scholarly journals Early prediction of extubation failure in patients with severe pneumonia: a retrospective cohort study

2020 ◽  
Vol 40 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
He Yu ◽  
Jian Luo ◽  
Yuenan Ni ◽  
Yuehong Hu ◽  
Dan Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract Backgroud: Severe pneumonia is one of the most common causes for mechanical ventilation. We aimed to early identify severe pneumonia patients with high risk of extubation failure in order to improve prognosis. Methods: From April 2014 to December 2015, medical records of intubated patients with severe pneumonia in intensive care unit were retrieved from database. Patients were divided into extubation success and failure groups, and multivariate logistic regressions were performed to identify independent predictors for extubation failure. Results: A total of 125 eligible patients were included, of which 82 and 43 patients had extubation success and failure, respectively. APACHE II score (odds ratio (OR) 1.141, 95% confident interval (CI) 1.022–1.273, P = 0.019, cutoff at 17.5), blood glucose (OR 1.122, 95%CI 1.008–1.249, P = 0.035, cutoff at 9.87 mmol/l), dose of fentanyl (OR 3.010, 95%CI 1.100–8.237, P = 0.032, cutoff at 1.135 mg/d), and the need for red blood cell (RBC) transfusion (OR 2.774, 95%CI 1.062–7.252, P = 0.037) were independent risk factors for extubation failure. Conclusion: In patients with severe pneumonia, APACHE II score > 17.5, blood glucose > 9.87 mmol/l, fentanyl usage > 1.135 mg/d, and the need for RBC transfusion might be associated with higher risk of extubation failure.

2019 ◽  
Vol 103 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 578-584
Author(s):  
Fatih Ciftci ◽  
Fazilet Erözgen

Perforated peptic ulcers continue to be an important problem in surgical practice. In this study, risk factors for peptic ulcer perforation-associated mortality and morbidity were evaluated. This is a retrospective study of patients surgically treated for perforated peptic ulcer over a decade (March 1999–December 2014). Patient age, sex, complaints at presentation, time lapse between onset of complaints and presentation to the hospital, physical findings, comorbidities, laboratory and imaging findings, length of hospitalization, morbidity, and mortality were recorded. The Mannheim peritonitis index (MPI) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score were calculated and recorded for each patient on admission to the hospital. Of the 149 patients, mean age was 50.6 ± 19 years (range: 17–86). Of these, 129 (86.5%) were males and 20 (13.4%) females. At least 1 comorbidity was found in 42 (28.1%) of the patients. Complications developed in 36 (24.1%) of the patients during the postoperative period. The most frequent complication was wound site infection. There was mortality in 26 (17.4%) patients and the most frequent cause of mortality was sepsis. Variables that were found to have statistically significant effects on morbidity included age older than 60 years, presence of comorbidities, and MPI (P = 0.029, 0.013, and 0.013, respectively). In a multivariate analysis, age older than 60 years, presence of comorbidities, and MPI were independent risk factors that affected morbidity. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, age older than 60 years [P = 0.006, odds ratio (OR) = 5.99, confidence interval (CI) = 0.95] and comorbidities (OR = 2.73, CI = 0.95) were independent risk factors that affected morbidity. MPI and APACHE II scoring were both predictive of mortality. Age older than 60, presentation time, and MPI were independent risk factors for mortality. Undelayed diagnosis and appropriate treatment are of the utmost importance when presenting with a perforated peptic ulcer. We believe close observation of high-risk patients during the postoperative period may decrease morbidity and mortality rates.


2022 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoying Li ◽  
Zinan Jiang

Objectives: To assess the association of bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) α-SMA and ß-catenin levels and the severity of pneumonia. Methods: The records of patients with severe pneumonia treated in our hospital from June 2019 to June 2020 were selected. The clinical outcome was observed within 10 days. For the purpose of analysis, patients were divided into two groups according to the outcome, 47 cases in the improvement group and 39 cases in the deterioration group. The intubation time, mechanical ventilation time and APACHE II score 10 days after admission were compared between the two groups; We assessed pulmonary infections using the clinical pulmonary infection score(CPIS). The levels of α-SMA and ß-catenin in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid at different time points were compared and analyzed, to analyze the association between the levels and the CPIS. Results: The APACHE II score in the improvement group were lower than those in the deterioration group (P<0.05). The expressions of α-SMA and ß-catenin in the BALF of patients in the improvement group were significantly lower than those of patients in the deterioration group on day 1, 3, and 7 (P<0.05); and the expressions of α-SMA and ß-catenin in the BALF of patients in the improvement group decreased with time, while those of patients in the deterioration group increased gradually with time(P<0.05). The expressions of α-SMA and ß-catenin in patients with CPIS>6 was significantly higher than those in patients with CPI≤6(P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that the levels of α-SMA and ß-catenin in BALF were positively correlated with the CPIS. Conclusion: The levels of α-SMA and ß-catenin in BALF are closely associated with the clinical condition of patients with severe pneumonia; the levels are positively associated with the severity of the disease and they increase with symptomatic worsening. doi: https://doi.org/10.12669/pjms.38.3.5329 How to cite this:Li X, Jiang Z. Correlation between α-SMA and ß-catenin levels in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid and severity of pneumonia. Pak J Med Sci. 2022;38(3):---------. doi: https://doi.org/10.12669/pjms.38.3.5329 This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (9) ◽  
pp. 3128
Author(s):  
Muppa Viswanath ◽  
Rakesh R. ◽  
Supreeth Kumar Reddy Kunnuru ◽  
Raghu Sri Charan Perubhotla ◽  
Mayank Kumar Gurjar ◽  
...  

Background: Acute pancreatitis is the most terrible of all the calamities that occur in connection with the abdominal viscera. The suddenness of its onset, the illimitable agony which accompanies it, and the mortality attendant upon it, all render it the most formidable of catastrophes. Aim of the study is to evaluate the treatment outcome in acute pancreatitis.Methods: All the patients who underwent surgery for chronic pancreatitis were included in the study. initial APACHE II score at admission and CT severity index was evaluated.Results: Edematous pancreatitis accounts for 80–90% of acute pancreatitis and remission can be achieved in most of the patients without receiving any special treatment. Necrotizing pancreatitis occupies 10–20% of acute pancreatitis and the mortality rate is reported to be 14-25%. Alcohol (45.8%) was the most common causes of acute severe pancreatitis in this study. Males were predominately affected (Male: Female = 29:5). Complication rate or morbidity is 50%. The initial APACHE II score at admission and CT severity index in the first scan were high in patients who underwent necrosectomy and the patients who died. The overall mortality in this study was 30.6%.Conclusions: In conclusion, one reason attributed to high mortality was due to the subgroup of patients who underwent PCD alone and failed to show any change in the recovery nor deterioration and lead to gross nutritional depletion and death, secondly those patients who underwent step up approach and ultimately needed surgery have more aggressive disease evidenced by high APACHE II score, CT severity index and % of necrosis.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiayi Chen ◽  
Xiaobei Shi ◽  
Mengyuan Diao ◽  
Guangyong Jin ◽  
Ying Zhu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE) is a common complication of sepsis that may result in worse outcomes. This study was designed to determine the epidemiology, clinical features, and risk factors of SAE. Methods This was a retrospective study of all patients with sepsis who were admitted to the Critical Care Medicine Department of Hangzhou First People’s Hospital Affiliated with Zhejiang University School of Medicine from January 2015 to December 2019. Results A total of 291 sepsis patients were screened, and 127 (43.6%) were diagnosed with SAE. There were significant differences in median age, proportion of underlying diseases such as hypertension, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, gastrointestinal infections, detection rate of Enterococcus, and 28-day mortality between the SAE and non-SAE groups. Both the SOFA score and APACHE II score were independent risk factors for SAE in patients with sepsis. All 127 SAE patients were divided into survival and non-survival groups. The age, SOFA score, and APACHE II score were independently associated with 28-day mortality in SAE patients. Conclusion In the present retrospective study, nearly half of patients with sepsis developed SAE, which was closely related to poor outcomes. Both the SOFA score and APACHE II score were independent risk factors for predicting the occurrence and adverse outcome of SAE.


PeerJ ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. e1267 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia-Kui Sun ◽  
Fang Sun ◽  
Xiang Wang ◽  
Shou-Tao Yuan ◽  
Shu-Yun Zheng ◽  
...  

The aim of this study was to investigate the risk factors of hypoalbuminemia and effects of different albumin levels on the prognosis of surgical septic patients. We preformed a retrospective clinical study including 135 adult patients from September 2011 to June 2014. The albumin levels and severity markers were recorded during the first 48 h after enrollment, and logistic regression analyses were used to determine the risk factors. The outcomes of patients with different albumin levels were also compared. The acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score (OR 1.786, 95% CI [1.379–2.314],P< 0.001), C-reactive protein (CRP) (OR 1.016, 95% CI [1.005–1.027],P= 0.005), and blood lactate (OR 1.764, 95% CI [1.141–2.726],P= 0.011) were established as the independent risk factors of hypoalbuminemia in patients with surgical sepsis. The severity markers and outcomes of patients with albumin levels ≤20 g/L were significantly worse than that of 21–25 g/L and ≥26 g/L, whereas the latter two groups had similar prognosis. Every 1 g/L decrease of albumin level below the optimal cut-off (23 g/L) was associated with a 19.4% increase in hospital mortality and a 28.7% increase in the incidence of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome. In conclusion, APACHE II score (≥14.5), CRP (≥34.25 mg/L), and blood lactate (≥.35 mmol/L) were established as the independent risk factors of hypoalbuminemia in the early stage of surgical sepsis. Patients with baseline albumin level ≤20 g/L had worse prognosis than that of albumin level ≥21 g/L. Albumin levels were negatively correlated the prognosis of surgical sepsis when below about 23 g/L.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huifeng Wang ◽  
Zhiling Zhao ◽  
Zhao-hui Tong

Abstract Background: To investigate the independent risk factors for sepsis and the prognostic indicators of sepsis-related mortality to guide clinical practice.Methods: Adult patients diagnosed with sepsis in the respiratory intensive care unit (RICU), emergency ICU (EICU), and surgical ICU (SICU) of Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, from January 2016 to April 2021 were enrolled. Comorbidities, complications, and laboratory indicators were retrospectively analyzed. Variables with a p value < 0.05 in the univariate analysis were entered into multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify the independent risk factors for sepsis. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was used for those variables with P < 0.05 in multivariate regression to evaluate the fit of the predictive model and its prognostic efficacy. Results: A total of 123 adult patients with sepsis were enrolled, with 80 males and 43 females and a mean age of 61.56 ± 17.12 years. Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) occurred in 84 patients (68.3%), acute kidney injury (AKI) occurred in 28 patients (22.8%), acute myocardial injury (AMI) occurred in 6 patients (4.9%), disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) occurred in 14 patients (11.4%), septic shock occurred in 40 patients (32.5%), and 41 patients (33.3%) died. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that mean arterial pressure (MAP), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, albumin level, and the presence of DIC were independent risk factors for sepsis (P < 0.05). The area under the ROC curve for the model including MAP, albumin, and APACHE II score was the highest at 0.890.Conclusion: The MAP, APACHE II score, albumin level, and DIC were independent risk factors for sepsis. The inclusion of the MAP, albumin level, and APACHE II score in the model yielded the most accurate prediction of the risk of mortality.


2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 392-398
Author(s):  
Ronald G. Hall ◽  
Sachin R. Shah ◽  
Leticia R. Villela ◽  
Robin H. Amirkhan

This study was conducted to evaluate the effect of inadequate empiric antimicrobial therapy (IEAT) on mortality of patients with Escherichia coli or Klebsiella species bacteremia. Patients with E coli or Klebsiella species bacteremia were retrospectively analyzed to determine the effect of IEAT on 14-day mortality. IEAT of bacteremia was defined as administration of an antimicrobial agent to which the microorganism responsible for the bacteremia was resistant. IEAT was significantly associated with central venous catheter placement, Klebsiella species, and antimicrobial resistance among the 135 patients with E coli or Klebsiella species bacteremia (110 adequate, 25 inadequate). IEAT significantly increased 14-day mortality (32% vs 19%; P = .019). The increased 14-day mortality associated with IEAT was consistent among patients infected with E coli (33% vs 11%) or Klebsiella species (31% vs 15%). Independent risk factors for 14-day mortality in the multivariate analysis included Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score (odds ratio [OR] 1.16; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.07-1.27), IEAT (OR 9.4; 95% CI = 1.36-65.14), and initial imipenem therapy (OR 20.66; 95% CI = 1.48-287.74). Of the 6 patients receiving empiric imipenem/cilastatin, 3 had APACHE II scores ≥ 30 (all 3 of these patients died). The 14-day mortality rate was similar for patients who received IEAT, regardless of whether their therapy was changed (32%) or not (33%). Based on these results and previous studies, greater efforts should be made to identify patients at risk for resistant pathogens before initiating antimicrobial therapy.


Author(s):  
Maria Aparecida Vitagliano Martins ◽  
Silene El-Fakhouri ◽  
Luciene de Oliveira Conterno ◽  
Thie Uehara Sampaio

Introduction: Identification of predictors for successful extubation in an Intensive Care Unity and use of Brain Natriuretic Peptides (BNP) in predicting mechanical ventilation weaning and extubation outcome.Aims: Evaluation of the effect of variables such as patient´s age, severity score, use of sedation, use of vasoactive drugs, hydric balance, blood gas data, days under mechanical ventilation, the occurrence of adverse events and plasma BNP levels on the success of extubation.Method: A prospective cohort study of adult patients admitted to a 12- bed-general ICU, from April 1st 2016 to August 10th 2017, under mechanical ventilation for > 24 h, accompanied until discharge or death. Clinical variables were analyzed and BNP was assessed before initiation of Spontaneous Breathing Trial (SBT) and then again before extubation. Statistical Analysis: a descriptive and comparative data analysis, univariate and logistic regressionanalysis for verification of variables independently related to successful extubation (p < 0.05).Results: Study of 105 patients, mean age of 53.9 ± 19.8 years, 81% of success in extubation; the overall mortality rate of 11.4%; variables associated to successful extubation: age, APACHE II, SAPS II, days of hospitalization before ICU admittance, days under mechanical ventilation, days of stay in ICU and occurrence of nosocomial infection (p < 0.05); BNP levels were lower in patients with successful extubation although not statistically significant;multivariate analysis showed that patient’s age and days of hospitalization before ICU admittance were each independently linked to extubation failure; APACHE II score and days of hospitalization before ICU admittance were each independently associated to risk of death.Conclusion: Despite being older and with higher severity scores, patients had a higher success rate in extubation than found in similar studies. However, the mortality rate in cases of failed extubation was higher. Data obtained was in agreement to studies that suggested that patient´s age, severity score, days of hospitalization before ICU admittance, days of stay in ICU, days under MV and infection occurrence were all variables associated as much extubation failure as to risk of death. A direct association between BNP levels and successful extubation and the usefulness of assessing BNP in the conduction of WMV was not confirmed.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ren-Xiong Chen ◽  
Zhou-Qiao Wu ◽  
Zi-Yu Li ◽  
Hong-Zhi Wang ◽  
Jia-Fu Ji

Abstract Background: We studied the clinical profiles and the prognostic factors in patients with sepsis after the gastrointestinal tumor surgery in ICU.Methods: We retrospectively screened patients who underwent the gastrointestinal tumor surgery at the Peking University Cancer Hospital from January, 2015 to December, 2019. Among them, 181 patients who were diagnosed with sepsis in ICU were enrolled in our study. Cox regression was performed for multivariate adjusted factor analyses.Results: The 90-day all-cause mortality rate was 11.1% in our study. The univariate analysis showed that BMI, shock within 48 h after entering ICU, number of blood leukocytes, ratio of lymphocytes to neutrophils, INR, creatinine, procalcitonin, lactic acid, oxygenation index, SOFA score within 24 h after entering ICU, APACHE II score within 24 h after entering ICU were statistically significant. In multiple analysis, we found that BMI༞20 kg/m2 was a protective factor, while lactic acid༞3 mmol/L after entering ICU and APACHE II score༞20 within 24 h after entering ICU were independent risk factors for the prognosis of sepsis after the gastrointestinal tumor surgery in ICU.Conclusions: BMI༞20 kg/m2 was a protective factor, while lactic acid༞3 mmol/L after entering ICU and APACHE II score༞20 within 24 h after entering ICU were independent risk factors for the prognosis of sepsis after the gastrointestinal tumor surgery in ICU.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Tang ◽  
Longxiang Su ◽  
Dongkai Li ◽  
Ye Wang ◽  
Qianqian Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background To investigate the optimal target e of lactate kinetics at different time during the resuscitation, the factors that influence whether the kinetics achieve the goals, and the clinical implications of different clinical phenotypes. Methods Patients with hyperlactatemia between May 1, 2013 and December 31, 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Demographic data, basic organ function, hemodynamic parameters at ICU admission (T0) and at 6 h, 12 h, 24 h, 48 h, and 72 h, arterial blood lactate and blood glucose levels, cumulative clinical treatment conditions at different time points and final patient outcomes were collected. Results A total of 3298 patients were enrolled, and the mortality rate was 12.2%. The cutoff values of lactate kinetics for prognosis at 6 h, 12 h, 24 h, 48 h, and 72 h were 21%, 40%, 57%, 66%, and 72%. The APACHE II score, SOFA score, heart rate (HR), and blood glucose were risk factors that correlated with whether the lactate kinetics attained the target goal. Based on the pattens of the lactate kinetics, eight clinical phenotypes were proposed. The odds ratios of death for clinical phenotypes VIII, IV, and II were 4.39, 4.2, and 5.27-fold of those of clinical phenotype I, respectively. Conclusion Stepwise recovery of lactate kinetics is an important resuscitation target for patients with hyperlactatemia. The APACHE II score, SOFA score, HR, and blood glucose were independent risk factors that influenced achievement of lactate kinetic targets. The cinical phenotypes of stepwise lactate kinetics are closely related to the prognosis.


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