scholarly journals Advanced Method to Capture the Time-Lag Effects between Annual NDVI and Precipitation Variation Using RNN in the Arid and Semi-Arid Grasslands

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1789
Author(s):  
Taosuo Wu ◽  
Feng Feng ◽  
Qian Lin ◽  
Hongmei Bai

The latest research indicates that there are time-lag effects between the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and the precipitation variation. It is well known that the time-lags are different from region to region, and there are time-lags for the NDVI itself correlated to the precipitation. In the arid and semi-arid grasslands, the annual NDVI has proved not only to be highly dependent on the precipitation of the concurrent year and previous years, but also the NDVI of previous years. This paper proposes a method using recurrent neural network (RNN) to capture both time-lags of the NDVI with respect to the NDVI itself, and of the NDVI with respect to precipitation. To quantitatively capture these time-lags, 16 years of the NDVI and precipitation data are used to construct the prediction model of the NDVI with respect to precipitation. This study focuses on the arid and semi-arid Hulunbuir grasslands dominated by perennials in northeast China. Using RNN, the time-lag effects are captured at a 1 year time-lag of precipitation and a 2 year time-lag of the NDVI. The successful capture of the time-lag effects provides significant value for the accurate prediction of vegetation variation for arid and semi-arid grasslands.

2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 262
Author(s):  
Hui Guo ◽  
Xiaoyan Wang ◽  
Zecheng Guo ◽  
Siyong Chen

Snow cover is an important water source and even an Essential Climate Variable (ECV) as defined by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Assessing snow phenology and its driving factors in Northeast China will help with comprehensively understanding the role of snow cover in regional water cycle and climate change. This study presents spatiotemporal variations in snow phenology and the relative importance of potential drivers, including climate, geography, and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), based on the MODIS snow products across Northeast China from 2001 to 2018. The results indicated that the snow cover days (SCD), snow cover onset dates (SCOD) and snow cover end dates (SCED) all showed obvious latitudinal distribution characteristics. As the latitude gradually increases, SCD becomes longer, SCOD advances and SCED delays. Overall, there is a growing tendency in SCD and a delayed trend in SCED across time. The variations in snow phenology were driven by mean temperature, followed by latitude, while precipitation, aspect and slope all had little effect on the SCD, SCOD and SCED. With decreasing temperature, the SCD and SCED showed upward trends. The mean temperature has negatively correlation with SCD and SCED and positively correlation with SCOD. With increasing latitude, the change rate of the SCD, SCOD and SCED in the whole Northeast China were 10.20 d/degree, −3.82 d/degree and 5.41 d/degree, respectively, and the change rate of snow phenology in forested areas was lower than that in nonforested areas. At the same latitude, the snow phenology for different underlying surfaces varied greatly. The correlations between the snow phenology and NDVI were mainly positive, but weak correlations accounted for a large proportion.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 1332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linghui Guo ◽  
Liyuan Zuo ◽  
Jiangbo Gao ◽  
Yuan Jiang ◽  
Yongling Zhang ◽  
...  

An understanding of the response of interannual vegetation variations to climate change is critical for the future projection of ecosystem processes and developing effective coping strategies. In this study, the spatial pattern of interannual variability in the growing season normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) for different biomes and its relationships with climate variables were investigated in Inner Mongolia during 1982–2015 by jointly using linear regression, geographical detector, and geographically weighted regression methodologies. The result showed that the greatest variability of the growing season NDVI occurred in typical steppe and desert steppe, with forest and desert most stable. The interannual variability of NDVI differed monthly among biomes, showing a time gradient of the largest variation from northeast to southwest. NDVI interannual variability was significantly related to that of the corresponding temperature and precipitation for each biome, characterized by an obvious spatial heterogeneity and time lag effect marked in the later period of the growing season. Additionally, the large slope of NDVI variation to temperature for desert implied that desert tended to amplify temperature variations, whereas other biomes displayed a capacity to buffer climate fluctuations. These findings highlight the relationships between vegetation variability and climate variability, which could be used to support the adaptive management of vegetation resources in the context of climate change.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 1953 ◽  
Author(s):  
Safa Bousbih ◽  
Mehrez Zribi ◽  
Mohammad El Hajj ◽  
Nicolas Baghdadi ◽  
Zohra Lili-Chabaane ◽  
...  

This paper presents a technique for the mapping of soil moisture and irrigation, at the scale of agricultural fields, based on the synergistic interpretation of multi-temporal optical and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data (Sentinel-2 and Sentinel-1). The Kairouan plain, a semi-arid region in central Tunisia (North Africa), was selected as a test area for this study. Firstly, an algorithm for the direct inversion of the Water Cloud Model (WCM) was developed for the spatialization of the soil water content between 2015 and 2017. The soil moisture retrieved from these observations was first validated using ground measurements, recorded over 20 reference fields of cereal crops. A second method, based on the use of neural networks, was also used to confirm the initial validation. The results reported here show that the soil moisture products retrieved from remotely sensed data are accurate, with a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of less than 5% between the two moisture products. In addition, the analysis of soil moisture and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) products over cultivated fields, as a function of time, led to the classification of irrigated and rainfed areas on the Kairouan plain, and to the production of irrigation maps at the scale of individual fields. This classification is based on a decision tree approach, using a combination of various statistical indices of soil moisture and NDVI time series. The resulting irrigation maps were validated using reference fields within the study site. The best results were obtained with classifications based on soil moisture indices only, with an accuracy of 77%.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 706 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinbing Wang ◽  
Yuxin Miao ◽  
Rui Dong ◽  
Zhichao Chen ◽  
Yanjie Guan ◽  
...  

Precision nitrogen (N) management (PNM) strategies are urgently needed for the sustainability of rain-fed maize (Zea mays L.) production in Northeast China. The objective of this study was to develop an active canopy sensor (ACS)-based PNM strategy for rain-fed maize through improving in-season prediction of yield potential (YP0), response index to side-dress N based on harvested yield (RIHarvest), and side-dress N agronomic efficiency (AENS). Field experiments involving six N rate treatments and three planting densities were conducted in three growing seasons (2015–2017) in two different soil types. A hand-held GreenSeeker sensor was used at V8-9 growth stage to collect normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and ratio vegetation index (RVI). The results indicated that NDVI or RVI combined with relative plant height (NDVI*RH or RVI*RH) were more strongly related to YP0 (R2 = 0.44–0.78) than only using NDVI or RVI (R2 = 0.26–0.68). The improved N fertilizer optimization algorithm (INFOA) using in-season predicted AENS optimized N rates better than the N fertilizer optimization algorithm (NFOA) using average constant AENS. The INFOA-based PNM strategies could increase marginal returns by 212 $ ha−1 and 70 $ ha−1, reduce N surplus by 65% and 62%, and improve N use efficiency (NUE) by 4%–40% and 11%–65% compared with farmer’s typical N management in the black and aeolian sandy soils, respectively. It is concluded that the ACS-based PNM strategies have the potential to significantly improve profitability and sustainability of maize production in Northeast China. More studies are needed to further improve N management strategies using more advanced sensing technologies and incorporating weather and soil information.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 190 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruyin Cao ◽  
Yan Feng ◽  
Xilong Liu ◽  
Miaogen Shen ◽  
Ji Zhou

Vegetation green-up date (GUD), an important phenological characteristic, is usually estimated from time-series of satellite-based normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data at regional and global scales. However, GUD estimates in seasonally snow-covered areas suffer from the effect of spring snowmelt on the NDVI signal, hampering our realistic understanding of phenological responses to climate change. Recently, two snow-free vegetation indices were developed for GUD detection: the normalized difference phenology index (NDPI) and normalized difference greenness index (NDGI). Both were found to improve GUD detection in the presence of spring snowmelt. However, these indices were tested at several field phenological camera sites and carbon flux sites, and a detailed evaluation on their performances at the large spatial scale is still lacking, which limits their applications globally. In this study, we employed NDVI, NDPI, and NDGI to estimate GUD at northern middle and high latitudes (north of 40° N) and quantified the snowmelt-induced uncertainty of GUD estimations from the three vegetation indices (VIs) by considering the changes in VI values caused by snowmelt. Results showed that compared with NDVI, both NDPI and NDGI improve the accuracy of GUD estimation with smaller GUD uncertainty in the areas below 55° N, but at higher latitudes (55°N-70° N), all three indices exhibit substantially larger GUD uncertainty. Furthermore, selecting which vegetation index to use for GUD estimation depends on vegetation types. All three indices performed much better for deciduous forests, and NDPI performed especially well (5.1 days for GUD uncertainty). In the arid and semi-arid grasslands, GUD estimations from NDGI are more reliable (i.e., smaller uncertainty) than NDP-based GUD (e.g., GUD uncertainty values for NDGI vs. NDPI are 4.3 d vs. 7.2 d in Mongolia grassland and 6.7 d vs. 9.8 d in Central Asia grassland), whereas in American prairie, NDPI performs slightly better than NDGI (GUD uncertainty for NDPI vs. NDGI is 3.8 d vs. 4.7 d). In central and western Europe, reliable GUD estimations from NDPI and NDGI were acquired only in those years without snowfall before green-up. This study provides important insights into the application of, and uncertainty in, snow-free vegetation indices for GUD estimation at large spatial scales, particularly in areas with seasonal snow cover.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andres Almeida-Ñauñay ◽  
Rosa M. Benito ◽  
Miguel Quemada ◽  
Juan Carlos Losada ◽  
Ana Maria Tarquis

<p>Grassland ecosystems are extremely complex and set up intricate structures, whose characteristics and dynamic properties are greatly influenced by climate and meteorological patterns. Climate change and global warming are factors that could impact negatively in the quality and productivity of these ecosystems.</p><p>Remote sensing techniques have been demonstrated as a powerful tool for monitoring extensive areas. In this study, two semi-arid grassland plots were selected in the centre of Spain. This region is characterized by low precipitation and moderate productivity per unit. Through scientific research, spectral vegetation indices (VIs) have been developed to characterize vegetation cover. The most common VI is the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). However, in vegetation scarcity conditions, bare soil reflectance is increased, and the feasibility of NDVI is reduced. This study aims to perform a method to compare soil and agro-climatic variables effect on vegetation time-series indices.</p><p>The construction of the time series was based on multispectral images of MODIS TERRA (MOD09A1.006) product acquired from 2002 till 2018. Three pixels with a temporal resolution of 8 days and a spatial resolution of 500 x 500 m were chosen in each area. To estimate and analyse VIs series, Red (620-670 nm) and Near Infrared (841-876 nm) channels were extracted and filtered by the quality of pixel. All spectral bands showed statistically significant differences confirming that both areas presented different soil properties. Moreover, average annual precipitation was different in each area of study.</p><p>NDVI calculation is only based on NIR and RED bands. To improve the estimation of vegetation in semi-arid areas, several indices have been developed to minimize the soil effect. Each one of them incorporates soil influence in a different way, i.e., Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI) adds a constant soil adjustment factor (L), whereas, MSAVI, incorporate an L variable and dependant on soil characteristics.</p><p>Recurrence plots (RP) and recurrence quantification analysis (RQA) were computed to characterize the influence of agro-climatic variables in vegetation index dynamics. Characterization was based on various RQA measures, such as Determinism (DET), average diagonal length (LT) or entropy (ENT).</p><p>Our results showed different RPs depending on the area, VI utilized and precipitation. MSAVI patterns were further distinct, meanwhile, NDVI showed a noisy pattern. LT values in MSAVI were higher than in SAVI implying that MSAVI recurrent events are much longer than SAVI. Simultaneously, LT and DET values in ZSO, with a higher rain, were above ZEA values in MSAVI.</p><p>This indicates that incorporating more detailed information of soil and precipitation reinforce vegetation index estimation and allow to obtain a more distinct pattern of the time series. Therefore, in arid-semiarid grasslands, they should be considered.</p><p><strong>ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS</strong></p><p>The authors acknowledge support from Project No. PGC2018-093854-B-I00 of the Spanish <em>Ministerio de Ciencia Innovación y Universidades</em> of Spain and the funding from the Comunidad de Madrid (Spain) and Structural Funds 2014-2020 512 (ERDF and ESF), through project AGRISOST-CM S2018/BAA-4330, are highly appreciated.</p>


Author(s):  
S. A. Rahaman ◽  
S. Aruchamy ◽  
K. Balasubramani ◽  
R. Jegankumar

Nowadays land use/ land cover in mountain landscape is in critical condition; it leads to high risky and uncertain environments. These areas are facing multiple stresses including degradation of land resources; vagaries of climate and depletion of water resources continuously affect land use practices and livelihoods. To understand the Land use/Land cover (Lu/Lc) changes in a semi-arid mountain landscape, Kallar watershed of Bhavani basin, in southern India has been chosen. Most of the hilly part in the study area covers with forest, plantation, orchards and vegetables and which are highly affected by severe soil erosion, landslide, frequent rainfall failures and associated drought. The foothill regions are mainly utilized for agriculture practices; due to water scarcity and meagre income, the productive agriculture lands are converted into settlement plots and wasteland. Hence, land use/land cover change deduction; a stochastic processed based method is indispensable for future prediction. For identification of land use/land cover, and vegetation changes, Landsat TM, ETM (1995, 2005) and IRS P6- LISS IV (2015) images were used. Through CAMarkov chain analysis, Lu/Lc changes in past three decades (1995, 2005, and 2015) were identified and projected for (2020 and 2025); Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) were used to find the vegetation changes. The result shows that, maximum changes occur in the plantation and slight changes found in forest cover in the hilly terrain. In foothill areas, agriculture lands were decreased while wastelands and settlement plots were increased. The outcome of the results helps to farmer and policy makers to draw optimal lands use planning and better management strategies for sustainable development of natural resources.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Esmaeel Parizi ◽  
Seiyed Mossa Hosseini ◽  
Behzad Ataie-Ashtiani ◽  
Craig T. Simmons

Abstract The estimation of long-term groundwater recharge rate ($${GW}_{r}$$ GW r ) is a pre-requisite for efficient management of groundwater resources, especially for arid and semi-arid regions. Precise estimation of $${GW}_{r}$$ GW r is probably the most difficult factor of all measurements in the evaluation of GW resources, particularly in semi-arid regions in which the recharge rate is typically small and/or regions with scarce hydrogeological data. The main objective of this study is to find and assess the predicting factors of $${GW}_{r}$$ GW r at an aquifer scale. For this purpose, 325 Iran’s phreatic aquifers (61% of Iran’s aquifers) were selected based on the data availability and the effect of eight predicting factors were assessed on $${GW}_{r}$$ GW r estimation. The predicting factors considered include Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), mean annual temperature ($$T$$ T ), the ratio of precipitation to potential evapotranspiration ($${P/ET}_{P}$$ P / E T P ), drainage density ($${D}_{d}$$ D d ), mean annual specific discharge ($${Q}_{s}$$ Q s ), Mean Slope ($$S$$ S ), Soil Moisture ($${SM}_{90}$$ SM 90 ), and population density ($${Pop}_{d}$$ Pop d ). The local and global Moran’s I index, geographically weighted regression (GWR), and two-step cluster analysis served to support the spatial analysis of the results. The eight predicting factors considered are positively correlated to $${GW}_{r}$$ GW r and the NDVI has the greatest influence followed by the $$P/{ET}_{P}$$ P / ET P and $${SM}_{90}$$ SM 90 . In the regression model, NDVI solely explained 71% of the variation in $${GW}_{r}$$ GW r , while other drivers have only a minor modification (3.6%). The results of this study provide new insight into the complex interrelationship between $${GW}_{r}$$ GW r and vegetation density indicated by the NDVI. The findings of this study can help in better estimation of $${GW}_{r}$$ GW r especially for the phreatic aquifers that the hydrogeological ground-data requisite for establishing models are scarce.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Melku Dagnachew ◽  
Asfaw Kebede ◽  
Awdenegest Moges ◽  
Adane Abebe

Vegetation dynamics have been visibly influenced by climate variability. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) has been the most commonly used index in vegetation dynamics. The study was conducted to examine the effects of climatic variability (rainfall) on NDVI for the periods 1982–2015 in the Gojeb River Catchment (GRC), Omo-Gibe Basin, Ethiopia. The spatiotemporal trend in NDVI and rainfall time series was assessed using a Theil–Sen (Sen) slope and Mann–Kendall (MK) statistical significance test at a 95% confidence interval. Moreover, the residual trend analysis (RESTREND) method was used to investigate the effect of rainfall and human induction on vegetation degradation. The Sen’s slope trend analysis and MK significant test indicated that the magnitude of annual NDVI and rainfall showed significant decrement and/or increment in various portions of the GRC. The concurrent decrement and/or increment of annual NDVI and rainfall distributions both spatially and temporarily could be attributed to the significant positive correlation of the monthly (RNDVI-RF = 0.189, P≤0.001) and annual (RNDVI-RF = 0.637, P≤0.001) NDVI with rainfall in almost all portions of the catchment. In the GRC, a strongly negative decrement and strong positive increment of NDVI could be derived by human-induced and rainfall variability, respectively. Accordingly, the significant NDVI decrement in the downstream portion and significant increment in the northern portion of the catchment could be attributed to human-induced vegetation degradation and the variability of rainfall, respectively. The dominance of a decreasing trend in the residuals at the pixel level for the NDVI from 1982, 1984, 2000, 2008 to 2012 indicates vegetation degradation. The strong upward trend in the residuals evident from 1983, 1991, 1998 to 2007 was indicative of vegetation improvements. In the GRC, the residuals may be derived from climatic variations (mainly rainfall) and human activities. The time lag between NDVI and climate factors (rainfall) varied mainly from two to three months. In the study catchment, since vegetation degradations are mainly caused by human induction and rainfall variability, integrated and sustainable landscape management and climate-smart agricultural practices could have paramount importance in reversing the degradation processes.


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