scholarly journals System of Time Fractional Models for COVID-19: Modeling, Analysis and Solutions

Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 787
Author(s):  
Olaniyi Iyiola ◽  
Bismark Oduro ◽  
Trevor Zabilowicz ◽  
Bose Iyiola ◽  
Daniel Kenes

The emergence of the COVID-19 outbreak has caused a pandemic situation in over 210 countries. Controlling the spread of this disease has proven difficult despite several resources employed. Millions of hospitalizations and deaths have been observed, with thousands of cases occurring daily with many measures in place. Due to the complex nature of COVID-19, we proposed a system of time-fractional equations to better understand the transmission of the disease. Non-locality in the model has made fractional differential equations appropriate for modeling. Solving these types of models is computationally demanding. Our proposed generalized compartmental COVID-19 model incorporates effective contact rate, transition rate, quarantine rate, disease-induced death rate, natural death rate, natural recovery rate, and recovery rate of quarantine infected for a holistic study of the coronavirus disease. A detailed analysis of the proposed model is carried out, including the existence and uniqueness of solutions, local and global stability analysis of the disease-free equilibrium (symmetry), and sensitivity analysis. Furthermore, numerical solutions of the proposed model are obtained with the generalized Adam–Bashforth–Moulton method developed for the fractional-order model. Our analysis and solutions profile show that each of these incorporated parameters is very important in controlling the spread of COVID-19. Based on the results with different fractional-order, we observe that there seems to be a third or even fourth wave of the spike in cases of COVID-19, which is currently occurring in many countries.

Author(s):  
Olaniyi Samuel Iyiola ◽  
Bismark Oduro ◽  
Trevor Zabilowicz ◽  
Bose Iyiola ◽  
Daniel Kenes

The emergence of the COVID-19 outbreak has caused a pandemic situation in over 210 countries. Controlling the spread of this disease has proven difficult despite several resources employed. Millions of hospitalization and deaths have been observed, and thousands of cases daily with many measures in place. Due to the complex nature of COVID-19, we proposed a system of time-fractional equations to understand the transmission of the disease better. Nonlocality involved in the model has made fractional differential equations appropriate for modeling the behavior. However, solving these types of models is computationally demanding. Our proposed generalized compartmental COVID-19 model incorporates effective contact rate, transition rate (from exposed quarantine and recovered to susceptible and infected quarantined individuals), quarantine rate, disease-induced death rate, natural death rate, natural recovery rate, recovery rate of quarantine infected for a holistic study of the coronavirus disease. A detailed analysis of the proposed model is carried out, including the existence and uniqueness of solutions, local and global stability analysis of the disease-free equilibrium analysis, and sensitivity analysis. Furthermore, numerical solutions of the proposed model are obtained with the generalized Adam-Bashforth-Moulton method developed for the fractional order model. Our analysis and solutions profile show that each of these incorporated parameters is very important in controlling the spread of COVID-19, especially quarantining exposed and infected individuals and the effective contact rate. Based on the results with different fractional order, we observe that there seems to be a third or even fourth wave of the spike in cases of COVID-19, which is what is happening right now in many countries.


Author(s):  
Akbar Zada ◽  
Sartaj Ali ◽  
Tongxing Li

AbstractIn this paper, we study an implicit sequential fractional order differential equation with non-instantaneous impulses and multi-point boundary conditions. The article comprehensively elaborate four different types of Ulam’s stability in the lights of generalized Diaz Margolis’s fixed point theorem. Moreover, some sufficient conditions are constructed to observe the existence and uniqueness of solutions for the proposed model. The proposed model contains both the integer order and fractional order derivatives. Thus, the exponential function appearers in the solution of the proposed model which will lead researchers to study fractional differential equations with well known methods of integer order differential equations. In the last, few examples are provided to show the applicability of our main results.


Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 923 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omar Abu Arqub ◽  
Mohamed S. Osman ◽  
Abdel-Haleem Abdel-Aty ◽  
Abdel-Baset A. Mohamed ◽  
Shaher Momani

This paper deals with the numerical solutions and convergence analysis for general singular Lane–Emden type models of fractional order, with appropriate constraint initial conditions. A modified reproducing kernel discretization technique is used for dealing with the fractional Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo operator. In this tendency, novel operational algorithms are built and discussed for covering such singular models in spite of the operator optimality used. Several numerical applications using the well-known fractional Lane–Emden type models are examined, to expound the feasibility and suitability of the approach. From a numerical viewpoint, the obtained results indicate that the method is intelligent and has several features stability for dealing with many fractional models emerging in physics and mathematics, using the new presented derivative.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 242
Author(s):  
Arfan Ali ◽  
Muhammad Imran Asjad ◽  
Muhammad Usman ◽  
Mustafa Inc

Fractional-order mathematical modelling of physical phenomena is a hot topic among various researchers due to its many advantages over positive integer mathematical modelling. In this context, the appropriate solutions of such fractional-order physical modelling become a challenging task among scientists. This paper presents a study of unsteady free convection fluid flow and heat transfer of Maxwell fluids with the presence of Clay nanoparticle modelling using fractional calculus. The obtained model was transformed into a set of linear nondimensional, partial differential equations (PDEs). The finite difference scheme is proposed to discretize the obtained set of nondimensional PDEs. The Maple code was developed and executed against the physical parameters and fractional-order parameter to explain the behavior of the velocity and temperature profiles. Some limiting solutions were obtained and compared with the latest existing ones in literature. The comparative study witnesses that the proposed scheme is a very efficient tool to handle such a physical model and can be extended to other diversified problems of a complex nature.


Author(s):  
Zhenzhen Lu ◽  
Yongguang Yu ◽  
YangQuan Chen ◽  
Guojian Ren ◽  
Conghui Xu ◽  
...  

AbstractA novel coronavirus, designated as COVID-19, emerged in Wuhan, China, at the end of 2019. In this paper, a mathematical model is proposed to analyze the dynamic behavior of COVID-19. Based on inter-city networked coupling effects, a fractional-order SEIHDR system with the real-data from 23 January to 18 March, 2020 of COVID19 is discussed. Meanwhile, hospitalized individuals and the mortality rates of three types of individuals (exposed, infected and hospitalized) are firstly taken into account in the proposed model. And infectivity of individuals during incubation is also considered in this paper. By applying least squares method and predictor-correctors scheme, the numerical solutions of the proposed system in the absence of the inter-city network and with the inter-city network are stimulated by using the real-data from 23 January to 18 − m March, 2020 where m is equal to the number of prediction days. Compared with integer-order system (α = 0), the fractional-order model without network is validated to have a better fitting of the data on Beijing, Shanghai, Wuhan, Huanggang and other cities. In contrast to the case without network, the results indicate that the inter-city network system may be not a significant case to virus spreading for China because of the lock down and quarantine measures, however, it may have an impact on cities that have not adopted city closure. Meanwhile, the proposed model better fits the data from 24 February to 31, March in Italy, and the peak number of confirmed people is also predicted by this fraction-order model. Furthermore, the existence and uniqueness of a bounded solution under the initial condition are considered in the proposed system. Afterwards, the basic reproduction number R0 is analyzed and it is found to hold a threshold: the disease-free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable when R0 ≤ 1, which provides a theoretical basis for whether COVID-19 will become a pandemic in the future.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zain Ul Abadin Zafar ◽  
Nigar Ali ◽  
Cemil Tunç

AbstractIn this paper, we consider a fractional-order model of a brushless DC motor. To develop a mathematical model, we use the concept of the Liouville–Caputo noninteger derivative with the Mittag-Lefler kernel. We find that the fractional-order brushless DC motor system exhibits the character of chaos. For the proposed system, we show the largest exponent to be 0.711625. We calculate the equilibrium points of the model and discuss their local stability. We apply an iterative scheme by using the Laplace transform to find a special solution in this case. By taking into account the rule of trapezoidal product integration we develop two iterative methods to find an approximate solution of the system. We also study the existence and uniqueness of solutions. We take into account the numerical solutions for Caputo Liouville product integration and Atangana–Baleanu Caputo product integration. This scheme has an implicit structure. The numerical simulations indicate that the obtained approximate solutions are in excellent agreement with the expected theoretical results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 2695-2728
Author(s):  
Rehana Ashraf ◽  
◽  
Saima Rashid ◽  
Fahd Jarad ◽  
Ali Althobaiti ◽  
...  

<abstract><p>The Shehu homotopy perturbation transform method (SHPTM) via fuzziness, which combines the homotopy perturbation method and the Shehu transform, is the subject of this article. With the assistance of fuzzy fractional Caputo and Atangana-Baleanu derivatives operators, the proposed methodology is designed to illustrate the reliability by finding fuzzy fractional equal width (EW), modified equal width (MEW) and variants of modified equal width (VMEW) models with fuzzy initial conditions (ICs). In cold plasma, the proposed model is vital for generating hydro-magnetic waves. We investigated SHPTM's potential to investigate fractional nonlinear systems and demonstrated its superiority over other numerical approaches that are accessible. Another significant aspect of this research is to look at two significant fuzzy fractional models with differing nonlinearities considering fuzzy set theory. Evaluating various implementations verifies the method's impact, capabilities, and practicality. The level impacts of the parameter $ \hbar $ and fractional order are graphically and quantitatively presented, demonstrating good agreement between the fuzzy approximate upper and lower bound solutions. The findings are numerically examined to crisp solutions and those produced by other approaches, demonstrating that the proposed method is a handy and astonishingly efficient instrument for solving a wide range of physics and engineering problems.</p></abstract>


Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (6) ◽  
pp. 782
Author(s):  
Fangying Song ◽  
George Em Karniadakis

Modeling of wall-bounded turbulent flows is still an open problem in classical physics, with relatively slow progress in the last few decades beyond the log law, which only describes the intermediate region in wall-bounded turbulence, i.e., 30–50 y+ to 0.1–0.2 R+ in a pipe of radius R. Here, we propose a fundamentally new approach based on fractional calculus to model the entire mean velocity profile from the wall to the centerline of the pipe. Specifically, we represent the Reynolds stresses with a non-local fractional derivative of variable-order that decays with the distance from the wall. Surprisingly, we find that this variable fractional order has a universal form for all Reynolds numbers and for three different flow types, i.e., channel flow, Couette flow, and pipe flow. We first use existing databases from direct numerical simulations (DNSs) to lean the variable-order function and subsequently we test it against other DNS data and experimental measurements, including the Princeton superpipe experiments. Taken together, our findings reveal the continuous change in rate of turbulent diffusion from the wall as well as the strong nonlocality of turbulent interactions that intensify away from the wall. Moreover, we propose alternative formulations, including a divergence variable fractional (two-sided) model for turbulent flows. The total shear stress is represented by a two-sided symmetric variable fractional derivative. The numerical results show that this formulation can lead to smooth fractional-order profiles in the whole domain. This new model improves the one-sided model, which is considered in the half domain (wall to centerline) only. We use a finite difference method for solving the inverse problem, but we also introduce the fractional physics-informed neural network (fPINN) for solving the inverse and forward problems much more efficiently. In addition to the aforementioned fully-developed flows, we model turbulent boundary layers and discuss how the streamwise variation affects the universal curve.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 8
Author(s):  
Cundi Han ◽  
Yiming Chen ◽  
Da-Yan Liu ◽  
Driss Boutat

This paper applies a numerical method of polynomial function approximation to the numerical analysis of variable fractional order viscoelastic rotating beam. First, the governing equation of the viscoelastic rotating beam is established based on the variable fractional model of the viscoelastic material. Second, shifted Bernstein polynomials and Legendre polynomials are used as basis functions to approximate the governing equation and the original equation is converted to matrix product form. Based on the configuration method, the matrix equation is further transformed into algebraic equations and numerical solutions of the governing equation are obtained directly in the time domain. Finally, the efficiency of the proposed algorithm is proved by analyzing the numerical solutions of the displacement of rotating beam under different loads.


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