Continuous Forest Inventory Using a Linear Filter

1979 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 675-689 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruce L. Dixon ◽  
Richard E. Howitt

Abstract Timber management may be conceptualized as a stochastic optimal control problem because of uncertainty about forest dynamics and the sequential nature of the decisionmaking process. Given this point of view, it follows that decisions will be based on the conditional distributions of unknown model parameters where the distributions are derived recursively. By making various approximations, the management actions become a function of the conditional mean of timber inventories. This conditional mean and the conditional covariance of the inventories are generated by a Kalman filter. The conditional mean can alternatively be interpreted as an estimate of the unknown timber inventories. This estimate thus has the virtue of being optimal with respect to the overall timber management problem. The partial replacement estimator of Ware and Cunia is shown to be a special case of the Kalman estimator. The variance of the Ware and Cunia estimator is always greater than or equal to the variance of the corresponding Kalman estimator. Numerical results show that the variance of the Kalman estimator is almost always less than the variance of the Ware and Cunia estimator. In some cases when using the Kalman filter simple random sampling is shown to yield estimates with lower variance than partial replacement sampling. Forest Sci. 25:675-689.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 2898
Author(s):  
Humberto C. Godinez ◽  
Esteban Rougier

Simulation of fracture initiation, propagation, and arrest is a problem of interest for many applications in the scientific community. There are a number of numerical methods used for this purpose, and among the most widely accepted is the combined finite-discrete element method (FDEM). To model fracture with FDEM, material behavior is described by specifying a combination of elastic properties, strengths (in the normal and tangential directions), and energy dissipated in failure modes I and II, which are modeled by incorporating a parameterized softening curve defining a post-peak stress-displacement relationship unique to each material. In this work, we implement a data assimilation method to estimate key model parameter values with the objective of improving the calibration processes for FDEM fracture simulations. Specifically, we implement the ensemble Kalman filter assimilation method to the Hybrid Optimization Software Suite (HOSS), a FDEM-based code which was developed for the simulation of fracture and fragmentation behavior. We present a set of assimilation experiments to match the numerical results obtained for a Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar (SHPB) model with experimental observations for granite. We achieved this by calibrating a subset of model parameters. The results show a steady convergence of the assimilated parameter values towards observed time/stress curves from the SHPB observations. In particular, both tensile and shear strengths seem to be converging faster than the other parameters considered.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 1054
Author(s):  
Kuo Yang ◽  
Yugui Tang ◽  
Zhen Zhang

With the development of new energy vehicle technology, battery management systems used to monitor the state of the battery have been widely researched. The accuracy of the battery status assessment to a great extent depends on the accuracy of the battery model parameters. This paper proposes an improved method for parameter identification and state-of-charge (SOC) estimation for lithium-ion batteries. Using a two-order equivalent circuit model, the battery model is divided into two parts based on fast dynamics and slow dynamics. The recursive least squares method is used to identify parameters of the battery, and then the SOC and the open-circuit voltage of the model is estimated with the extended Kalman filter. The two-module voltages are calculated using estimated open circuit voltage and initial parameters, and model parameters are constantly updated during iteration. The proposed method can be used to estimate the parameters and the SOC in real time, which does not need to know the state of SOC and the value of open circuit voltage in advance. The method is tested using data from dynamic stress tests, the root means squared error of the accuracy of the prediction model is about 0.01 V, and the average SOC estimation error is 0.0139. Results indicate that the method has higher accuracy in offline parameter identification and online state estimation than traditional recursive least squares methods.


Signals ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 434-455
Author(s):  
Sujan Kumar Roy ◽  
Kuldip K. Paliwal

Inaccurate estimates of the linear prediction coefficient (LPC) and noise variance introduce bias in Kalman filter (KF) gain and degrade speech enhancement performance. The existing methods propose a tuning of the biased Kalman gain, particularly in stationary noise conditions. This paper introduces a tuning of the KF gain for speech enhancement in real-life noise conditions. First, we estimate noise from each noisy speech frame using a speech presence probability (SPP) method to compute the noise variance. Then, we construct a whitening filter (with its coefficients computed from the estimated noise) to pre-whiten each noisy speech frame prior to computing the speech LPC parameters. We then construct the KF with the estimated parameters, where the robustness metric offsets the bias in KF gain during speech absence of noisy speech to that of the sensitivity metric during speech presence to achieve better noise reduction. The noise variance and the speech model parameters are adopted as a speech activity detector. The reduced-biased Kalman gain enables the KF to minimize the noise effect significantly, yielding the enhanced speech. Objective and subjective scores on the NOIZEUS corpus demonstrate that the enhanced speech produced by the proposed method exhibits higher quality and intelligibility than some benchmark methods.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Kargarnejad ◽  
Mohsen Taherbaneh ◽  
Amir Hosein Kashefi

Tracking maximum power point of a solar panel is of interest in most of photovoltaic applications. Solar panel modeling is also very interesting exclusively based on manufacturers data. Knowing that the manufacturers generally give the electrical specifications of their products at one operating condition, there are so many cases in which the specifications in other conditions are of interest. In this research, a comprehensive one-diode model for a solar panel with maximum obtainable accuracy is fully developed only based on datasheet values. The model parameters dependencies on environmental conditions are taken into consideration as much as possible. Comparison between real data and simulations results shows that the proposed model has maximum obtainable accuracy. Then a new fuzzy-based controller to track the maximum power point of the solar panel is also proposed which has better response from speed, accuracy and stability point of view respect to the previous common developed one.


1991 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 320-327 ◽  
Author(s):  
Murray A. Fitch ◽  
Edward A. McBean

A model is developed for the prediction of river flows resulting from combined snowmelt and precipitation. The model employs a Kalman filter to reflect uncertainty both in the measured data and in the system model parameters. The forecasting algorithm is used to develop multi-day forecasts for the Sturgeon River, Ontario. The algorithm is shown to develop good 1-day and 2-day ahead forecasts, but the linear prediction model is found inadequate for longer-term forecasts. Good initial parameter estimates are shown to be essential for optimal forecasting performance. Key words: Kalman filter, streamflow forecast, multi-day, streamflow, Sturgeon River, MISP algorithm.


2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 191-206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanouil A. Varouchakis

Reliable temporal modelling of groundwater level is significant for efficient water resources management in hydrological basins and for the prevention of possible desertification effects. In this work we propose a stochastic method of temporal monitoring and prediction that can incorporate auxiliary information. More specifically, we model the temporal (mean annual and biannual) variation of groundwater level by means of a discrete time autoregressive exogenous variable (ARX) model. The ARX model parameters and its predictions are estimated by means of the Kalman filter adaptation algorithm (KFAA) which, to our knowledge, is applied for the first time in hydrology. KFAA is suitable for sparsely monitored basins that do not allow for an independent estimation of the ARX model parameters. We apply KFAA to time series of groundwater level values from the Mires basin in the island of Crete. In addition to precipitation measurements, we use pumping data as exogenous variables. We calibrate the ARX model based on the groundwater level for the years 1981 to 2006 and use it to predict the mean annual and biannual groundwater level for recent years (2007–2010). The predictions are validated with the available annual averages reported by the local authorities.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 2028 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Lai ◽  
Dongdong Qiao ◽  
Yuejiu Zheng ◽  
Long Zhou

The popular and widely reported lithium-ion battery model is the equivalent circuit model (ECM). The suitable ECM structure and matched model parameters are equally important for the state-of-charge (SOC) estimation algorithm. This paper focuses on high-accuracy models and the estimation algorithm with high robustness and accuracy in practical application. Firstly, five ECMs and five parameter identification approaches are compared under the New European Driving Cycle (NEDC) working condition in the whole SOC area, and the most appropriate model structure and its parameters are determined to improve model accuracy. Based on this, a multi-model and multi-algorithm (MM-MA) method, considering the SOC distribution area, is proposed. The experimental results show that this method can effectively improve the model accuracy. Secondly, a fuzzy fusion SOC estimation algorithm, based on the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and ampere-hour counting (AH) method, is proposed. The fuzzy fusion algorithm takes advantage of the advantages of EKF, and AH avoids the weaknesses. Six case studies show that the SOC estimation result can hold the satisfactory accuracy even when large sensor and model errors exist.


Electronics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 321 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Lai ◽  
Wei Yi ◽  
Yuejiu Zheng ◽  
Long Zhou

In this paper, a novel model parameter identification method and a state-of-charge (SOC) estimator for lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) are proposed to improve the global accuracy of SOC estimation in the all SOC range (0–100%). Firstly, a subregion optimization method based on particle swarm optimization is developed to find the optimal model parameters of LIBs in each subregion, and the optimal number of subregions is investigated from the perspective of accuracy and computation time. Then, to solve the problem of a low accuracy of SOC estimation caused by large model error in the low SOC range, an improved extended Kalman filter (IEKF) algorithm with variable noise covariance is proposed. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed methods are verified by experiments on two kinds of batteries under three working cycles, and case studies show that the proposed IEKF has better accuracy and robustness than the traditional extended Kalman filter (EKF) in the all SOC range.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1035 ◽  
pp. 77-82 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eva Vejmelková ◽  
Monika Čáchová ◽  
Dana Koňáková ◽  
Pavel Reiterman ◽  
Robert Černý

Waste materials are utilized with an increasing frequency in the building industry, during the last decades. The motivation is both environmental and economical. In this paper, waste ceramic powder produced at the grinding of hollow brick blocks used in precise-walling technologies, is applied as a partial replacement of siliceous aggregates of lime plasters. The designed plaster mixes are analyzed from the point of view of their basic physical, mechanical, hygric and thermal properties. The bulk density, matrix density, open porosity, compressive strength, bending strength, water vapor diffusion permeability, water vapor diffusion coefficient, water vapor diffusion resistance factor, thermal conductivity and specific heat capacity are the investigated parameters. A reference lime plaster is analyzed as well, for the sake of comparison. Experimental results show a remarkable enhancement of mechanical properties of the plasters with the increasing dosage of ceramic powder. Moreover, the thermal insulation properties are improved and the water vapor diffusion capability of the plasters with ceramic powder increases.


2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 8279-8309 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Ju ◽  
S. Wang ◽  
G. Yu ◽  
Y. Zhou ◽  
H. Wang

Abstract. Soil and atmospheric water deficits have significant influences on CO2 and energy exchanges between the atmosphere and terrestrial ecosystems. Model parameterization significantly affects the ability of a model to simulate carbon, water, and energy fluxes. In this study, an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and observations of gross primary productivity (GPP) and latent heat (LE) fluxes were used to optimize model parameters significantly affecting the calculation of these fluxes for a subtropical coniferous plantation in southeastern China. The optimized parameters include the maximum carboxylation rate (Vcmax), the Ball-Berry coefficient (m) and the coefficient determining the sensitivity of stomatal conductance to atmospheric water vapor deficit D0). Optimized Vcmax and m showed larger seasonal and interannual variations than D0. Seasonal variations of Vcmax and m are more pronounced than the interannual variations. Vcmax and m are associated with soil water content (SWC). During dry periods, SWC at the 20 cm depth can explain 61% and 64% of variations of Vcmax and m, respectively. EnKF parameter optimization improves the simulations of GPP, LE and sensible heat (SH), mainly during dry periods. After parameter optimization using EnKF, the variations of GPP, LE and SH explained by the model increased by 1% to 4% at half-hourly steps and by 3% to 5% at daily time steps. Efforts are needed to develop algorithms that can properly describe the variations of these parameters under different environmental conditions.


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