Financial inclusion as a pillar of sustainable growth: International experience

As proposed by the current theoretical framework, the fact that the economic growth of a country depends not only on the formation of physical and human capital and the sustainable exploitation of its natural resources, but also on the financial inclusion that allows economic agents to find solutions to liquidity restrictions and channel savings towards productive investment is exhibited in this paper. By matching multiple databases, static and dynamic panel estimates are developed, verifying the robustness of results and the endogenous nature of economic growth. The current research demonstrates that social inclusion is not only the desired result of economic growth, but a required input for its future sustainability.

The Oil Price and Trade Nexus in the Gulf Co-Operation Council Countries

The present study investigates the asymmetrical impacts of oil prices and real exchange rates on the trade balances in the Gulf Co-operation Council countries. Using panel estimates, we found the symmetrical positive effect from the oil prices and the asymmetrical positive effect from the real exchange rates on the trade balances. For country-specific results, increasing oil prices showed a positive effect on the trade balances in Oman, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE and a negative effect in Kuwait. Decreasing oil prices carried a positive relationship with the trade balances in Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, and the UAE. The oil prices showed an asymmetrical impact on the trade balances in all countries, except Saudi Arabia. Moreover, the depreciation helped to improve the trade balances in Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, and the UAE. The appreciation worsened the trade balances in Oman, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia and improved the trade balance in Kuwait. Moreover, the asymmetrical relationships between the real exchange rates and the trade balances were corroborated in all of the investigated countries.

Oil Price and Energy Depletion Nexus in GCC Countries: Asymmetry Analyses

Oil price has played a prominent role in oil exporter economies and may also affect energy depletion in oil-dependent countries. Considering asymmetry, the relationship between oil price (OP) and energy depletion has been investigated in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region from 1970 to 2017. We find asymmetrical positive effects of OP on the energy depletion in the panel of the GCC region. To avoid aggregation biasness in the panel estimates, we also conduct a time-series analysis on each GCC country. We find a positive impact of increasing OP on the energy depletion in six GCC countries, and this effect is found to be elastic in the case of all countries except for Kuwait. Positive effects of decreasing OP on the depletion are also found in all the GCC countries, and these effects are found to be elastic or unit elastic in the case of all countries except Saudi Arabia. Asymmetry in the relationship of oil price and energy depletion is established for Bahrain, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia in terms of the different magnitude of effects.

The Residential Solar PV in the Mid-Atlantic: A Spatial Panel Approach

This study examines residential solar photovoltaic (PV) adoption in mid-Atlantic counties over the 2005–2016 period. Using a spatial Durbin panel model, we find significant spatial dependence in residential solar PV adoption at the county level. In the presence of spatial dependence, major determinants of the solar adoptions are electricity rates and solar-related policy regulation. The combined direct and indirect effect of electricity rates on solar PV capacity is 5.37 percent increase for a 1 percent increase in electricity price. This spatial coefficient estimate is about twice as large as corresponding panel estimates. We also find that the regulation and incentives significantly boost solar PV demand, which explains about 38 percent variation in residential solar capacity.

Causal effect of mergers and acquisitions on EU bank productivity

This paper examines the causal effect of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) on bank productivity (Q) in 23 European Union countries and the short- and long-term relationship among fixed assets (k1), liquid assets (k2), and labour (L) over the period 1990–2013 for a sample of 156 commercial banks, of which 60 entities have acquired at least one other entity. Granger causality tests on our results reveal unidirectional causality from liquid assets to fixed assets. However, the causality between K2 and L is unobservable, and the linkage between fixed assets and labour is bidirectional. The error correction term (ECT) is negative and statistically significant for all models, which denotes the presence of bidirectional relationship among all selected variables and long-term unidirectional causality from mergers and acquisitions to bank productivity. Our long-term dynamic panel estimates indicate that the strategic fit of mergers and acquisitions has the potential to create long-term productivity improvement.

Do remittances promote human development? Empirical evidence from developing countries

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of remittances on human development in developing countries using panel data from 1980 to 2014 and to address the critical question of whether the increasing trend of remittances has any impact on human development in a broad range of developing countries. Design/methodology/approach Usual panel estimates, such as pooled OLS, fixed or random effects model, possess specification issues such as endogeneity, heterogeneity and measurement errors. In this paper, we, therefore, apply dynamic panel estimates – System generalised method of moment (Sys-GMM) developed by Arellano and Bond (1991) and Arellano and Bover (1995). This estimator is able to control for the endogeneity of all the explanatory variables, account for unobserved country-specific effects that cannot be done using country dummies due to the dynamic structure of the model (Azman-Saini et al., 2010). Findings The effect of remittances is statistically significant with positive coefficients in developing countries. The significant coefficient of remittances means that, holding other variables constant, a rise in remittance inflows is associated with improvements in human development. A 10 per cent increase in remittances will lead to an increase of approximately 0.016 per cent in human development. These findings are consistent with Üstubuci and Irdam (2012) and Adenutsi (2010), who found evidence that remittances are positively correlated with human development. Practical implications The paper considers implications for policymakers to justify the need for more effective approaches. Policymakers need to consider indicators of human development and to devise public policies that promote income, health and education, to enhance human development. Originality/value The question of whether remittances affect human development has rarely been subject to systematic empirical study. Extant research does not resolve the endogeneity problem, whereas the present study provides empirical evidence by utilising dynamic panel estimators such as Sys-GMM to tackle the specification issues of endogeneity, measurement errors and heterogeneity. The present study provides a benchmark for future research on the effect of remittances on human development.

Determinants of Credit Infections: Evidence from Banking Sector in an Emerging Economy

This paper applies dynamic panel estimates on 22 commercial banks in Pakistan to determine the factors that affect their asset quality. Consequently, the study tests for a comprehensive array of both bank-specific and macroeconomic variables collected quarterly from 2008 to 2016. The empirical analysis confirms that bad asset quality can be explained by retarded GDP growth and unfavorable movement in exchange and lending rates. Within the bank-specific variables, non-performing loans are the most responsive to loans to the agriculture and energy sectors, level of capitalization, size of the lending institution and quality of management.