Observed and simulated zonally asymmetric zonal wind patterns under NAO conditions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aslı İlhan ◽  
Deniz Demirhan ◽  
Yurdanur Ünal
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Impact Analysis ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Incident Radiation ◽  
Extreme Weather Events ◽  
Winter Climate ◽  
Weather Patterns ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Funding Program ◽  
Wind Patterns

<p>The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), coexistent meridional oscillation of subpolar Icelandic low and the subtropical Azores high dominates the Northern Hemispheric winter climate. Variability in the circulation of NAO may activate the extreme weather events, such as the enhanced zonal winds, in northeast America, Atlantic and Eurasia. On the other hand variability in the zonal wind patterns effects the position of the NAO events. It is more relevant to investigate the interaction between NAO and the weather patterns during the winter time since NAO is powerful during winter. Hence the wintertime weather systems are highly altered by such an impact. Analysis indicate that negative and positive phases of NAO mainly modulate the local cyclonic and anticyclonic wave characteristics and hence the zonally asymmetric circulation of the middle atmosphere. Zonal asymmetries in the weather patterns originate from ocean-continent temperature gradients and topographical contrasts after all solar incident radiation is almost uniform over the longitudes. Thus zonally asymmetric patterns for certain variables such as zonal winds show strong seasonal dependence and highly correlate with the climatological position of the NAO mainly in the winter hemisphere. In this study longitudinal differences in the zonal wind is analyzed in order to observe its strong influence on the evolution of NAO. Zonal asymmetries of zonal wind is examined by evaluating the deviation from zonal mean of the long term annual average of both winter and spring months from December to April. Zonal winds up to 100km for winter and spring is examined between 2006-2100 using CMIP5 MPI-ESM-MR RCP4.5 scenario for the extratropical and the polar latitudes. Additionally ERA5 reanalysis data is used to identify the ability of CMIP5 Reference Period (RP) data to capture the observed patterns for the years from 1979 to 2005.</p><p>Acknowledgements: This study is supported by TUBİTAK (The Scientific and Technology Research Council of Turkey), The Scientific and Technological Research Projects Funding Program, 1001. The projects number is 117Y327.</p>

scholarly journals Characteristics of Stratospheric Winds over Jiuquan (41.1°N, 100.2°E) Using Rocketsonde Data in 1967–2004

2017 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 657-667 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z. Sheng ◽  
J. W. Li ◽  
Y. Jiang ◽  
S. D. Zhou ◽  
W. L. Shi
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Meridional Wind ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Cycle Period ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Wind Fields ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Model Research

AbstractStratospheric winds play a significant role in middle atmosphere dynamics, model research, and carrier rocket experiments. For the first time, 65 sets of rocket sounding experiments conducted at Jiuquan (41.1°N, 100.2°E), China, from 1967 to 2004 are presented to study horizontal wind fields in the stratosphere. At a fixed height, wind speed obeys the lognormal distribution. Seasonal mean winds are westerly in winter and easterly in summer. In spring and autumn, zonal wind directions change from the upper to the lower stratosphere. The monthly zonal mean winds have an annual cycle period with large amplitudes at high altitudes. The correlation coefficients for zonal winds between observations and the Horizontal Wind Model (HWM) with all datasets are 0.7. The MERRA reanalysis is in good agreement with rocketsonde data according to the zonal winds comparison with a coefficient of 0.98. The sudden stratospheric warming is an important contribution to biases in the HWM, because it changes the zonal wind direction in the midlatitudes. Both the model and the reanalysis show dramatic meridional wind differences with the observation data.

Influence of Different Phases of Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the Evolution of Polar Stratospheric Zonal Winds 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rahan Ozturk ◽  
Deniz Demirhan ◽  
Yurdanur Unal ◽  
Sema Topcu
Keyword(s):  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Periodic Oscillation ◽  
Polar Wind ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Quasi Periodic Oscillation ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Funding Program ◽  
Wind Characteristics ◽  
Mean Circulation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

<p>Stratospheric zonal winds are disturbed by tropospheric forced planetary waves which modulate the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in the northern hemisphere during winter. QBO is the quasi periodic oscillation of zonal winds in the lower stratosphere with an average recurrence of 28 months. QBO is mainly characterized by zonal mean circulation in the equatorial and low latitudes of middle atmosphere. Investigations indicate that although QBO is an equatorial oscillation there is a strong correlation between QBO and stratospheric polar wind patterns. Additionally, westerly and easterly phases of QBO alter the strength of these winds differently. During the westerly phase of QBO, northern stratospheric zonal winds are stronger whereas the easterly phase coincides with the weaker stratospheric zonal winds.</p><p>In this study, easterly and westerly zonal winds at 30hPa for the latitudes between 5°S and 5°N which characterize the westerly (QBO-W) and easterly (QBO-E) phases of the QBO is examined using CMIP5 MPI-ESM-MR RCP4.5 scenario for the years between 2006 and 2099 for winter. It is found that climatic changes in the zonally asymmetric zonal wind characteristics in both phases of QBO modulates the polar stratospheric zonal winds differently. A prominent wave-1 structure in QBO-E phase and a wave-2 structure in QBO-W phase are apparent and effect the strength of the polar stratospheric zonal winds.</p><p>This study is a supported by TUBİTAK (The Scientific and Technology Research Council of Turkey), The Scientific and Technological Research Projects Funding Program, 1001.The project number is 117Y327.</p><p> </p><p> </p>

scholarly journals The Semiannual Oscillation of the Tropical Zonal Wind in the Middle Atmosphere Derived from Satellite Geopotential Height Retrievals

2017 ◽  
Vol 74 (8) ◽  
pp. 2413-2425 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne K. Smith ◽  
Rolando R. Garcia ◽  
Andrew C. Moss ◽  
Nicholas J. Mitchell
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Geopotential Height ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Dominant Mode ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Broadband Emission ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Semiannual Oscillation

Abstract The dominant mode of seasonal variability in the global tropical upper-stratosphere and mesosphere zonal wind is the semiannual oscillation (SAO). However, it is notoriously difficult to measure winds at these heights from satellite or ground-based remote sensing. Here, the balance wind relationship is used to derive monthly and zonally averaged zonal winds in the tropics from satellite retrievals of geopotential height. Data from the Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) cover about 12.5 yr, and those from the Thermosphere, Ionosphere, Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics (TIMED) Sounding of the Atmosphere Using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER) cover almost 15 yr. The derived winds agree with direct wind observations below 10 hPa and above 80 km; there are no direct wind observations for validation in the intervening layers of the middle atmosphere. The derived winds show the following prominent peaks associated with the SAO: easterly maxima near the solstices at 1.0 hPa, westerly maxima near the equinoxes at 0.1 hPa, and easterly maxima near the equinoxes at 0.01 hPa. The magnitudes of these three wind maxima are stronger during the first cycle (January at 1.0 hPa and March at 0.1 and 0.01 hPa). The month and pressure level of the wind maxima shift depending on the phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) at 10 hPa. During easterly QBO, the westerly maxima are shifted upward, are about 10 m s−1 stronger, and occur approximately 1 month later than those during the westerly QBO phase.

scholarly journals FPI observations of nighttime mesospheric and thermospheric winds in China and their comparisons with HWM07

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (8) ◽  
pp. 1365-1378 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Yuan ◽  
X. Liu ◽  
J. Xu ◽  
Q. Zhou ◽  
G. Jiang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Annual Variation ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Geomagnetic Latitude ◽  
Meridional Wind ◽  
Central China ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Meridional Winds ◽  
First Time

Abstract. We analyzed the nighttime horizontal neutral winds in the middle atmosphere (~ 87 and ~ 98 km) and thermosphere (~ 250 km) derived from a Fabry–Perot interferometer (FPI), which was installed at Xinglong station (40.2° N, 117.4° E) in central China. The wind data covered the period from April 2010 to July 2012. We studied the annual, semiannual and terannual variations of the midnight winds at ~ 87 km, ~ 98 km and ~ 250 km for the first time and compared them with Horizontal Wind Model 2007 (HWM07). Our results show the following: (1) at ~ 87 km, both the observed and model zonal winds have similar phases in the annual and semiannual variations. However, the HWM07 amplitudes are much larger. (2) At ~ 98 km, the model shows strong eastward wind in the summer solstice, resulting in a large annual variation, while the observed strongest component is semiannual. The observation and model midnight meridional winds agree well. Both are equatorward throughout the year and have small amplitudes in the annual and semiannual variations. (3) There are large discrepancies between the observed and HWM07 winds at ~ 250 km. This discrepancy is largely due to the strong semiannual zonal wind in the model and the phase difference in the annual variation of the meridional wind. The FPI annual variation coincides with the results from Arecibo, which has similar geomagnetic latitude as Xinglong station. In General, the consistency of FPI winds with model winds is better at ~ 87 and ~ 98 km than that at ~ 250 km. We also studied the seasonally and monthly averaged nighttime winds. The most salient features include the following: (1) the seasonally averaged zonal winds at ~ 87 and ~ 98 km typically have small variations throughout the night. (2) The model zonal and meridional nighttime wind variations are typically much larger than those of observations at ~ 87 km and ~ 98 km. (3) At ~ 250 km, model zonal wind compares well with the observation in the winter. For spring and autumn, the model wind is more eastward before ~ 03:00 LT but more westward after. The observed nighttime zonal and meridional winds on average are close to zero in the summer and autumn, which indicates a lack of strong stable tides. The consistency of FPI zonal wind with model wind at ~ 250 km is better than the meridional wind.

scholarly journals Large-Scale Waves in the Mesosphere and Lower Thermosphere Observed by SABER

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (12) ◽  
pp. 4384-4399 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rolando R. Garcia ◽  
Ruth Lieberman ◽  
James M. Russell ◽  
Martin G. Mlynczak
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Lower Thermosphere ◽  
Normal Modes ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Broadband Emission ◽  
Summer Hemisphere ◽  
Mean Structure ◽  
Mesosphere And Lower Thermosphere ◽  
The Tropics

Abstract Observations made by the Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER) instrument on board NASA’s Thermosphere–Ionosphere–Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics (TIMED) satellite have been processed using Salby’s fast Fourier synoptic mapping (FFSM) algorithm. The mapped data provide a first synoptic look at the mean structure and traveling waves of the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) since the launch of the TIMED satellite in December 2001. The results show the presence of various wave modes in the MLT, which reach largest amplitude above the mesopause and include Kelvin and Rossby–gravity waves, eastward-propagating diurnal oscillations (“non-sun-synchronous tides”), and a set of quasi-normal modes associated with the so-called 2-day wave. The latter exhibits marked seasonal variability, attaining large amplitudes during the solstices and all but disappearing at the equinoxes. SABER data also show a strong quasi-stationary Rossby wave signal throughout the middle atmosphere of the winter hemisphere; the signal extends into the Tropics and even into the summer hemisphere in the MLT, suggesting ducting by westerly background zonal winds. At certain times of the year, the 5-day Rossby normal mode and the 4-day wave associated with instability of the polar night jet are also prominent in SABER data.

scholarly journals Evidence linking rapid Arctic warming to mid-latitude weather patterns

2015 ◽  
Vol 373 (2045) ◽  
pp. 20140170 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer Francis ◽  
Natasa Skific
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Extreme Weather Events ◽  
Jet Stream ◽  
Self Organizing Maps ◽  
Arctic Warming ◽  
Scientific Debate ◽  
Weather Patterns ◽  
Enhanced Sensitivity ◽  
Active Research

The effects of rapid Arctic warming and ice loss on weather patterns in the Northern Hemisphere is a topic of active research, lively scientific debate and high societal impact. The emergence of Arctic amplification—the enhanced sensitivity of high-latitude temperature to global warming—in only the last 10–20 years presents a challenge to identifying statistically robust atmospheric responses using observations. Several recent studies have proposed and demonstrated new mechanisms by which the changing Arctic may be affecting weather patterns in mid-latitudes, and these linkages differ fundamentally from tropics/jet-stream interactions through the transfer of wave energy. In this study, new metrics and evidence are presented that suggest disproportionate Arctic warming—and resulting weakening of the poleward temperature gradient—is causing the Northern Hemisphere circulation to assume a more meridional character (i.e. wavier), although not uniformly in space or by season, and that highly amplified jet-stream patterns are occurring more frequently. Further analysis based on self-organizing maps supports this finding. These changes in circulation are expected to lead to persistent weather patterns that are known to cause extreme weather events. As emissions of greenhouse gases continue unabated, therefore, the continued amplification of Arctic warming should favour an increased occurrence of extreme events caused by prolonged weather conditions.

scholarly journals Accuracy of analyzed temperatures, winds and trajectories in the Southern Hemisphere tropical and midlatitude stratosphere as compared to long-duration balloon flights

2006 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 7499-7518
Author(s):  
B. M. Knudsen ◽  
T. Christensen ◽  
A. Hertzog ◽  
A. Deme ◽  
F. Vial ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Cold Bias ◽  
Night Time ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
Wrong Side ◽  
Long Duration ◽  
Infra Red ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
Balloon Measurements

Abstract. Eight super-pressure balloons floating at constant level between 50 and 80 hPa and three Infra-Red Montgolfier balloons of variable altitude (15 hPa daytime, 40–80 hPa night time) have been launched at 22° S from Brazil in February–May 2004 in the frame of the HIBISCUS project. The flights lasted for 7 to 79 days residing mainly in the tropics, but some of them passed the tropical barrier and went to southern midlatitudes. Compared to the balloon measurements just above the tropical tropopause the ECMWF operational temperatures show a systematic cold bias of 0.9 K and the easterly zonal winds are too strong by 0.7 m/s. This bias in the zonal wind adds to the ECMWF trajectory errors, but they still are relatively small with e.g. about an error of 700 km after 5 days. The NCEP/NCAR reanalysis trajectory errors are substantially larger (1300 km after 5 days). In the southern midlatitudes the cold bias is the same, but the zonal wind bias is almost zero. The trajectories are generally more accurate than in the tropics, but for one balloon a lot of the calculated trajectories end up on the wrong side of the tropical barrier and this leads to large trajectory errors.

scholarly journals Mean winds, temperatures and the 16- and 5-day planetary waves in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere over Bear Lake Observatory (42° N, 111° W)

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 1571-1585 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. A. Day ◽  
M. J. Taylor ◽  
N. J. Mitchell
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Lower Thermosphere ◽  
Planetary Waves ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Annual Variability ◽  
Bear Lake ◽  
Meridional Winds ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Mesosphere And Lower Thermosphere ◽  
Wind Shears

Abstract. Atmospheric temperatures and winds in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere have been measured simultaneously using the Aura satellite and a meteor radar at Bear Lake Observatory (42° N, 111° W), respectively. The data presented in this study is from the interval March 2008 to July 2011. The mean winds observed in the summer-time over Bear Lake Observatory show the meridional winds to be equatorward at meteor heights during April−August and to reach monthly-mean velocities of −12 m s−1. The mean winds are closely related to temperatures in this region of the atmosphere and in the summer the coldest mesospheric temperatures occur about the same time as the strongest equatorward meridional winds. The zonal winds are eastward through most of the year and in the summer strong eastward zonal wind shears of up to ~4.5 m s−1 km−1 are present. However, westward winds are observed at the upper heights in winter and sometimes during the equinoxes. Considerable inter-annual variability is observed in the mean winds and temperatures. Comparisons of the observed winds with URAP and HWM-07 reveal some large differences. Our radar zonal wind observations are generally more eastward than predicted by the URAP model zonal winds. Considering the radar meridional winds, in comparison to HWM-07 our observations reveal equatorward flow at all meteor heights in the summer whereas HWM-07 suggests that only weakly equatorward, or even poleward flows occur at the lower heights. However, the zonal winds observed by the radar and modelled by HWM-07 are generally similar in structure and strength. Signatures of the 16- and 5-day planetary waves are clearly evident in both the radar-wind data and Aura-temperature data. Short-lived wave events can reach large amplitudes of up to ~15 m s−1 and 8 K and 20 m s−1 and 10 K for the 16- and 5-day waves, respectively. A clear seasonal and short-term variability are observed in the 16- and 5-day planetary wave amplitudes. The 16-day wave reaches largest amplitude in winter and is also present in summer, but with smaller amplitudes. The 5-day wave reaches largest amplitude in winter and in late summer. An inter-annual variability in the amplitude of the planetary waves is evident in the four years of observations. Some 41 episodes of large-amplitude wave occurrence are identified. Temperature and wind amplitudes for these episodes, AT and AW, that passed the Student T-test were found to be related by, AT = 0.34 AW and AT = 0.62 AW for the 16- and 5-day wave, respectively.

Final Sudden Stratospheric Warmings and the memory of the stratosphere

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain Hauchecorne ◽  
Chantal Claud ◽  
Philippe Keckhut
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Planetary Wave ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Temperature Anomaly ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Stratospheric Circulation

<p>Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) is the most spectacular dynamic event occurring in the middle atmosphere. It can lead to a warming of the winter polar stratosphere by a few tens of K in one to two weeks and a reversal of the stratospheric circulation from wintertime prevailing westerly winds to easterly winds similar to summer conditions. This strong modification of the stratospheric circulation has consequences for several applications, including the modification of the stratospheric infrasound guide. Depending on the date of the SSW, the westerly circulation can be re-established if the SSW occurs in mid-winter or the summer easterly circulation can be definitively established if the SSW occurs in late winter. In the latter case it is called Final Warming (FW). Each year, it is possible to define the date of the FW as the date of the final inversion of the zonal wind at 60°N - 10 hPa . If the FW is associated with a strong peak of planetary wave activity and a rapid increase in polar temperature, it is classified as dynamic FW. If the transition to the easterly wind is smooth without planetary wave activity, the FW is classified as radiative.</p><p>The analysis of the ERA5 database, which has recently been extended to 1950 (71 years of data), allowed a statistical analysis of the evolution of the stratosphere in winter. The main conclusions of this study will be presented :</p><p>- the state of the polar vortex in a given month is anticorrelated with its state 2 to 3 months earlier. The beginning of winter is anticorrelated with mid-winter and mid-winter is anticorrelated with the end of winter;</p><p>- dynamic FWs occur early in the season (March - early April) and are associated with a strong positive polar temperature anomaly, while radiative FWs occur later (late April - early May) without a polar temperature anomaly;</p><p>- the summer stratosphere (polar temperature and zonal wind) keeps the memory of its state in April-May at the time of FW at least until July .</p><p>These results could help to improve medium-range weather forecasts in the Northern Hemisphere due to the strong dynamic coupling between the troposphere and stratosphere during SSW events.</p>

Method and Lessons from Evaluating the Impact of E-Participation Projects in MOMENTUM

2013 ◽  
pp. 213-234 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Wimmer ◽  
Melanie Bicking
Keyword(s):  
Impact Analysis ◽  
Evaluation Framework ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Analysis And Evaluation ◽  
Methods Of Evaluation ◽  
Funding Program ◽  
Survey Results ◽  
Participation Process ◽  
Motivation To Participate ◽  
The Impact

Decreasing election turnouts and citizens’ disinterest in democracy galvanized the European Commission (EC) to co-fund a set of e-participation pilot projects. During the runtime of the program, and in particular after the last projects ended in 2010, policy makers at European level were keen to know how well this funding program performed. Hence, the EC also initiated a project called MOMENTUM with the aim to monitor and evaluate the progress and impact of the projects. MOMENTUM designed and performed a systematic comparative analysis of the projects. This chapter presents the impact evaluation framework, which is based on methods of evaluation from empirical research, thereby also reflecting programmatic contexts of the projects. The evaluation framework grounds the interplay of elements of a holistic e-participation solution: the participation process, the topics to discuss, the policy supported, and the technology and tools deployed. The authors present results of the evaluation and demonstrate how attention on the interrelations of these issues affect users’ perception and motivation to participate in an e-participation endeavor. Insights show that the method developed can lead to useful and usable impact analysis and evaluation results. The survey results provide valuable clues to the behavioral intention of the civil society to use e-participation tools and applications. These findings provide not only information on whether and how far the monitored projects are successful but also why they succeeded or failed and how they can be improved.

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