Simultaneous identification of groundwater contaminant source and simulation model parameters based on an ensemble Kalman filter – adaptive step length ant colony optimization algorithm

2021 ◽  
pp. 127352
Author(s):  
Zibo Wang ◽  
Wenxi Lu ◽  
Zhenbo Chang ◽  
Han Wang
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Simulation Model ◽  
Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Ensemble Kalman Filter ◽  
Step Length ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Ant Colony Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Contaminant Source ◽  
Simultaneous Identification ◽  
Adaptive Step

scholarly journals Assimilation of Dynamic Combined Finite Discrete Element Methods Using the Ensemble Kalman Filter

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 2898
Author(s):  
Humberto C. Godinez ◽  
Esteban Rougier
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Ensemble Kalman Filter ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar ◽  
Peak Stress ◽  
Discrete Element ◽  
Material Behavior ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Hopkinson Pressure Bar ◽  
Parameter Values

Simulation of fracture initiation, propagation, and arrest is a problem of interest for many applications in the scientific community. There are a number of numerical methods used for this purpose, and among the most widely accepted is the combined finite-discrete element method (FDEM). To model fracture with FDEM, material behavior is described by specifying a combination of elastic properties, strengths (in the normal and tangential directions), and energy dissipated in failure modes I and II, which are modeled by incorporating a parameterized softening curve defining a post-peak stress-displacement relationship unique to each material. In this work, we implement a data assimilation method to estimate key model parameter values with the objective of improving the calibration processes for FDEM fracture simulations. Specifically, we implement the ensemble Kalman filter assimilation method to the Hybrid Optimization Software Suite (HOSS), a FDEM-based code which was developed for the simulation of fracture and fragmentation behavior. We present a set of assimilation experiments to match the numerical results obtained for a Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar (SHPB) model with experimental observations for granite. We achieved this by calibrating a subset of model parameters. The results show a steady convergence of the assimilated parameter values towards observed time/stress curves from the SHPB observations. In particular, both tensile and shear strengths seem to be converging faster than the other parameters considered.

scholarly journals Modeling the impact of drought on canopy carbon and water fluxes through parameter optimization using an ensemble Kalman filter

2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 8279-8309 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Ju ◽  
S. Wang ◽  
G. Yu ◽  
Y. Zhou ◽  
H. Wang
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Parameter Optimization ◽  
Ensemble Kalman Filter ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystems ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Interannual Variations ◽  
Atmospheric Water ◽  
Model Parameterization ◽  
Coniferous Plantation ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Soil and atmospheric water deficits have significant influences on CO2 and energy exchanges between the atmosphere and terrestrial ecosystems. Model parameterization significantly affects the ability of a model to simulate carbon, water, and energy fluxes. In this study, an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and observations of gross primary productivity (GPP) and latent heat (LE) fluxes were used to optimize model parameters significantly affecting the calculation of these fluxes for a subtropical coniferous plantation in southeastern China. The optimized parameters include the maximum carboxylation rate (Vcmax), the Ball-Berry coefficient (m) and the coefficient determining the sensitivity of stomatal conductance to atmospheric water vapor deficit D0). Optimized Vcmax and m showed larger seasonal and interannual variations than D0. Seasonal variations of Vcmax and m are more pronounced than the interannual variations. Vcmax and m are associated with soil water content (SWC). During dry periods, SWC at the 20 cm depth can explain 61% and 64% of variations of Vcmax and m, respectively. EnKF parameter optimization improves the simulations of GPP, LE and sensible heat (SH), mainly during dry periods. After parameter optimization using EnKF, the variations of GPP, LE and SH explained by the model increased by 1% to 4% at half-hourly steps and by 3% to 5% at daily time steps. Efforts are needed to develop algorithms that can properly describe the variations of these parameters under different environmental conditions.

Simultaneous identification of contaminant source location, initial contaminant concentration, horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivity in a three-dimensional coastal aquifer via ensemble Kalman filter 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arezou Dodangeh ◽  
Mohammad Mahdi Rajabi ◽  
Marwan Fahs
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Hydraulic Conductivity ◽  
Coastal Aquifers ◽  
Ensemble Kalman Filter ◽  
Coastal Aquifer ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Source Location ◽  
Contaminant Concentration ◽  
Contaminant Source ◽  
Vertical Hydraulic Conductivity

<p>In coastal aquifers, we face the problem of salt water intrusion, which creates a complex flow field. Many of these coastal aquifers are also exposed to contaminants from various sources. In addition, in many cases there is no information about the characteristics of the aquifer. Simultaneous identification of the contaminant source and coastal aquifer characteristics can be a challenging issue. Much work has been done to identify the contaminant source, but in the complex velocity field of coastal aquifer, no one has resolved this issue yet. We want to address that in a three-dimensional artificial coastal aquifer.</p><p>To achieve this goal, we have developed a method in which the contaminant source can be identified and the characteristics of the aquifer can be estimated by using information obtained from observation wells. First, by assuming the input parameters required to simulate the contaminant transfer to the aquifer, this three-dimensional coastal aquifer that is affected by various phenomena such as seawater intrusion, tides, shore slope, rain, discharge and injection wells, is simulated and the time series of the output parameters including head, salinity and contaminant concentration are estimated. In the next step, with the aim of performing inverse modeling, random values ​​are added to the time series of outputs obtained at specific points (points belonging to observation wells) in order to rebuilt the initial conditions of the problem to achieve the desired unknowns (contaminant source and aquifer characteristics). The unknowns estimated in this study are the contaminant source location (x, y, z), the initial contaminant concentration, the horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivity of the aquifer. SEAWAT model in GMS software environment has been used to solve the equations of flow and contaminant transfer and simulate a three-dimensional coastal aquifer. Next, for reverse modeling, one of the Bayesian Filters subset (ensemble Kalman filter) has been used in the Python programming language environment. Also, to reduce the code run time, the neural network model is designed and trained for the SEAWAT model.</p><p>This method is able to meet the main purpose of the study, namely estimating the value ​​of unknown input parameters, including the contaminant source location, the initial contaminant concentration, the horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivity of the aquifer. In addition, that makes it possible to achieve a three-dimensional numerical model of the coastal aquifer that can be used as a benchmark to examine more accurately the impact of different phenomena simultaneously. In conclusion, we have developed an algorithm which can be used in the world's coastal aquifers to identify the contaminant source and estimate its characteristics.</p><p> </p><p>Key words: coastal aquifer, seawater intrusion, contaminants, groundwater, flow field, parameter estimation, ensemble kalman filter</p>

scholarly journals Identification of hydrological model parameter variation using ensemble Kalman filter

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (12) ◽  
pp. 4949-4961 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Deng ◽  
Pan Liu ◽  
Shenglian Guo ◽  
Zejun Li ◽  
Dingbao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Temporal Variation ◽  
Ensemble Kalman Filter ◽  
Water Conservation ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Anthropogenic Activities ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Balance Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Water Storage Capacity

Abstract. Hydrological model parameters play an important role in the ability of model prediction. In a stationary context, parameters of hydrological models are treated as constants; however, model parameters may vary with time under climate change and anthropogenic activities. The technique of ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is proposed to identify the temporal variation of parameters for a two-parameter monthly water balance model (TWBM) by assimilating the runoff observations. Through a synthetic experiment, the proposed method is evaluated with time-invariant (i.e., constant) parameters and different types of parameter variations, including trend, abrupt change and periodicity. Various levels of observation uncertainty are designed to examine the performance of the EnKF. The results show that the EnKF can successfully capture the temporal variations of the model parameters. The application to the Wudinghe basin shows that the water storage capacity (SC) of the TWBM model has an apparent increasing trend during the period from 1958 to 2000. The identified temporal variation of SC is explained by land use and land cover changes due to soil and water conservation measures. In contrast, the application to the Tongtianhe basin shows that the estimated SC has no significant variation during the simulation period of 1982–2013, corresponding to the relatively stationary catchment properties. The evapotranspiration parameter (C) has temporal variations while no obvious change patterns exist. The proposed method provides an effective tool for quantifying the temporal variations of the model parameters, thereby improving the accuracy and reliability of model simulations and forecasts.

Data Assimilation of Coupled Fluid Flow and Geomechanics Using the Ensemble Kalman Filter

SPE Journal ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 15 (02) ◽  
pp. 382-394 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haibin Chang ◽  
Yan Chen ◽  
Dongxiao Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Fluid Flow ◽  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Material Properties ◽  
Ensemble Kalman Filter ◽  
Oil Field ◽  
Reservoir Rock ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Stress Strain ◽  
Reservoir Flow

Summary In reservoir history matching or data assimilation, dynamic data, such as production rates and pressures, are used to constrain reservoir models and to update model parameters. As such, even if under certain conceptualization the model parameters do not vary with time, the estimate of such parameters may change with the available observations and, thus, with time. In reality, the production process may lead to changes in both the flow and geomechanics fields, which are dynamically coupled. For example, the variations in the stress/strain field lead to changes in porosity and permeability of the reservoir and, hence, in the flow field. In weak formations, such as the Lost Hills oil field, fluid extraction may cause a large compaction to the reservoir rock and a significant subsidence at the land surface, resulting in huge economic losses and detrimental environmental consequences. The strong nonlinear coupling between reservoir flow and geomechanics poses a challenge to constructing a reliable model for predicting oil recovery in such reservoirs. On the other hand, the subsidence and other geomechanics observations can provide additional insight into the nature of the reservoir rock and help constrain the reservoir model if used wisely. In this study, the ensemble-Kalman-filter (EnKF) approach is used to estimate reservoir flow and material properties by jointly assimilating dynamic flow and geomechanics observations. The resulting model can be used for managing and optimizing production operations and for mitigating the land subsidence. The use of surface displacement observations improves the match to both production and displacement data. Localization is used to facilitate the assimilation of a large amount of data and to mitigate the effect of spurious correlations resulting from small ensembles. Because the stress, strain, and displacement fields are updated together with the material properties in the EnKF, the issue of consistency at the analysis step of the EnKF is investigated. A 3D problem with reservoir fluid-flow and mechanical parameters close to those of the Lost Hills oil field is used to test the applicability.

scholarly journals A Collision Avoidance Method for Intelligent Ship Based on the Improved Bacterial Foraging Optimization Algorithm

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Xingzhong Wang ◽  
Xinghua Kou ◽  
Jinfeng Huang ◽  
Xianchun Tan
Keyword(s):  
Collision Avoidance ◽  
Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Step Length ◽  
Bacterial Foraging Optimization ◽  
Automatic Driving ◽  
Bacterial Foraging ◽  
Collision Avoidance Problems ◽  
Adaptive Step ◽  
Bacterial Foraging Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Migration Probability

The bacterial foraging optimization algorithm (BFOA) is an intelligent population optimization algorithm widely used in collision avoidance problems; however, the BFOA is inappropriate for the intelligent ship collision avoidance planning with high safety requirements because BFOA converges slowly, optimizes inaccurately, and has low stability. To fix the above shortcomings of BFOA, an autonomous collision avoidance algorithm based on the improved bacterial foraging optimization algorithm (IBFOA) is demonstrated in this paper. An adaptive diminishing fractal dimension chemotactic step length is designed to replace the fixed step length to achieve the adaptive step length adjustment, an optimal swimming search method is proposed to solve the invalid searching and repeated searching problems of the traditional BFOA, and the adaptive migration probability is developed to take the place of the fixed migration probability to prevent elite individuals from being lost in BOFA. The simulation of benchmark tests shows that the IBFOA has a better convergence speed, optimized accuracy, and higher stability; according to a collision avoidance simulation of intelligent ships which applies the IBFOA, it can realize the autonomous collision avoidance of intelligent ships in dynamic obstacles environment is quick and safe. This research can also be used for intelligent collision avoidance of automatic driving ships.

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