A method for multi-hazard mapping in poorly known volcanic areas: an example from Kanlaon (Philippines)

Abstract. Hazard mapping in poorly known volcanic areas is complex since much evidence of volcanic and non-volcanic hazards is often hidden by vegetation and alteration. In this paper, we propose a semi-quantitative method based on hazard event tree and multi-hazard map constructions developed in the frame of the FP7 MIAVITA project. We applied this method to the Kanlaon volcano (Philippines), which is characterized by poor geologic and historical records. We combine updated geological (long-term) and historical (short-term) data, building an event tree for the main types of hazardous events at Kanlaon and their potential frequencies. We then propose an updated multi-hazard map for Kanlaon, which may serve as a working base map in the case of future unrest. The obtained results extend the information already contained in previous volcanic hazard maps of Kanlaon, highlighting (i) an extensive, potentially active ~5 km long summit area striking north–south, (ii) new morphological features on the eastern flank of the volcano, prone to receiving volcanic products expanding from the summit, and (iii) important riverbeds that may potentially accumulate devastating mudflows. This preliminary study constitutes a basis that may help local civil defence authorities in making more informed land use planning decisions and in anticipating future risk/hazards at Kanlaon. This multi-hazard mapping method may also be applied to other poorly known active volcanoes.

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Integrating Land-Use and Renewable Energy Planning Decisions: A Technical Mapping Guide for Local Government

ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information ◽

10.3390/ijgi9050324 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 9 (5) ◽

pp. 324

Author(s):

Jiaao Guo ◽

Victoria Fast ◽

Philip Teri ◽

Kirby Calvert

Keyword(s):

Land Use ◽

Renewable Energy ◽

Land Use Planning ◽

Local Governments ◽

Emission Reduction ◽

Land Use Changes ◽

Planning Decisions ◽

Environmentally Sensitive ◽

Utility Scale

Land-based, utility-scale renewable energy (RE) systems using wind or solar resources to generate electricity is becoming a decisive solution to meet long-term carbon emission reduction goals. Local governments are responding in kind, by adopting their own goals and/or establishing policies to facilitate successful implementations of RE in their jurisdiction. One factor to successful RE development is to locate the most suitable lands, while continuing to sustain land-based economies and ecosystem services. Local governments often have limited resources; and this is especially true for small, land-constrained local governments. In this paper, we illustrate how a standardized RE technical mapping framework can be used by local governments to advance the implementation of RE in land-constrained areas, through a case study in the Town of Canmore, Alberta. Canmore has a limited municipal area surrounded by the Canadian Rockies, along with complex land-use bylaw and environmentally sensitive habitats. This mapping framework accounts for these conditions as it considers theoretical resources, technically recoverable lands, legally accessible lands, and the spatial capital cost of connecting new RE facilities. Different land-use planning scenarios are considered including changing setback buffers and expanding restrictions on development to all environmentally sensitive districts. The total RE potentials are then estimated based on the least-conflict lands. Technically speaking, even under restrictive land suitability scenarios, Canmore holds enough land to achieve ambitious RE targets, but opportunities and challenges to implementation remain. To eventually succeed in its long-term emission reduction goal, the most decisive step for Canmore is to balance the growth of energy demands, land-use changes, and practicable RE development. Mapping systems that can study the influence of land-use planning decisions on RE potential are critical to achieving this balance.

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Assessing qualitative long-term volcanic hazards at Lanzarote Island (Canary Islands)

Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ◽

10.5194/nhess-17-1145-2017 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 17 (7) ◽

pp. 1145-1157 ◽

Cited By ~ 10

Author(s):

Laura Becerril ◽

Joan Martí ◽

Stefania Bartolini ◽

Adelina Geyer

Keyword(s):

Canary Islands ◽

Hazard Assessment ◽

Land Use Planning ◽

Volcanic Hazards ◽

Economic Losses ◽

Hazard Evaluation ◽

Hazard Maps ◽

Emergency Plans ◽

Definition Of

Abstract. Conducting long-term hazard assessment in active volcanic areas is of primary importance for land-use planning and defining emergency plans able to be applied in case of a crisis. A definition of scenario hazard maps helps to mitigate the consequences of future eruptions by anticipating the events that may occur. Lanzarote is an active volcanic island that has hosted the largest (>  1.5 km3 DRE) and longest (6 years) eruption, the Timanfaya eruption (1730–1736), on the Canary Islands in historical times (last 600 years). This eruption brought severe economic losses and forced local people to migrate. In spite of all these facts, no comprehensive hazard assessment or hazard maps have been developed for the island. In this work, we present an integrated long-term volcanic hazard evaluation using a systematic methodology that includes spatial analysis and simulations of the most probable eruptive scenarios.

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Lava flow hazard map of Piton de la Fournaise volcano

Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ◽

10.5194/nhess-21-2355-2021 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (8) ◽

pp. 2355-2377

Author(s):

Magdalena Oryaëlle Chevrel ◽

Massimiliano Favalli ◽

Nicolas Villeneuve ◽

Andrew J. L. Harris ◽

Alessandro Fornaciai ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Lava Flow ◽

Hazard Assessment ◽

Land Use Planning ◽

18Th Century ◽

Hot Spot ◽

Hazard Map ◽

Hazard Maps ◽

Piton De La Fournaise ◽

Lava Flow Hazard

Abstract. Piton de la Fournaise, situated on La Réunion island (France), is one of the most active hot spot basaltic shield volcanoes worldwide, experiencing at least two eruptions per year since the establishment of the volcanological observatory in 1979. Eruptions are typically fissure-fed and form extensive lava flow fields. About 95 % of some ∼ 250 historical events (since the first confidently dated eruption in 1708) have occurred inside an uninhabited horseshoe-shaped caldera (hereafter referred to as the Enclos), which is open to the ocean on its eastern side. Rarely (12 times since the 18th century), fissures have opened outside of the Enclos, where housing units, population centers, and infrastructure are at risk. In such a situation, lava flow hazard maps are a useful way of visualizing lava flow inundation probabilities over large areas. Here, we present the up-to-date lava flow hazard map for Piton de la Fournaise based on (i) vent distribution, (ii) lava flow recurrence times, (iii) statistics of lava flow lengths, and (iv) simulations of lava flow paths using the DOWNFLOW stochastic numerical model. The map of the entire volcano highlights the spatial distribution probability of future lava flow invasion for the medium to long term (years to decades). It shows that the most probable location for future lava flow is within the Enclos (where there are areas with up to 12 % probability), a location visited by more than 100 000 visitors every year. Outside of the Enclos, probabilities reach 0.5 % along the active rift zones. Although lava flow hazard occurrence in inhabited areas is deemed to be very low (< 0.1 %), it may be underestimated as our study is only based on post-18th century records and neglects older events. We also provide a series of lava flow hazard maps inside the Enclos, computed on a multi-temporal (i.e., regularly updated) topography. Although hazard distribution remains broadly the same over time, some changes are noticed throughout the analyzed periods due to improved digital elevation model (DEM) resolution, the high frequency of eruptions that constantly modifies the topography, and the lava flow dimensional characteristics and paths. The lava flow hazard map for Piton de la Fournaise presented here is reliable and trustworthy for long-term hazard assessment and land use planning and management. Specific hazard maps for short-term hazard assessment (e.g., for responding to volcanic crises) or considering the cycles of activity at the volcano and different event scenarios (i.e., events fed by different combinations of temporally evolving superficial and deep sources) are required for further assessment of affected areas in the future – especially by atypical but potentially extremely hazardous large-volume eruptions. At such an active site, our method supports the need for regular updates of DEMs and associated lava flow hazard maps if we are to be effective in keeping up to date with mitigation of the associated risks.

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Hydrogeological responses in tropical mountainous springs

Memorias del I Congreso Internacional de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales ◽

10.15359/cicen.1.37 ◽

2019 ◽

Author(s):

Ricardo Sánchez-Murillo

Keyword(s):

Costa Rica ◽

Isotope Composition ◽

Central Valley ◽

Distribution Functions ◽

Geochemical Composition ◽

Transit Times ◽

Management Plans ◽

Best Fit ◽

Term Data

This study presents a hydrogeochemical analysis of spring responses (2013-2017) in the tropical mountainous region of the Central Valley of Costa Rica. The isotopic distribution of δ18O and δ2H in rainfall resulted in a highly significant meteoric water line: δ2H = 7.93×δ18O + 10.37 (r2=0.97). Rainfall isotope composition exhibited a strong dependent seasonality. The isotopic variation (δ18O) of two springs within the Barva aquifer was simulated using the FlowPC program to determine mean transit times (MTTs). Exponential-piston and dispersion distribution functions provided the best-fit to the observed isotopic composition at Flores and Sacramento springs, respectively. MTTs corresponded to 1.23±0.03 (Sacramento) and 1.42±0.04 (Flores) years. The greater MTT was represented by a homogeneous geochemical composition at Flores, whereas the smaller MTT at Sacramento is reflected in a more variable geochemical response. The results may be used to enhance modelling efforts in central Costa Rica, whereby scarcity of long-term data limits water resources management plans.

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Morphometric studies of artemia males from different populations of the Altai region

Rybovodstvo i rybnoe hozjajstvo (Fish Breeding and Fisheries) ◽

10.33920/sel-09-2007-03 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 28-38

Author(s):

L. Vesnina ◽

G. Lukerina ◽

T. Ronzhina ◽

A. Savos’kin ◽

D. Surkov

Keyword(s):

Sexual Dimorphism ◽

Hydrogen Index ◽

Morphometric Parameters ◽

Altai Region ◽

Sexual Structure ◽

Different Populations ◽

Artemia Population ◽

Term Data ◽

Brine Salinity

The long-term data from morphometric studies of Artemia males from bisexual and parthenogenetic populations from hyperhaline reservoirs of the Altai region (Bolshoe Yarovoe Lake, Maloe Shklo Lake, and the Tanatar Lakes system) is analyzed in this paper. The description of signs of sexual dimorphism and sexual structure in different populations is given. The influence of brine salinity and hydrogen index on morphometric parameters of males was analyzed. There are differences in the sexual structure of the Artemia population: in the lakes Maloe Shklo and the thanatar system, the populations are bisexual (the share of males is 28.5 — 75.0 %), in the lake Bolshoe yarovoe — parthenogenetic (the share of males on average does not exceed 3 %). At the same time, sexual dimorphism is typical for both types of populations: females are larger than males, males have a larger head (the distance between the eyes is greater by 15.5 %, the diameter of the eye is 26.1 %, the length of the antenna is 22.3 %) and a larger number of bristles (36.1 %). The greatest variability is observed in the parameters of the Furka structure associated with the salinity of water by feedback and the pH — line indicator. Significant differences between the samples of males were revealed. The largest number of significant differences in morphometric indicators was found between samples of males from bisexual populations (lake thanatar and lake Maloe Shklo), the smallest — between males from the parthenogenetic population of lake Bolshoe yarovoe and males from lake Maloe Shklo.

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Information technology. Digitally recorded media for information interchange and storage. Test method for the estimation of lifetime of optical disks for long-term data storage

10.3403/30341531u ◽

2017 ◽

Keyword(s):

Information Technology ◽

Data Storage ◽

Test Method ◽

Storage Test ◽

Optical Disks ◽

Information Interchange ◽

And Storage ◽

Term Data

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Information technology. Digitally recorded media for information interchange and storage. Test method for the estimation of lifetime of optical disks for long-term data storage

10.3403/30341531 ◽

2017 ◽

Keyword(s):

Information Technology ◽

Data Storage ◽

Test Method ◽

Storage Test ◽

Optical Disks ◽

Information Interchange ◽

And Storage ◽

Term Data

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Diel, lunar and seasonal vertical migration in the deep western Gulf of Mexico evidenced from a long-term data series of acoustic backscatter

Progress In Oceanography ◽

10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102562 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 102562

Author(s):

Laura Ursella ◽

Sara Pensieri ◽

Enric Pallàs-Sanz ◽

Sharon Z. Herzka ◽

Roberto Bozzano ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Gulf Of Mexico ◽

Vertical Migration ◽

Acoustic Backscatter ◽

Data Series ◽

Term Data

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Chances and challenges of a long-term data repository in multiple sclerosis: 20th birthday of the German MS registry

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-92722-x ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Lisa-Marie Ohle ◽

David Ellenberger ◽

Peter Flachenecker ◽

Tim Friede ◽

Judith Haas ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Multiple Sclerosis ◽

Sociodemographic Factors ◽

Healthcare Research ◽

Structure Design ◽

Data Repository ◽

Research Projects ◽

Real World Data ◽

Data Repositories ◽

Term Data

AbstractIn 2001, the German Multiple Sclerosis Society, facing lack of data, founded the German MS Registry (GMSR) as a long-term data repository for MS healthcare research. By the establishment of a network of participating neurological centres of different healthcare sectors across Germany, GMSR provides observational real-world data on long-term disease progression, sociodemographic factors, treatment and the healthcare status of people with MS. This paper aims to illustrate the framework of the GMSR. Structure, design and data quality processes as well as collaborations of the GMSR are presented. The registry’s dataset, status and results are discussed. As of 08 January 2021, 187 centres from different healthcare sectors participate in the GMSR. Following its infrastructure and dataset specification upgrades in 2014, more than 196,000 visits have been recorded relating to more than 33,000 persons with MS (PwMS). The GMSR enables monitoring of PwMS in Germany, supports scientific research projects, and collaborates with national and international MS data repositories and initiatives. With its recent pharmacovigilance extension, it aligns with EMA recommendations and helps to ensure early detection of therapy-related safety signals.

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