Percentiles and a cyclic approach for the methodology of scenario predictive planning of promising specialization of the region

Subject. This article deals with the problems of development of promising sectors of the region's economy. Objectives. The article aims to assess the scenarios of regional industry changes considering a case study of the automotive industry. Methods. For the study, we used the bootstrap and wavelet transform techniques. Results. The article describes the inertial, pessimistic (5% percentile) and optimistic (95% percentile) scenarios for the development of the automotive industry and shows the range of possible deviations of industry dynamics in the case of the influence of external and internal factors. Conclusions. The proposed methodology and tools make it possible to fine-tune the forecast of industry dynamics, take into account its possible deviations from a predetermined path during the year, and put management decisions into proactive impact effect.

TWENTY YEARS OF RESEARCH OF TEACHING SPECIALISED TRANSLATION AND INTERPRETING: ACHIEVEMENTS AND PROSPECTS

The paper reviews the development of specialized translation training methodology in Ukraine on the example of Dictum Factum and UTTU Series projects, as well as in a broader context. The authors argue for the relevance of including specialized translation into the content of university-level translator training. The article shows the dynamics of the specialized translation share in the global amount of translation services in the late 1990s and the early 2000s, as well as the intensification of its investigation among the foreign and Ukrainian researchers. The authors outline the specifics of translator training problems in Ukraine after it gained independence and give grounds for the development of a comprehensive model of specialized translation training for the purpose of the research planning and coordination. The paper formulates the tasks and conditions to be accomplished to achieve the said aim. The researchers describes the model developed within the Mykola Lukash Translation Studies department at V.N.Karazin Kharkiv National University. This model is based on the competence, field-oriented and cyclic approaches. The competence approach relies on the PACTE model (with some distinctions) and includes bilingual, extralinguistic, translation, personal and strategic subcompetences. Thus, the aim of the training is defined as a systematic, purposeful and integrative development of the said subcompetences. The acquisition of skills and subskills is provided for on the basis of their list for each type of translation and interpreting. The system of assessing the latter is an important component of the model. The field-oriented approach implicates a prevalence of specialized translation in the content of training, while the cyclic approach involves organization of exercises in cycles, each of which is based on one text related to a specific topic or subtopic. The paper shows the development of this model in the works of various Ukrainian researchers, as well as its implementation in the published textbooks and other teaching materials. The authors outline the prospects of further research.

Business Architecture Development of Quality Assurance in Higher Education Institutes using TOGAF

Recently, quality assurance has attracted widespread attention in higher education institutes in developing countries. Such initiatives mainly focus on standardising higher education while improving the relevance of degree programs. Nevertheless, current quality assurance mechanisms, particularly in developing countries, heavily rely on a document based manual review process. Given the drawbacks associated with such processes, the necessity of technology-based solutions is being recognised. Even though information system applications are widely used nowadays by the universities to increase the efficiency, quality improvement aspects have not been given due focus. TOGAF is a widely accepted cyclic approach for developing enterprise architecture. This study demonstrates how a TOGAF based business architecture can be used to analyse and improve the existing teaching-learning process in higher education as an integral part of quality assurance.

Simulation of Fatigue Crack Growth Using XFEM

Pipelines carrying oil and gas are susceptible to fatigue failure (i.e., unstable fatigue crack propagation) due to fluctuating loading such as varying internal pressure and other external loadings. Fatigue crack growth (FCG) prediction through full-scale pipe tests can be expensive and time consuming, and experimental data is limited particularly in the face of large uncertainty involved. In contrast, numerical simulation techniques (e.g., XFEM) can be alternative to study the FCG, given that numerical models can be theoretically and/or experimentally validated with reasonable accuracy. In this study, capabilities and limitations of existing fatigue analysis code (e.g., direct cyclic approach with XFEM) in Abaqus for low cycle fatigue simulation are explored for compact-tension (CT) specimens and pipelines assuming linear elastic material behavior. The simulated FCG curve for a CT specimen is compared with that obtained from the analytical method using the stress intensity factor prescribed in ASTM E647. However, for real pipelines with elastic-plastic behavior, direct cyclic approach is not suitable, and an indirect cyclic approach is used based on the fracture energy parameters (e.g., J integral) calculated using XFEM in Abaqus. FCG law (e.g., power law relationship like Paris law) is used to generate the fatigue crack growth curve. For comparison, the FCG curve obtained through direct cyclic approach for pipelines assuming linear elastic material is also presented. The comparative studies here indicate that XFEM-based FCG simulation using appropriate techniques can be applied to pipelines for fatigue life prediction.

Methodological status of time in political science

In contemporary political science time is becoming a portmanteau-concept. It forms terminological concatenations in all fields of theoretical and applied researches. At the same time methodological status of time in political science is still not clear. Author suggests a systematization of those researches there time is viewed as a meaningful factor in political process. On the analysis of theoretical basis, methodology and tools four approaches are introduced: narrative approach, psychological approach, institutionalist approach and cyclic approach. The order of introduction of these approaches is based on the degree of intentionality of political actors in their treatment of time: from the most to the least conscious end.

Influence of Cyclical Patterns on Innovation and Transformation Processes in the Economy

Purpose: the main purpose of this article is to present and develop a cyclic approach in the theory of innovation. This section of economic theory is based on the understanding of the innovation process as a dynamic system that develops (depending on the type of innovation) within the medium or long-term cycle. The cyclic approach has an insufficiently studied subject of research. In theoretical and practical aspects, this approach is very poorly developed, despite its prospects for this method. The application of the cyclic approach in the practical sphere will increase the effectiveness of activities planning in the field of the state innovation policy, as well as increase the efficiency of the state resources using.Methods: a set of methods of theoretical research is used, including: logical, system and abstract methods, as well as specific scientific (special) research methods. Based on the study of a wide range of scientific literature, as well as statistical and factual information on innovative issues, models (modeling method) were drawn up, which were graphically fixed in the figures illustrating the main provisions of the article.Results: this article develops the cyclic approach to the innovations study, proposed in the works of foreign and domestic scientists. The article describes and presents a scientific method of innovative processes management, called "triad of innovative and transformative activity". The article also contains a brief overview of the cyclic method development in the works of domestic and foreign researchers, giving a general idea of the elaboration degree of the scientific question.Conclusions and Relevance: the analysis of the main theories and concepts in the field of innovation, gives reason to argue that scientific views on the implementation of the innovation process contain a serious omission. It consists in the fact that it does not take into account the influence of cyclical conditions of various medium-term cycle phases or long-term cycle stages. In practice, this leads to asynchronous processes that prevent the effective innovation activities.