scholarly journals NON-HYBRID ENSEMBLE SPATIAL REGRESSION ON HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX (IPM) in CENTRAL JAVA

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-34
Author(s):  
Evi Ardiati Sazaen

The human development index (HDI) is a measure to see an increase in regional development that has a very broad dimension, because it increases the quality of the population of an area in terms of life expectancy, education, and decent standard of living. In 2010 the Central Java HDI increased by 66.08% and increased by 4.44%, with the total HDI in 2017 of 70.52 percent. Spatial regression is the development of classical linear regression involving the region model. Spatial regression ensemble is a technique to be sent spasi spatial regression models by adding noise (additive noise). The type of spatial weighting used is Queen Contiguity. The selection of the best model using AIC and RMSE values. The purpose of this study is to provide an assessment of the distribution of HDI data in the Province of Central Java in 2017 and to do modeling using non-hybrid spatial ensemble regression regression. The results of this study are the SAR spatial method with ensemble giving results with AIC value of 143 and RMSE value of 1.3899 with a value of  90.09%. Significant variables on HDI are population density (X1), poverty (X2), school participation rates (X5), and average per capita per month for food and non-food (X7).

Author(s):  
Joko Susanto ◽  
Didit Welly Udjianto

This study analyzes the spillover of human capital in the Yogyakarta Special Region and Central Java. The research data includes the Human Development Index (HDI), capital, the ratio of college graduate workers, and the number of medical personnel in 2017 published by the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). This study uses a Spatial Regression analysis that includes elements of human capital spillover estimated by Geoda software. The results showed that there was a spillover of human capital between regencies/cities in Yogyakarta Special Region and Central Java. Lambda coefficient value, in Spatial Error Model (SEM), amounting to 0.5074 indicates that the Human Development Index (HDI) score of each regency/city will get an influence of 0.5074 multiplied by the HDI value of the neighboring regency/city. The capital variable is significant and exhibits that a rise in the HDI score will follow an increase in the number of capital. However, the ratio of college-educated worker and medical personnel is not significant. Due to the linkages between these provinces, the regency government and the provincial government should synergize each other, especially in the formulation of economic policies.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 48
Author(s):  
Aprilia Dwi Anggara Wati ◽  
Laelatul Khikmah

The Human Development Index (HDI) is a human development index that is used to achieve the development outcomes of a region. HDI is formed by 3 basic dimensions, namely the health dimension as seen from the indicator of life expectancy at birth, the dimension of knowledge seen from a combination of indicators of average length of schooling and expectation of school years and dimensions of decent living standards as seen from the indicator of average per capita expenditure has been adjusted. The development of HDI in Central Java shows an increase every year. In 2018 the HDI figure for Central Java Province reached 71.12% and increased by 0.6% from the previous year. This is because the large HDI figures in an area are influenced by the large HDI numbers in adjacent areas. The location / area factor is thought to have a spatial dependence effect on the HDI figure. This problem can be overcome by using spatial regression by including the relationship between regions into the model. The spatial regression approach used in this study is the Spatial Error Model (SEM). The weighting matrix used in this study is Queen Contiguity (intersection between sides and corners). This study provides results that the variables that significantly influence HDI are poverty and school enrollment rates.


Author(s):  
Roni Yoga Irawan ◽  
Wawan Laksito Yuly Saptomo ◽  
Setiyowati Setiyowati

The basic goal in quality human development is to overcome problems in society are poverty, unemployment, illiteracy, food security and democracy enforcement. But in its achievements there are several aspects of development that failed. To measure the success of a region's performance in the field of human development can be done by calculating the Human Development Index. The Human Development Index is an index that includes three indicators, which are health indicators, education level, and economic indicators. The Province of Central Java is divided into 29 districts and 6 cities, so it has a varied picture of development. Provinsi Jawa Tengah belum memiliki media informasi peramalan yang berbasis peta untuk indeks pembangunan manusia. Dari permasalahan tersebut diperlukan metode untuk meramalkan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia yang berbasis sistem informasi geografis.Data indikator penyusun Indeks Pembangunan Manusia yang mengalami kenaikan pada periode-periode tertentu, dari pola data indikator penyusun Indeks Pembangunan Manusia merupakan pola data yang memiliki unsur trend. Maka pada penelitian ini menggunakan metode double exponential smoothing.The application forecasting the Human Development Index indicator is created using the PHP programming language and the MySQL Server database. Application of Human Development Index forecasting produces forecasting calculations with the value α = 0.9 produces forecasting the following year: 69.3612 with the smallest MSE error: 0.1578 and MAPE value: 0.4894. This study produces accurate forecasting because of low error values.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 732-743
Author(s):  
Erly Leiwakabessy ◽  
Amaluddin Amaluddin

Purpose of the study: Firstly, to construct a modified human development index by incorporating new dimensions (democracy and employment). Secondly, to measure and compare human development progress in Indonesian provinces. Thirdly, to examine the nexus between human development, economic growth, and democracy during the period 2010-2017. Methodology: Principle Component Analysis (PCA) method is employed to combining components into one index (composite index) which we call MHDI. The panel simultaneous equation model is applied to examine the nexus between human development, economic growth, and democracy. Main Findings: There were significant ranking differences between MHDI and HDI-UNDP in 24 provinces of 33 Indonesian provinces. The most significant ranking differences were found in several provinces, especially Maluku, West Java, Central Java, East Java, and Central Kalimantan. The study found a strong two-way relationship between human development and economic growth as well as between human development and democracy. Applications of this study: This study recommends that human development policies supported by rapid economic growth and democratic stability should be one of the development priorities through government spending and support from private investment (the private sector) which focuses on the development of education and health infrastructure throughout the Indonesian province. Novelty/Originality of this study: This study employs different methods for constructing a human development index by incorporating a new dimension (democracy and employment).


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 126-140
Author(s):  
A. Jauhar Mahya

The Human Development Index (HDI) is one of the data and information used by local governments to measure the achievement of human development. HDI is formed by three basic dimensions, namely a long and healthy life, knowledge, and a decent standard of living. This study explain whether there is an influence and to obtain the magnitude of the influence of the expected number of years of schooling, the average length of schooling, and the per capita expenditure together on the Human Development Index in Central Java Province. This study was completed using multiple linear regression analysis with the help of SPSS 1.6 (Statistical Package for Social Sciences) software. The results of this study indicate that the expected length of schooling, average length of schooling, and per capita expenditure have a significant effect on the human development index, which is 97.8% and only 2.2% is influenced by other factors.


JEJAK ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 412-428
Author(s):  
Niken Sulistyowati ◽  
Bonar Marulitua Sinaga ◽  
Novindra Novindra

The objective of this reseach are to: (1) analyze the factors affecting human development index and household expenditures for health, education and others, (2) predict the impacts of government expenditure policy in the field of education, health, and infrastructure on human development index in Central Java. The model was built using econometric approach in the form of a system of simultaneous equations, including five blocks i.e. government's revenue, expenditures, input, output, and performance. The system of simultaneous equations consisted of 26 equations (19 structural equations and 7 identity equations). The estimation method used Two Stage Least Squares with SYSLIN procedure. Prediction simulation used the stepwise Autoregressive method. The model simulation used Newton's method and SIMNLIN procedure. The results of policy simulation concludes that the combination of the increase in government expenditure for education and infrastructure lead to better performance in increasing income per capita, disposable income and HDI compared to the combination of the policy of the increase in government expenditure for education and in both municipalities and district, but municipalities receive greatest impact compared to the district.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 56
Author(s):  
Fita Purwaningsih ◽  
Suharno Suharno ◽  
Abdul Aziz Ahmad

Human Development Index (HDI) of Central Java Province in 2015-2018 is the lowest compared to other provinces in Java Island. This study aims to analyze the effect of sanitation, water access, poverty, population, and economic growth on Human Development Index in Central Java Province at 2015-2018. The method used in this research is multiple linear regression with a panel data approach. The results show that sanitation, population, and economic growth have a positive and significant effect on the Human Development Index in Central Java Province. Poverty ha\ve a negative and significant effect on the Human Development Index in Central Java Province. Meanwhile, access to water has no effect on the Human Development Index in Central Java Province. This finding implies the need for equitable sanitation development for the population in Central Java Province. In addition, the government needs to increase economic growth and reduce the number of poor people.


2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 01 ◽  
Author(s):  
Etty Soesilowati

<p>There are many potentials in the sector of <em>silvoagriculture, silvopastura </em>and <em>silvoagrofisher</em>y at Kandri and Cepoko district as “green belt” areas of Semarang. Unfortunately, these potentials do not give a significant impact on society yet. This is due to the lack of farmer’s institution system, limited human resource, and infrastructure. The Triple Helix approach involving academician, businessman, and government is found to be less optimal. The study aims to assess the effectiveness of the model used for empowering the farmers at dry land area through the Quadruple Helix approach as the development of Triple Helix one involving academician, businessman, civil society, and government. The locus of the research area is Kandri and Cepoko district at Gunungpati subdistrict in Semarang City of Central Java Province, Indonesia. This research employed qualitative and quantitative approaches. In the qualitative approach, the data are analyzed using an interactive model. While the quantitative approach, Human Development Index (HDI) analysis is employed. The results find that farmers' empowerment program is conducted through the Quadruple Helix approach by involving academicians, businessmen, local governments and civil society groups at the villages. Then, the HDI calculation results show that the index of human development in Kandri has decreased 0.09444. Before the program, it was amounted from 0.82367 to 0.72923. Whereas, the human development index of farmers in Cepoko before the program has increased from 0.83142 to 0.84085. Its increase reaches 0.09425. This indicates that the farmer group at Cepoko district is more resistant to national economic issues such as the weak exchange rate than the farmers in Kandri disctrict. Therefore, this study makes recommendation that farmers should organize integrated farming by establishing integrated economic region so that they can make use of existing resources efficiently and effectively.   </p>


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