scholarly journals Risk factors for heart failure with preserved or reduced ejection fraction among Medicare beneficiaries: Applications of competing risks analysis and gradient boosted model

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moa P. Lee ◽  
Robert J. Glynn ◽  
Sebastian Schneeweiss ◽  
Kueiyu Joshua Lin ◽  
Elisabetta Patorno ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ejection Fraction ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
List Type ◽  
Close Monitoring ◽  
Reduced Ejection Fraction

AbstractBackgroundThe differential impact of various demographic characteristics and comorbid conditions on development of heart failure (HF) with preserved (pEF) and reduced ejection fraction (rEF) is not well studied among the elderly.Methods and ResultsUsing Medicare claims data linked to electronic health records, we conducted an observational cohort study of individuals ≥ 65 years of age without HF. A Cox proportional hazards model accounting for competing risk of HFrEF and HFpEF incidence was constructed. A gradient boosted model (GBM) assessed the relative influence (RI) of each predictor in development of HFrEF and HFpEF. Among 138,388 included individuals, 9,701 developed HF (IR= 20.9 per 1,000 person-year). Males were more likely to develop HFrEF than HFpEF (HR = 2.07, 95% CI: 1.81-2.37 vs. 1.11, 95% CI: 1.02-1.20, P for heterogeneity < 0.01). Atrial fibrillation and pulmonary hypertension had stronger associations with the risk of HFpEF (HR = 2.02, 95% CI: 1.80-2.26 and 1.66, 95% CI: 1.23-2.22) while cardiomyopathy and myocardial infarction were more strongly associated with HFrEF (HR = 4.37, 95% CI: 3.21-5.97 and 1.94, 95% CI: 1.23-3.07). Age was the strongest predictor across all HF subtypes with RI from GBM >35%. Atrial fibrillation was the most influential comorbidity for development of HFpEF (RI = 8.4%) while cardiomyopathy was most influential for HFrEF (RI = 20.7%).ConclusionsThese findings of heterogeneous relationships between several important risk factors and heart failure types underline the potential differences in the etiology of HFpEF and HFrEF.Key QuestionsWhat is already known about this subject?Previous epidemiologic studies describe the differences in risk factors involved in developing heart failure with preserved (HFpEF) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), however, there has been no large study in an elderly population.What does this study add?This study provides further insights into the heterogeneous impact of various clinical characteristics on the risk of developing HFpEF and HFrEF in a population of elderly individuals.Employing an advanced machine learning technique allows assessing the relative importance of each risk factor on development of HFpEF and HFrEF.How might this impact on clinical practice?Our findings provide further insights into the potential differences in the etiology of HFpEF and HFrEF, which are critical in prioritizing populations for close monitoring and targeting prevention efforts.

P6355The behavior of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure hospitalization

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Fukunaga ◽  
K Hirose ◽  
A Isotani ◽  
T Morinaga ◽  
K Ando
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background Relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) is often compared with proverbial question of which came first, the chicken or the egg. Some patients showing AF at the HF admission result in restoration of sinus rhythm (SR) at discharge. It is not well elucidated that the restoration into SR during hospitalization can render the preventive effect for rehospitalization. Purpose To investigate the impact of restoration into SR during hospitalization for readmission rate of the HF patients showing AF. Methods We enrolled consecutive 640 HF patients hospitalized from January 2015 to December 2015. Patients data were retrospectively investigated from medical record. Patients showing atrial fibrillation on admission but unrecognized ever were defined as “incident AF”; patients with AF diagnosed before admission were defined as “prevalent AF”. Primary endpoint was a composite of death from cardiovascular disease or hospitalization for worsening heart failure. Secondary endpoints were death from cardiovascular disease, unplanned hospitalization related to heart failure, and any hospitalization. Results During mean follow up of 19 months, 139 patients (22%) were categorized as incident AF and 145 patients (23%) were categorized as prevalent AF. Among 239 patients showing AF on admission, 44 patients were discharged in SR (39 patients in incident AF and 5 patients in prevalent AF). Among incident AF patients, the primary composite end point occurred in significantly fewer in those who discharged in SR (19% vs. 42% at 1-year; 23% vs. 53% at 2-year follow-up, p=0.005). To compare the risk factors related to readmission due to HF with the cox proportional-hazards model, AF only during hospitalization [Hazard Ratio (HR)=0.37, p<0.01] and prevalent AF (HR=1.67, p=0.04) was significantly associated. There was no significant difference depending on LVEF. Conclusion Newly diagnosed AF with restoration to SR during hospitalization was a good marker to forecast future prognosis.

Abstract 11: Prospective Association of Tet2 Mediated Clonal Hematoopoiesis and Heart Failure and Its Subtypes in Postmenopausal Women

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 141 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuck Eaton ◽  
Laura M Raffield ◽  
Alexander Bick ◽  
Mary Roberts ◽  
Joann E Manson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Coronary Heart Disease ◽  
Heart Disease ◽  
Ejection Fraction ◽  
Postmenopausal Women ◽  
Somatic Mutations ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model

Background: Recent studies have shown that hematopoietic stems cells can undergo clonal expansion secondary to somatic mutations, termed clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP). TET2 is frequently mutated in individuals with CHIP and has been associated with coronary heart disease in humans and Heart Failure in mice models. We investigated whether any of the top three somatic mutations ( DNMT3A,TET2, ASXL1) associated with CHIP were prospectively associated with heart failure (HF), heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFPEF) or heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) in post menopausal women. Methods: A subcohort of 5214 postmenopausal women in the Women’s Health Intiative were evaluated for CHIP and HF. CHIP was determined at the Broad Institute via whole genome sequencing using the GATK4 MuTect2 somatic variant caller through the NHLBI TOPMed project. Hospitalized heart failure was based upon trained physician record review. HFpEF was defined as an EF > 50% and HFrEF as EF<50% . Cox proportional hazards model were evaluate adjusting for age, race, income, education, cigarette smoking, body mass index, coronary heart disease, atrial fibrillation, diabetes , hypertension, systolic blood pressure, and stroke. Inverse probability weighting was used to account for selection bias associated with the subcohort selection. Results: Of the 5214 postmenopausal women, 597 developed HF, 283 HFpEF and 204 HFrEF. N=408 had CHIP. The top 3 gene mutations associated with CHIP (N=364) were DNMT3A (4.8%), TET2 (1.7%) and ASXL1 (0.5%). Women with CHIP associated with any of the top 3 mutations and with TET2 were associated with HF, HFpEF but not HFrEF. DNMT3A and ASXL1 CHIP mutations were not associated HF, HFpEF or HFrEF (See Table ). Conclusion: CHIP associated with the top 3 somatic mutations and TET2 were prospectively associated with HF and HFpEF consistent with animal models and the concept of HFpEF being associated with pathologic aging. Replication of these findings in other cohorts is warranted.

scholarly journals B-PO03-114 ATRIAL FIBRILLATION AND HEART FAILURE WITH PRESERVED VERSUS REDUCED EJECTION FRACTION: OUTCOMES AFTER CATHETER ABLATION

Heart Rhythm ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (8) ◽  
pp. S235
Author(s):  
Amrita Krishnamurthy ◽  
Parag Goyal ◽  
Steven M. Markowitz ◽  
Christopher F. Liu ◽  
George Thomas ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Catheter Ablation ◽  
Ejection Fraction ◽  
Reduced Ejection Fraction

scholarly journals Incidence and Predictors of Hospitalization in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Results from the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhaojie Dong ◽  
Xin Du ◽  
Shangxin Lu ◽  
Chao Jiang ◽  
Shijun Xia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Cardiovascular Diseases ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Chronic Obstructive ◽  
Unique Identifier ◽  
Clinical Trial Registration

Abstract Background: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) underwent a high risk of hospitalization, which, however, has not been paid much attention in clinic. Therefore, we aimed to assess the incidence, causes and predictors of hospitalization in AF patients.Methods: From August 2011 to December 2017, 20,172 AF patients from the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry (China-AF) Study were enrolled in this study. We described the incidence, causes of hospitalization according to age and gender categories. The Cox proportional hazards model was employed to identify predictors of first all-cause and first cause-specific hospitalization. Results: After a mean follow-up of 37.3 ± 20.4 months, 7,512 (37.2%) AF patients experienced one or more hospitalizations. The overall incidence of all-cause hospitalization was 24.0 per 100 patient-years. Patients aged < 65 years were predominantly hospitalized for AF (42.1% of the total frequency of hospitalizations); while patients aged 65-74 and ≥ 75 years were mainly hospitalized for non-cardiovascular diseases (43.6% and 49.3%, respectively). Multivariate Cox model analysis verified the higher risk of hospitalization in patients complicated with heart failure (HF)[hazard ratio (HR) 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08-1.24], established coronary artery disease (CAD) (HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.19-1.34), ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA) (HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.18-1.33), diabetes (HR 1.16, 95%CI 1.10-1.22), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (HR 1.41, 95%CI 1.13-1.76), gastrointestinal disorder (HR 1.39, 95%CI 1.23-1.58), and renal dysfunction (HR 1.31, 95%CI 1.16-1.48). Conclusions: More than one-third of AF patients included in this study were hospitalized at least once during almost 3 years of follow-up. The main cause for hospitalization among elderly patients (≥65 years) is non-cardiovascular diseases rather than AF. Multidisciplinary management of comorbidities should be advocated as strategies to reduce hospitalization in AF patients.Clinical Trial Registration: URL: http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=5831. Unique identifier: ChiCTR-OCH-13003729.

scholarly journals Prevalence, Risk Factors, and Complications of Cholelithiasis in Adults With Short Bowel Syndrome: A Longitudinal Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuejin Gao ◽  
Li Zhang ◽  
Siwen Wang ◽  
Yaqin Xiao ◽  
Deshuai Song ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Short Bowel Syndrome ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Clinical Trial Registration ◽  
Short Bowel ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
Clinical Consequences

Background: Patients with short bowel syndrome (SBS) are at a high risk of cholestasis or cholelithiasis. This study aimed to determine the incidence, risk factors, and clinical consequences of cholelithiasis in adults with SBS over an extended period.Methods: All eligible adults diagnosed with SBS and admitted to a tertiary hospital center between January 2010 and December 2019 were retrospectively identified from the hospital records database. Kaplan–Meier analysis was used to estimate the cumulative incidence of SBS during the 10-year period. For assessment the risk factors for cholelithiasis, we used multivariate Cox proportional hazards model with estimation of hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (95 %CI).Results: This study enrolled 345 eligible patients with SBS. Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed that 72 patients (20.9%) developed cholelithiasis during the 10-year observation period. In multivariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazard model revealed that the remnant jejunum (HR = 2.163; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.156–4.047, p = 0.016) and parenteral nutrition dependence (HR = 1.783; 95% CI: 1.077–2.952, p = 0.025) were independent risk factors for cholelithiasis in adults with SBS. Twenty-eight patients developed symptoms and/or complications in the cholelithiasis group. Proportions of acute cholecystitis or cholangitis and acute pancreatitis were significantly increased in the cholelithiasis group compared with the non-cholelithiasis group (31.9 vs. 7.7%, p &lt; 0.01; and 6.9 vs. 1.1%, p = 0.003, respectively).Conclusion: Because of the adverse clinical consequences of cholelithiasis, adult patients with SBS should be closely monitored, and preventive interventions should be considered.Clinical Trial Registration:www.ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier: NCT04867538.

scholarly journals EPIDEMILOGICAL, CLINICAL AND ECHOCARDIOGRAPHIC FEATURES OF HEART FAILURE IN MOROCCO

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 521-526
Author(s):  
A. Maliki Alaoui ◽  
◽  
Y. Fihri ◽  
A. Ben El Mekki ◽  
H. Bouzelmat ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Diabetes Mellitus ◽  
Risk Factors ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Heart Disease ◽  
Ejection Fraction ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Reduced Ejection Fraction ◽  
Cardiology Department ◽  
Common Risk Factors ◽  
The Mean

Heart failure (HF) is a major public issue taking an epidemic dimension globally. Its incidence is continuing to rise because of a growing and aging population. We held a cross-sectional retrospective studyin the cardiology department of Mohamed V military teaching hospital of Rabat in morocco fromSeptember 2019 toSeptember 2021, including 104 patients admitted with HF. The mean age was 68.5 ±10.3year. Hypertension and diabetes mellitus are the most common risk factors. HF with reduced ejection fraction represents about 49%. Forty-four percent had dilated cardiomyopathy. Ischemic heart disease is the first cause of HF.

scholarly journals Ethnicity and other COVID-19 death risk factors in Mexico

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erwin Chiquete ◽  
Jesus Alegre-Díaz ◽  
Ana Ochoa-Guzmán ◽  
Liz Nicole Toapanta-Yanchapaxi ◽  
Carlos González-Carballo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Invasive Mechanical Ventilation ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Chronic Obstructive ◽  
Death Risk ◽  
Factors Associated ◽  
Risk Of Death

IntroductionPatients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection may develop coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Risk factors associated with death vary among countries with different ethnic backgrounds. We aimed to describe the factors associated with death in Mexicans with confirmed COVID-19.Material and methodsWe analysed the Mexican Ministry of Health’s official database on people tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection by real-time reverse transcriptase–polymerase chain reaction (rtRT-PCR) of nasopharyngeal fluids. Bivariate analyses were performed to select characteristics potentially associated with death, to integrate a Cox-proportional hazards model.ResultsAs of May 18, 2020, a total of 177,133 persons (90,586 men and 86,551 women) in Mexico received rtRT-PCR testing for SARS-CoV-2. There were 5332 deaths among the 51,633 rtRT-PCR-confirmed cases (10.33%, 95% CI: 10.07–10.59%). The median time (interquartile range, IQR) from symptoms onset to death was nine days (5–13 days), and from hospital admission to death 4 days (2–8 days). The analysis by age groups revealed that the significant risk of death started gradually at the age of 40 years. Independent death risk factors were obesity, hypertension, male sex, indigenous ethnicity, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, immunosuppression, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, age > 40 years, and the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Only 1959 (3.8%) cases received IVM, of whom 1893 were admitted to the intensive care unit (96.6% of those who received IMV).ConclusionsIn Mexico, highly prevalent chronic diseases are risk factors for death among persons with COVID-19. Indigenous ethnicity is a poorly studied factor that needs more investigation.

scholarly journals Prognostic value of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure and different left ventricular ejection fraction: results of the multicenter RIF-CHF register

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 4200
Author(s):  
I. V. Zhirov ◽  
N. V. Safronova ◽  
Yu. F. Osmolovskaya ◽  
S. N. Тereschenko
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ejection Fraction ◽  
Cardiovascular Mortality ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Left Ventricular Ejection ◽  
Ventricular Ejection Fraction ◽  
Reduced Ejection Fraction ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
Increased Risk

Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are the most common cardiovascular conditions in clinical practice and frequently coexist. The number of patients with HF and AF is increasing every year.Aim. To analyze the effect of clinical course and management of HF and AF on the outcomes.Material and methods. The data of 1,003 patients from the first Russian register of patients with HF and AF (RIF-CHF) were analyzed. The endpoints included hospitalization due to decompensated HF, cardiovascular mortality, thromboembolic events, and major bleeding. Predictors of unfavorable outcomes were analyzed separately for patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (AF+HFpEF), mid-range ejection fraction (AF+HFmrEF), and reduced ejection fraction (AF+HFrEF).Results. Among all patients with HF, 39% had HFpEF, 15% — HFmrEF, and 46% — HFrEF. A total of 57,2% of patients were rehospitalized due to decompensated HF within one year. Hospitalization risk was the highest for HFmrEF patients (66%, p=0,017). Reduced ejection fraction was associated with the increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (15,5% vs 5,4% in other groups, p<0,001) but not ischemic stroke (2,4% vs 3%, p=0,776). Patients with HFpEF had lower risk to achieve the composite endpoint (stroke+MI+cardiovascular death) as compared to patients with HFmrEF and HFrEF (12,7% vs 22% and 25,5%, p<0,001). Regression logistic analysis revealed that factors such as demographic characteristics, disease severity, and selected therapy had different effects on the risk of unfavorable outcomes depending on ejection fraction group.Conclusion. Each group of patients with different ejection fractions is characterized by its own pattern of factors associated with unfavorable outcomes. The demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with mid-range ejection fraction demonstrate that these patients need to be studied as a separate cohort.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document