Rain day frequency and mean daily rainfall intensity as determinants of total rainfall over the eastern Orange free state

1983 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. S. J. Harrison
Keyword(s):  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Free State ◽  
Total Rainfall

scholarly journals Sub-Daily Rainfall Intensity Extremes: Evaluating Suitable Indices at Australian Arid and Wet Tropical Observing Sites

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 2616 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Dunkerley
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Short Interval ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Secular Change ◽  
Intense Rainfall ◽  
Total Rainfall ◽  
Intensity Index ◽  
Diurnal Cycles ◽  
Simple Daily Intensity Index

Rainfall intensity extremes are relevant to many aspects of climatology, climate change, and landsurface processes. Intensity is described and analysed using a diversity of approaches, reflecting its importance in these diverse areas. The characteristics of short-interval intensity extremes, such as the maximum 5-min intensity, are explored here. It is shown that such indices may have marked diurnal cycles, as well as seasonal variability. Some indices of intensity, such as the SDII (simple daily intensity index), provide too little information for application to landsurface processes. Upper percentiles of the intensity distribution, such as the 95th and 99th percentiles (Q95 and Q99) are used as indices of extreme intensity, but problematically are affected by changes in intensity below the nominated threshold, as well as above it, making the detection of secular change, and application to sites with contrasting rainfall character, challenging. For application to landsurface processes, a new index is introduced. This index (RQ95), is that intensity or rainfall rate above which 5% of the total rainfall is delivered. This index better reflects intense rainfall than does Q95 of even 5-min accumulation duration (AD) rainfall depths. Such an index is helpful for detecting secular change at an observing station, but, like Q95, remains susceptible to the effects of change elsewhere in the distribution of intensities. For understanding impacts of climate and climate change on landsurface processes, it is argued that more inclusive indices of intensity are required, including fixed intensity criteria.

scholarly journals The Wet and Dry Spells across India during 1951–2007

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nityanand Singh ◽  
Ashwini Ranade
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Total Duration ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Monsoon Period ◽  
Northwestern India ◽  
Area Of Interest ◽  
Dry Spells

Abstract Characteristics of wet spells (WSs) and intervening dry spells (DSs) are extremely useful for water-related sectors. The information takes on greater significance in the wake of global climate change and climate-change scenario projections. The features of 40 parameters of the rainfall time distribution as well as their extremes have been studied for two wet and dry spells for 19 subregions across India using gridded daily rainfall available on 1° latitude × 1° longitude spatial resolution for the period 1951–2007. In a low-frequency-mode, intra-annual rainfall variation, WS (DS) is identified as a “continuous period with daily rainfall equal to or greater than (less than) daily mean rainfall (DMR) of climatological monsoon period over the area of interest.” The DMR shows significant spatial variation from 2.6 mm day−1 over the extreme southeast peninsula (ESEP) to 20.2 mm day−1 over the southern-central west coast (SCWC). Climatologically, the number of WSs (DSs) decreases from 11 (10) over the extreme south peninsula to 4 (3) over northwestern India as a result of a decrease in tropical and oceanic influences. The total duration of WSs (DSs) decreases from 101 (173) to 45 (29) days, and the duration of individual WS (DS) from 12 (18) to 7 (11) days following similar spatial patterns. Broadly, the total rainfall of wet and dry spells, and rainfall amount and rainfall intensity of actual and extreme wet and dry spells, are high over orographic regions and low over the peninsula, Indo-Gangetic plains, and northwest dry province. The rainfall due to WSs (DSs) contributes ∼68% (∼17%) to the respective annual total. The start of the first wet spell is earlier (19 March) over ESEP and later (22 June) over northwestern India, and the end of the last wet spell occurs in reverse, that is, earlier (12 September) from northwestern India and later (16 December) from ESEP. In recent years/decades, actual and extreme WSs are slightly shorter and their rainfall intensity higher over a majority of the subregions, whereas actual and extreme DSs are slightly (not significantly) longer and their rainfall intensity weaker. There is a tendency for the first WS to start approximately six days earlier across the country and the last WS to end approximately two days earlier, giving rise to longer duration of rainfall activities by approximately four days. However, a spatially coherent, robust, long-term trend (1951–2007) is not seen in any of the 40 WS/DS parameters examined in the present study.

scholarly journals Assessment of Rainfall Thresholds for Rain-Induced Landslide Activity in North Sikkim Road Corridor in Sikkim Himalaya, India

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bappaditya Koley ◽  
Anindita Nath ◽  
Subhajit Saraswati ◽  
Kaushik Bandyopadhyay ◽  
Bidhan Chandra Ray
Keyword(s):  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Lower Boundary ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Threshold ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Antecedent Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Thresholds ◽  
Sikkim Himalaya ◽  
North East ◽  
The North

Land sliding is a perennial problem in the Eastern Himalayas. Out of 0.42 million km2 of Indian landmass prone to landslide, 42% fall in the North East Himalaya, specially Darjeeling and Sikkim Himalaya. Most of these landslides are triggered by excessive monsoon rainfall between June and October in almost every year. Various attempts in the global scenario have been made to establish rainfall thresholds in terms of intensity – duration of antecedent rainfall models on global, regional and local scale for triggering of the landslide. This paper describes local aspect of rainfall threshold for landslides based on daily rainfall data in and around north Sikkim road corridor region. Among 210 Landslides occurring from 2010 to 2016 were studied to analyze rainfall thresholds. Out of the 210 landslides, however, only 155 Landslides associated with rainfall data which were analyzed to yield a threshold relationship between rainfall intensity-duration and landslide initiation. The threshold relationship determined fits to lower boundary of the Landslide triggering rainfall events is I = 4.045 D - 0.25 (I=rainfall intensity (mm/h) and D=duration in (h)), revealed that for rainfall event of short time (24 h) duration with a rainfall intensity of 1.82 mm/h, the risk of landslides on this road corridor of the terrain is expected to be high. It is also observed that an intensity of 58 mm and 139 mm for 10-day and 20-day antecedent rainfall are required for the initiation of landslides in the study area. This threshold would help in improvement on traffic guidance and provide safety to the travelling tourists in this road corridor during the monsoon.

scholarly journals Individual Rainfall Change Based on Observed Hourly Precipitation Records on the Chinese Loess Plateau from 1983 to 2012

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 2268
Author(s):  
Wenbin Ding ◽  
Fei Wang ◽  
Kai Jin ◽  
Jianqiao Han ◽  
Qiang Yu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Loess Plateau ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Rainfall Amount ◽  
The Loess Plateau ◽  
Total Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Rainfall Duration ◽  
Rainfall Frequency ◽  
Annual Total

The magnitude and spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation are the main drivers of hydrologic and agricultural processes in soil moisture, runoff generation, soil erosion, vegetation growth and agriculture activities on the Loess Plateau (LP). This study detects the spatiotemporal variations of individual rainfall events during a rainy season (RS) from May to September based on the hourly precipitation data measured at 87 stations on the LP from 1983 to 2012. The incidence and contribution rates were calculated for all classes of rainfall duration and intensity to identify the dominant contribution to the rainfall amount and frequency variations. The trend rates of regional mean annual total rainfall amount (ATR) and annual mean rainfall intensity (ARI) were 0.43 mm/year and 0.002 mm/h/year in the RS for 1983–2012, respectively. However, the regional mean annual total rainfall frequency (ARF) and rainfall events (ATE) were −0.27 h/year and −0.11 times/year, respectively. In terms of spatial patterns, an increase in ATR appeared in most areas except for the southwest, while the ARI increased throughout the study region, with particularly higher values in the northwest and southeast. Areas of decreasing ARF occurred mainly in the northwest and central south of the LP, while ATE was found in most areas except for the northeast. Short-duration (≤6 h) and light rainfall events occurred mostly on the LP, accounting for 69.89% and 72.48% of total rainfall events, respectively. Long-duration (≥7 h) and moderate rainfall events contributed to the total rainfall amount by 70.64% and 66.73% of the total rainfall amount, respectively. Rainfall frequency contributed the most to the variations of rainfall amount for light and moderate rainfall events, while rainfall intensity played an important role in heavy rainfall and rainstorms. The variation in rainfall frequency for moderate rainfall, heavy rainfall, and rainstorms is mainly affected by rainfall duration, while rainfall event was identified as a critical factor for light rainfall. The characteristics in rainfall variations on the Loess Plateau revealed in this study can provide useful information for sustainable water resources management and plans.

A new empirical model of sub-daily rainfall intensity and its application in a rangeland biophysical model

2011 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 37 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. W. Fraser ◽  
J. O. Carter ◽  
G. M. McKeon ◽  
K. A. Day
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Model ◽  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Biophysical Model ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Daily Maximum ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Erosion Rates ◽  
Biophysical Models

Sub-daily rainfall intensity has a significant impact on runoff and erosion rates in northern Australian rangelands. However, it has been difficult to include sub-daily rainfall intensity in rangeland biophysical models using historical climate data due to the limited number of pluviograph stations with long-term records. In this paper a new empirical model (‘Temperature I15’ model) was developed to predict the daily maximum 15-min rainfall intensity (I15) using daily minimum and maximum temperature and daily rainfall totals from 12 selected pluviograph stations across Australia. The ‘Temperature I15’ model accounted for 46% (P < 0.01) of the variation in observed daily I15 for an independent validation dataset derived from 67 Australia-wide pluviograph stations and represented both geographical and seasonal variability in I15. The model also accounted for 70% (P < 0.01) of the variation in the observed historical trend in I15 for the full record period (average record period was 37 years) of 73 Australia-wide pluviograph stations. The ‘Temperature I15’ model was found to be an improvement on a past empirical model of I15 and can be easily implemented in biophysical models by using readily available daily climate data. However, as the ‘Temperature I15’ model only represented 46% of the variation in daily observed I15, the model is best used in simulation studies on ‘timeframes’ in excess of 5 years. The new ‘Temperature I15’ model was implemented in the runoff equation of the Australia-wide spatial pasture growth model AussieGRASS, which predicts daily water balance and pasture growth for 185 different pasture communities. This resulted in an improved simulation of green cover for 71% of pasture communities but was worse for 25% of communities, with no change for 4% of communities.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Rainfall Forecasts with Heavy Rain Types in the High-Resolution Unified Model over South Korea

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 1277-1293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hwan-Jin Song ◽  
Byunghwan Lim ◽  
Sangwon Joo
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
South Korea ◽  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Heavy Rain ◽  
Unified Model ◽  
Moderate Intensity ◽  
Local Data ◽  
Total Rainfall

Abstract Heavy rainfall events account for most socioeconomic damages caused by natural disasters in South Korea. However, the microphysical understanding of heavy rain is still lacking, leading to uncertainties in quantitative rainfall prediction. This study is aimed at evaluating rainfall forecasts in the Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS), a high-resolution configuration of the Unified Model over the Korean Peninsula. The rainfall of LDAPS forecasts was evaluated with observations based on two types of heavy rain events classified from K-means clustering for the relationship between surface rainfall intensity and cloud-top height. LDAPS forecasts were characterized by more heavy rain cases with high cloud-top heights (cold-type heavy rain) in contrast to observations showing frequent moderate-intensity rain systems with relatively lower cloud-top heights (warm-type heavy rain) over South Korea. The observed cold-type and warm-type events accounted for 32.7% and 67.3% of total rainfall, whereas LDAPS forecasts accounted for 65.3% and 34.7%, respectively. This indicates severe overestimation and underestimation of total rainfall for the cold-type and warm-type forecast events, respectively. The overestimation of cold-type heavy rainfall was mainly due to its frequent occurrence, whereas the underestimation of warm-type heavy rainfall was affected by both its low occurrence and weak intensity. The rainfall forecast skill for the warm-type events was much lower than for the cold-type events, due to the lower rainfall intensity and smaller rain area of the warm-type. Therefore, cloud parameterizations for warm-type heavy rain should be improved to enhance rainfall forecasts over the Korean Peninsula.

scholarly journals Greater flood risks in response to slowdown of tropical cyclones over the coast of China

2020 ◽  
Vol 117 (26) ◽  
pp. 14751-14755 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yangchen Lai ◽  
Jianfeng Li ◽  
Xihui Gu ◽  
Yongqin David Chen ◽  
Dongdong Kong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Total Rainfall ◽  
Translation Speed ◽  
Flood Risks ◽  
Local Rainfall

The total amount of rainfall associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) over a given region is proportional to rainfall intensity and the inverse of TC translation speed. Although the contributions of increase in rainfall intensity to larger total rainfall amounts have been extensively examined, observational evidence on impacts of the recently reported but still debated long-term slowdown of TCs on local total rainfall amounts is limited. Here, we find that both observations and the multimodel ensemble of Global Climate Model simulations show a significant slowdown of TCs (11% in observations and 10% in simulations, respectively) from 1961 to 2017 over the coast of China. Our analyses of long-term observations find a significant increase in the 90th percentile of TC-induced local rainfall totals and significant inverse relationships between TC translation speeds and local rainfall totals over the study period. The study also shows that TCs with lower translation speed and higher rainfall totals occurred more frequently after 1990 in the Pearl River Delta in southern China. Our probability analysis indicates that slow-moving TCs are more likely to generate heavy rainfall of higher total amounts than fast-moving TCs. Our findings suggest that slowdown of TCs tends to elevate local rainfall totals and thus impose greater flood risks at the regional scale.

scholarly journals Improved Curve Number Estimation in SWAT by Reflecting the Effect of Rainfall Intensity on Runoff Generation

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dejian Zhang ◽  
Qiaoyin Lin ◽  
Xingwei Chen ◽  
Tian Chai
Keyword(s):  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Flow Simulation ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Curve Number ◽  
Base Flow ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Runoff Generation ◽  
The Relationship

Determining the amount of rainfall that will eventually become runoff and its pathway is a crucial process in hydrological modelling. We proposed a method to better estimate curve number by adding an additional component (AC) to better account for the effects of daily rainfall intensity on rainfall-runoff generation. This AC is determined by a regression equation developed from the relationship between the AC series derived from fine-tuned calibration processes and observed rainfall series. When incorporated into the Soil and Water Assessment Tool and tested in the Anxi Watershed, it is found, overall, the modified SWAT (SWAT-ICN) outperformed the original SWAT (SWAT-CN) in terms of stream flow, base flow, and annual extreme flow simulation. These models were further evaluated with the data sets of two adjacent watersheds. Similar results were achieved, indicating the ability of the proposed method to better estimate curve number.

scholarly journals Variability and the Severity of the “Little Dry Season” in Southwestern Nigeria

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 483-493 ◽  
Author(s):  
James O. Adejuwon ◽  
Theophilus O. Odekunle
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Agricultural Practices ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Walker Circulation ◽  
Dry Season ◽  
Total Rainfall ◽  
Southwestern Nigeria ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Period Of Occurrence ◽  
River Niger

Abstract The Little Dry Season (LDS) of West Africa is manifested as a decline in both the frequency and amount of daily rainfall for a number of weeks halfway through the rainy season. The mean or climatological LDS is derived from the slope of the cumulative percentage graph of 5-day mean rainfall (daily rainfall data between 1961 and 2000). LDS variability analysis was carried out using the concept of relative variability. The results obtained showed that LDS is observed from mid-July to mid-September along the coast. Northward and eastward the period of occurrence decreases. In general, the phenomenon is not observed north of the eastward-flowing or east of the southward-flowing River Niger. The results also show considerable interannual variability. Variability was highest along the southwestern coast and declined inland northward and eastward. Variability was highest with respect to total rainfall, followed by length and number of rain days. There are indications that for most years the LDS was only relatively dry while in certain years it represented a period of drought. The occurrence of the LDS in space and time is explained by the movements of the intertropical discontinuity and its associated zone of rainfall. Interannual variability in occurrence and severity are determined by the Walker Circulation phenomenon. Variability in the severity of the LDS has mixed implications for agricultural practices.

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