scholarly journals Photovoltaic Prediction Software: Evaluation with Real Data from Northern Spain

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 5025
Author(s):  
David González-Peña ◽  
Ignacio García-Ruiz ◽  
Montserrat Díez-Mediavilla ◽  
Mª. Isabel Dieste-Velasco ◽  
Cristina Alonso-Tristán

Prediction of energy production is crucial for the design and installation of PV plants. In this study, five free and commercial software tools to predict photovoltaic energy production are evaluated: RETScreen, Solar Advisor Model (SAM), PVGIS, PVSyst, and PV*SOL. The evaluation involves a comparison of monthly and annually predicted data on energy supplied to the national grid with real field data collected from three real PV plants. All the systems, located in Castile and Leon (Spain), have three different tilting systems: fixed mounting, horizontal-axis tracking, and dual-axis tracking. The last 12 years of operating data, from 2008 to 2020, are used in the evaluation. Although the commercial software tools were easier to use and their installations could be described in detail, their results were not appreciably superior. In annual global terms, the results hid poor estimations throughout the year, where overestimations were compensated by underestimated results. This fact was reflected in the monthly results: the software yielded overestimates during the colder months, while the models showed better estimates during the warmer months. In most studies, the deviation was below 10% when the annual results were analyzed. The accuracy of the software was also reduced when the complexity of the dual-axis solar tracking systems replaced the fixed installation.

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 2541
Author(s):  
Raul Rotar ◽  
Sorin Liviu Jurj ◽  
Robert Susany ◽  
Flavius Opritoiu ◽  
Mircea Vladutiu

This paper presents a modified global energy production computation formula that replaces the traditional Performance Ratio (PR) with a novel Solar Reliability Factor (SRF) for mobile solar tracking systems. The SRF parameter describes the reliability and availability of a dual-axis solar tracker, which powers a smart home automation system entirely by using clean energy. By applying the SRF in the global energy production formula of solar tracking systems, we can predict the energy generation in real time, allowing proper energy management of the entire smart home automation system. Regarding static deployed Photovoltaic (PV) systems, the PR factor is preserved to compute the power generation of these devices accurately. Experimental results show that the energy production computation constantly fluctuates over several days due to the SRF parameter variation, showing a 26.11% reduction when the dual-axis solar tracker’s availability is affected by system errors and maximum power generation when the solar tracking device is operating in optimal conditions.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 726
Author(s):  
Francisco J. Gómez-Uceda ◽  
José Ramirez-Faz ◽  
Marta Varo-Martinez ◽  
Luis Manuel Fernández-Ahumada

In this work, an omnidirectional sensor that enables identification of the direction of the celestial sphere with maximum solar irradiance is presented. The sensor, based on instantaneous measurements, functions as a position server for dual-axis solar trackers in photovoltaic plants. The proposed device has been developed with free software and hardware, which makes it a pioneering solution because it is open and accessible as well as capable of being improved by the scientific community, thereby contributing to the rapid advancement of technology. In addition, the device includes an algorithm developed ex professo that makes it possible to predetermine the regions of the celestial sphere for which, according to the geometric characteristics of the PV plant, there would be shading between the panels. In this way, solar trackers do not have to locate the Sun’s position at all times according to astronomical models, while taking into account factors such as shadows or cloudiness that also affect levels of incident irradiance on solar collectors. Therefore, with this device, it is possible to provide photovoltaic plants with dual-axis solar tracking with a low-cost device that helps to optimise the trajectory of the trackers and, consequently, their radiative capture and energy production.


Fuels ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 286-303
Author(s):  
Vuong Van Pham ◽  
Ebrahim Fathi ◽  
Fatemeh Belyadi

The success of machine learning (ML) techniques implemented in different industries heavily rely on operator expertise and domain knowledge, which is used in manually choosing an algorithm and setting up the specific algorithm parameters for a problem. Due to the manual nature of model selection and parameter tuning, it is impossible to quantify or evaluate the quality of this manual process, which in turn limits the ability to perform comparison studies between different algorithms. In this study, we propose a new hybrid approach for developing machine learning workflows to help automated algorithm selection and hyperparameter optimization. The proposed approach provides a robust, reproducible, and unbiased workflow that can be quantified and validated using different scoring metrics. We have used the most common workflows implemented in the application of artificial intelligence (AI) and ML in engineering problems including grid/random search, Bayesian search and optimization, genetic programming, and compared that with our new hybrid approach that includes the integration of Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool (TPOT) and Bayesian optimization. The performance of each workflow is quantified using different scoring metrics such as Pearson correlation (i.e., R2 correlation) and Mean Square Error (i.e., MSE). For this purpose, actual field data obtained from 1567 gas wells in Marcellus Shale, with 121 features from reservoir, drilling, completion, stimulation, and operation is tested using different proposed workflows. A proposed new hybrid workflow is then used to evaluate the type well used for evaluation of Marcellus shale gas production. In conclusion, our automated hybrid approach showed significant improvement in comparison to other proposed workflows using both scoring matrices. The new hybrid approach provides a practical tool that supports the automated model and hyperparameter selection, which is tested using real field data that can be implemented in solving different engineering problems using artificial intelligence and machine learning. The new hybrid model is tested in a real field and compared with conventional type wells developed by field engineers. It is found that the type well of the field is very close to P50 predictions of the field, which shows great success in the completion design of the field performed by field engineers. It also shows that the field average production could have been improved by 8% if shorter cluster spacing and higher proppant loading per cluster were used during the frac jobs.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 1074
Author(s):  
Raul Rotar ◽  
Sorin Liviu Jurj ◽  
Flavius Opritoiu ◽  
Mircea Vladutiu

This paper presents a mathematical approach for determining the reliability of solar tracking systems based on three fault coverage-aware metrics which use system error data from hardware, software as well as in-circuit testing (ICT) techniques, to calculate a solar test factor (STF). Using Euler’s named constant, the solar reliability factor (SRF) is computed to define the robustness and availability of modern, high-performance solar tracking systems. The experimental cases which were run in the Mathcad software suite and the Python programming environment show that the fault coverage-aware metrics greatly change the test and reliability factor curve of solar tracking systems, achieving significantly reduced calculation steps and computation time.


Geophysics ◽  
1989 ◽  
Vol 54 (4) ◽  
pp. 497-507 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge W. D. Leão ◽  
João B. C. Silva

We present a new approach to perform any linear transformation of gridded potential field data using the equivalent‐layer principle. It is particularly efficient for processing areas with a large amount of data. An N × N data window is inverted using an M × M equivalent layer, with M greater than N so that the equivalent sources extend beyond the data window. Only the transformed field at the center of the data window is computed by premultiplying the equivalent source matrix by the row of the Green’s matrix (associated with the desired transformation) corresponding to the center of the data window. Since the inversion and the multiplication by the Green’s matrix are independent of the data, they are performed beforehand and just once for given values of N, M, and the depth of the equivalent layer. As a result, a grid operator for the desired transformation is obtained which is applied to the data by a procedure similar to discrete convolution. The application of this procedure in reducing synthetic anomalies to the pole and computing magnetization intensity maps shows that grid operators with N = 7 and M = 15 are sufficient to process large areas containing several interfering sources. The use of a damping factor allows the computation of meaningful maps even for unstable transformations in the presence of noise. Also, an equivalent layer larger than the data window takes into account part of the interfering sources so that a smaller damping factor is employed as compared with other damped inversion methods. Transformations of real data from Xingú River Basin and Amazon Basin, Brazil, demonstrate the contribution of this procedure for improvement of a preliminary geologic interpretation with minimum a priori information.


ce/papers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 465-472
Author(s):  
Alvaro Balderrama ◽  
Daniel Arztmann ◽  
Jens‐Uwe Schulz

Author(s):  
Amitabh Kumar ◽  
Brian McShane ◽  
Mark McQueen

A large Oil and Gas pipeline gathering system is commonly used to transport processed oil and gas from an offshore platform to an onshore receiving facility. High reliability and integrity for continuous operation of these systems is crucial to ensure constant supply of hydrocarbon to the onshore processing facility and eventually to market. When such a system is exposed to a series of complex environmental loadings, it is often difficult to predict the response path, in-situ condition and therefore the system’s ability to withstand subsequent future loading scenarios. In order to continue to operate the pipeline after a significant environmental event, an overall approach needs to be developed to — (a) Understand the system loading and the associated integrity, (b) Develop a series of criteria staging the sequence of actions following an event that will verify the pipeline integrity and (c) Ensure that the integrity management solution is simple and easy to understand so that it can be implemented consistently. For a complex loading scenario, one of the main challenges is the ability to predict the controlling parameter(s) that drives the global integrity of these systems. In such scenarios, the presence of numerous parameters makes the technical modeling and prediction tasks arduous. To address such scenarios, first and foremost, it is crucial to understand the baseline environment data and other associated critical design input elements. If the “design environmental baseline” has transformed (due to large events e.g. storms etc.) from its original condition; it modifies the dynamics of the system. To address this problem, a thorough modeling and assessment of the in-situ condition is essential. Further, a robust calibration method is required to predict the future response path and therefore expected pipeline condition. The study further compares the planned integrity management solutions to the field data to validate the efficiency of the predicted scenarios. By the inclusion of real field-data feedback to the modeling method, balanced integrity solutions can be achieved and the ability to quantify the risks is made more practical and actionable.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 1221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdelkader Rouibah ◽  
Djamel Benazzouz ◽  
Rahmani Kouider ◽  
Awf Al-Kassir ◽  
Justo García-Sanz-Calcedo ◽  
...  

The increase of solar energy production has become a solution to meet the demand of electricity and reduce the greenhouse effect worldwide. This paper aims to determine the performance and viability of direct normal irradiation of three solar tower power plants in Algeria, to be installed in the highlands and the Sahara (Béchar, El Oued, and Djelfa regions). The performance of the plants was obtained through a system advisor model simulator. It used real data gathered from appropriate meteorological files. A relationship between the solar multiple (SM), power generation, and thermal energy storage (TES) hours was observed. The results showed that the optimal heliostat field corresponds to 1.8 SM and 2 TES hours in Béchar, 1.2 SM and 2 TES hours for El Oued, and 1.5 SM and 4 TES hours for Djelfa. This study shows that there is an interesting relationship between the solar multiple, power generation, and storage capacity.


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