Reproduction management in dairy cattle: a prospective study using progesterone and oestrone sulphate for monitoring pregnancy

AbstractIn a prospective 2-year study, milk progesterone and oestrone sulphate determinations were used to monitor and assess pregnancy in lactating cows. The testing was done centrally at a government regional veterinary establishment which was responsible for providing semen to the farms of the area and also had available specialist expertise in animal reproduction. Sample collection and dissemination of test results were achieved through the network of the artificial insemination service. This approach was preferred because it was considered ergonomic, cost-effective and reliable. Comparison of oestrus behavioural signs and progesterone on the day of insemination revealed that 7·8% (89/1133) of the animals tested had high progesterone levels. Single progesterone testing on day 21 post insemination was not satisfactory for pregnancy diagnosis as the positive predictive value was 83·0% (147/177). The combination of low progesterone on day 0 and high progesterone on day 21 improved the positive predictive value to 87·4% (235/269). Results from 400 samples taken 110 to 130 days post insemination from 53 animals revealed that cows with oestrone sulphate concentrations greater than 0·1 μg/l actually calved. This assay appears to be particularly suitable as a pregnancy confirmation test. A pilot field study implementing a programme of testing on days 0, 21 and 42 for progesterone and between days 110 to 130 for oestrone sulphate not only achieved almost absolute pregnancy predictive values but careful result analysis strongly indicated that the approach of systematic testing can also reveal the fertility profile of a given herd and help to identify potential causes of pregnancy failure from the period of the reproduction cycle in which they occur.

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PREDICTIVE VALUE OF LOW AT III LEVELS FOR THE OCCURRENCE OF IVH, IRDS AND DEATH IN PREMATURE NEONATES

10.1055/s-0038-1644268 ◽

1987 ◽

Author(s):

W van den Berg ◽

M Peters ◽

C Breederveld ◽

J W ten Cate ◽

J G Koppe

Keyword(s):

Positive Predictive Value ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Distress Syndrome ◽

Peripheral Vein ◽

Premature Neonates ◽

Significant Difference ◽

At Iii ◽

Diffuse Intravascular Coagulation ◽

Idiopathic Respiratory Distress Syndrome ◽

A Prospective Study

The observation of AT III deficiency in premature neonates with Idiopathic Respiratory Distress Syndrome (IRDS), suggests a positive predictive value for a poor outcome. The underlying diffuse intravascular coagulation could generate serious hemorrhagic complications like Peri/Intraventricular Hemorrhage (IVH).A prospective study was performed in consecutively born neonates to assess the predictive value of low AT III for theoccurrence of IVH, (gr. III/IV), IRDS, and death. Eighty-one neonates were included in the study during a period of 5 months. AT III levels were determined immediately after birth by a chromogenic substrate assay. Values in umbilical cord blood were identical with values in capillary or peripheral vein blood samples taken within 6 hours after birth. There was no correlation between AT III values and gestational age (r: 0.18). Twenty-four neonates with IRDS showed a mean AT III value of 0.23 U/ml (S. D. ± 0.07 U/ml) which was significantly lower than a mean AT III value of 0.35 U/ml (S. D. ± 0.1 U/ml) for neonates without IRDS (p ≺0.00005). When IVH gr. III/IV was diagnosed in neonates having IRDS (8/24) no significant difference in mean AT IIIact was observed with respect to jnean AT III levels of remaining neonates without this complication. No death occurred in neonates without IRDS. Mean AT IIIact (0.21 U/ml) in neonates with IRDS who died (9/24) was low compared with mean AT III levels of neonates with IRDS who survived (0.25 U/ml), but did not reach significance (p≻0.1). Assuming a critical value of AT III of 20% a positive predictive value of 89% for IRDS, 44% for IVH, and 56% for death was calculated. It is concluded that low AT Illact levels have a high predictive value for IRDS.

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Screening for aneurysms of the abdominal aorta using a simple screening device

The Ultrasound Journal ◽

10.1186/s13089-020-00192-5 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 12 (1) ◽

Author(s):

J. W. Brakel ◽

T. A. Berendsen ◽

P. M. C. Callenbach ◽

J. van der Burgh ◽

R. J. Hissink ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Negative Predictive Value ◽

Sensitivity And Specificity ◽

Abdominal Aorta ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Cost Effective ◽

Abdominal Ultrasound ◽

Predictive Values ◽

Bladder Scan ◽

Health Council ◽

Screening Device

Abstract Introduction Several countries advocate screening for aneurysms of the abdominal aorta (AAA) in selected patients. In the Netherlands, routine screening is currently under review by the National Health Council. In any screening programme, cost-efficiency and accuracy are key. In this study, we evaluate the Aorta Scan (Verathon, Amsterdam, Netherlands), a cost-effective and easy-to-use screening device based on bladder scan technology, which enables untrained personnel to screen for AAA. Methods We subjected 117 patients to an Aorta Scan and compared the results to the gold standard (abdominal ultrasound). We used statistical analysis to determine sensitivity and specificity of the Aorta Scan, as well as the positive and negative predictive values, accuracy, and inter-test agreement (Kappa). Results Sensitivity and specificity were 0.86 and 0.98, respectively. Positive predictive value was 0.98 and negative predictive value was 0.88. Accuracy was determined at 0.92 and the Kappa value was 0.85. When waist–hip circumferences (WHC) of > 115 cm were excluded, sensitivity raised to 0.96, specificity stayed 0.98, positive and negative predictive value were 0.98 and 0.96, respectively, accuracy to 0.97, and Kappa to 0.94. Conclusion Herein, we show that the Aorta Scan is a cost-effective and very accurate screening tool, especially in patients with WHC below 115 cm, which makes it a suitable candidate for implementation into clinical practice, specifically in the setting of screening selected populations for the presence of AAA.

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Foundational Statistical Principles in Medical Research: Sensitivity, Specificity, Positive Predictive Value, and Negative Predictive Value

Medicina ◽

10.3390/medicina57050503 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 57 (5) ◽

pp. 503

Author(s):

Thomas F. Monaghan ◽

Syed N. Rahman ◽

Christina W. Agudelo ◽

Alan J. Wein ◽

Jason M. Lazar ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Positive Predictive Value ◽

Negative Predictive Value ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Medical Literature ◽

Disease Prevalence ◽

Positive Test Result ◽

Predictive Values ◽

Sensitivity Specificity ◽

Test Result ◽

Test Probability

Sensitivity, which denotes the proportion of subjects correctly given a positive assignment out of all subjects who are actually positive for the outcome, indicates how well a test can classify subjects who truly have the outcome of interest. Specificity, which denotes the proportion of subjects correctly given a negative assignment out of all subjects who are actually negative for the outcome, indicates how well a test can classify subjects who truly do not have the outcome of interest. Positive predictive value reflects the proportion of subjects with a positive test result who truly have the outcome of interest. Negative predictive value reflects the proportion of subjects with a negative test result who truly do not have the outcome of interest. Sensitivity and specificity are inversely related, wherein one increases as the other decreases, but are generally considered stable for a given test, whereas positive and negative predictive values do inherently vary with pre-test probability (e.g., changes in population disease prevalence). This article will further detail the concepts of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values using a recent real-world example from the medical literature.

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Evaluating Specivity, Sensitivity, Positive and Negative Predictive Values of CA125 for Diagnosing Ovarian Cancer

Journal of Arak University of Medical Sciences ◽

10.32598/jams.24.2.6002.1 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 24 (2) ◽

pp. 196-203

Author(s):

Elahe Fini ◽

◽

Neda Nasirian ◽

Bahram Hosein Beigy ◽

◽

...

Keyword(s):

Ovarian Cancer ◽

Positive Predictive Value ◽

Tumor Marker ◽

Negative Predictive Value ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Screening Test ◽

High Sensitivity ◽

Medical Community ◽

Cross Sectional ◽

Predictive Values

Background and Aim: Ovarian cancer is among the most common cancers in women worldwide. CA125 is the most frequent biomarker used in the screening for ovarian cancer. CA125 has no high sensitivity and specificity as a screening test in the medical community; however, because of being simple and noninvasive, it is almost always requested for evaluation and ruling out cancer. It plays an important role in the treatment and post-treatment process, the prediction of prognosis, and the relapse of the disease. The present study aimed to determine the relationship between a high level of CA125 tumor marker and ovarian cancer by detecting spesivity, sensivity, positive and negative predictive values. Methods & Materials: In this cross-sectional study, all cases undergoing CA125 test in Velayat Hospital in 2017-1028 were evaluated for having ovarian cancer. In addition, the CA125 level was compared between healthy individuals and patients with ovarian cancer. Finally, the obtained data were analyzed using SPSS. Ethical Considerations: The present study was approved by the Qazvin University of Medical Sciences (Ethics Code: IR.QUMS.REC.1396.316). Results: In this study, 35.3% of the study participants received a definite diagnosis of ovarian cancer. Generally, CA125 values were negative in 41.8% and positive in.58.2% of the study subjects. The sensitivity of the test was measured as 80.1%, the specivity as 53.6%, the positive predictive value equaled 48.4%, and the negative predictive value was measured as 83%. There was a significant relationship between age and the presence of ovarian cancer, and serum CA125 levels. Conclusion: The present study suggested that age and the serum level of CA125 were statistically significant. Finally, CA125 levels were significantly related to ovarian cancer. It provided moderate specivity and specivity as well as low positive predictive value and high negative predictive value as a tumor marker; it is valuable for ruling out of tumor but not appropriate as a screening test.

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Diagnostic Value of CK19, HBME-1 and TROP2 Biomarkers in Identification of Different Types of Thyroid Follicular Neoplasms

ACTA MEDICA IRANICA ◽

10.18502/acta.v59i1.5397 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Shohreh Vojuhi ◽

Masoud Mohebbi ◽

Zohreh Mousavi ◽

Mohammadali Yaghoubi ◽

Reza Ziaolhagh

Keyword(s):

Positive Predictive Value ◽

Papillary Carcinoma ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Thyroid Nodules ◽

Follicular Adenoma ◽

Thyroid Neoplasms ◽

Diagnostic Value ◽

Cross Sectional ◽

Predictive Values ◽

Different Types

Thyroid malignancies are found in 7% to 15% of all thyroid nodules. Immunohistochemical markers, including CK19, HBME-1and TROP2, have shown an effective role in identifying these malignancies. Hence, due to the lack of appropriate diagnostic tests for the identification of thyroid neoplasms, in this study, we aimed to determine the diagnostic value of these biomarkers in the identification of different types of follicular thyroid neoplasms. In this cross-sectional study, paraffin-embedded tissue blocks from the surgical resection of patients with thyroid nodules, referring to Imam Reza and Razavi Hospitals of Mashhad in 2017, were studied. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of these biomarkers for the identification of different types of follicular thyroid neoplasms were also studied. 129 patients with a mean age of 44.65±12.59 years participated in this study, of whom 101 (78.29%) were women. The most common type of follicular thyroid neoplasm was papillary carcinoma (60.47%). The highest sensitivity (94.87%) and positive predictive value (68.51%) in the detection of follicular neoplasms was observed by CK19 in papillary carcinoma. The sensitivity and positive predictive value of TROP2 in the detection of papillary neoplasms was 93.58% and 75.25%, respectively. In addition, HBME-1 had the highest specificity (72.54 %) and positive predictive value (81.57%) in identifying this neoplasm. The results of this study showed that CK19, HBME-1, and TROP2 had high diagnostic value in the detection of papillary thyroid neoplasms. Although these biomarkers had low diagnostic value in identifying follicular adenoma and carcinoma, given the high negative predictive value, they can be considered as powerful markers in identifying negative cases.

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Association of Bacteria Species with Positive Predictive Value of Bacteria Isolated from Cerebrospinal Fluid Cultures: A Retrospective Cohort Study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-703030/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Yi Ye ◽

Guanghui Zheng ◽

Yueyue Kong ◽

Jiawei Ma ◽

Guojun Zhang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cerebrospinal Fluid ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Positive Predictive Value ◽

Retrospective Cohort Study ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Retrospective Cohort ◽

Klebsiella Oxytoca ◽

P Value ◽

Coagulase Negative Staphylococci ◽

Predictive Values

Abstract Background: Previous studies discuss the positive predictive value through whether the bacteria are coagulase-negative staphylococci. The view may need to be updated. The aim was to evaluate the positive predictive value of different bacteria species isolated from cerebrospinal fluid cultures and discuss the rationality to view coagulase-negative staphylococci as a group.Methods: This retrospective cohort study recruit all adults with positive cerebrospinal fluid cultures sampled by lumbar puncture 2012-2020 in the Department of Neurosurgery. The exposure was bacteria species, and the outcome was positive predictive value. An episode was defined as a patient with one bacteria. When episodes with a bacteria species reached five, the bacteria species was analyzed specifically. The positive predictive value was defined as the incidence of isolated-bacteria-related infected episodes. The isolated-bacteria-related infected episode was defined as the patient was with clinical features of bacterial meningitis, and the improvement was related to sensitive antibacterial agents. Then the differences of the positive predictive value of different bacteria in all specific bacteria species, coagulase-negative staphylococci, and non-coagulase-negative staphylococci bacteria were calculated, respectively. The results were statistically significant when P-value <.05.Results: 1180 episodes from 1133 patients with 79 bacteria were studied; the positive predictive value was 54.3%. The bacteria included 67 bacteria species, ten bacteria genus, viridans streptococci, and unclassified coagulase-negative staphylococci. Twenty-four specific bacteria species were analyzed. The range of positive predictive values of them was 29.4%-100.0% (P<.0001). The positive predictive value for Enterobacter aerogenes, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Enterobacter cloacae, and Klebsiella oxytoca was the highest, while the positive predictive value for Staphylococcus cohnii was the lowest. Moreover, 767 (65.0%) were with coagulase-negative staphylococci, the positive predictive value was 46.4%, and the range was 29.4%-85.7% (P=.0020); 413 (35.0%) were with non-coagulase-negative staphylococci bacteria, the positive predictive value was 69.0%, and the range was 40.0%-100.0% (P<.0001).Conclusions: This study suggests that the positive predictive value of different bacteria species is different. It is more reasonable to discuss the positive predictive value of bacteria isolated from cerebrospinal fluid cultures through the bacteria species rather than whether they are coagulase-negative staphylococci.Trial registration: This is a retrospective study without interventions on participants.

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Clinical Performance of the Spot Vision Photo Screener before and after Induction of Cycloplegia in Children

Journal of Ophthalmology ◽

10.1155/2019/5329121 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 2019 ◽

pp. 1-7 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Konuralp Yakar

Keyword(s):

Positive Predictive Value ◽

Negative Predictive Value ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Clinical Performance ◽

High Specificity ◽

Screening Criteria ◽

Predictive Values ◽

Before And After ◽

Sensitivity Specificity ◽

Vision Screener

Aim. To compare the clinical performance of the Spot Vision Screener used to detect amblyopia risk factors (ARFs) in children before and after induction of cycloplegia; the children were referred because they met the screening criteria of the American Association for Pediatric Ophthalmology and Strabismus (AAPOS). Methods. The Spot Vision Screener and a standard autorefractometer were used to examine 200 eyes of 100 children aged 3–10 years, before and after cycloplegia induction, in terms of ARFs. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for the detection of significant refractive errors were measured using the AAPOS referral criteria. It was explored that Spot Screener data were affected by cycloplegia. The extent of agreement between cycloplegic/noncycloplegic photoscreening data and cycloplegic autorefraction measurements was assessed using Wilcoxon and Spearman correlation analyses. Results. The Spot’s sensitivity was improved from 60.9% to 85.3% and specificity from 94.9% to 87.4% with cycloplegia compared to cycloplegic standard autorefractometer results. The positive predictive value of Spot was 75.7%, and the negative predictive value was 90.4% without cycloplegia. With cycloplegia, the positive predictive value of Spot was 63.6% and the negative predictive value was 95.8%. Conclusions. The Spot Screener afforded moderate sensitivity and high specificity prior to cycloplegia. The sensitivity and negative predictive value improved after induction of cycloplegia. Examiners should be aware of the effects of cycloplegia on their findings.

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Semiautomated procedures for evaluation of carbohydrate-deficient transferrin in the diagnosis of alcohol abuse

Clinical Chemistry ◽

10.1093/clinchem/43.6.983 ◽

1997 ◽

Vol 43 (6) ◽

pp. 983-989 ◽

Cited By ~ 30

Author(s):

Pamela Bean ◽

Karsten Liegmann ◽

Trond Løvli ◽

Christina Westby ◽

Erling Sundrehagen

Keyword(s):

Alcohol Abuse ◽

Positive Predictive Value ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Diagnostic Performance ◽

Biological Marker ◽

Cost Effective ◽

Carbohydrate Deficient Transferrin ◽

Laser Densitometry ◽

Turbidimetric Immunoassay ◽

Better Than

Abstract Carbohydrate-deficient transferrin (CDT) may now be the most valuable biological marker for diagnosis of alcohol abuse. We compared the diagnostic performance of two new CDT tests, Axis %CDT turbidimetric immunoassay (TIA) and Axis %CDT HPLC, against Specialty Laboratories’ isoelectric focusing/immunoblotting/laser densitometry (IEF/IB/LD). Both Axis tests include one-half the concentration of trisialotransferrin isoforms in their CDT quantitation schemes. Considering an alcohol abuse prevalence of 7%, Axis %CDT TIA shows a sensitivity of 87% at 98% specificity and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.75; %CDT HPLC shows a sensitivity of 87% at 100% specificity for a PPV of 1, and the IEF/IB/LD shows 81% sensitivity at 94% specificity for a PPV of 0.5. All three CDT tests show the same negative predictive value (0.98). Both Axis procedures perform better than IEF/IB/LD in the diagnosis of alcohol abuse; %CDT TIA is available in several semiautomated, cost-effective formats.

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The Utility of the King-Devick Test in Evaluating Professional Ice Hockey Players with Suspected Concussion

Archives of Clinical Neuropsychology ◽

10.1093/arclin/acz026.51 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 34 (5) ◽

pp. 781-781

Author(s):

R J Echemendia ◽

J M Bruce ◽

J Thelen ◽

P Comper ◽

M Hutchison ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Positive Predictive Value ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Rugby Union ◽

Ice Hockey ◽

Diagnostic Utility ◽

Predictive Values ◽

Cut Score ◽

Hockey Players ◽

Active Controls ◽

Number Naming

Abstract Purpose The King-Devick (KD) is a measure of rapid number naming used in the evaluation of sports-related concussion (SRC). Recent data from the Canadian Football League and Rugby Union suggest that the KD should not be used as a stand-alone measure of SRC. The purpose of this study was to examine the diagnostic utility of the KD in professional ice hockey players. Methods NHL players who were suspected of having a concussion were evaluated with the KD and either the SCAT3 or the SCAT5. Players who were evaluated and not diagnosed with concussion served as Active controls. A small group of non-Active control players was also tested twice and was included in the present study for comparison. Results 1605 players were evaluated with the KD at baseline. Of these, 53 were diagnosed with concussion, 76 were Active controls, and 11 were non-Active controls. Concussed players revealed a decline in performance from baseline to acute evaluation, t(52)=3.05, p<.01, d=.42 while Active controls significantly improved, t(75)=2.05, p<.05, d=.24. No significant change between baseline and acute testing was observed for non-Active controls. Using a cut score of any decline in performance from baseline to suspected injury evaluation yielded Sensitivity=64%, Specificity=61%, Positive Predictive Value=53% and Negative Predictive Value=71%. Conclusion Our data are consistent with previous studies suggesting that while the KD is useful in differentiating concussed and not concussed athletes acutely, the relatively low predictive values indicate that a decline in KD performance should not be used as a standalone measure to diagnose concussion.

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Mid-arm and Chest Circumferences for Estimating Low Birthweight

Paediatrica Indonesiana ◽

10.14238/pi33.1-2.1993.24-31 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 33 (1-2) ◽

pp. 24-31

Author(s):

Achmad Surjono

Keyword(s):

Birth Weight ◽

Low Birth Weight ◽

Positive Predictive Value ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Low Birthweight ◽

Newborn Infants ◽

Roc Curves ◽

Strong Correlations ◽

Significant Difference ◽

A Prospective Study

A prospective study was conducted to assess the diagnostic performance of mid-arm and chest circumferences on low birth weights in 1033 singleton newborn infants. The proportion of low birth weight was 11.7%. Strong correlations on birth weight (P<0.001) were found for mid-arm (r-0.85) and chest (r=0.86) circumferences. A mid-arm circumference of ≤9,5 cm was considered as cut-off level for low birth weight, with a sensitivity of 0.818, specificity 0.956 and positive predictive value 0. 712. Whereas that of chest circumference wa ≤29.5 cm with a sensitivity of 0. 785, specificity 0.895 and positive predictive value 0.497. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to compare their diagnostic accuracy. The area under these two ROC(± SE) were 0.954 ± 0.011 for mid-arm and 0.945 ± 0.012 for chest circumferences, respectively. Both areas showed significant differences with the area under chance line. No statistically significant difference was found between the area under ROC of mid-arm and chest circumferences. The results showed that mid-arm and chest circumferences as simple and reliable measurements can be used in estimating low birth weight, in areas where the accurate weighing of newborn infants is not feasible.

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