scholarly journals A Method for Fast Evaluation of Potential Consequences of Dam Breach

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 2224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Ge ◽  
Yutie Jiao ◽  
Heqiang Sun ◽  
Zongkun Li ◽  
Hexiang Zhang ◽  
...  

Dam breach has catastrophic consequences for human lives and economy. In previous studies, empirical models are often, to a limited extent, due to the inadequacy of historical dam breach events. Physical models, which focus on simulating human behavior during floods, are not suitable for fast analysis of a large number of dams due to the complexities of many key parameters. Therefore, this paper proposes a method for fast evaluation of potential consequences of dam breach. Eight main indices, i.e., capacity of reservoir (CR), dam height (HD), population at risk (PR), economy at risk (ER), understanding of dam breach (UB), industry type (TI), warning time (TW), and building vulnerability (VB), are selected to establish an evaluation index system. A catastrophe evaluation method is introduced to establish an evaluation model for potential consequences of dam breach based on the indices which are divided into five grades according to the relevant standards and guidelines. Validation of the method by twelve historical dam breach events shows a good accuracy. The method is applied to evaluate potential consequences of dam breach of Jiangang Reservoir in Henan Province, China. It is estimated that loss of life in the worst scenario is between that of Hengjiang Reservoir and that of Shimantan Reservoir dam breach, of which fatalities are 941 and 2717, respectively, showing that risk management measures should be taken to reduce the risk of potential loss of life.

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 125-133
Author(s):  
Yapeng Wang ◽  
Jinguo Zhang ◽  
Yundou Wang ◽  
Xiaowen Xiong ◽  
Xin Zhao

Background: An objective, comprehensive and scientific evaluation of emergency medical rescue capability (EMRC) is of great realistic significance in assisting the health administrative department to grasp the overall response capability of all emergency medical rescue teams, enabling each team to have a full understanding of its own strengths and weakness and improve itself accordingly. At present, the research on the evaluation of EMRC in Hazardous Chemicals Accidents (HCA) is not systematic and in-depth, and the existing research results also have some shortcomings, such as, the lack of strong theoretical support for the evaluation index system, the relatively single function of evaluation methods, and so on. Objectives: The objective of this article is to research the evaluation index system and a new evaluation method of EMRC in HCA to overcome the above shortcomings. Methods: It establishes an emergency medical rescue capability model by employing the competency model and then constructs the evaluation index system on the basis of the analysis of all the factors of emergency medical rescue capability in hazardous chemical accidents and sets up an evaluation model based on the theory of connection numbers and partial connection numbers. It determines the competence ranking of several emergency medical rescue teams and the competence state of an individual emergency medical rescue team by calculating the connection principal value, and it also predicts how the emergency medical rescue capability will develop based on the values of partial connection numbers. Results: The example shows that the calculation process of this model is relatively simple, and its assessment results are objective and authentic, and moreover, its multi-functions can make up for the deficiency of the simplified function of other evaluation models. Conclusion: This method is scientific and rational to some extent and can provide reference for evaluation problems of the same kind.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Ke Yin

In order to improve the rationality and validity of the physical protection system effectiveness evaluation in prison, this paper discusses the main factors that affect the system performance in the prison security system construction process and explores the key points in evaluating the effectiveness of searching system. The author of this paper has constructed an evaluation index system that accurately reflects the physical protection system in prison and comes up with an evaluation model and algorithm based on the gray level analysis by verifying the rationality of effectiveness evaluation model of prison physical protection system and the validity of the evaluation method.


2011 ◽  
Vol 403-408 ◽  
pp. 2632-2635
Author(s):  
Jin Yu Tian ◽  
Ling Ling Wu

In order to solve the financial risks of electric power enterprises analysis problem, a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is used in this paper. By constructing evaluation index system and calculating index weights, the model can reasonably evaluate the financial risks of electric power enterprises. For illustration, an electric power enterprise example is utilized to show the feasibility of the model in solving the problem Results show that financial risk of the electric power enterprise is general. The paper provides a new way for financial risks of electric power enterprises analysis, and makes its research further perfected. Thus, electric power enterprises can control and prevent financial risks better.


CONVERTER ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 693-701
Author(s):  
Ke Wang

In the current digital information age, logistics is no longer the isolated transportation and storage of enterprises, nor is it the appendage of enterprise production and sales. This paper studies the logistics informatization of industrial enterprises and its application in industrial supply chain management under the background of big data. By analyzing the formation mechanism and covering modules of logistics informatization, this paper constructs the evaluation index system of logistics enterprise informatization. Based on the fuzzy evaluation method and the specific data of logistics information modernization of Chinese enterprises, this paper gives an application example of the evaluation model. Finally, this paper puts forward a reasonable analysis of the information construction of China's logistics enterprises in the future. The results show that this method can improve the efficiency of logistics informatization and supply chain management of industrial enterprises, and has certain reference significance for the research of logistics intelligence of industrial enterprises.


2013 ◽  
Vol 03 (06) ◽  
pp. 08-14
Author(s):  
Jun Li ◽  
Fan Yang ◽  
HuaJie Yu

According to the characteristics of engineering project demolition, the whole paper will concentrate on the analysis of crisis management in the new trend of research projects in the field of research and practice. The basic framework of the outline of the crisis management process of modern engineering project in China demolition system has been created from several aspects, the Balanced Scorecard theory construction project the evaluation index system of crisis management units on the performance. And establishes the evaluation model of crisis management organization project demolition performance through the use of AHP multi-level fuzzy evaluation method, evaluation index of factors related were quantified in the example analysis after application. We expect that accurate grasp and evaluation of engineering project crisis management can be used to deal with pollution emergency management level, and provide a useful reference for the formulation of strategies and measures of rational and efficient.


2013 ◽  
Vol 423-426 ◽  
pp. 2930-2933
Author(s):  
Cong Jun Rao

The level and status of disciplines are the important indexes in universities. The evaluation of multiple disciplines plays an important role in the disciplines development. This paper mainly studied the problem of disciplines evaluation in higher education. Firstly, it established the evaluation index system with eight first-grade evaluation indexes, i.e., discipline construction, teaching award, research funding, the scientific research achievement award, team construction, scientific research, talent training, and initial investment, and then used the method of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to solve the weight of each index. Thirdly, it established a disciplinary evaluation model based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, and analyzed the rationality of the model. The study in this paper provides a new way for the evaluation of university disciplines.


2012 ◽  
Vol 159 ◽  
pp. 400-404
Author(s):  
Ji Yan Li ◽  
Zhi Bing Yang

Usability is the basic properties of the product, and it is the overall evaluation to the product usability. In this paper, firstly, establish a usability evaluation index system of the welding clamp. Then, use the improved fuzzy synthetic evaluation method to assess the usability of welding clamp. In an improved fuzzy synthetic evaluation model, the index weight which is identified by using AHP method is amended objectively by using entropy technology, the resolution ratio is improved by classifying the differences between qualitative indexes and quantitative indexes. Finally, get the evaluation results of the usability of a welding clamp according to the method above.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 796-805 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Bo ◽  
Wu Qiang ◽  
Chen Li-xia

The uneven temporal and spatial distributions and the unreasonable development and utilization of water resources have caused increasingly severe water resources shortage around the world. Studying on regional water carrying capacity is beneficial for the optimal management of water resources, and can provide assistance for the sustainable utilization of water resources. The typical karst area in China – Guizhou province was applied as the research area in the paper. Meanwhile, twelve indexes were selected from three perspectives including water supply, water demand and social economy to establish the evaluation index system of regional water carrying capacity. Afterwards, the analysis hierarchy process was utilized to construct the evaluation model of regional water resources carrying capacity, so as to evaluate, compare and analyze the regional water carrying capacity in each city of Guizhou province, China. This model verified the feasibility of the evaluation method. Relevant studies can provide certain theory evidence and method support for the investigation on regional water carrying capacity.


2013 ◽  
Vol 281 ◽  
pp. 692-695
Author(s):  
Ying Guo ◽  
Li Quan Men

Assessing social insurance fund safety objectively is useful to make effective risk management and control, so as to lower the economic loss. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method based analytical hierarchy process(AHP) is adopted to evaluate the social insurance fund safety. And social insurance fund safety evaluation index system is established according to the characteristics of the social insurance fund safety and the development tendency of social insurance .Then AHP method is applied to determine the more reasonable index weight and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is used to evaluate social insurance fund safety of three cities.Finally, some improvement suggestions are proposed. The results show that the index is reasonable and quantitative and the method can help improve the safety of the social insurance fund as well as provide decision-making for the government.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1073-1076 ◽  
pp. 2852-2856
Author(s):  
Zhi Jin Xu ◽  
Yan Kui Song

The implemented performance of enterprise’s patent strategy is an important component to measure its comprehensive benefits. It is of strategic significance for an enterprise to evaluate objectively its implemented performance of patent strategy. From the perspective of sustainable development, according to the 4 aspects of creation, application, protection and management of patent, the essay constitutes preliminarily a comprehensive evaluation index system of the implemented performance of enterprise’s patent strategy which is composed of a set of 21 indexes on the basis of an amount of domestic and foreign literature survey, case study and expert consultation, and analyzes the evaluation model and method of implemented performance of enterprise’s patent strategy with the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and through a real case. The essay thinks the constitution of evaluation index system should obey a series of basic principles of objectivity, systematization, science and conciseness and the evaluation in essence is multi-object, multi-factor and multi-layer. Therefore, it is effective and feasible to select the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation method.


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