Lull before the Storm
This chapter offers a historical and statistical analysis of ceasefire violations (CFVs) in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) since the ceasefire was agreed upon in 2003. The chapter is divided into two broad sections. Section one focuses on the occurrence of CFVs prior to 2003 when the current ceasefire agreement (CFA) was signed and explains the immediate background to the CFA of 2003. Section two analyses the various datasets on CFVs, including the one this book has put together, and draws conclusions regarding the locations, causes of and various factors relating to CFVs. This section also discusses how CFVs are counted, how they are spread horizontally and vertically and the existing explanations for the occurrence of CFVs.