scholarly journals Formation of a system of indicators of balanced economic development in the context of globalization: space-time analysis in order to ensure economic security

2021 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 07001
Author(s):  
Lubov Afanasyeva ◽  
Larisa Belousova ◽  
Tatyana Tkacheva
Keyword(s):  
Value Added ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Space Time ◽  
Modern World ◽  
Time Analysis ◽  
Balanced Development ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Research background: The modern world economy of the 21st century, being innovatively oriented, global and based on the information space, is constantly being modified, focusing on the growth of the level and quality of life of the population by accelerating innovation processes. For the purposes of monitoring the innovation and investment activities of the regions in order to ensure the economic security of Russia, it is necessary to have a system of indicators that reflect the processes of innovative development of its territories as comprehensively as possible. Purpose of the article: Formation of a system of indicators for the balanced development of the region’s economy in the context of globalization: space-time analysis in order to ensure economic security. Methods: Spatio-temporal analysis of the identified indicators of balanced development of the regional economy in order to ensure economic security. Findings & Value added: The proposed system of indicators of economic security of the region and their threshold values can be used in assessing the development forecasts of the regions and the Federal Districts developed by the administration, draft budgets, expertise of the federal target programs, as well as in other elements of the regional economic security management.

scholarly journals Financial mechanisms to stimulate the real economy in the global economic security system

2021 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 08011
Author(s):  
Pavel Klimenko ◽  
Larisa Sevryukova ◽  
Mikhail Goncharenko ◽  
Dmitry Dmitriev
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Economic Science ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
The Real ◽  
Balanced Development

Research background: The real sector plays a crucial role in the country’s economy. It is he who serves as the economic basis for creating an additional product, in close connection with the financial sector. Today, the concept of “real sector of the economy” is used very actively both in economic science and in economic practice. Favourable macroeconomic factors lead to investment in the real sector and increase the competitiveness of production, both the economy of the individual state and the global economy as a whole. Research aimed at improving the efficiency of the real sector through the development of financial mechanisms to support it on a global scale is therefore highly relevant to the economic security of individual countries and the world economy. Purpose of the article: identification of current problems and ways of improvement, financial mechanisms to stimulate the real sector of the economy to ensure economic security of the state Methods: spatio-temporal analysis of the identified indicators of balanced development of the regional economy in order to ensure economic security. Findings & Value added: Findings & Value added: proposed ways to develop effective financial mechanisms to stimulate the real sector of the economy can be used in the development of economic security strategies for regions and federal districts

scholarly journals Interest of Prospective Spatio-Temporal Analysis from ED Data to Detect Unusual Health Events

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pascal Vilain ◽  
Sébastien Cossin ◽  
Laurent Filleul
Keyword(s):  
Early Detection ◽  
Infectious Diseases ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Space Time ◽  
Reunion Island ◽  
Time Analysis ◽  
Health Events ◽  
Réunion Island ◽  
Ed Visits ◽  
Spatio Temporal

In Reunion Island, a prospective computer-automated space-time analysis hab been implemented in order to launch daily analyses of ED visits. This tool allowed to the early detection of several infectious diseases outbreak such as a gastroenteritis cluster or a local outbreak of conjunctivitis that spread throughout the island.

scholarly journals The First Lumpy Skin Disease Outbreak in Thailand (2021): Epidemiological Features and Spatio-Temporal Analysis

2022 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Orapun Arjkumpa ◽  
Minta Suwannaboon ◽  
Manoch Boonrod ◽  
Issara Punyawan ◽  
Supawadee Liangchaisiri ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Skin Disease ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Space Time ◽  
Effective Control ◽  
Outbreak Response ◽  
Lumpy Skin Disease ◽  
Epidemiological Features ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Epidemiological Characteristics ◽  
Cattle Farms

The first outbreak of lumpy skin disease (LSD) in Thailand was reported in March 2021, but information on the epidemiological characteristics of the outbreak is very limited. The objectives of this study were to describe the epidemiological features of LSD outbreaks and to identify the outbreak spatio-temporal clusters. The LSD-affected farms located in Roi Et province were investigated by veterinary authorities under the outbreak response program. A designed questionnaire was used to obtain the data. Space-time permutation (STP) and Poisson space-time (Poisson ST) models were used to detect areas of high LSD incidence. The authorities identified 293 LSD outbreak farms located in four different districts during the period of March and the first week of April 2021. The overall morbidity and mortality of the affected cattle were 40.5 and 1.2%, respectively. The STP defined seven statistically significant clusters whereas only one cluster was identified by the Poisson ST model. Most of the clusters (n = 6) from the STP had a radius <7 km, and the number of LSD cases in those clusters varied in range of 3–51. On the other hand, the most likely cluster from the Poisson ST included LSD cases (n = 361) from 198 cattle farms with a radius of 17.07 km. This is the first report to provide an epidemiological overview and determine spatio-temporal clusters of the first LSD outbreak in cattle farms in Thailand. The findings from this study may serve as a baseline information for future epidemiological studies and support authorities to establish effective control programs for LSD in Thailand.

scholarly journals Spatio-temporal analysis and visualisation of the anthrax epidemic situation in livestock in Kazakhstan over the period 1933-2016

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarsenbay K. Abdrakhmanov ◽  
Yersyn Y. Mukhanbetkaliyev ◽  
Fedor I. Korennoy ◽  
Bolat Sh. Karatayev ◽  
Aizada A. Mukhanbetkaliyeva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Trends ◽  
Small Ruminants ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Space Time ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Annual Number ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Increasing Trends ◽  
Historical Periods

An analysis of the anthrax epidemic situation among livestock animals in the Republic of Kazakhstan over the period 1933-2016 is presented. During this time, 4,064 anthrax outbreaks (mainly in cattle, small ruminants, pigs and horses) were recorded. They fall into five historical periods of increase and decrease in the annual anthrax incidence (1933-1953; 1954-1968; 1969-1983; 1984- 2001; and 2002-2016), which has been associated with changes in economic activity and veterinary surveillance. To evaluate the temporal trends of incidence variation for each of these time periods, the following methods were applied: i) spatio-temporal analysis using a space-time cube to assess the presence of hotspots (i.e., areas of outbreak clustering) and the trends of their emergence over time; and ii) a linear regression model that was used to evaluate the annual numbers of outbreaks as a function of time. The results show increasing trends during the first two periods followed by a decreasing trend up to now. The peak years of anthrax outbreaks occurred in 1965-1968 but outbreaks still continue with an average annual number of outbreaks of 1.2 (95% confidence interval: 0.6-1.8). The space-time analysis approach enabled visualisation of areas with statistically significant increasing or decreasing trends of outbreak clustering providing a practical opportunity to inform decision-makers and allowing the veterinary services to concentrate their efforts on monitoring the possible risk factors in the identified locations.

scholarly journals Digitalization of university management in Russia and foreign countries as a necessary measure to ensure their economic security

2020 ◽  
pp. 95-108
Author(s):  
Mikhail N. Dudin ◽  
◽  
Ekaterina V. Kononova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Management System ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Educational Services ◽  
University Management ◽  
Education Management ◽  
Balanced Development ◽  
Education Management System

This publication is devoted to the problems of digitalization of university management, which the authors consider as a universal trend aimed at improving the management system in order to improve the quality of educational services and ensure dynamically sustainable and balanced development of universities. Research objectives: to determine the impact of digitalization (digitalization) on the development of the education management system; to identify the factors hindering the development of the education management system. Methodology: Based on a systemic and structural approach, as well as on key paradigms describing promising management transformations under the influence of digitalization, the authors studied the current state and potential of digitalization of management of universities in Russia, Argentina, Chile and Brazil (Latin American countries), and compared the indicators with similar data on the control group of countries (USA, China and Germany). Assessment and analysis were carried out using the expert method and the method of cluster analysis; the leading experts involved in the problems of public administration and digitalization of management of universities in Russia acted as experts. Results: It was found that digitalization of management has a significant potential for a positive impact on the competitiveness of educational services, on the quality of its pro-vision, on the sustainable, dynamic and balanced development of universities. The study revealed that there are cases of obvious breakthroughs in terms of digitalization of management of individual universities – and on their basis it is possible to build effective digitalization projects that can be adopted locally or replicated in the interests of intensive development and increasing the competitiveness of national higher education systems. The situation with the digitalization of university management in Russia and in the countries of Latin America selected for study is characterized by the presence of numerous common aspects, which suggests the possibility and validity of the implementation of universal solutions suitable for replication. The research materials were supplemented with the results of questionnaires and interviews of administrative managers working at universities. Conclusions. The analytical data obtained indicates that the universities of Russia and selected countries of Latin America remain catching up in the trends of global development of digitalization of management of higher education institutions, while universities in Russia, Chile, Brazil have a high potential for digitalization of management, primarily technological and personnel, and the assessment of the corresponding potential in the universities of Argentina is generally positive. Guided by the relevant data, as well as the materials of generalization of the digitalization practice of individual universities, it seems possible to significantly expand the horizons set by this study.

scholarly journals Economic Security Index as a Tool to Assess the Development of Agroindustrial Regions

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 82-101
Keyword(s):  
Regional Development ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Integral Index ◽  
Regional Economic ◽  
Social Sphere ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Security Index ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Regional Authorities

The paper discusses a comprehensive approach to assessing regional economic security based on three main areas of regional development: the state of the region’s economy, its social sphere, and its finance. The present article is aimed, first of all, at presenting the practical possibilities of using the economic security index for tasks such as identification of regional problems and assessment of the actions of regional authorities. For this purpose, the authors introduce a definition of regional economic security, the principle of calculating the integral index, and the method of assessing economic security. The practical aspects of measuring regional economic security on the basis of the proposed integral index are considered. The mathematical apparatus for calculating the integral index of economic security allows one to study regional development in dynamics, and to build reasonable models and forecasts, which makes it possible to approach the problem of regional development much more objectively in terms of government resource distribution. In this connection, it is proposed to use the method of forming and evaluating the integral index of economic security as a key tool of regional management, namely as a method of assessing the quality of management; assessing the consequences of decisions; identifying the lagging areas of economic, social or financial spheres of a region; and forecasting socio-economic development for individual regions and federal districts.

scholarly journals Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Hydropower Projects with Terrestrial Environmentally Sensitive Areas of Nepal

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hemant R Ghimire
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Impacts ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Terrestrial Environment ◽  
Sensitive Areas ◽  
Environmentally Sensitive Areas ◽  
Environmentally Sensitive ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Temporal Interaction ◽  
The Hill

Abstract The hydropower project’s construction is increasing that can affect the terrestrial environment. Hydropower projects located in environmentally sensitive areas have higher environmental impacts, so I analyzed the spatio-temporal interaction between hydropower projects’ locations and terrestrial environmentally sensitive areas of Nepal to visualize the probable environmental impacts. I found that most of the existing projects lie on the hill, however, future projects are moving northward. Among the 12 eco-regions of Nepal, hydropower projects are located in 10 eco-regions. Hydropower projects were found to interact with more than half of biodiverse areas of the country (28 out of 45), and more than five thousand megawatts of hydropower projects are located completely inside these biodiverse areas. The study suggests that the interaction between hydropower projects and environmentally sensitive areas might increase in the future. Hydropower projects should avoid environmentally sensitive areas such as biodiverse areas and protected areas as far as possible to minimize the impacts. Rapid hydropower development is a necessity in countries like Nepal, so further studies on the impacts of hydropower projects on environmentally sensitive areas as well as improvement of the quality of the environmental assessment of the projects are necessary for environment-friendly development.

scholarly journals Space-Time Patterns, Change, and Propagation of COVID-19 Risk Relative to the Intervention Scenarios in Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (16) ◽  
pp. 5911 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arif Masrur ◽  
Manzhu Yu ◽  
Wei Luo ◽  
Ashraf Dewan
Keyword(s):  
Public Awareness ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Space Time ◽  
Health Care Facilities ◽  
Transmission Dynamics ◽  
Disease Spread ◽  
Significant Public Health ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Novel Coronavirus ◽  
Active Cluster

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic continues to be a significant public health threat worldwide, particularly in densely populated countries such as Bangladesh with inadequate health care facilities. While early detection and isolation were identified as important non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) measures for containing the disease spread, this may not have been pragmatically implementable in developing countries due to social and economic reasons (i.e., poor education, less public awareness, massive unemployment). Hence, to elucidate COVID-19 transmission dynamics with respect to the NPI status—e.g., social distancing—this study conducted spatio-temporal analysis using the prospective scanning statistic at district and sub-district levels in Bangladesh and its capital, Dhaka city, respectively. Dhaka megacity has remained the highest-risk “active” cluster since early April. Lately, the central and south eastern regions in Bangladesh have been exhibiting a high risk of COVID-19 transmission. The detected space-time progression of COVID-19 infection suggests that Bangladesh has experienced a community-level transmission at the early phase (i.e., March, 2020), primarily introduced by Bangladeshi citizens returning from coronavirus epicenters in Europe and the Middle East. Potential linkages exist between the violation of NPIs and the emergence of new higher-risk clusters over the post-incubation periods around Bangladesh. Novel insights into the COVID-19 transmission dynamics derived in this study on Bangladesh provide important policy guidelines for early preparations and pragmatic NPI measures to effectively deal with infectious diseases in resource-scarce countries worldwide.

scholarly journals G-STC-M Spatio-Temporal Analysis Method for Archaeological Sites

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 312
Author(s):  
Jing Cui ◽  
Yanrong Liu ◽  
Junling Sun ◽  
Di Hu ◽  
Handong He
Keyword(s):  
Qing Dynasty ◽  
Tang Dynasty ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Space Time ◽  
Test Method ◽  
Archaeological Sites ◽  
Trend Test ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
The Qing Dynasty ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Based on the significant hotspots analysis method (Getis-Ord Gi* significance statistics), space-time cube model (STC) and the Mann–Kendall trend test method, this paper proposes a G-STC-M spatio-temporal analysis method based on Archaeological Sites. This method can integrate spatio-temporal data variable analysis and the space-time cube model to explore the spatio-temporal distribution of Archaeological Sites. The G-STC-M method was used to conduct time slice analysis on the data of Archaeological Sites in the study area, and the spatio-temporal variation characteristics of Archaeological Sites in East China from the Tang Dynasty to the Qing Dynasty were discussed. The distribution of Archaeological Sites has temporal hotspots and spatial hotspots. Temporally, the distribution of Archaeological Sites showed a gradual increasing trend, and the number of Archaeological Sites reached the maximum in the Qing Dynasty. Spatially, the hotspots of Archaeological Sites are mainly distributed in Jiangsu (30°~33° N, 118°~121° E) and Anhui (29°~31° N, 117°~119° E) and the central region of Zhejiang (28°~31° N, 118°~121° E). Temporally and spatially, the distribution of Archaeological Sites is mainly centered in Shanghai (30°~32° N, 121°~122° E), spreading to the southern region.

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