Analyzing the Origins of Informality
This chapter presents the results of a quantitative analysis designed to test the observable implications of the two-step theory. The chapter begins with an overview of the dependent variable and the sample of international organizations that is used. The chapter then explains how the central domestic politics, functionalist, and power-based variables have been operationalized. The results of the statistical analysis are presented next, along with sensitivity analyses designed to check the robustness of the results. Overall, this provides strong support for the two-step theory explored in the book. In the final part of the chapter, the dynamic accounts of each theory are weighed against one another. This analysis reveals that shifts within the domestic political arenas of powerful states have been the biggest source of informality. Changing cooperation problems have played a critical role, too, but it appears that shifting power and interests have not influenced this trend in a significant way.