Spatial Patterns and Characteristics of Flood Seasonality in Europe
Abstract. In Europe, floods are typically analysed within national boundaries and it is not well understood how the characteristics of local floods fit into a continental perspective. To gain a better understanding at the continental-scale, this study analyses seasonal flood characteristics across Europe for the period of 1960–2010. The timing within the year of annual maximum discharges or water levels of 4105 stations from a European flood database is analysed. A cluster analysis is performed to identify regions with different flood seasons. The clusters are determined using the monthly relative frequencies of the annual maxima, and are further analysed to determine the temporal flood characteristics of each region and the European-wide patterns of bimodal and unimodal flood seasonality distributions. Below 60° latitude, the mean timing of floods of individual stations transitions from winter floods in the West to spring floods in the East. Summer floods occurring in mountainous areas interrupt this West to East transition. Above 60° latitude, spring floods are dominant, except for coastal areas in which autumn and winter floods are observed. The temporal concentration of flood occurrences around a specific time of the year is highest in North-Eastern Europe, with most of the floods being concentrated within 1–2 months. The cluster analysis suggests that six regions with geographically distinct flood seasonality distributions exist. Most of the stations (~ 73 %) with more than 30 years of data exhibit a unimodal flood seasonality distribution (one or more consecutive months with high flood occurrence). Few stations (~ 3 %), mainly located on the foothills of mountainous areas, have a clear bimodal distribution. Overall, the geographical location of a station in Europe can give an indication of its flood characteristics throughout the year and is more relevant than catchment area and outlet elevation for the observed flood seasonality.