scholarly journals Entrainment and Mixing of Transported Ozone Layers: Implications for Surface Air Quality in the Western U.S.

2020 ◽  
Vol 237 ◽  
pp. 03012
Author(s):  
Christoph Senff ◽  
Andrew Langford ◽  
Raul Alvarez ◽  
Tim Bonin ◽  
Alan Brewer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Mixed Layer ◽  
Las Vegas ◽  
Surface Ozone ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
San Joaquin Valley ◽  
Fire Emissions ◽  
Ozone Transport ◽  
The Impact

Recently, two air quality campaigns were conducted in the southwestern United States to study the impact of transported ozone, stratospheric intrusions, and fire emissions on ground-level ozone concentrations. The California Baseline Ozone Transport Study (CABOTS) took place in May – August 2016 covering the central California coast and San Joaquin Valley, and the Fires, Asian, and Stratospheric Transport Las Vegas Ozone Study (FAST-LVOS) was conducted in the greater Las Vegas, Nevada area in May – June 2017. During these studies, nearly 1000 hours of ozone and aerosol profile data were collected with the NOAA TOPAZ lidar. A Doppler wind lidar and a radar wind profiler provided continuous observations of atmospheric turbulence, horizontal winds, and mixed layer height. These measurements allowed us to directly observe the degree to which ozone transport layers aloft were entrained into the boundary layer and to quantify the resulting impact on surface ozone levels. Mixed layer heights in the San Joaquin Valley during CABOTS were generally below 1 km above ground level (AGL), while boundary layer heights in Las Vegas during FAST-LVOS routinely exceeded 3 km AGL and occasionally reached up to 4.5 km AGL. Consequently, boundary layer entrainment was more often observed during FAST-LVOS, while most elevated ozone layers passed untapped over the San Joaquin Valley during CABOTS.

scholarly journals Boundary layer evolution over the central Himalayas from radio wind profiler and model simulations

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (16) ◽  
pp. 10559-10572 ◽  
Author(s):  
Narendra Singh ◽  
Raman Solanki ◽  
Narendra Ojha ◽  
Ruud H. H. Janssen ◽  
Andrea Pozzer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Mixed Layer ◽  
Surface Ozone ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Wind Profiler ◽  
Pollution Transport ◽  
Local Boundary ◽  
The Mean

Abstract. We investigate the time evolution of the Local Boundary Layer (LBL) for the first time over a mountain ridge at Nainital (79.5° E, 29.4° N, 1958 m a.m.s.l.) in the central Himalayan region, using a radar wind profiler (RWP) during November 2011 to March 2012, as a part of the Ganges Valley Aerosol Experiment (GVAX). We restrict our analysis to clear–sunny days, resulting in a total of 78 days of observations. The standard criterion of the peak in the signal-to-noise ratio (S ∕ N) profile was found to be inadequate in the characterization of mixed layer (ML) top at this site. Therefore, we implemented a criterion of S ∕ N > 6 dB for the characterization of the ML and the resulting estimations are shown to be in agreement with radiosonde measurements over this site. The daytime average (05:00–10:00 UTC) observed boundary layer height ranges from 440 ± 197 m in November (late autumn) to 766 ± 317 m above ground level (a.g.l.) in March (early spring). The observations revealed a pronounced impact of mountain topography on the LBL dynamics during March, when strong winds (> 5.6 m s−1) lead to LBL heights of 650 m during nighttime. The measurements are further utilized to evaluate simulations from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. WRF simulations captured the day-to-day variations up to an extent (r2 = 0.5), as well as the mean diurnal variations (within 1σ variability). The mean biases in the daytime average LBL height vary from −7 % (January) to +30 % (February) between model and observations, except during March (+76 %). Sensitivity simulations using a mixed layer model (MXL/MESSy) indicated that the springtime overestimation of LBL would lead to a minor uncertainty in simulated surface ozone concentrations. However, it would lead to a significant overestimation of the dilution of black carbon aerosols at this site. Our work fills a gap in observations of local boundary layer over this complex terrain in the Himalayas, and highlights the need for year-long simultaneous measurements of boundary layer dynamics and air quality to better understand the role of lower tropospheric dynamics in pollution transport.

scholarly journals Air quality simulations of wildfires in the Pacific Northwest evaluated with surface and satellite observations during the summers of 2007 and 2008

2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 11103-11152
Author(s):  
F. L. Herron-Thorpe ◽  
G. H. Mount ◽  
L. K. Emmons ◽  
B. K. Lamb ◽  
D. A. Jaffe ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Air Quality ◽  
Pacific Northwest ◽  
Sparse Matrix ◽  
Surface Ozone ◽  
Satellite Observations ◽  
Orthogonal Polarization ◽  
Fire Emissions ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Aqua Satellite ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Evaluation of a regional air quality forecasting system for the Pacific Northwest was carried out for the 2007 and 2008 fire seasons using suite of surface and satellite observations. Wildfire events in the Pacific Northwest during the summers of 2007 and 2008 were simulated using the Air Information Report for Public Access and Community Tracking v.3 (AIRPACT-3) framework utilizing the Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) model. Fire emissions were simulated using the BlueSky framework with fire locations determined by the Satellite Mapping Automated Reanalysis Tool for Fire Incident Reconciliation (SMARTFIRE). Plume rise was simulated using two different methods: the Fire Emission Production Simulator (FEPS) and the Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions (SMOKE) model. Predicted plume top heights were compared to the Cloud-Aerosol LIDAR with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) instrument aboard the Cloud Aerosol LIDAR and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) satellite. Carbon monoxide predictions were compared to the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) instrument aboard the Aqua satellite. Horizontal distributions of column aerosol optical depth (AOD) were compared to retrievals by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instrument aboard the Aqua satellite. Model tropospheric nitrogen dioxide distributions were compared to retrievals from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) aboard the Aura satellite. Surface ozone and PM2.5 predictions were compared to surface observations. The AIRPACT-3 model captured the location and transport direction of fire events well, but sometimes missed the timing of fire events and overall underestimated the impact of wildfire events at regional surface monitor locations. During the 2007 fire period the fractional biases of AIRPACT-3 for average 24 h PM2.5, maximum daily average 8 h Ozone, AOD, total column CO, and tropospheric column NO2 were found to be −33%, −8%, −61%, −10%, and −39%, respectively; while during the 2008 fire period the fractional biases were −27%, +1%, −53%, −5%, and −28%, respectively. Fractional biases of AIRPACT-3 plume tops were found to be −46% above mean sea level (a.m.s.l.), but only −28% above ground level (a.g.l.), partly due to the under-estimation of AIRPACT-3 elevation in complex terrain that results from the 12 km grid-cell smoothing.

scholarly journals Impact of Fire Emissions on U.S. Air Quality from 1997 to 2016–A Modeling Study in the Satellite Era

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 913 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhining Tao ◽  
Hao He ◽  
Chao Sun ◽  
Daniel Tong ◽  
Xin-Zhong Liang
Keyword(s):  
Air Quality ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
System Simulation ◽  
Surface Ozone ◽  
Regional Modeling ◽  
Satellite Measurements ◽  
Fire Emissions ◽  
Source Areas ◽  
Secondary Pollutants ◽  
The Impact

A regional modeling system that integrates the state-of-the-art emissions processing (SMOKE), climate (CWRF), and air quality (CMAQ) models has been combined with satellite measurements of fire activities to assess the impact of fire emissions on the contiguous United States (CONUS) air quality during 1997–2016. The system realistically reproduced the spatiotemporal distributions of the observed meteorology and surface air quality, with a slight overestimate of surface ozone (O3) by ~4% and underestimate of surface PM2.5 by ~10%. The system simulation showed that the fire impacts on primary pollutants such as CO were generally confined to the fire source areas but its effects on secondary pollutants like O3 spread more broadly. The fire contribution to air quality varied greatly during 1997-2016 and occasionally accounted for more than 100 ppbv of monthly mean surface CO and over 20 µg m−3 of monthly mean PM2.5 in the Northwest U.S. and Northern California, two regions susceptible to frequent fires. Fire emissions also had implications on air quality compliance. From 1997 to 2016, fire emissions increased surface 8-hour O3 standard exceedances by 10% and 24-hour PM2.5 exceedances by 33% over CONUS.

scholarly journals Modelling the impact of megacities on local, regional and global tropospheric ozone and the deposition of nitrogen species

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (24) ◽  
pp. 12215-12231 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z. S. Stock ◽  
M. R. Russo ◽  
T. M. Butler ◽  
A. T. Archibald ◽  
M. G. Lawrence ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Air Quality ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Surface Ozone ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Chemical Environment ◽  
Ozone Production ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Local Emissions

Abstract. We examine the effects of ozone precursor emissions from megacities on present-day air quality using the global chemistry–climate model UM-UKCA (UK Met Office Unified Model coupled to the UK Chemistry and Aerosols model). The sensitivity of megacity and regional ozone to local emissions, both from within the megacity and from surrounding regions, is important for determining air quality across many scales, which in turn is key for reducing human exposure to high levels of pollutants. We use two methods, perturbation and tagging, to quantify the impact of megacity emissions on global ozone. We also completely redistribute the anthropogenic emissions from megacities, to compare changes in local air quality going from centralised, densely populated megacities to decentralised, lower density urban areas. Focus is placed not only on how changes to megacity emissions affect regional and global NOx and O3, but also on changes to NOy deposition and to local chemical environments which are perturbed by the emission changes. The perturbation and tagging methods show broadly similar megacity impacts on total ozone, with the perturbation method underestimating the contribution partially because it perturbs the background chemical environment. The total redistribution of megacity emissions locally shifts the chemical environment towards more NOx-limited conditions in the megacities, which is more conducive to ozone production, and monthly mean surface ozone is found to increase up to 30% in megacities, depending on latitude and season. However, the displacement of emissions has little effect on the global annual ozone burden (0.12% change). Globally, megacity emissions are shown to contribute ~3% of total NOy deposition. The changes in O3, NOx and NOy deposition described here are useful for quantifying megacity impacts and for understanding the sensitivity of megacity regions to local emissions. The small global effects of the 100% redistribution carried out in this study suggest that the distribution of emissions on the local scale is unlikely to have large implications for chemistry–climate processes on the global scale.

scholarly journals Assessment of mixed-layer height estimation from single-wavelength ceilometer profiles

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 3963-3983 ◽  
Author(s):  
Travis N. Knepp ◽  
James J. Szykman ◽  
Russell Long ◽  
Rachelle M. Duvall ◽  
Jonathan Krug ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Data Collection ◽  
Mixed Layer ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Processing Algorithm ◽  
Height Measurement ◽  
Layer Height ◽  
Network Operation ◽  
Mixed Layer Height ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Differing boundary/mixed-layer height measurement methods were assessed in moderately polluted and clean environments, with a focus on the Vaisala CL51 ceilometer. This intercomparison was performed as part of ongoing measurements at the Chemistry And Physics of the Atmospheric Boundary Layer Experiment (CAPABLE) site in Hampton, Virginia and during the 2014 Deriving Information on Surface Conditions from Column and Vertically Resolved Observations Relevant to Air Quality (DISCOVER-AQ) field campaign that took place in and around Denver, Colorado. We analyzed CL51 data that were collected via two different methods (BLView software, which applied correction factors, and simple terminal emulation logging) to determine the impact of data collection methodology. Further, we evaluated the STRucture of the ATmosphere (STRAT) algorithm as an open-source alternative to BLView (note that the current work presents an evaluation of the BLView and STRAT algorithms and does not intend to act as a validation of either). Filtering criteria were defined according to the change in mixed-layer height (MLH) distributions for each instrument and algorithm and were applied throughout the analysis to remove high-frequency fluctuations from the MLH retrievals. Of primary interest was determining how the different data-collection methodologies and algorithms compare to each other and to radiosonde-derived boundary-layer heights when deployed as part of a larger instrument network. We determined that data-collection methodology is not as important as the processing algorithm and that much of the algorithm differences might be driven by impacts of local meteorology and precipitation events that pose algorithm difficulties. The results of this study show that a common processing algorithm is necessary for light detection and ranging (lidar)-based MLH intercomparisons and ceilometer-network operation, and that sonde-derived boundary layer heights are higher (10–15 % at midday) than lidar-derived mixed-layer heights. We show that averaging the retrieved MLH to 1 h resolution (an appropriate timescale for a priori data model initialization) significantly improved the correlation between differing instruments and differing algorithms.

scholarly journals Impacts of future land use and land cover change on mid-21<sup>st</sup>-century surface ozone air quality: Distinguishing between the biogeophysical and biogeochemical effects

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lang Wang ◽  
Amos P. K. Tai ◽  
Chi-Yung Tam ◽  
Mehliyar Sadiq ◽  
Peng Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Dry Deposition ◽  
Surface Ozone ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Ozone Pollution ◽  
Lulc Change ◽  
Lulc Changes ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Surface ozone (O3) is an important air pollutant and greenhouse gas. Land use and land cover (LULC) is one of the critical factors influencing ozone, in addition to anthropogenic emissions and climate. LULC change can on the one hand affect ozone biogeochemically, i.e., via dry deposition and biogenic emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOCs). LULC change can on the other hand alter regional- to large-scale climate through modifying albedo and evapotranspiration, which can lead to changes in surface temperature, hydrometeorology and atmospheric circulation that can ultimately impact ozone biogeophysically over local and remote areas. Such biogeophysical effects of LULC on ozone are largely understudied. This study investigates the individual and combined biogeophysical and biogeochemical effects of LULC on ozone, and explicitly examines the critical pathway for how LULC change impacts ozone pollution. A global coupled atmosphere–chemistry–land model is driven by projected LULC changes from the present day (2000) to future (2050) under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, focusing on the boreal summer. Results reveal that when considering biogeochemical effects only, surface ozone is predicted to have slight changes by up to 2 ppbv maximum in some areas due to LULC changes. It is primarily driven by changes in isoprene emission and dry deposition counteracting each other in shaping ozone. In contrast, when considering the integrated effect of LULC, ozone is more substantially altered by up to 6 ppbv over several regions, reflecting the importance of biogeophysical effects on ozone changes. Furthermore, large areas of these ozone changes are found over the regions without LULC changes where the biogeophysical effect is the only pathway for such changes. The mechanism is likely that LULC change induces a regional circulation response, in particular the formation of anomalous stationary high-pressure systems, shifting of moisture transport, and near-surface warming over the middle-to-high northern latitudes in boreal summer, owing to associated changes in albedo and surface energy budget. Such temperature changes then alter ozone substantially. We conclude that the biogeophysical effect of LULC is an important pathway for the influence of LULC change on ozone air quality over both local and remote regions, even in locations without significant LULC changes. Overlooking the impact of biogeophysical effect may cause evident underestimation of the impacts of LULC change on ozone pollution.

scholarly journals Impacts of aerosol-cloud interactions on past and future changes in tropospheric composition

2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 4115-4129 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Unger ◽  
S. Menon ◽  
D. M. Koch ◽  
D. T. Shindell
Keyword(s):  
Air Quality ◽  
Wet Deposition ◽  
Wide Spectrum ◽  
Surface Ozone ◽  
Tropospheric Chemistry ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Sulfate Production ◽  
Aerosol Cloud ◽  
Aerosol Cloud Interactions ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The development of effective emissions control policies that are beneficial to both climate and air quality requires a detailed understanding of all the feedbacks in the atmospheric composition and climate system. We perform sensitivity studies with a global atmospheric composition-climate model to assess the impact of aerosols on tropospheric chemistry through their modification on clouds, aerosol-cloud interactions (ACI). The model includes coupling between both tropospheric gas-phase and aerosol chemistry and aerosols and liquid-phase clouds. We investigate past impacts from preindustrial (PI) to present day (PD) and future impacts from PD to 2050 (for the moderate IPCC A1B scenario) that embrace a wide spectrum of precursor emission changes and consequential ACI. The aerosol indirect effect (AIE) is estimated to be −2.0 Wm−2 for PD-PI and −0.6 Wm−2 for 2050-PD, at the high end of current estimates. Inclusion of ACI substantially impacts changes in global mean methane lifetime across both time periods, enhancing the past and future increases by 10% and 30%, respectively. In regions where pollution emissions increase, inclusion of ACI leads to 20% enhancements in in-cloud sulfate production and ~10% enhancements in sulfate wet deposition that is displaced away from the immediate source regions. The enhanced in-cloud sulfate formation leads to larger increases in surface sulfate across polluted regions (~10–30%). Nitric acid wet deposition is dampened by 15–20% across the industrialized regions due to ACI allowing additional re-release of reactive nitrogen that contributes to 1–2 ppbv increases in surface ozone in outflow regions. Our model findings indicate that ACI must be considered in studies of methane trends and projections of future changes to particulate matter air quality.

Tropospheric layering of ozone in regions of urbanized complex and/or coastal terrain: a review

2000 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 329-354 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. G. McKendry ◽  
J. Lundgren
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Research Priorities ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Tropospheric Chemistry ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Rich Data ◽  
The Impact

Exchange of pollutants between the atmospheric boundary layer and free troposphere is an important (yet often neglected) process that tends to produce distinct layers of pollution in the lower troposphere. These layers represent a potential sink for pollutants from the boundary layer, have the potential to be mixed to ground and likely influence tropospheric chemistry and the global climate system. Factors influencing the vertical distribution of ozone in the troposphere are outlined as a prelude to a more specific discussion of elevated layers and myriad meteorological processes responsible for their development. Evidence from a range of geographical settings suggests that these phenomena are ubiquitous. A rich data set from the Lower Fraser Valley, British Columbia, is used to provide an inventory of layer structures and to highlight their diverse origins and histories. Approaches used to assess the impact of down-mixing of pollutants from elevated layers on ground-level concentrations of ozone are outlined and future research priorities recommended.

Effect of sea breeze regime on aerosol optical properties over the city of Rome, Italy.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Annalisa Di Bernardino ◽  
Anna Maria Iannarelli ◽  
Stefano Casadio ◽  
Gabriele Mevi ◽  
Monica Campanelli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Optical Properties ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Sea Breeze ◽  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Tyrrhenian Sea ◽  
Depth Analysis ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The City

&lt;p&gt;Mesoscale meteorological phenomena, such as sea-land breeze regime, strongly impact meteorological conditions of coastal areas, affecting wind intensity, moisture, heat and momentum fluxes and polluted air masses dispersion. This effect must be considered in order to correct design urban spaces, predict the possible influence of land use change on air pollution and climate change and, consequently, improve the quality of life and urban comfort.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In recent years, it has been shown that the breeze regime does not only affect microclimatic conditions but also air quality in coastal areas, because of the mixing of different types of aerosols and condensable gases. Moreover, the advection of marine, colder and more humid air leads to the decrease of the boundary layer height and, consequently, to the increase of the surface concentration of locally emitted pollutants, that are trapped within the boundary layer itself.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The effect of breeze regime is particularly interesting in coastal cities, where the sea breeze entails large modification of physical, optical, chemical, and hygroscopic properties of the urban aerosol.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In this work, we developed an approach to determine the breeze effect on aerosol in correspondence of the BAQUNIN [1] Super-site urban location, in the centre of Rome, Italy. The city is about 28 km far from the Tyrrhenian coast and is often exposed to sea-breeze circulation and to extreme aerosol events [2] [3].&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In-situ measurements obtained from different remote sensing instruments are used: (i) vertical profile of horizontal wind velocity and direction by means of SODAR wind profiler; (ii) moisture, air temperature and wind speed from ground-based meteorological station; (iii) aerosol optical depth (AOD), height and evolution of the Boundary Layer from Raman and elastic LIDAR; (iv) precipitable water, AOD, &amp;#197;ngstr&amp;#246;m exponent (AE) and single-scattering albedo (SSA) from sun-photometer CIMEL [4], (v) AOD, AE and SSA from POM 01 L Prede sun-sky radiometer [5][6], (vi) superficial NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; and formaldehyde amounts from PANDORA spectrometer [7], (vii) particulate matter (PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5 &lt;/sub&gt;and PM&lt;sub&gt;10&lt;/sub&gt;) concentrations from ground-based air quality station.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The investigation is focused on several days, during summer of 2019, characterized by anemological breeze regime conditions.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In this study, we present preliminary results aimed to the in-depth analysis of the effects of the breeze regime on the optical properties of aerosols in coastal, urban environment and the impact of the aerosol vertical stratification on ground-level PM concentrations.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;References:&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[1] BAQUNIN Boundary-layer Air Quality-analysis Using Network of Instruments, www.baqunin.eu&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[2] Petenko I. et al. (2011) &amp;#8220;Local circulation diurnal patterns and their relationship with large-scale flows in a coastal area of the Tyrrhenian sea&amp;#8221;, Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 139:353-366.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[3] Ciardini V. et al. (2012) &amp;#8220;Seasonal variability of tropospheric aerosols in Rome&amp;#8221;, Atmospheric Research, 118:205-214.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[4] AERONET, https://aeronet.gsfc.nasa.gov/new_web/index.html&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[5] EUROSKYRAD http://www.euroskyrad.net/&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[6] Campanelli M. et al. (2019) &amp;#8220;Aerosol optical characteristics in the urban area of Rome, Italy, and their impact on the UV index&amp;#8221;, Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Discussion.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;[7] PGN, https://www.pandonia-global-network.org/&lt;/p&gt;

scholarly journals Impact of wildfires on particulate matter in the Euro-Mediterranean in 2007: sensitivity to the parameterization of emissions in air quality models

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marwa Majdi ◽  
Solene Turquety ◽  
Karine Sartelet ◽  
Carole Legorgeu ◽  
Laurent Menut ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Particulate Matter ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
World Health ◽  
Fire Emissions ◽  
Fire Plumes ◽  
Emissions Modeling ◽  
Highly Sensitive ◽  
Health Organization ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. This study examines the uncertainties on air quality modeling associated with the integration of wildfire emissions in chemistry-transport models (CTMs). To do so, aerosol concentrations during the summer 2007, which was marked by severe fire episodes in the Euro-Mediterranean region especially in Balkan (20–31 July 2007, 24–30 August 2007) and Greece (24–30 August 2007), are analysed. Through comparisons to observations from surface networks and satellite remote sensing, we evaluate the abilities of two CTMs, Polyphemus/Polair3D and CHIMERE, to simulate the impact of fires on the regional particulate matter (PM) concentrations and optical properties. During the two main fire events, fire emissions may contribute up to 90 % of surface PM2.5 concentrations, with a significant regional impact associated with long-range transport. Good general performances of the models and a clear improvement of PM2.5 and aerosol optical depth (AOD) are shown when fires are taken into account in the models with high correlation coefficients. Two sources of uncertainties are specifically analysed in terms of surface PM concentrations and AOD using sensitivity simulations: secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formation from intermediate and semi-volatile organic compounds (I/S-VOCs) and emissions' injection heights. The analysis highlights that surface PM2.5 concentrations are highly sensitive to injection heights (with a sensitivity that can be as high as 50 % compared to the sensitivity for I/S-VOCs emissions which is lower than 30 %). However, AOD which is vertically integrated is less sensitive to the injection heights (mostly below 20 %), but highly sensitive to I/S-VOCs emissions (with sensitivity that can be as high as 40 %). The maximum dispersion, which quantifies uncertainties related to fire emissions modeling, is up to 75 % for PM2.5 in Balkan and Greece, and varies between 36 and 45 % for AOD above fire regions. The simulated number of daily exceedance of World Health Organization (WHO) recommendations for PM2.5 over the considered region reaches 30 days in regions affected by fires and ∼ 10 days in fire plumes which is slightly underestimated compared to available observations. The maximum dispersion (σ) on this indicator is also large (with σ reaching 15 days), showing the need for better understanding of the transport and evolution of fire plumes in addition to fire emissions.

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