Institutions and growth: the times-series and cross-section evidence

2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 567-570 ◽  
Author(s):  
JAIME ROS
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Comprehensive Analysis ◽  
Development Theory ◽  
Times Series ◽  
The Times ◽  
Economic Development Theory ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Made In

Abstract:In his comprehensive analysis of the relationship between institutions and economic growth, Ha-Joon Chang, in his article ‘Institutions and Economic Development: Theory, Policy and History’, reviews the empirical evidence on this relationship emphasizing the contrast between the conclusions that one can derive from the time-series evidence and the claims often made in favor of ‘liberalized institutions’ based on the results of cross-section studies. Does the time-series evidence contradict the results of cross-section studies regarding the relationship between institutions and growth? In this comment, I argue that in stressing the contrast between these two kinds of evidence, Chang falls short of a full criticism, consistent with his theoretical analysis, of cross-section studies while at the same time failing to infer what the time-series evidence really shows.

scholarly journals Faktor penentu indeks pembangunan manusia dan hubungannya dengan belanja infrastruktur serta pertumbuhan ekonomi Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Jambi

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 343-358
Author(s):  
Herinoto Herinoto ◽  
M. Rachmad R ◽  
Zulfanetti Zulfanetti
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Correlation Analysis ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Human Development Index ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Simple Correlation ◽  
The Relationship

This study aims to analyze the factors that determine the Human Development Index (HDI), to analyze the relationship between HDI and infrastructure spending, and to analyze the relationship between infrastructure spending and economic growth in districts/cities in Jambi Province. The data used in this study are secondary data with the type of Time Series 2012-2018 and Cross Section 11 districts/cities. This study uses Panel Data Multiple Regression Analysis and Simple Correlation Analysis using the E-views 10 tool. The results of this study indicate that the HDI of districts/cities in Jambi Province increases every year, partially the ratio of teachers to students, number of health facilities, and density. The population has a positive and significant effect in determining HDI. While the poverty factor has a negative but not statistically significant effect in determining the HDI of districts/cities in Jambi Province with an R-Square value of 0.9312. The relationship between HDI and infrastructure spending has a negative and insignificant effect, which means that an increase in infrastructure spending will increase the decrease in the value of HDI. The relationship between growth spending and economic growth has a positive and significant effect, which means that an increase in the value of infrastructure spending will increase the value of economic growth.  

scholarly journals Issues in the quantitative analysis of the SIPRI arms industry database

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ron Smith ◽  
J. Paul Dunne
Keyword(s):  
Cross Section ◽  
Entry And Exit ◽  
International Peace ◽  
Arms Sales ◽  
Times Series ◽  
Size Distribution Of Firms ◽  
Peace Research ◽  
The Times ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Military Services

Although the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute’s data on the 100 largest arms (and military services) producing firms is very widely used for various purposes, there is relatively little quantitative statistical analysis of it. This article discusses some of the issues involved in the econometric analysis of the data. This is complicated by the difficulty of modeling the processes of mergers, acquisitions, and divestments which drives entry and exit from the list. Various models are estimated to examine (a) the relationship between arms sales and military expenditure, (b) the evolution of concentration and the size distribution of firms, (c) the cross-section relationship between size and growth of firms, (d) the times-series properties of the arms sales of individual firms, and (e) of arms sales by country of ownership.

Culture, institutions and economic growth

2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 523-527 ◽  
Author(s):  
EELKE DE JONG
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Development Theory ◽  
Historical Evidence ◽  
Free Markets ◽  
Time Series Approach ◽  
Economic Development Theory ◽  
Different Sources ◽  
Better Than

Abstract:In his article ‘Institutions and Economic Development: Theory, Policy and History’, Ha-Joon Chang rightly argues that historical evidence does not irrefutably suggest that countries characterized by free markets perform better than those in which the state plays a much more prominent role. However, his method of substantiating his claims by means of examples from different sources and periods does not convince. A more systematic and theoretically founded approach is needed. This comment focuses on the cross-section versus time-series approach and the relation between culture, institutions and economic development.

scholarly journals A time series analysis of determinants of FDI in Afghanistan: Which one matters the most, security or economic growth?

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Abdul Fareed Delawari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Economic Factors ◽  
Market Economic ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Relationship

Afghanistan has been practicing market economic system since 2002. Since then, the government has been initiating different policies and announced various incentives to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) to the country. However, the outcome has not been satisfactory due to several political and economic factors. This paper explores the relationship between security, economic growth and FDI in Afghanistan, using ARDL model. The paper covers a period from 2002 to 2016. The empirical results of this study show that there is a negative long-term relationship between security and FDI. Hence,  the author concludes that, to attract FDI to the country, insuring security should be the top priority of the government of Afghanistan.

Influence of systemic banking crisis and currency crisis on the relationship of export and economic growth

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 82-110
Author(s):  
Syed Ali Raza ◽  
Mohd Zaini Abd Karim
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Currency Crises ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Banking Crises ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose This study aims to investigate the influence of systemic banking crises, currency crises and global financial crisis on the relationship between export and economic growth in China by using the annual time series data from the period of 1972 to 2014. Design/methodology/approach The Johansen and Jeuuselius’ cointegration, auto regressive distributed lag bound testing cointegration, Gregory and Hansen’s cointegration and pooled ordinary least square techniques with error correction model have been used. Findings Results indicate the positive and significant effect of export of goods and services on economic growth in both long and short run, whereas the negative influence of systemic banking crises and currency crises over economic growth is observed. It is also concluded that the impact of export of goods and service on economic growth becomes insignificant in the presence of systemic banking crises and currency crises. The currency crises effect the influence of export on economic growth to a higher extent compared to systemic banking crises. Surprisingly, the export in the period of global financial crises has a positive and significant influence over economic growth in China, which conclude that the global financial crises did not drastically affect the export-growth nexus. Originality/value This paper makes a unique contribution to the literature with reference to China, being a pioneering attempt to investigate the effects of systemic banking crises and currency crises on the relationship of export and economic growth by using long-time series data and applying more rigorous econometric techniques.

An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Transport Infrastructure and Economic Growth in Tianjin

2012 ◽  
Vol 253-255 ◽  
pp. 278-281
Author(s):  
Xiao Zhe Meng
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Transport Infrastructure ◽  
Integration Theory ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Positive Correlations ◽  
The Relationship

Transport infrastructure makes important contribution to economic growth. At the same time, the economic growth provides support to the transport infrastructure. Based on the co-integration theory and Granger casualty analysis, using time series data in Tianjin from 1978 to 2010, empirically analyze the co-integration relationship and Granger causality between the index of all kinds of transport infrastructure and the GDP in Tianjin. Research shows that there are positive correlations between the length of road, railway, quay line and GDP. The length of road, railway and quay line is the Granger cause of GDP. However, GDP is not the Granger cause of transport infrastructure.

FDI and economic growth: empirical evidence from Pakistan

2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naqeeb Ur Rehman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Literacy Rate ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Low Level ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between FDI and economic growth. Two models have been used to analyse the time series data on Pakistan from 1970 to 2012. This paper contributes to the existing literature by examining the different empirical methods to estimate the relationship between FDI and economic growth. The vector error correction model (VECM) results suggest that FDI depends on the economic growth but this relationship is not true vice versa. The second model showed that FDI, human capital and exports are important factors of economic growth. However, the negative relationship between interactive variables (FDI and human capital) and economic growth indicates that low level of human capital affect the economic growth of Pakistan. Design/methodology/approach – Used time series data (1970-2012) for empirical analysis. Findings – The VECM results suggest that FDI depends on the economic growth but this relationship is not true vice versa. The second model showed that FDI, human capital and exports are important factors of economic growth. However, the negative relationship between interactive variables (FDI and human capital) and economic growth indicates that low level of human capital affect the economic growth of Pakistan. Research limitations/implications – The limitations of this empirical paper are as follows: it would be better to use secondary school enrolment (per cent) to measure human capital instead adult literacy rate. Similarly, the non-availability of R & D data on Pakistan limited the scope of the paper to measure the role of absorptive capacity of domestic and its relationship with FDI. The results of this paper are specifically related to Pakistan and cannot be generalized to other countries. Practical implications – This empirical study implies that Pakistan should improve its economic growth. The robust policies are required to increase the literacy rate of the country. Higher human capital will attract more FDI into the economy and may reduce the unemployment. This would increase the national output of the country and their national income level. Presently, Pakistan is going through war on terror and foreign firms are reluctant to invest. A stable and secure business environment will ultimately inject foreign direct investment into Pakistan. Originality/value – This paper is first time analyse the time series data to explore the relationship between FDI and economic growth. A new approach has been used called VECM.

Institutions and development: what a difference geography and time make!

2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 535-541 ◽  
Author(s):  
KENNETH P. JAMESON
Keyword(s):  
International Economic ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Development Theory ◽  
Political Systems ◽  
Institutional Structures ◽  
Anglo American ◽  
The Right ◽  
Economic Development Theory ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract:Ha-Joon Chang, in his article ‘Institutions and Economic Development: Theory, Policy, and History’, provides a description and critique of the mainstream view of institutions and development. It applies well to Latin America in the 1980s and 1990s. However, the effort to introduce these Anglo-American institutional structures (Global Standard Institutions; GSIs) in the 1980s and 1990s resulted in uneven and unstable economic performance, not development. As a result, the relationship among institutions, development and economic policy in Latin America today has generally moved far beyond this ‘mainstream’. The institutions to insure macro stability have generally been preserved, and some countries do follow GSI prescriptions. However in most countries, especially in South America, the effort to find the right mix of institutions for development has moved far beyond this mainstream. The result has been innovative initiatives to address more fundamental development issues such as inequality, property rights and international economic institutions. This process is likely to continue, facilitated by the currently robust democratic political systems that grew out of the earlier turmoil.

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