causing the landslide in the study area according to the RF model. The robustness of models was assessed through three threshold dependent measures, i.e., receiver operating characteristic (ROC), precision and accuracy, and two threshold independent measures, i.e., mean-absolute-error (MAE) and root-mean-square-error (RMSE). Finally, using the compound factor (CF) method, the models were prioritized based on the results of the validation methods to choose best model. Results show that ANN-RF-LR indicated a realistic finding, concentrating only on 17.74% of the study area as highly susceptible to landslide. The ANN-RF-LR ensemble demonstrated the highest goodness of fit and predictive capacity with respective values of 87.83% (area under the success rate curve) and 93.98% (area under prediction rate curve), and the highest robustness correspondingly. These attempts will play a significant role in ensemble modeling, in building reliable and comprehensive models. The proposed ANN-RF-LR ensemble model may be used in the other geographic areas having similar geo-environmental conditions. It may also be used in other types of geo-hazard modeling.

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Spatial Modeling of Snow Avalanche Using Machine Learning Models and Geo-Environmental Factors: Comparison of Effectiveness in Two Mountain Regions

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs11242995 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 11 (24) ◽

pp. 2995 ◽

Cited By ~ 10

Author(s):

Omid Rahmati ◽

Omid Ghorbanzadeh ◽

Teimur Teimurian ◽

Farnoush Mohammadi ◽

John P. Tiefenbacher ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Goodness Of Fit ◽

Snow Avalanche ◽

Slope Position ◽

Support Vector ◽

Hazard Mapping ◽

Ensemble Model ◽

Mountainous Regions ◽

Avalanche Hazard ◽

Statistical Measures

Although snow avalanches are among the most destructive natural disasters, and result in losses of life and economic damages in mountainous regions, far too little attention has been paid to the prediction of the snow avalanche hazard using advanced machine learning (ML) models. In this study, the applicability and efficiency of four ML models: support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), naïve Bayes (NB) and generalized additive model (GAM), for snow avalanche hazard mapping, were evaluated. Fourteen geomorphometric, topographic and hydrologic factors were selected as predictor variables in the modeling. This study was conducted in the Darvan and Zarrinehroud watersheds of Iran. The goodness-of-fit and predictive performance of the models was evaluated using two statistical measures: the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the true skill statistic (TSS). Finally, an ensemble model was developed based upon the results of the individual models. Results show that, among individual models, RF was best, performing well in both the Darvan (AUROC = 0.964, TSS = 0.862) and Zarrinehroud (AUROC = 0.956, TSS = 0.881) watersheds. The accuracy of the ensemble model was slightly better than all individual models for generating the snow avalanche hazard map, as validation analyses showed an AUROC = 0.966 and a TSS = 0.865 in the Darvan watershed, and an AUROC value of 0.958 and a TSS value of 0.877 for the Zarrinehroud watershed. The results indicate that slope length, lithology and relative slope position (RSP) are the most important factors controlling snow avalanche distribution. The methodology developed in this study can improve risk-based decision making, increases the credibility and reliability of snow avalanche hazard predictions and can provide critical information for hazard managers.

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A Novel Hybrid Method for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping-Based GeoDetector and Machine Learning Cluster: A Case of Xiaojin County, China

ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information ◽

10.3390/ijgi10020093 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (2) ◽

pp. 93

Author(s):

Wei Xie ◽

Xiaoshuang Li ◽

Wenbin Jian ◽

Yang Yang ◽

Hongwei Liu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Hybrid Method ◽

Roc Curve ◽

Landslide Susceptibility ◽

Susceptibility Mapping ◽

Assessment Model ◽

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽

Support Vector ◽

Susceptibility Map ◽

Area Index

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) could be an effective way to prevent landslide hazards and mitigate losses. The choice of conditional factors is crucial to the results of LSM, and the selection of models also plays an important role. In this study, a hybrid method including GeoDetector and machine learning cluster was developed to provide a new perspective on how to address these two issues. We defined redundant factors by quantitatively analyzing the single impact and interactive impact of the factors, which was analyzed by GeoDetector, the effect of this step was examined using mean absolute error (MAE). The machine learning cluster contains four models (artificial neural network (ANN), Bayesian network (BN), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machines (SVM)) and automatically selects the best one for generating LSM. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, prediction accuracy, and the seed cell area index (SCAI) methods were used to evaluate these methods. The results show that the SVM model had the best performance in the machine learning cluster with the area under the ROC curve of 0.928 and with an accuracy of 83.86%. Therefore, SVM was chosen as the assessment model to map the landslide susceptibility of the study area. The landslide susceptibility map demonstrated fit with landslide inventory, indicated the hybrid method is effective in screening landslide influences and assessing landslide susceptibility.

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Landslide susceptibility mapping based on convolutional neural network and conventional machine learning methods

10.21203/rs.3.rs-190195/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Rui Liu ◽

Xin Yang ◽

Chong Xu ◽

Luyao Li ◽

Xiangqiang Zeng

Keyword(s):

Neural Network ◽

Machine Learning ◽

Convolutional Neural Network ◽

Landslide Susceptibility ◽

Susceptibility Mapping ◽

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽

Support Vector ◽

Learning Methods ◽

Machine Learning Methods ◽

Conventional Machine

Abstract Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is a useful tool to estimate the probability of landslide occurrence, providing a scientific basis for natural hazards prevention, land use planning, and economic development in landslide-prone areas. To date, a large number of machine learning methods have been applied to LSM, and recently the advanced Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has been gradually adopted to enhance the prediction accuracy of LSM. The objective of this study is to introduce a CNN based model in LSM and systematically compare its overall performance with the conventional machine learning models of random forest, logistic regression, and support vector machine. Herein, we selected the Jiuzhaigou region in Sichuan Province, China as the study area. A total number of 710 landslides and 12 predisposing factors were stacked to form spatial datasets for LSM. The ROC analysis and several statistical metrics, such as accuracy, root mean square error (RMSE), Kappa coefficient, sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the models in the training and validation datasets. Finally, the trained models were calculated and the landslide susceptibility zones were mapped. Results suggest that both CNN and conventional machine-learning based models have a satisfactory performance (AUC: 85.72% − 90.17%). The CNN based model exhibits excellent good-of-fit and prediction capability, and achieves the highest performance (AUC: 90.17%) but also significantly reduces the salt-of-pepper effect, which indicates its great potential of application to LSM.

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MACHINE LEARNING METHODS IN MONITORING OPERATING BEHAVIOUR OF MARINE TWO-STROKE DIESEL ENGINE

Transport ◽

10.3846/transport.2020.14038 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 35 (5) ◽

pp. 462-473

Author(s):

Aleksandar Vorkapić ◽

Radoslav Radonja ◽

Karlo Babić ◽

Sanda Martinčić-Ipšić

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Anomaly Detection ◽

Fuel Consumption ◽

Performance Monitoring ◽

Absolute Error ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Support Vector ◽

Operating Parameters ◽

Detection Model ◽

Modelling Framework

The aim of this article is to enhance performance monitoring of a two-stroke electronically controlled ship propulsion engine on the operating envelope. This is achieved by setting up a machine learning model capable of monitoring influential operating parameters and predicting the fuel consumption. Model is tested with different machine learning algorithms, namely linear regression, multilayer perceptron, Support Vector Machines (SVM) and Random Forests (RF). Upon verification of modelling framework and analysing the results in order to improve the prediction accuracy, the best algorithm is selected based on standard evaluation metrics, i.e. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Relative Absolute Error (RAE). Experimental results show that, by taking an adequate combination and processing of relevant sensory data, SVM exhibit the lowest RMSE 7.1032 and RAE 0.5313%. RF achieve the lowest RMSE 22.6137 and RAE 3.8545% in a setting when minimal number of input variables is considered, i.e. cylinder indicated pressures and propulsion engine revolutions. Further, article deals with the detection of anomalies of operating parameters, which enables the evaluation of the propulsion engine condition and the early identification of failures and deterioration. Such a time-dependent, self-adopting anomaly detection model can be used for comparison with the initial condition recorded during the test and sea run or after survey and docking. Finally, we propose a unified model structure, incorporating fuel consumption prediction and anomaly detection model with on-board decision-making process regarding navigation and maintenance.

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Estimation of Soil Cohesion Using Machine Learning Method: A Random Forest Approach

Advances in Civil Engineering ◽

10.1155/2021/8873993 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 2021 ◽

pp. 1-14

Author(s):

Hai-Bang Ly ◽

Thuy-Anh Nguyen ◽

Binh Thai Pham

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Soil Properties ◽

Clay Content ◽

Absolute Error ◽

Experimental Methods ◽

Liquid Limit ◽

Support Vector ◽

Data Set ◽

Soil Cohesion

Soil cohesion (C) is one of the critical soil properties and is closely related to basic soil properties such as particle size distribution, pore size, and shear strength. Hence, it is mainly determined by experimental methods. However, the experimental methods are often time-consuming and costly. Therefore, developing an alternative approach based on machine learning (ML) techniques to solve this problem is highly recommended. In this study, machine learning models, namely, support vector machine (SVM), Gaussian regression process (GPR), and random forest (RF), were built based on a data set of 145 soil samples collected from the Da Nang-Quang Ngai expressway project, Vietnam. The database also includes six input parameters, that is, clay content, moisture content, liquid limit, plastic limit, specific gravity, and void ratio. The performance of the model was assessed by three statistical criteria, namely, the correlation coefficient (R), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results demonstrated that the proposed RF model could accurately predict soil cohesion with high accuracy (R = 0.891) and low error (RMSE = 3.323 and MAE = 2.511), and its predictive capability is better than SVM and GPR. Therefore, the RF model can be used as a cost-effective approach in predicting soil cohesion forces used in the design and inspection of constructions.

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Landslide susceptibility mapping using machine learning for Wenchuan County, Sichuan province, China

E3S Web of Conferences ◽

10.1051/e3sconf/202019803023 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 198 ◽

pp. 03023

Author(s):

Xin Yang ◽

Rui Liu ◽

Luyao Li ◽

Mei Yang ◽

Yuantao Yang

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Landslide Susceptibility ◽

Susceptibility Mapping ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽

Support Vector ◽

Roc Curve Analysis ◽

Learning Methods ◽

Machine Learning Methods ◽

Boosted Decision Tree

Landslide susceptibility mapping is a method used to assess the probability and spatial distribution of landslide occurrences. Machine learning methods have been widely used in landslide susceptibility in recent years. In this paper, six popular machine learning algorithms namely logistic regression, multi-layer perceptron, random forests, support vector machine, Adaboost, and gradient boosted decision tree were leveraged to construct landslide susceptibility models with a total of 1365 landslide points and 14 predisposing factors. Subsequently, the landslide susceptibility maps (LSM) were generated by the trained models. LSM shows the main landslide zone is concentrated in the southeastern area of Wenchuan County. The result of ROC curve analysis shows that all models fitted the training datasets and achieved satisfactory results on validation datasets. The results of this paper reveal that machine learning methods are feasible to build robust landslide susceptibility models.

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Forecasting Of Covid-19 Cases Using Machine Learning Approach

Current Respiratory Medicine Reviews ◽

10.2174/1573398x17666210129131009 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 17 ◽

Author(s):

Sachin Kumar ◽

Karan Veer

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Regression Model ◽

Model Performance ◽

Real Data ◽

Absolute Error ◽

Viral Disease ◽

Support Vector ◽

Family Welfare ◽

Accuracy Score ◽

Learning Approaches

Aims: The objective of this research is to predict the covid-19 cases in India based on the machine learning approaches. Background: Covid-19, a respiratory disease caused by one of the coronavirus family members, has led to a pandemic situation worldwide in 2020. This virus was detected firstly in Wuhan city of China in December 2019. This viral disease has taken less than three months to spread across the globe. Objective: In this paper, we proposed a regression model based on the Support vector machine (SVM) to forecast the number of deaths, the number of recovered cases, and total confirmed cases for the next 30 days. Method: For prediction, the data is collected from Github and the ministry of India's health and family welfare from March 14, 2020, to December 3, 2020. The model has been designed in Python 3.6 in Anaconda to forecast the forecasting value of corona trends until September 21, 2020. The proposed methodology is based on the prediction of values using SVM based regression model with polynomial, linear, rbf kernel. The dataset has been divided into train and test datasets with 40% and 60% test size and verified with real data. The model performance parameters are evaluated as a mean square error, mean absolute error, and percentage accuracy. Results and Conclusion: The results show that the polynomial model has obtained 95 % above accuracy score, linear scored above 90%, and rbf scored above 85% in predicting cumulative death, conformed cases, and recovered cases.

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Modeling of Aboveground Biomass with Landsat 8 OLI and Machine Learning in Temperate Forests

Forests ◽

10.3390/f11010011 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

pp. 11

Author(s):

Pablito M. López-Serrano ◽

José Luis Cárdenas Domínguez ◽

José Javier Corral-Rivas ◽

Enrique Jiménez ◽

Carlos A. López-Sánchez ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Aboveground Biomass ◽

Goodness Of Fit ◽

Accurate Estimation ◽

Support Vector ◽

Landsat 8 ◽

Sensing Applications ◽

Learning Techniques ◽

Physical Variables ◽

Selection Of

An accurate estimation of forests’ aboveground biomass (AGB) is required because of its relevance to the carbon cycle, and because of its economic and ecological importance. The selection of appropriate variables from satellite information and physical variables is important for precise AGB prediction mapping. Because of the complex relationships for AGB prediction, non-parametric machine-learning techniques represent potentially useful techniques for AGB estimation, but their use and comparison in forest remote-sensing applications is still relatively limited. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the performance of automatic learning techniques, support vector regression (SVR) and random forest (RF), to predict the observed AGB (from 318 permanent sampling plots) from the Landsat 8 Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) sensor, spectral indexes, texture indexes and physical variables the Sierra Madre Occidental in Mexico. The result showed that the best SVR model explained 80% of the total variance (root mean square error (RMSE) = 8.20 Mg ha−1). The variables that best predicted AGB, in order of importance, were the bands that belong to the region of red and near and middle infrared, and the average temperature. The results show that the SVR technique has a good potential for the estimation of the AGB and that the selection of the model hyperparameters has important implications for optimizing the goodness of fit.

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Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using the Stacking Ensemble Machine Learning Method in Lushui, Southwest China

Applied Sciences ◽

10.3390/app10114016 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 10 (11) ◽

pp. 4016 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Xudong Hu ◽

Han Zhang ◽

Hongbo Mei ◽

Dunhui Xiao ◽

Yuanyuan Li ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Landslide Susceptibility ◽

Southwest China ◽

Susceptibility Mapping ◽

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽

Support Vector ◽

Machine Learning Method ◽

Learning Method ◽

Statistical Measures ◽

Ensemble Machine Learning

Landslide susceptibility mapping is considered to be a prerequisite for landslide prevention and mitigation. However, delineating the spatial occurrence pattern of the landslide remains a challenge. This study investigates the potential application of the stacking ensemble learning technique for landslide susceptibility assessment. In particular, support vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN), logical regression (LR), and naive Bayes (NB) were selected as base learners for the stacking ensemble method. The resampling scheme and Pearson’s correlation analysis were jointly used to evaluate the importance level of these base learners. A total of 388 landslides and 12 conditioning factors in the Lushui area (Southwest China) were used as the dataset to develop landslide modeling. The landslides were randomly separated into two parts, with 70% used for model training and 30% used for model validation. The models’ performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and statistical measures. The results showed that the stacking-based ensemble model achieved an improved predictive accuracy as compared to the single algorithms, while the SVM-ANN-NB-LR (SANL) model, the SVM-ANN-NB (SAN) model, and the ANN-NB-LR (ANL) models performed equally well, with AUC values of 0.931, 0.940, and 0.932, respectively, for validation stage. The correlation coefficient between the LR and SVM was the highest for all resampling rounds, with a value of 0.72 on average. This connotes that LR and SVM played an almost equal role when the ensemble of SANL was applied for landslide susceptibility analysis. Therefore, it is feasible to use the SAN model or the ANL model for the study area. The finding from this study suggests that the stacking ensemble machine learning method is promising for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Lushui area and is capable of targeting areas prone to landslides.

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Using Machine Learning-Based Algorithms to Analyze Erosion Rates of a Watershed in Northern Taiwan

Sustainability ◽

10.3390/su12052022 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 12 (5) ◽

pp. 2022 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Kieu Anh Nguyen ◽

Walter Chen ◽

Bor-Shiun Lin ◽

Uma Seeboonruang

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Fuzzy Inference ◽

Absolute Error ◽

Organic Content ◽

Rank Test ◽

Support Vector ◽

Inference System ◽

Erosion Rates ◽

Northern Taiwan

This study continues a previous study with further analysis of watershed-scale erosion pin measurements. Three machine learning (ML) algorithms—Support Vector Machine (SVM), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN)—were used to analyze depth of erosion of a watershed (Shihmen reservoir) in northern Taiwan. In addition to three previously used statistical indexes (Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Square of Error, and R-squared), Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) was calculated to compare the predictive performances of the three models. To see if there was a statistical difference between the three models, the Wilcoxon signed-rank test was used. The research utilized 14 environmental attributes as the input predictors of the ML algorithms. They are distance to river, distance to road, type of slope, sub-watershed, slope direction, elevation, slope class, rainfall, epoch, lithology, and the amount of organic content, clay, sand, and silt in the soil. Additionally, measurements of a total of 550 erosion pins installed on 55 slopes were used as the target variable of the model prediction. The dataset was divided into a training set (70%) and a testing set (30%) using the stratified random sampling with sub-watershed as the stratification variable. The results showed that the ANFIS model outperforms the other two algorithms in predicting the erosion rates of the study area. The average RMSE of the test data is 2.05 mm/yr for ANFIS, compared to 2.36 mm/yr and 2.61 mm/yr for ANN and SVM, respectively. Finally, the results of this study (ANN, ANFIS, and SVM) were compared with the previous study (Random Forest, Decision Tree, and multiple regression). It was found that Random Forest remains the best predictive model, and ANFIS is the second-best among the six ML algorithms.

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