Post-settlement abundance, condition, and survival in a climate-stressed population of Pacific cod

The Pacific cod (Gadus macrocephalus) fishery recently collapsed in the Gulf of Alaska after a series of marine heatwaves that began in 2014. To gauge the likelihood of population recovery following these extreme warming events, we investigate potential thermal stress on age-0 cohorts through a comprehensive analysis of juvenile cod abundance, condition, growth, and survival data collected from 15 years of beach seine surveys. Abundance was strongly negatively related to ocean temperature during the egg and larval phase (winter/spring), but age-0 cod were larger in the early summer following warm winter/spring temperatures. Body condition indices suggest that warm summers may improve energetic reserves prior to the first winter; however, there was no summer temperature effect on post-settlement growth or survival. Spatial differences in abundance, condition, or growth were not detected, and density-dependent effects were either weak or positive. While the positive effects of increased summer temperatures on juvenile condition may benefit overwintering survival, they cannot compensate for high pre-settlement mortality from warming winter/spring temperatures. We conclude the critical thermal bottleneck for juvenile abundance occurs pre-settlement.

The Influence of Southwestern Virginia Environmental Conditions on the Potential Ability of Haemaphysalis longicornis, Amblyomma americanum, and Amblyomma maculatum to Overwinter in the Region

Ticks are susceptible to environmental conditions and, to ensure survival during winter conditions, they adopt a wide variety of physiological and behavioral adaptations including utilization of a suitable niche with insulation (e.g., leaf coverage). To investigate the potential overwintering survival of three tick populations emerging within Appalachian Virginia (Haemaphysalis longicornis, Amblyomma americanum, and Amblyomma maculatum), both a laboratory experiment assessing super-cooling points and a two-factor (elevation and insulation coverage) field experiment assessing overwintering survivability were conducted across a natural southwestern Virginian winter (2020–2021). Dermacentor variabilis adults were included in this study as an example of a well-established species in this region known to overwinter in these conditions. Our study indicated that A. americanum and H. longicornis wintering tolerance is based on life stage rather than external factors such as insulation (e.g., leaf litter) and elevation. Amblyomma maculatum was more likely to survive without insulation. The ability to withstand the extreme temperatures of new regions is a key factor determining the survivability of novel tick species and is useful in assessing the invasion potential of arthropod vectors.

The “Sandwich” System: A Potential Solution for Protecting Overwintering Cornu aspersum Snails Reared in Semi-Intensive Heliciculture Farms in Colder Climates

(1) Background: Hibernation in pens covered with LFC was associated with high mortality of C. aspersum snails in Romanian snail farms. This three-year study aimed to develop a simple, but effective system for protecting breeders in colder climates. (2) Methods: The first phase investigated the (pre)hibernal burrowing behavior and the overwintering habitat choice. Protective structures based on straw, LFC, and/or HDPE were tested at pilot level (no snails). The most suitable system was applied under farm conditions. (3) Results: Wood and ridge-tile micro shelters were significantly preferred to corrugated iron micro shelters. Burrowing specimens acted as shallow-burrowers, and this behaviorwas significantly more common for looser soils. All pilot systems displayed significantly higher thermal protection efficiency compared to the sole use of LFC. The balance between straw moistening and thermal protection favored using structure soil/LFC/straw/10-cm air cushion/HDPE. Its use yielded significantly higher survival compared to the sole use of LFC. Most hibernating snails clustered together in large groups, attached on the lower surface of micro shelters. Predator occurrence appeared to marginally affect overwintering survival. (4) Conclusions: The “sandwich” system could be an effective solution for overwintering mature C. aspersum snails in colder climates.

Worker Size Diversity Has No Effect on Overwintering Success under Natural Conditions in the Ant Temnothorax nylanderi

Winter is a difficult period for animals that live in temperate zones. It can inflict high mortality or induce weight loss with potential consequences on performance during the growing season. Social groups include individuals of various ages and sizes. This diversity may improve the ability of groups to buffer winter disturbances such as starvation or cold temperature. Studies focusing on the buffering role of social traits such as mean size and diversity of group members under winter conditions are mainly performed in the laboratory and investigate the effect of starvation or cold separately. Here, we experimentally decreased worker size diversity and manipulated worker mean size within colonies in order to study the effect on overwintering survival in the ant Temnothorax nylanderi. Colonies were placed under natural conditions during winter. Colony survival was high during winter and similar in all treatments with no effect of worker size diversity and mean worker size. Higher brood survival was positively correlated with colony size (i.e., the number of workers). Our results show that the higher resistance of larger individuals against cold or starvation stresses observed in the laboratory does not directly translate into higher colony survival in the field. We discuss our results in the light of mechanisms that could explain the possible non-adaptive size diversity in social species.

Plasticity of cold hardiness in the eastern spruce budworm, Choristoneura fumiferana

High latitude insect populations must cope with extreme conditions, particularly cold temperatures. Insects use a variety of cold hardiness mechanisms to withstand this temperature stress, and these can drive geographic distributions through overwintering mortality. The degree of cold hardiness can be altered by two evolved responses: phenotypic plasticity and local adaptation. Phenotypic plasticity can occur within or between generations (transgenerational plasticity; TGP), and local adaptation can evolve through directional selection in response to regional climatic differences. We used the eastern spruce budworm, Choristoneura fumiferana (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae) as a model to explore the role that variable winter temperatures play in inducing two aspects of plasticity in cold hardiness: TGP and local adaptation in phenotypic plasticity. This species is one of the most destructive boreal forest pests in North America, therefore accurately predicting overwintering survival is essential for effective management. While we found no evidence of TGP in cold hardiness, there was a long-term fitness cost to larvae that experienced repeated cold exposures. We also found evidence of local adaptation in both seasonal and short-term plasticity of cold hardiness. These findings provide evidence for the importance of phenotypic plasticity and local adaptation when modelling species distributions.

The Virus Yellows Epidemic in Sugar Beet in the UK in 2020 and the Adverse Effect of the EU Ban on Neonicotinoids on Sugar Beet Production

Virus yellows, the disease that was regarded as the worst scourge of sugar beet production in northern Europe in the 20th century, made a dramatic and devastating comeback in 2020, infecting up to 100% of some fields in the Fens of Cambridgeshire, and culminating in 38.1% infection of the national crop, the highest incidence of this pernicious disease since the epidemics of 1974–1976. The causes of the latest epidemic were the consequences of a perfect storm – high overwintering survival of the principal vector, the peach potato aphid, Myzus persicae, following a very mild winter, that resulted in early migration of infective aphids from overwintering hosts into newly emerging beet crops in April. These events, coupled with removal by EU dictate of the most efficient method of controlling the disease, namely the neonicotinoid seed treatments that had kept it under control for the previous 26 years, and the depletion of alternative insecticide spray products, either due to other bans, or having been rendered ineffective by the development of resistance in the vectors, meant that growers were fighting a losing battle almost from the day they sowed their seed. This article examines in detail how the 2020 epidemic developed, and the impact it had on the profitability of the sugar beet industry in the UK, and other parts of Europe. We also argue for a return of neonicotinoid seed treatments in future years to provide more effective control of future pandemics, and thus maintain the presence of this important break crop in arable rotations.

Overwintering survival of Drosophila suzukii (Diptera: Drosophilidae) in temperature regimes emulating partly protected winter conditions in a cold–temperate climate of Québec, Canada

Field-acclimated Drosophila suzukii (Diptera: Drosophilidae) from the Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean region, Québec, Canada, were examined over two years for winter survival, under the hypothesis that flies select protected overwintering microhabitats. In 2016–2017, flies trapped alive in the field or emerged from infested fruits were submitted to four winter regimes of either constant or daily fluctuating temperatures of 5 °C (2–8 °C) or 10 °C (7–13 °C). In 2017–2018, two fluctuating regimes averaging either 1 °C (–2 to 4 °C) or 3 °C (0–6 °C) were tested. Survival was modelled using Cox proportional hazard models testing probability that mortality risk varies with cold winter regime, fly sex, and fly provenance. Hazard ratios were about 1.7 times higher for males than for females. Models indicate that flies in constant and fluctuating 10 °C, in constant 5 °C, or in fluctuating 1 °C with daily exposure to –2 °C would not survive a six-month winter. Female survival extended to the next summer in fluctuating regimes averaging 5 °C or 3 °C. Estimates of 0.95 quantile survival (5%) indicate that overwintering D. suzukii experiencing such cold temperature regimes during winter, with no prolonged sub-zero temperatures, could survive until July of the following year, which is likely at the high population densities observed.

Summer weather conditions influence winter survival of honey bees (Apis mellifera) in the northeastern United States

Honey bees are crucial pollinators for agricultural and natural ecosystems, but are experiencing heavy mortality in North America and Europe due to a complex suite of factors. Understanding the relative importance of each factor would enable beekeepers to make more informed decisions and improve assessment of local and regional habitat suitability. We used 3 years of Pennsylvania beekeepers’ survey data to assess the importance of weather, topography, land use, and management factors on overwintering mortality at both apiary and colony levels, and to predict survival given current weather conditions and projected climate changes. Random Forest, a tree-based machine learning approach suited to describing complex nonlinear relationships among factors, was used. A Random Forest model predicted overwintering survival with 73.3% accuracy for colonies and 65.7% for apiaries where Varroa mite populations were managed. Growing degree days and precipitation of the warmest quarter of the preceding year were the most important predictors at both levels. A weather-only model was used to predict colony survival probability, and to create a composite map of survival for 1981–2019. Although 3 years data were likely not enough to adequately capture the range of possible climatic conditions, the model performed well within its constraints.

The Role of Pathogen Dynamics and Immune Gene Expression in the Survival of Feral Honey Bees

Studies of the ecoimmunology of feral organisms can provide valuable insight into how host–pathogen dynamics change as organisms transition from human-managed conditions back into the wild. Honey bees (Apis mellifera Linnaeus) offer an ideal system to investigate these questions as colonies of these social insects often escape management and establish in the wild. While managed honey bee colonies have low probability of survival in the absence of disease treatments, feral colonies commonly survive in the wild, where pathogen pressures are expected to be higher due to the absence of disease treatments. Here, we investigate the role of pathogen infections [Deformed wing virus (DWV), Black queen cell virus (BQCV), and Nosema ceranae] and immune gene expression (defensin-1, hymenoptaecin, pgrp-lc, pgrp-s2, argonaute-2, vago) in the survival of feral and managed honey bee colonies. We surveyed a total of 25 pairs of feral and managed colonies over a 2-year period (2017–2018), recorded overwintering survival, and measured pathogen levels and immune gene expression using quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). Our results showed that feral colonies had higher levels of DWV but it was variable over time compared to managed colonies. Higher pathogen levels were associated with increased immune gene expression, with feral colonies showing higher expression in five out of the six examined immune genes for at least one sampling period. Further analysis revealed that differential expression of the genes hymenoptaecin and vago increased the odds of overwintering survival in managed and feral colonies. Our results revealed that feral colonies express immune genes at higher levels in response to high pathogen burdens, providing evidence for the role of feralization in altering pathogen landscapes and host immune responses.