scholarly journals A Comprehensive Study on Various Statistical Techniques for Prediction of Movie Success

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manav Agarwal ◽  
Shreya Venugopal ◽  
Rishab Kashyap ◽  
R Bharathi
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Contributing Factors ◽  
Popular Entertainment ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Comprehensive Comparison ◽  
Rate Of Success ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The film industry is one of the most popular entertainment industries and one of the biggest markets for business. Among the contributing factors to this would be the success of a movie in terms of its popularity as well as its box office performance. Hence, we create a comprehensive comparison between the various machine learning models to predict the rate of success of a movie. The effectiveness of these models along with their statistical significance is studied to conclude which of these models is the best predictor. Some insights regarding factors that affect the success of the movies are also found. The models studied include some Regression models, Machine Learning models, a Time Series model and a Neural Network with the Neural Network being the best performing model with an accuracy of about 86%. Additionally, as part of the testing data for the movies released in 2020 are analysed.

scholarly journals Data Augmentation and Pretraining for Template-Based Retrosynthetic Prediction in Computer-Aided Synthesis Planning

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Fortunato ◽  
Connor W. Coley ◽  
Brian Barnes ◽  
Klavs F. Jensen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Data Augmentation ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Computer Aided ◽  
Synthesis Planning ◽  
The One ◽  
Machine Learning Models

This work presents efforts to augment the performance of data-driven machine learning algorithms for reaction template recommendation used in computer-aided synthesis planning software. Often, machine learning models designed to perform the task of prioritizing reaction templates or molecular transformations are focused on reporting high accuracy metrics for the one-to-one mapping of product molecules in reaction databases to the template extracted from the recorded reaction. The available templates that get selected for inclusion in these machine learning models have been previously limited to those that appear frequently in the reaction databases and exclude potentially useful transformations. By augmenting open-access datasets of organic reactions with artificially calculated template applicability and pretraining a template relevance neural network on this augmented applicability dataset, we report an increase in the template applicability recall and an increase in the diversity of predicted precursors. The augmentation and pretraining effectively teaches the neural network an increased set of templates that could theoretically lead to successful reactions for a given target. Even on a small dataset of well curated reactions, the data augmentation and pretraining methods resulted in an increase in top-1 accuracy, especially for rare templates, indicating these strategies can be very useful for small datasets.

scholarly journals Data Augmentation and Pretraining for Template-Based Retrosynthetic Prediction in Computer-Aided Synthesis Planning

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Fortunato ◽  
Connor W. Coley ◽  
Brian Barnes ◽  
Klavs F. Jensen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Data Augmentation ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Computer Aided ◽  
Synthesis Planning ◽  
The One ◽  
Machine Learning Models

This work presents efforts to augment the performance of data-driven machine learning algorithms for reaction template recommendation used in computer-aided synthesis planning software. Often, machine learning models designed to perform the task of prioritizing reaction templates or molecular transformations are focused on reporting high accuracy metrics for the one-to-one mapping of product molecules in reaction databases to the template extracted from the recorded reaction. The available templates that get selected for inclusion in these machine learning models have been previously limited to those that appear frequently in the reaction databases and exclude potentially useful transformations. By augmenting open-access datasets of organic reactions with artificially calculated template applicability and pretraining a template relevance neural network on this augmented applicability dataset, we report an increase in the template applicability recall and an increase in the diversity of predicted precursors. The augmentation and pretraining effectively teaches the neural network an increased set of templates that could theoretically lead to successful reactions for a given target. Even on a small dataset of well curated reactions, the data augmentation and pretraining methods resulted in an increase in top-1 accuracy, especially for rare templates, indicating these strategies can be very useful for small datasets.

Predicting Depression Using Social Media Posts

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fahem Abu Bakar ◽  
◽  
Nazri Mohd Nawi ◽  
Abdulkareem A. Hezam ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Mental Health ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The use of Social Network Sites (SNS) is on the rise these days, particularly among the younger generations. Users can communicate their interests, feelings, and everyday routines thanks to the availability of social media sites. Many studies show that properly utilizing user-generated content (UGC) can aid in determining people's mental health status. The use of the UGC could aid in the prediction of mental health, particularly depression, where it is a significant medical condition that impairs one's ability to work, learn, eat, sleep, and enjoy life. However, all information about a person's mood and negativism can be gathered from their SNS user profile. Therefore, this study utilizes SNS as a data source by using machine learning models to screen and identify users in categorizing users based on their mental health. The performance of three machine learning models is evaluated to classify the UGC: Decision Forest, Neural Network, and Support Vector Machine (SVM). The results show that the accuracy and recall result of the Neural Network model is the same as the Support Vector Machine (SVM) model, which is 78.27% and 0.042, but Neural Network performs better in the average precision value. This proves that the Neural Network model is the best model for making predictions to determine the level of depression by using social media posts.

First-Break Picking Classification Models Using Recurrent Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Ayub ◽  
SanLinn Kaka
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Contextual Information ◽  
Classification Model ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Minimum Number ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Abstract Manual first-break picking from a large volume of seismic data is extremely tedious and costly. Deployment of machine learning models makes the process fast and cost effective. However, these machine learning models require high representative and effective features for accurate automatic picking. Therefore, First- Break (FB) picking classification model that uses effective minimum number of features and promises performance efficiency is proposed. The variants of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) such as Long ShortTerm Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) can retain contextual information from long previous time steps. We deploy this advantage for FB picking as seismic traces are amplitude values of vibration along the time-axis. We use behavioral fluctuation of amplitude as input features for LSTM and GRU. The models are trained on noisy data and tested for generalization on original traces not seen during the training and validation process. In order to analyze the real-time suitability, the performance is benchmarked using accuracy, F1-measure and three other established metrics. We have trained two RNN models and two deep Neural Network models for FB classification using only amplitude values as features. Both LSTM and GRU have the accuracy and F1-measure with a score of 94.20%. With the same features, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has an accuracy of 93.58% and F1-score of 93.63%. Again, Deep Neural Network (DNN) model has scores of 92.83% and 92.59% as accuracy and F1-measure, respectively. From the pexperiment results, we see significant superior performance of LSTM and GRU to CNN and DNN when used the same features. For robustness of LSTM and GRU models, the performance is compared with DNN model that is trained using nine features derived from seismic traces and observed that the performance superiority of RNN models. Therefore, it is safe to conclude that RNN models (LSTM and GRU) are capable of classifying the FB events efficiently even by using a minimum number of features that are not computationally expensive. The novelty of our work is the capability of automatic FB classification with the RNN models that incorporate contextual behavioral information without the need for sophisticated feature extraction or engineering techniques that in turn can help in reducing the cost and fostering classification model robust and faster.

Building-damage detection method based on machine learning utilizing aerial photographs of the Kumamoto earthquake

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 1166-1187 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shohei Naito ◽  
Hiromitsu Tomozawa ◽  
Yuji Mori ◽  
Takeshi Nagata ◽  
Naokazu Monma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Aerial Photographs ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Visual Interpretation ◽  
Damage Classification ◽  
Kumamoto Earthquake ◽  
Machine Learning Models

This article presents a method for detecting damaged buildings in the event of an earthquake using machine learning models and aerial photographs. We initially created training data for machine learning models using aerial photographs captured around the town of Mashiki immediately after the main shock of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake. All buildings are classified into one of the four damage levels by visual interpretation. Subsequently, two damage discrimination models are developed: a bag-of-visual-words model and a model based on a convolutional neural network. Results are compared and validated in terms of accuracy, revealing that the latter model is preferable. Moreover, for the convolutional neural network model, the target areas are expanded and the recalls of damage classification at the four levels range approximately from 66% to 81%.

scholarly journals Chained Anomaly Detection Models for Federated Learning: An Intrusion Detection Case Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 2663 ◽  
Author(s):  
Davy Preuveneers ◽  
Vera Rimmer ◽  
Ilias Tsingenopoulos ◽  
Jan Spooren ◽  
Wouter Joosen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Intrusion Detection ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Traditional System ◽  
Blockchain Technology ◽  
Malicious Behavior ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The adoption of machine learning and deep learning is on the rise in the cybersecurity domain where these AI methods help strengthen traditional system monitoring and threat detection solutions. However, adversaries too are becoming more effective in concealing malicious behavior amongst large amounts of benign behavior data. To address the increasing time-to-detection of these stealthy attacks, interconnected and federated learning systems can improve the detection of malicious behavior by joining forces and pooling together monitoring data. The major challenge that we address in this work is that in a federated learning setup, an adversary has many more opportunities to poison one of the local machine learning models with malicious training samples, thereby influencing the outcome of the federated learning and evading detection. We present a solution where contributing parties in federated learning can be held accountable and have their model updates audited. We describe a permissioned blockchain-based federated learning method where incremental updates to an anomaly detection machine learning model are chained together on the distributed ledger. By integrating federated learning with blockchain technology, our solution supports the auditing of machine learning models without the necessity to centralize the training data. Experiments with a realistic intrusion detection use case and an autoencoder for anomaly detection illustrate that the increased complexity caused by blockchain technology has a limited performance impact on the federated learning, varying between 5 and 15%, while providing full transparency over the distributed training process of the neural network. Furthermore, our blockchain-based federated learning solution can be generalized and applied to more sophisticated neural network architectures and other use cases.

scholarly journals Fraudulent Face Image Detection

2020 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. 03005
Author(s):  
Rahul Awhad ◽  
Saurabh Jayswal ◽  
Adesh More ◽  
Jyoti Kundale
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Face Image ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Image Detection ◽  
Software Applications ◽  
Support Vector Classifier ◽  
The Face ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Due to the growing advancements in technology, many software applications are being developed to modify and edit images. Such software can be used to alter images. Nowadays, an altered image is so realistic that it becomes too difficult for a person to identify whether the image is fake or real. Such software applications can be used to alter the image of a person’s face also. So, it becomes very difficult to identify whether the image of the face is real or not. Our proposed system is used to identify whether the image of a face is fake or real. The proposed system makes use of machine learning. The system makes use of a convolution neural network and support vector classifier. Both these machine learning models are trained using real as well as fake images. Both these trained models will take an image as an input and will determine whether the image is fake or real.

scholarly journals Machine learning model for predicting the optimal depth of tracheal tube insertion in pediatric patients: A retrospective cohort study

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. e0257069
Author(s):  
Jae-Geum Shim ◽  
Kyoung-Ho Ryu ◽  
Sung Hyun Lee ◽  
Eun-Ah Cho ◽  
Sungho Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Tracheal Tube ◽  
Pediatric Patients ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Objective To construct a prediction model for optimal tracheal tube depth in pediatric patients using machine learning. Methods Pediatric patients aged <7 years who received post-operative ventilation after undergoing surgery between January 2015 and December 2018 were investigated in this retrospective study. The optimal location of the tracheal tube was defined as the median of the distance between the upper margin of the first thoracic(T1) vertebral body and the lower margin of the third thoracic(T3) vertebral body. We applied four machine learning models: random forest, elastic net, support vector machine, and artificial neural network and compared their prediction accuracy to three formula-based methods, which were based on age, height, and tracheal tube internal diameter(ID). Results For each method, the percentage with optimal tracheal tube depth predictions in the test set was calculated as follows: 79.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 73.5 to 83.6) for random forest, 77.4 (95% CI, 71.8 to 82.2; P = 0.719) for elastic net, 77.0 (95% CI, 71.4 to 81.8; P = 0.486) for support vector machine, 76.6 (95% CI, 71.0 to 81.5; P = 1.0) for artificial neural network, 66.9 (95% CI, 60.9 to 72.5; P < 0.001) for the age-based formula, 58.5 (95% CI, 52.3 to 64.4; P< 0.001) for the tube ID-based formula, and 44.4 (95% CI, 38.3 to 50.6; P < 0.001) for the height-based formula. Conclusions In this study, the machine learning models predicted the optimal tracheal tube tip location for pediatric patients more accurately than the formula-based methods. Machine learning models using biometric variables may help clinicians make decisions regarding optimal tracheal tube depth in pediatric patients.

scholarly journals Consistency of variety of machine learning and statistical models in predicting clinical risks of individual patients: longitudinal cohort study using cardiovascular disease as exemplar

BMJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. m3919
Author(s):  
Yan Li ◽  
Matthew Sperrin ◽  
Darren M Ashcroft ◽  
Tjeerd Pieter van Staa
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Statistical Models ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Population Level ◽  
Survival Models ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Machine Learning Models

AbstractObjectiveTo assess the consistency of machine learning and statistical techniques in predicting individual level and population level risks of cardiovascular disease and the effects of censoring on risk predictions.DesignLongitudinal cohort study from 1 January 1998 to 31 December 2018.Setting and participants3.6 million patients from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink registered at 391 general practices in England with linked hospital admission and mortality records.Main outcome measuresModel performance including discrimination, calibration, and consistency of individual risk prediction for the same patients among models with comparable model performance. 19 different prediction techniques were applied, including 12 families of machine learning models (grid searched for best models), three Cox proportional hazards models (local fitted, QRISK3, and Framingham), three parametric survival models, and one logistic model.ResultsThe various models had similar population level performance (C statistics of about 0.87 and similar calibration). However, the predictions for individual risks of cardiovascular disease varied widely between and within different types of machine learning and statistical models, especially in patients with higher risks. A patient with a risk of 9.5-10.5% predicted by QRISK3 had a risk of 2.9-9.2% in a random forest and 2.4-7.2% in a neural network. The differences in predicted risks between QRISK3 and a neural network ranged between –23.2% and 0.1% (95% range). Models that ignored censoring (that is, assumed censored patients to be event free) substantially underestimated risk of cardiovascular disease. Of the 223 815 patients with a cardiovascular disease risk above 7.5% with QRISK3, 57.8% would be reclassified below 7.5% when using another model.ConclusionsA variety of models predicted risks for the same patients very differently despite similar model performances. The logistic models and commonly used machine learning models should not be directly applied to the prediction of long term risks without considering censoring. Survival models that consider censoring and that are explainable, such as QRISK3, are preferable. The level of consistency within and between models should be routinely assessed before they are used for clinical decision making.

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