scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF CURRENT INFORMATIONAL ASPECTS OF PROBABLE SCENARIO FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MILITARY CONFLICT WITH THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Author(s):  
V. Bashynskyi ◽  
H. Pievtsov ◽  
P. Openko ◽  
A. Kozyr

The beginning of the XXI century was characterized by the emergence of a new type of war – information one, when victory is achieved not by destroying the armed forces and the economy of the enemy, but through the impact on his moral and psychological condition. In modern conflicts, methods based on the integrated application of political, economic, informational and other non-military measures based on military force are increasingly used. The combination of these methods is implemented in the concept of hybrid warfare, the leading idea of which consists in achieving political goals with minimal military influence on the enemy through the use of modern information technology based on "soft power" and "hard power". The peculiarity of such a war is that it is conducted in disguise using mostly non-linear tactics and is not aimed at capturing the entire territory of the country, although it is possible to take control of partial territories, but to obtain patronage over the state, which is achieved through influence on the population, politics, business, law-enforcement agencies. A striking example of the implementation of the concept of hybrid war is the actions of the Russian Federation (hereinafter - Russia) against Ukraine. At the same time, Russia's "hybrid policy" is not limited to Ukraine. It also covers Europe and the United States, the EU and NATO. In order to analyze the development of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia in the period up to 2035, an analysis was made on the development of the information aspect of relations between Ukraine and other influential regional and world actors on the development of the situation around Ukraine. In preparing the forecast, the tools of scenario analysis were used, namely: the analysis of the main influencing factors, which allowed determining the trends of regional development until 2035. This analysis makes it possible to develop a baseline scenario for the development of the situation, provided that the situation around Ukraine over time will not change significantly; the main factors that are difficult to predict and non-collinear are identified.

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (10) ◽  
pp. 149-166
Author(s):  
Dmitry V. Gordienko ◽  

The paper examines the interests of Russia, the United States and China in the regions of the world and identifies the priorities of Russia's activities in Europe, Central Asia and the Caucasus, the Asia-Pacific region, the Arctic, Africa, the Middle East and Latin America, their comparative assessment with the interests of the United States and China. An approach to assessing the impact of possible consequences of the activities of the United States and China on the realization of Russia's interests is proposed. This makes it possible to identify the priorities of the policy of the Russian Federation in various regions of the world. The results of the analysis can be used to substantiate recommendations to the military-political leadership of our country. It is concluded that the discrepancy between the interests of the United States and China is important for the implementation of the current economic and military policy of the Russian Federation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (8) ◽  
pp. 147-163
Author(s):  
D. V. GORDIENKO ◽  

The purpose of the study is to assess the impact of economic cooperation between the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China on the economic relations of the countries of the strategic triangle Russia – China – the United States. An approach to the analysis of trade and investment cooperation between the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China, which determines the interdependence of the national economies of these countries, is proposed. This allows us to give a forecast of the development of economic relations between the countries of the strategic triangle. The results of the analysis can be used to justify recommendations to the leadership of our country. The conclusion is made: the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China are important economic partners for each other.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 30-37
Author(s):  
A. A. Gerasimov

1 million 824 thousand people died in the Russian Federation in 2017, including 457 thousand from ischemic heart disease (IHD). IHD caused more than a quarter of deaths in Russia. Goal. The article analyzes the impact of implementation of clinical guidelines in cardiology in medical practice in the United States and the Russian Federation on the dynamics of mortality from ischemic heart disease and its outcomes in different age groups. Results. The results showed that the implementation of clinical guidelines (CG) increased the rate of mortality reduction from coronary heart diseases in Russia and the United States, which may indicate a positive impact CG on the quality of medical care. Conclusions. A higher level of mortality from coronary heart disease in Russia compared to the United States may be due to less commitment of doctors to the principles of therapy and diagnosis of various forms of coronary heart disease, set out in clinical guidelines.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (3) ◽  
pp. 30-36
Author(s):  
V. Tolstykh ◽  
S. Yampolsky

In the article, the authors disclose the impact of the crisis caused by the pandemic of the coronavirus COVID-19 on the activities of the armed forces of foreign armies, including the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to carry out defense tasks. A detailed analysis of the ability of the armed forces to withstand a new coronavirus infection and to help neutralize it both domestically and in the international arena is presented. Separately, the issue of managing forces, means and resources under these conditions was considered and a list of additional requirements for the state and military command and control system in the interests of neutralizing the pandemic was proposed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (10) ◽  
pp. 87-98
Author(s):  
Dmitry V. Gordienko ◽  

With the intensification of the struggle for leadership between the United States and China, the task of realizing its own national interests is becoming especially urgent for Russia. The purpose of this article is to assess the impact of the prospects for the realization of the national interests of the Russian Federation in the context of an aggravated struggle for leadership between the United States and China. The paper proposes an approach to the analysis and studies the prospects for the realization of the national interests of the Russian Federation in the context of an aggravated struggle for leadership between the United States and China, which determine the interdependence of the countries of the "strategic triangle" Russia-China-USA. The proposed approach to assessing these prospects allows us to forecast the develop-ment of relations between the countries of the "strategic triangle". The results of the analysis can be used to substantiate recommendations for the leadership of our coun-try. It is concluded that the Russian Federation, the People's Republic of China and the United States of America are important partners for each other.


2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 178-184
Author(s):  
T. K. Ryabinina

The article discusses issues concerning the impact of legislation some countries Anglo-Saxon legal family on contemporary reform of Russian criminal procedure. The author raises the problem of community many of the legal provisions and institutions of Russian and Anglo-Saxon law. The work focuses on the fact that due to frequent legal stories, contradictory law-enforcement practice, the active work of the constitutional Court of the Russian Federation and Plenum of the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation which, by their individual decisions initiate new legislative changes, the reference to comparative legal study of foreign models of the criminal process is inevitable. The study used General scientific and special legal methods of studies: analysis and synthesis, legal modeling, formally-legal. The scientific novelty of the research lies in the author's approach to the study of the problem, which has not only theoretical but also practical importance, consists in the fact that, despite the seemingly opposite type of the Russian legal system related to civil law jurisdictions, and countries of the Anglo-American conglomerate, however, in fact, at the present time, there is the mutual influence and complementarity. In support of this thesis, the author made analysis of such a legal institution as a simplified procedure (in countries with Anglo-Saxon legal family called plea of guilt), which is in the form of a special order of judicial proceedings was introduced in the Russian criminal process. The Russian version of this procedure differs from Anglo-American, however, at its core, it is based on the legislative regulations of great Britain and the United States. The work is concluded that the main influence in Anglo-Saxon law is in the Russian criminal process is manifested in the extension of adversarial origins.


Author(s):  
VALERY P. ZHURAVEL ◽  

The article reveals real and potential threats to the national security of the Russian Federation in the Arctic region by the NATO. According to the author, these include: the strengthening of the military presence in the Arctic of the Arctic Ocean coastal States and other NATO countries; the increase in the combat capabilities of groups of coalition and national Armed Forces (Navy) of the United States and NATO; the development of naval-based missile defences and early warning systems; the expansion of the United States military satellite constellation to the Arctic; increased activity by the special services of foreign states in conducting intelligence activities in the Arctic and in the frontier territory of the Russian Federation; conduct of multinational military exercises and transfer of combat training areas to the Arctic; the desire of a number of foreign countries to give the Northern Sea Way the status of an international transport highway, and of the Norwegian leadership to change the status of Spitsbergen, to reduce and eventually completely displace the Russian Federation from the archipelago; increasing attempts to discredit the activities of the Russian Federation in the Arctic. The article discusses the measures of the Russian Federation to strengthen the defensive capability in the Arctic direction, paying special attention to the protection of its sovereignty and territorial integrity.


Author(s):  
Malina Kaszuba

The transformation of the Russian foreign and security policy based on a more courageous use of military potential is a fact. Over the past several years, Russia has moved from articulating its interests to their enforcement with the use of military force. This article focuses on analyzing this process and identifying its potential consequences for global security. The conclusions drawn by the author, based on the conducted research, allow to state that the armed forces are and will be an important instrument of the Russian foreign and security policy. This does not mean, however, that the Russian Federation will strive for an armed conflict posing a threat to international security.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-53
Author(s):  
S. V. Kazantsev

The volume and dynamics of foreign investments are formed under the influence of many conditions and circumstances. The author of this article examines the impact of one class of factors that determine the dynamics and geographical structure of Russia’s foreign direct investment inflows outflows. These are anti-Russian sanctions imposed by a group of States in 2014 to isolate the Russian Federation in the field of politics, finance and economy, science and technology, information and culture. For these countries, Russia is not a priority investment target. The share of the Russian Federation varied from two to five per cent, and rarely exceeded 10 per cent of the total volume of these countries foreign direct investment net outflows in 2007–2018. The author presented in this article the positive and negative aspects of foreign direct investment, their dynamics before and after the imposition of sanctions. In particular, the author shows that the reduction in the foreign direct investment net inflows from Russia to the sanctioning countries was less significant for the leading EU States — Germany, France and United Kingdom — than for many other sanctioning countries The cuts in Russia’s foreign direct investment net outflows had almost no impact on the United States who was the main initiator of anti-Russian sanctions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (12) ◽  
pp. 90-103
Author(s):  
D. V. GORDIENKO ◽  

The paper considers the impact of the European component of the policy of the United States of America, the people's Republic of China and the Russian Federation on the national security of these countries. An approach to comparing this influence is proposed, which allows us to identify the priorities of Russia's policy in Europe and other regions of the world. The proposed comparison can be used to justify recommendations to the military and political leadership of our country. It is concluded that the European component of the policy of the United States, China, and Russia occupies a dominant position in the implementation of current economic and military policies in the European region.


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