Accepting final counts from repeat readings of otoliths: should a common criterion apply to the age estimation of fish?

2010 ◽  
Vol 61 (10) ◽  
pp. 1171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ross J. Marriott ◽  
Bruce D. Mapstone ◽  
Aaron C. Ballagh ◽  
Leanne M. Currey ◽  
Ann Penny ◽  
...  

Multiple readings of otoliths are often carried out to assess the repeatability and reliability of increment counts for estimating fish age. Various criteria have been used to assign or discard age estimates from repeated counts when discrepancies occur although the reasons for doing so are usually not stated or justified. Trends in relative frequencies (percentage disagreement, PD) and magnitudes (inter-read discrepancy, IRD) of otolith-count discrepancies were explored for 15 species of fish collected from a range of locations around Australia to explore generality in the best explanatory model(s) for otolith-count discrepancies and, hence, the most appropriate criterion for accepting or rejecting age estimates from multiple-count data. Increasing discrepancies with increasing age, according to a constant per-increment probability of error, was the best-approximating model for 9 of the 15 species for PD data but for only two species for IRD data. Our results indicated disproportionately higher rates of rejection of estimates from older age groups if exact agreement between repeated counts was required for age acceptance. Results varied with the reader, region and the method of otolith reading, indicating that multiple criteria for accepting or rejecting counts from multiple readings may be required among or even within species.

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (10) ◽  
pp. 180841 ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin W. G. Clifford ◽  
Tamara L. Watson ◽  
David White

Accurate age estimates underpin our everyday social interactions, the provision of age-restricted services and police investigations. Previous work suggests that these judgements are error-prone, but the processes giving rise to these errors are not understood. Here, we present the first systematic test of bias in age estimation using a large database of standardized passport images of heterogeneous ages ( n = 3948). In three experiments, we tested a range of perceiver age groups ( n = 84), and found average age estimation error to be approximately 8 years. We show that this error can be attributed to two separable sources of bias. First, and accounting for the vast majority of variance, our results show an assimilative serial dependency whereby estimates are systematically biased towards the age of the preceding face. Second, younger faces are generally perceived to be older than they are, and older faces to be younger. In combination, these biases account for around 95% of variance in age estimates. We conclude that perception of age is modulated by representations that encode both a viewer's recent and normative exposure to faces. The finding that age perception is subject to strong top-down influences based on our immediate experience has implications for our understanding of perceptual processes involved in face perception, and for improving accuracy of age estimation in important real-world tasks.


2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (02) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anu Kohli ◽  
Neha Tiwari

This research paper analyses factors that impact entrepreneurial intention among graduate and postgraduate students enrolled in professional courses at government and private institutes in the state of Uttar Pradesh. The objective of this study is to analyze whether the student’s academic background, demographic profile and family background impact various factors that affect entrepreneurial intention. The study was conducted during 2015-16 on a sample of 460 student respondents across various cities of Uttar Pradesh.The results of the analysis indicate that students of male gender, belonging to higher income, in older age groups, having work experience, enrolled in government institutes, belonging to business background and enrolled at postgraduate level are more likely to consider entrepreneurship as a more attractive career option, perceive that it is easier to start and do business, have more positive perception about family and societal support they receive in entrepreneurial career choice, are more open to risks and are more confident about their entrepreneurial skills and knowledge . The students having work experience, enrolled in government institutes, and belonging to business background are more likely to find availability of capital as a constraint in entrepreneurial career. The students belonging to older age groups, having work experience and enrolled in government institutes are more likely to consider availability of land/premise and resources as a constraint in entrepreneurial choice. The findings of this study will be instrumental in understanding and in designing policy imperatives for promoting entrepreneurship in the state.Key Words: Entrepreneurial intention, Students, Demographic factors, Family background, Educational background.


1977 ◽  
Vol 79 (3) ◽  
pp. 365-372 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. M. Elias

SUMMARYThree hundred and fifty-seven sera selected at random from hospital patients of all ages were examined for rotavirus antibodies using indirect immunofluorescence (FA) and complement fixation tests (CFT). Three hundred and fourteen of these were also tested for neutralizing antibodies to human rotavirus. Sera from patients admitted with a diagnosis of acute gastroenteritis were excluded from this survey.FA antibodies were found in newborn infants but fell to undetectable titres at 3 months. The highest titres were found in children between the ages of one and three years. In older age groups, the modal titre fell gradually with increasing age until, in sera from those above 70 years of age, FA antibodies were almost undetectable. The same pattern was observed with neutralizing antibodies. A high modal titre of CF antibodies was only found in sera from those aged one to three years.


2001 ◽  
Vol 126 (3) ◽  
pp. 397-414 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. L. LAMAGNI ◽  
B. G. EVANS ◽  
M. SHIGEMATSU ◽  
E. M. JOHNSON

Invasive fungal infections are becoming an increasing public health problem owing to the growth in numbers of susceptible individuals. Despite this, the profile of mycoses remains low and there is no surveillance system specific to fungal infections currently existing in England and Wales. We analysed laboratory reports of deep-seated mycoses made to the Communicable Disease Surveillance Centre between 1990 and 1999 from England and Wales. A substantial rise in candidosis was seen during this period (6·76–13·70 reports per million population/year), particularly in the older age groups. Rates of cryptococcosis in males fluctuated over the decade but fell overall (1·05–0·66 per million population/year), whereas rates of female cases gradually rose up until 1998 (0·04–0·41 per million population/year). Reports of Pneumocystis carinii in men reduced substantially between 1990 and 1999 (2·77–0·42 per million population/year) but showed little change in women. Reports of aspergillosis fluctuated up until 1996, after which reports of male and female cases rose substantially (from 0·08 for both in 1996 to 1·92 and 1·69 per million population/year in 1999 for males and females respectively), largely accounted for by changes in reporting practice from one laboratory. Rates of invasive mycoses were generally higher in males than females, with overall male-to-female rate ratios of 1·32 (95% CI 1·25–1·40) for candidosis, 1·30 (95% CI 1·05–1·60) for aspergillosis, 3·99 (95% CI 2·93–5·53) for cryptococcosis and 4·36 (95% CI 3·47–5·53) for Pneumocystis carinii. The higher male than female rates of reports is likely to be a partial reflection of HIV epidemiology in England and Wales, although this does not fully explain the ratio in infants and older age groups. Lack of information on underlying predisposition prevents further identification of risk groups affected. Whilst substantial under-reporting of Pneumocystis carinii and Cryptococcus species was apparent, considerable numbers of superficial mycoses were mis-reported indicating a need for clarification of reporting guidelines. Efforts to enhance comprehensive laboratory reporting should be undertaken to maximize the utility of this approach for surveillance of deep-seated fungal infections.


1967 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 223-226 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Schonfield

Methodological problems arise when attempting to balance differences between age groups in acquisition, so that differences in remembering can be assessed. Higher recognition than recall scores in older age groups are unlikely to be due to partial input images when meaningful words are employed and therefore support the hypothesis of special retrieval difficulties.


Author(s):  
Е. Д. Голованова ◽  
Н. Е. Титова ◽  
Т. Е. Афанасенкова ◽  
И. А. Аргунова ◽  
Т. Н. Янковая ◽  
...  

Изучали распространенность хронических неинфекционных заболеваний (ХНИЗ) у пациентов пожилого и старческого возраста во взаимосвязи с синдромом старческой астении, распространенность саркопении в зависимости от гендерных особенностей и частоту встречаемости синдрома падений у пациентов старших возрастных групп с саркопенией. Анализировали особенности медикаментозной терапии в амбулаторной практике. Использовали метод комплексной гериатрической оценки у 528 пациентов, разделенных на три возрастные группы (65-74 года, 75-84 года, 85 лет и старше). Оказалось, что в структуре ХНИЗ у пациентов гериатрического профиля преобладают артериальная гипертензия, ИБС, а также их осложнения - ХСН и фибрилляция предсердий, частота встречаемости которых имеет выраженную возрастную зависимость и увеличивается у больных со старческой астенией. Для пациентов старших возрастных групп обоего пола характерно увеличение частоты встречаемости саркопении и связанного с ней повышенного риска синдрома падений, что необходимо учитывать при планировании лечебно-реабилитационных мер как в стационаре, так и при оказании первичной медикосоциальной помощи. We studied the prevalence of chronic non-communicable diseases (CND) in elderly and senile patients in conjunction with the syndrome of senile asthenia, the prevalence of sarcopenia depending on gender characteristics and the frequency of occurrence of the falls syndrome in patients with sarcopenia of older age groups. The features of drug therapy in outpatient practice were analyzed. The method of complex geriatric assessment was used in 528 patients divided into 3 age groups (65-74 years, 75-84 years, 85 years or more). It turned out that in the structure of CND in geriatric patients dominated: arterial hypertension, coronary heart disease, and their complications - chronic heart failure and atrial fi brillation their incidence has a pronounced age dependence and increases in patients with senile asthenia. Patients of older age groups of both sexes are characterized by an increase in the incidence of sarcopenia and the associated increased risk of falls syndrome, which must be taken into account when planning treatment and rehabilitation measures both in the hospital and when providing primary medical and social care.


1984 ◽  
Vol 41 (12) ◽  
pp. 1843-1847 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jay Barlow

Estimates of mortality rates from age distributions are biased by imprecision in age estimation, even if age estimates are unbiased. I have derived a method for predicting the magnitude of this bias from information on the precision of age determination. Monte Carlo simulations show that bias can be accurately predicted. The commonly used Chapman–Robson mortality estimator is shown to be robust to imprecision in age determination if all age-classes are included. Errors are likely, however, if one or more age-classes are excluded or if other mortality estimators are used. Biases can be corrected if the distribution of age-estimation errors is known.


1959 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 367-385 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cecily M. Tinker

1. A review of the few studies so far made on the high mortality from tuberculosis among elderly men, and a consideration of the available statistics, indicate that urbanization is one of the principal factors responsible.2. In the present inquiry, which was confined to London, 445 newly diagnosed cases of tuberculosis in men over 40, together with the same number of paired controls, were studied by means of a questionnaire and of personal interview.3. It was found that the tuberculous patients differed significantly from the controls in the following characteristics; Scots, Irish, Welsh, or foreign nationality; single, widower or divorced; resident in common lodging houses or hostels; inadequate or special diet; history of gastrectomy; a winter cough; shortness of breath; insufficient sleep; and heavy drinking and smoking. On the other hand, overtime or night work, diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, asthma, and mental illness were distributed fairly evenly in the two groups.4. Unfortunately no group of elderly women exists in this country living under the same sort of conditions as the elderly men studied here, so that it was impossible to determine how far the various factors considered were responsible for the high rate of late adult male tuberculosis. A study, however, of a population of established civil servants living under ordinary conditions revealed little difference between the observed rates of tuberculosis and those expected on the basis of national notification figures for men and women in the older age groups.5. It appears that a low standard of personal hygiene, associated especially with heavy smoking and drinking and residence in loading houses, predispose to the development of tuberculosis in the elderly male. Part of the evil effect of living in common lodging houses in particular may be due to the increased risk of exposure to tuberculous infection that it entails.6. It is tentatively concluded that the casual workers of an urbanized community are one of the principal reservoirs of tuberculous infection in large towns, and since there is no numerically comparable female population, this group, and its immediate male contacts, account in large measure for the difference between the male and female tuberculosis rates in the older age groups.This work was initiated during the tenure of a Prophit Scholarship of the Royal College of Physicians, and completed with the aid of a grant from the Medical Research Council.I am indebted to members of the Prophit Committee of the Royal College of Physicians for their support and encouragement, and most particularly to Dr G. S. Wilson, Director of the Public Health Laboratory Service, under whose guidance the work was carried out. Figures relating to the incidence of tuberculosis in the Civil Service are published by kind permission of Dr W. E. Chiesman, Treasury Medical Adviser, and Dr M. C. W. Long, Dr J. W. Parks, and Dr H. Stannus Stannus, whose departmental records were used to compute the figures.I am greatly indebted to the consultants and staff of the seventeen chest clinics who co-operated in the investigation, for their interest and help in tracing patients, and to the medical superintendents of numerous sanatoria and chest hospitals, and to the surgeons who permitted me to interview patients under their care as controls.I should like also to acknowledge the assistance received from the medical officers of health of the metropolitan boroughs who kept me informed of notifications from lodging houses in their areas, and supplied information about the accommodation.


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