The Impact of Global Economy and Global Liquidity on Domestic Economic Growth

2021 ◽  
pp. 337-355
Author(s):  
Musa Bayir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Import Demand ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Economic Output ◽  
Global Liquidity ◽  
Global Economic Growth ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Domestic Economies ◽  
Positive Effect

Economic globalization has considerably accelerated in recent years. Therefore, they are expected that developments in the global economy have an impact on domestic economies. The chapter aims to analyse empirically the effects of global economic growth, global import demand, and global liquidity on Turkish economic growth. The method of the study is NARDL. The analyses include the 1987-2019 period. According to the empirical results, the growth in global economic output and global import demand has a positive effect on Turkish economic growth. Interestingly, the contraction in global economic output and global import demand also increases more strongly Turkish economic growth. In addition, while the increase in global liquidity has a positive effect on Turkish economic growth, the effect of the decrease in global liquidity is statistically insignificant.

Preparing a Multi-Asset Class Portfolio for Shocks to Economic Growth

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Asset Allocation ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Economic Fundamentals ◽  
Funding Sources ◽  
Liability Management ◽  
Asset Class ◽  
Global Economic Growth ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Real Assets

This article explores shocks to global economic growth and how investors can defend against them. The authors examine the impact of such potential shocks on the asset allocation decision, asset-liability management, and funding sources. This article proposes that the global economy could be poised at an inflection point, and if a regime change occurs it would catch many portfolios off guard. Investors have experienced relatively healthy returns for the last decade, with recency bias leading many investors to creep outward on the risk spectrum. The authors remind the reader that, even in portfolios that appear to be diversified, most of the risk typically comes from equities and equity-like securities, which are greatly exposed to global economic growth risk. To address these concerns, they encourage investors to incorporate economic fundamentals and much longer time horizons into the portfolio construction calculus. Specifically, they argue that true diversification across independent sources of return is the only practical way of reducing exposure to economic growth. The asset classes providing returns independent of the equity market are nominal bonds and real assets (the latter including inflation-indexed bonds) and, for some investors, cash (usually implemented using skill-based assets with a cash-like beta). Many assets marketed as alternatives actually provide equity exposure in disguise.

scholarly journals Sustainable Tourism, Economic Growth and Employment—The Case of the Wine Routes of Spain

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (13) ◽  
pp. 7164
Author(s):  
Guillermo Vázquez Vicente ◽  
Victor Martín Barroso ◽  
Francisco José Blanco Jiménez
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Impact ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Local Development ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Wine Tourism ◽  
Development Tool ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Positive Effect

Tourism has become a priority in national and regional development policies and is considered a source of economic growth, particularly in rural areas. Nowadays, wine tourism is an important form of tourism and has become a local development tool for rural areas. Regional tourism development studies based on wine tourism have a long history in several countries such as the US and Australia, but are more recent in Europe. Although Spain is a leading country in the tourism industry, with an enormous wine-growing tradition, the literature examining the economic impact of wine tourism in Spanish economy is scarce. In an attempt to fill this gap, the main objective of this paper is to analyze the impact of wine tourism on economic growth and employment in Spain. More specifically, by applying panel data techniques, we study the economic impact of tourism in nine Spanish wine routes in the period from 2008 to 2018. Our results suggest that tourism in these wine routes had a positive effect on economic growth. However, we do not find clear evidence of a positive effect on employment generation.

International Cooperation and Natural Disasters: Evidence from Trade Agreements

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandra Conevska
Keyword(s):  
Natural Disasters ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Trade Agreements ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Exogenous Shocks ◽  
Trading Partners ◽  
Environmental Shocks ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Domestic Economies

Abstract Environmental shocks in the form of natural disasters are well known for their impact on domestic economies. Less known, however, is their impact on the global economy. The scant existing literature suggests that macro-economic impacts manifest in observed empirical decreases in international trade. The literature, however, does not examine whether the impact of natural disasters on trade varies for trading partners with differing levels of market integration. This paper examines if preferential liberalization serves to protect or buffer against the negative economic consequences of natural disasters. I show that deep preferential liberalization can not only protect countries against the negative macro-economic impact of natural disasters but can actually allow countries to increase exports during natural disaster events that otherwise induce trade decline. These findings suggest that by allowing countries to expand the quantity and the range of exports, preferential trade agreements lead to enhanced resilience against exogenous shocks.

scholarly journals Political Stability and its Impact on Economic Growth of Pakistan (1988-2018): A Time Series Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 273-282
Author(s):  
Majid Hussain Phul ◽  
Muhammad Saleem Rahpoto ◽  
Ghulam Muhammad Mangnejo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Positive Effect

This research paper empirically investigates the outcome of Political stability on economic growth (EG) of Pakistan for the period of 1988 to 2018. Political stability (PS), gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), total labor force (TLF) and Inflation (INF) are important explanatory variables. Whereas for model selection GDPr is used as the dependent variable. To check the stationary of time series data Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root (UR) test has been used,  and whereas to find out the long run relationship among variables, OLS method has been used. The analysis the impact of PS on EG (EG) in the short run, VAR model has been used. The outcomes show that all the variables (PS, GFCF, TLF and INF) have a significantly positive effect on the EG of Pakistan in the long run period. But the effect of PS on GDP is smaller. Further, in this research we are trying to see the short run relationship between GDP and other explanatory variables. The outcomes show that PS does not have such effect on GDP in the short run analysis. While GFCF, TLF and INF have significantly positive effect on GDP of Pakistan in the short run period.

Gender and Entrepreneurship in Developing Economies

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Rob Kim Marjerison
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Women Entrepreneurs ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
New Ventures ◽  
Entrepreneurial Activity ◽  
Relative Importance ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Entrepreneurship Training ◽  
Global Economic Growth ◽  
The Impact

This chapter begins with a brief exploration of the importance of entrepreneurial activity as a driver of global economic growth. The importance of entrepreneurship in developing economies is examined as are the traits, motivations, and drivers of entrepreneurs and the economic, social, cultural, legislative, and regulatory circumstances that encourage and in some cases discourage entrepreneurial activity. The impact of entrepreneurship training and education on encouraging women entrepreneurs is examined, the relative importance of women entrepreneurs is examined, and emphasis is placed on the relatively greater difficulties that are faced by women entrepreneurs particularly in regards to obtaining funding for starting new ventures. Opportunities are identified that may useful for policy makers, investors, and those that may seek to promote social entrepreneurship and economic growth in developing economies.

Trade Liberalization, Structural Change, and Economic Growth

2021 ◽  
pp. 407-441
Author(s):  
Michael Landesmann ◽  
Neil Foster-McGregor
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Structural Change ◽  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Productivity Growth ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Adam Smith ◽  
Trade Theory ◽  
New Trade Theory ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Trade and the integration of countries into the global economy is one of the main forces shaping the structural composition of economies, an effect which in turn is expected to impact upon productivity and growth. Structural change can be restrained or reinforced by international trade. This chapter reviews the theory on the relationship between trade and trade liberalization and both structural change and growth, from the contributions of Adam Smith to the more recent new new trade theory beginning with the work of Melitz. The chapter further discusses the existing empirical evidence on the relationship between trade and structural change, before concluding by presenting evidence on the impact of trade liberalization on productivity growth for a broad sample of countries, further decomposing the effect into an effect due to structural change and an effect due to within sector productivity developments.

scholarly journals Agricultural R&D, spatial spillover and regional economic growth in different R&D sectors of performance: evidence from a spatial panel in regions of the EU-28

2018 ◽  
Vol 64 (No. 4) ◽  
pp. 163-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anousheh Shahrzad ◽  
Hojabr-Kiani Kambiz ◽  
Mojtahed Ahmad ◽  
Ranjbar Homayoun
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Regional Growth ◽  
Regional Economic Growth ◽  
Business Enterprise ◽  
Regional Economic ◽  
Spatial Spillover ◽  
Spatial Panel ◽  
Economic Output ◽  
The Impact

Agricultural R&D has been identified as an important determinant of economic output in the agricultural sector. Surprisingly, in previous studies, spatial spillover associated with R&D spending in the agricultural sector has not been taken into account. This paper investigates the effects of spatial spillover of agricultural R&D on regional economic growth across EU-28 NUTS-II regions in the period 1995–2014. In particular, we extend previous studies by considering spillover in all sectors of agricultural R&D performance including business enterprise, government and higher education. The spatial Durbin panel data model is employed to estimate brooders effect including direct and indirect effects. Empirical results show a positive effect of agricultural R&D and its spatial spillover on regional growth in all performance sectors. Moreover, the impact of spatial spillover of agricultural R&D on regional growth depends on the performance of the R&D sectors; positive spillovers are stronger in the business enterprise sector. Finally, the interaction effect between the economic output of the agricultural sector of each region with that of its neighbours is significantly positive.  

scholarly journals Global Outlook for 2018: Economy, Finance, and Monetary, with a Particular Case Study of Taiwan

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 133 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shyi-Min Lu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
Global Economic Growth

In October 2017, IMF President Christine Lagarde declared that the GDP growth of world’s economies in the first half of 2017 was up to the broadest recovery since 2010. So far, the strength of global economic growth has been enhancing. The interest rates and inflation are still at a low level. The global economy has risen from the bottom in 2016 to reach its peak since 2011. As for the degree of economic development, the emerging markets grew fastest, followed by the developing countries, while the advanced economies grew moderately at an average rate around 2%. Manufacturing PMI in major countries, such as the United States, China, the Eurozone, and even Taiwan, have increased above 50 notably in the recent years, while the non-manufacturing PMI is also above 50. Accordingly, the main purpose of this paper is to forecast the global economy in 2018, which is on the trajectory of booming with a certain degree of uncertainty. A particular case study of Taiwan’s overall economic development is presented as well.

scholarly journals The Contribution of Sustainable Tourism to Economic Growth and Employment in Pakistan

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (19) ◽  
pp. 3785 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faiza Manzoor ◽  
Longbao Wei ◽  
Muhammad Asif ◽  
Muhammad Zia ul Haq ◽  
Hafiz ur Rehman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
The Impact

In the global economy, tourism is one of the most noticeable and growing sectors. Thissector plays an important role in boosting a nation’s economy. An increase in tourism flow canbring positive economic outcomes to the nations, especially in gross domestic product (GDP) andemployment opportunities. In South Asian countries, the tourism industry is an engine ofeconomic development and GDP growth. This study investigates the impact of tourism onPakistan’s economic growth and employment. The period under study was from 1990 to 2015. Tocheck whether the variables under study were stationary, augmented Dickey–Fuller andPhillips–Perron unit root tests were applied. A regression technique and Johansen cointegrationapproach were employed for the analysis of data. The key finding of this study shows that there isa positive and significant impact of tourism on Pakistan’s economic growth as well as employmentsector and there is also a long‐run relationship among the variables under study. This studysuggests that legislators should focus on the policies with special emphasis on the promotion oftourism due to its great potential throughout the country. Policy implications of this recent studyand future research suggestions are also mentioned.

scholarly journals Analysis of Superior Commodities in Agricultural Sector in Some Districts of North Sumatera Province

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 1054-1066
Author(s):  
Nela Permata Sari Lubis ◽  
Eko Wahyu Nugrahadi ◽  
M. Yusuf
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Endogenous Development ◽  
Location Quotient ◽  
Regional Economic ◽  
Economic Output ◽  
Panel Data Regression ◽  
Data Regression ◽  
The Impact ◽  
North Sumatra

Realization of regional economic development requires policies that are endogenous development. Each region has a base sector as the main driving force in economic growth. The base sector must have resilience between other sectors and have a high contribution to the formation of total regional economic output. North Sumatra is one of the provinces in Indonesia which has a tendency towards economic structure in the agricultural sector. Viewed from the field of business, the agricultural sector provides the highest contribution in the formation of GRDP. North Sumatra has 25 districts with a variety of geographical conditions having varied natural resources that need to be intensified and explored. The purpose of this study is to analyze the leading commodities of the agricultural sector and find out how much the impact of the leading sector on the growth of North Sumatra GRDP in the period 2014 - 2018. The method of analysis in this study uses the Location Quotient (LQ) analysis, Revelead Comparative Advantage (RCA) analysis, and Panel Data Regression Analysis. The estimation results show that the agriculture, livestock, hunting and services sub-sectors, the forestry sub-sector and the fisheries sub-sector have a positive and significant effect on the economic growth of the province of North Sumatra. The economic growth variables can be explained by 89 percent by the variables of the agriculture, livestock, hunting and service subsectors, the forestry subsector and the fisheries subsector while the rest are explained by variables not included in this study.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document