scholarly journals A machine learning aided global diagnostic and comparative tool to assess effect of quarantine control in Covid-19 spread

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raj Dandekar ◽  
Chris Rackauckas ◽  
George Barbastathis
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Informed Decision Making ◽  
Network Module ◽  
Public Health Officials ◽  
America South

We have developed a globally applicable diagnostic Covid-19 model by augmenting the classical SIR epidemiological model with a neural network module. Our model does not rely upon previous epidemics like SARS/MERS and all parameters are optimized via machine learning algorithms employed on publicly available Covid-19 data. The model decomposes the contributions to the infection timeseries to analyze and compare the role of quarantine control policies employed in highly affected regions of Europe, North America, South America and Asia in controlling the spread of the virus. For all continents considered, our results show a generally strong correlation between strengthening of the quarantine controls as learnt by the model and actions taken by the regions' respective governments. Finally, we have hosted our quarantine diagnosis results for the top $70$ affected countries worldwide, on a public platform, which can be used for informed decision making by public health officials and researchers alike.

scholarly journals Digital Technologies and Data Science as Health Enablers: An Outline of Appealing Promises and Compelling Ethical, Legal, and Social Challenges

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
João V. Cordeiro
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Data Science ◽  
Digital Health ◽  
Digital Technologies ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Human Interaction ◽  
The Future ◽  
Human Skills

Digital technologies and data science have laid down the promise to revolutionize healthcare by transforming the way health and disease are analyzed and managed in the future. Digital health applications in healthcare include telemedicine, electronic health records, wearable, implantable, injectable and ingestible digital medical devices, health mobile apps as well as the application of artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms to medical and public health prognosis and decision-making. As is often the case with technological advancement, progress in digital health raises compelling ethical, legal, and social implications (ELSI). This article aims to succinctly map relevant ELSI of the digital health field. The issues of patient autonomy; assessment, value attribution, and validation of health innovation; equity and trustworthiness in healthcare; professional roles and skills and data protection and security are highlighted against the backdrop of the risks of dehumanization of care, the limitations of machine learning-based decision-making and, ultimately, the future contours of human interaction in medicine and public health. The running theme to this article is the underlying tension between the promises of digital health and its many challenges, which is heightened by the contrasting pace of scientific progress and the timed responses provided by law and ethics. Digital applications can prove to be valuable allies for human skills in medicine and public health. Similarly, ethics and the law can be interpreted and perceived as more than obstacles, but also promoters of fairness, inclusiveness, creativity and innovation in health.

Understanding the Role of Communities of Practice in Evidence-Informed Decision Making in Public Health

2012 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 723-739 ◽  
Author(s):  
Donna Meagher-Stewart ◽  
Shirley M. Solberg ◽  
Grace Warner ◽  
Jo-Ann MacDonald ◽  
Charmaine McPherson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Communities Of Practice ◽  
Informed Decision ◽  
Informed Decision Making

Role of machine learning algorithms over heart diseases prediction

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siva Kumar Jonnavithula ◽  
Abhilash Kumar Jha ◽  
Modepalli Kavitha ◽  
Singaraju Srinivasulu
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Heart Diseases ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms

scholarly journals Text Classification in Clinical Practice Guidelines Using Machine-Learning Assisted Pattern-Based Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 3296
Author(s):  
Musarrat Hussain ◽  
Jamil Hussain ◽  
Taqdir Ali ◽  
Syed Imran Ali ◽  
Hafiz Syed Muhammad Bilal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Clinical Practice ◽  
Clinical Practice Guidelines ◽  
Practice Guidelines ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Nominal Group ◽  
Specific Information ◽  
Matching Techniques ◽  
Disease Specific

Clinical Practice Guidelines (CPGs) aim to optimize patient care by assisting physicians during the decision-making process. However, guideline adherence is highly affected by its unstructured format and aggregation of background information with disease-specific information. The objective of our study is to extract disease-specific information from CPG for enhancing its adherence ratio. In this research, we propose a semi-automatic mechanism for extracting disease-specific information from CPGs using pattern-matching techniques. We apply supervised and unsupervised machine-learning algorithms on CPG to extract a list of salient terms contributing to distinguishing recommendation sentences (RS) from non-recommendation sentences (NRS). Simultaneously, a group of experts also analyzes the same CPG and extract the initial patterns “Heuristic Patterns” using a group decision-making method, nominal group technique (NGT). We provide the list of salient terms to the experts and ask them to refine their extracted patterns. The experts refine patterns considering the provided salient terms. The extracted heuristic patterns depend on specific terms and suffer from the specialization problem due to synonymy and polysemy. Therefore, we generalize the heuristic patterns to part-of-speech (POS) patterns and unified medical language system (UMLS) patterns, which make the proposed method generalize for all types of CPGs. We evaluated the initial extracted patterns on asthma, rhinosinusitis, and hypertension guidelines with the accuracy of 76.92%, 84.63%, and 89.16%, respectively. The accuracy increased to 78.89%, 85.32%, and 92.07% with refined machine-learning assistive patterns, respectively. Our system assists physicians by locating disease-specific information in the CPGs, which enhances the physicians’ performance and reduces CPG processing time. Additionally, it is beneficial in CPGs content annotation.

scholarly journals Systematic literature review of machine learning methods used in the analysis of real-world data for patient-provider decision making

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alan Brnabic ◽  
Lisa M. Hess
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Literature Review ◽  
Systematic Literature Review ◽  
Real World ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

Abstract Background Machine learning is a broad term encompassing a number of methods that allow the investigator to learn from the data. These methods may permit large real-world databases to be more rapidly translated to applications to inform patient-provider decision making. Methods This systematic literature review was conducted to identify published observational research of employed machine learning to inform decision making at the patient-provider level. The search strategy was implemented and studies meeting eligibility criteria were evaluated by two independent reviewers. Relevant data related to study design, statistical methods and strengths and limitations were identified; study quality was assessed using a modified version of the Luo checklist. Results A total of 34 publications from January 2014 to September 2020 were identified and evaluated for this review. There were diverse methods, statistical packages and approaches used across identified studies. The most common methods included decision tree and random forest approaches. Most studies applied internal validation but only two conducted external validation. Most studies utilized one algorithm, and only eight studies applied multiple machine learning algorithms to the data. Seven items on the Luo checklist failed to be met by more than 50% of published studies. Conclusions A wide variety of approaches, algorithms, statistical software, and validation strategies were employed in the application of machine learning methods to inform patient-provider decision making. There is a need to ensure that multiple machine learning approaches are used, the model selection strategy is clearly defined, and both internal and external validation are necessary to be sure that decisions for patient care are being made with the highest quality evidence. Future work should routinely employ ensemble methods incorporating multiple machine learning algorithms.

scholarly journals An Estimation of Ship Collision Risk Based on Relevance Vector Machine

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 538
Author(s):  
Jinwan Park ◽  
Jung-Sik Jeong
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Estimation ◽  
Good Method ◽  
Relevance Vector Machine ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Collision Risk ◽  
Estimation Model ◽  
Ship Collision

According to the statistics of maritime collision accidents over the last five years (2016–2020), 95% of the total maritime collision accidents are caused by human factors. Machine learning algorithms are an emerging approach in judging the risk of collision among vessels and supporting reliable decision-making prior to any behaviors for collision avoidance. As the result, it can be a good method to reduce errors caused by navigators’ carelessness. This article aims to propose an enhanced machine learning method to estimate ship collision risk and to support more reliable decision-making for ship collision risk. In order to estimate the ship collision risk, the conventional support vector machine (SVM) was applied. Regardless of the advantage of the SVM to resolve the uncertainty problem by using the collected ships’ parameters, it has inherent weak points. In this study, the relevance vector machine (RVM), which can present reliable probabilistic results based on Bayesian theory, was applied to estimate the collision risk. The proposed method was compared with the results of applying the SVM. It showed that the estimation model using RVM is more accurate and efficient than the model using SVM. We expect to support the reasonable decision-making of the navigator through more accurate risk estimation, thus allowing early evasive actions.

Internet financial supervision based on machine learning and improved neural network

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Cao Yanli
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Financial Supervision ◽  
Loan Pricing ◽  
Comprehensive Management ◽  
Risk Pricing ◽  
Basel Agreement ◽  
Relevant Factors

The research on the risk pricing of Internet finance online loans not only enriches the theory and methods of online loan pricing, but also helps to improve the level of online loan risk pricing. In order to improve the efficiency of Internet financial supervision, this article builds an Internet financial supervision system based on machine learning algorithms and improved neural network algorithms. Moreover, on the basis of factor analysis and discretization of loan data, this paper selects the relatively mature Logistic regression model to evaluate the credit risk of the borrower and considers the comprehensive management of credit risk and the matching with income. In addition, according to the relevant provisions of the New Basel Agreement on expected losses and economic capital, starting from the relevant factors, this article combines the credit risk assessment results to obtain relevant factors through regional research and conduct empirical analysis. The research results show that the model constructed in this paper has certain reliability.

INTRODUCTION: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT AND THE EUROPEAN UNION

2000 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 299-302 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Banta ◽  
Wija Oortwijn
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
European Union ◽  
Health Technology Assessment ◽  
European Commission ◽  
Technology Assessment ◽  
Health Technology ◽  
The European Union ◽  
European Level

Health technology assessment (HTA) has become increasingly important in the European Union as an aid to decision making. As agencies and programs have been established, there is increasing attention to coordination of HTA at the European level, especially considering the growing role of the European Union in public health in Europe. This series of papers describes and analyzes the situation with regard to HTA in the 15 members of the European Union, plus Switzerland. The final paper draws some conclusions, especially concerning the future involvement of the European Commission in HTA.

EMOTIONS RECOGNITION IN HUMAN SPEECH USING DEEP NEURAL NETWORKS

2021 ◽  
pp. 44-51
Author(s):  
E. Yu. Shchetinin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Deep Neural Networks ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Audio Recordings ◽  
Computer Studies

The recognition of human emotions is one of the most relevant and dynamically developing areas of modern speech technologies, and the recognition of emotions in speech (RER) is the most demanded part of them. In this paper, we propose a computer model of emotion recognition based on an ensemble of bidirectional recurrent neural network with LSTM memory cell and deep convolutional neural network ResNet18. In this paper, computer studies of the RAVDESS database containing emotional speech of a person are carried out. RAVDESS-a data set containing 7356 files. Entries contain the following emotions: 0 – neutral, 1 – calm, 2 – happiness, 3 – sadness, 4 – anger, 5 – fear, 6 – disgust, 7 – surprise. In total, the database contains 16 classes (8 emotions divided into male and female) for a total of 1440 samples (speech only). To train machine learning algorithms and deep neural networks to recognize emotions, existing audio recordings must be pre-processed in such a way as to extract the main characteristic features of certain emotions. This was done using Mel-frequency cepstral coefficients, chroma coefficients, as well as the characteristics of the frequency spectrum of audio recordings. In this paper, computer studies of various models of neural networks for emotion recognition are carried out on the example of the data described above. In addition, machine learning algorithms were used for comparative analysis. Thus, the following models were trained during the experiments: logistic regression (LR), classifier based on the support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), gradient boosting over trees – XGBoost, convolutional neural network CNN, recurrent neural network RNN (ResNet18), as well as an ensemble of convolutional and recurrent networks Stacked CNN-RNN. The results show that neural networks showed much higher accuracy in recognizing and classifying emotions than the machine learning algorithms used. Of the three neural network models presented, the CNN + BLSTM ensemble showed higher accuracy.

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