scholarly journals An Estimation of Ship Collision Risk Based on Relevance Vector Machine

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 538
Author(s):  
Jinwan Park ◽  
Jung-Sik Jeong
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Estimation ◽  
Good Method ◽  
Relevance Vector Machine ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Collision Risk ◽  
Estimation Model ◽  
Ship Collision

According to the statistics of maritime collision accidents over the last five years (2016–2020), 95% of the total maritime collision accidents are caused by human factors. Machine learning algorithms are an emerging approach in judging the risk of collision among vessels and supporting reliable decision-making prior to any behaviors for collision avoidance. As the result, it can be a good method to reduce errors caused by navigators’ carelessness. This article aims to propose an enhanced machine learning method to estimate ship collision risk and to support more reliable decision-making for ship collision risk. In order to estimate the ship collision risk, the conventional support vector machine (SVM) was applied. Regardless of the advantage of the SVM to resolve the uncertainty problem by using the collected ships’ parameters, it has inherent weak points. In this study, the relevance vector machine (RVM), which can present reliable probabilistic results based on Bayesian theory, was applied to estimate the collision risk. The proposed method was compared with the results of applying the SVM. It showed that the estimation model using RVM is more accurate and efficient than the model using SVM. We expect to support the reasonable decision-making of the navigator through more accurate risk estimation, thus allowing early evasive actions.

scholarly journals Artificial Intelligence Supports Decision Making during Open-Chest Surgery of Rare Congenital Heart Defects

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (22) ◽  
pp. 5330
Author(s):  
Francesco Paolo Lo Muzio ◽  
Giacomo Rozzi ◽  
Stefano Rossi ◽  
Giovanni Battista Luciani ◽  
Ruben Foresti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Intraoperative Imaging ◽  
Complex Function ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Open Chest ◽  
Chest Surgery

The human right ventricle is barely monitored during open-chest surgery due to the absence of intraoperative imaging techniques capable of elaborating its complex function. Accordingly, artificial intelligence could not be adopted for this specific task. We recently proposed a video-based approach for the real-time evaluation of the epicardial kinematics to support medical decisions. Here, we employed two supervised machine learning algorithms based on our technique to predict the patients’ outcomes before chest closure. Videos of the beating hearts were acquired before and after pulmonary valve replacement in twelve Tetralogy of Fallot patients and recordings were properly labeled as the “unhealthy” and “healthy” classes. We extracted frequency-domain-related features to train different supervised machine learning models and selected their best characteristics via 10-fold cross-validation and optimization processes. Decision surfaces were built to classify two additional patients having good and unfavorable clinical outcomes. The k-nearest neighbors and support vector machine showed the highest prediction accuracy; the patients’ class was identified with a true positive rate ≥95% and the decision surfaces correctly classified the additional patients in the “healthy” (good outcome) or “unhealthy” (unfavorable outcome) classes. We demonstrated that classifiers employed with our video-based technique may aid cardiac surgeons in decision making before chest closure.

Machine learning algorithms to predict seizure due to acute tramadol poisoning

2021 ◽  
pp. 096032712199191
Author(s):  
B Behnoush ◽  
E Bazmi ◽  
SH Nazari ◽  
S Khodakarim ◽  
MA Looha ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Clinical Care ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Arterial Blood

Introduction: This study was designed to develop and evaluate machine learning algorithms for predicting seizure due to acute tramadol poisoning, identifying high-risk patients and facilitating appropriate clinical decision-making. Methods: Several characteristics of acute tramadol poisoning cases were collected in the Emergency Department (ED) (2013–2019). After selecting important variables in random forest method, prediction models were developed using the Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes (NB), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and K-Nearest Neighbor (K-NN) algorithms. Area Under the Curve (AUC) and other diagnostic criteria were used to assess performance of models. Results: In 909 patients, 544 (59.8%) experienced seizures. The important predictors of seizure were sex, pulse rate, arterial blood oxygen pressure, blood bicarbonate level and pH. SVM (AUC = 0.68), NB (AUC = 0.71) and ANN (AUC = 0.70) models outperformed k-NN model (AUC = 0.58). NB model had a higher sensitivity and negative predictive value and k-NN model had higher specificity and positive predictive values than other models. Conclusion: A perfect prediction model may help improve clinicians’ decision-making and clinical care at EDs in hospitals and medical settings. SVM, ANN and NB models had no significant differences in the performance and accuracy; however, validated logistic regression (LR) was the superior model for predicting seizure due to acute tramadol poisoning.

scholarly journals An Interpretable Aid Decision-Making Model for Flag State Control Ship Detention Based on SMOTE and XGBoost

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 156
Author(s):  
Jian He ◽  
Yong Hao ◽  
Xiaoqiong Wang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
State Control ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Decision Making Model ◽  
Flag State

The reasonable decision of ship detention plays a vital role in flag state control (FSC). Machine learning algorithms can be applied as aid tools for identifying ship detention. In this study, we propose a novel interpretable ship detention decision-making model based on machine learning, termed SMOTE-XGBoost-Ship detention model (SMO-XGB-SD), using the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm and the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) algorithm to identify whether a ship should be detained. Our verification results show that the SMO-XGB-SD algorithm outperforms random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and logistic regression (LR) algorithm. In addition, the new algorithm also provides a reasonable interpretation of model performance and highlights the most important features for identifying ship detention using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. The SMO-XGB-SD model provides an effective basis for aiding decisions on ship detention by inland flag state control officers (FSCOs) and the ship safety management of ship operating companies, as well as training services for new FSCOs in maritime organizations.

scholarly journals Severity detection for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients using a machine learning model based on the blood and urine tests

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haochen Yao ◽  
Nan Zhang ◽  
Ruochi Zhang ◽  
Meiyu Duan ◽  
Tianqi Xie ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Estimation ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Detection Accuracy ◽  
Human Society ◽  
Detection Model ◽  
Machine Learning Model ◽  
Major Organ ◽  
Organ Failures

The recent outbreak of the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) caused serious challenges to the human society in China and across the world. COVID-19 induced pneumonia in human hosts and carried a highly inter-person contagiousness. The COVID-19 patients may carry severe symptoms, and some of them may even die of major organ failures. This study utilized the machine learning algorithms to build the COVID-19 severeness detection model. Support vector machine (SVM) demonstrated a promising detection accuracy after 32 features were detected to be significantly associated with the COVID-19 severeness. These 32 features were further screened for inter-feature redundancies. The final SVM model was trained using 28 features and achieved the overall accuracy 0.8148. This work may facilitate the risk estimation of whether the COVID-19 patients would develop the severe symptoms. The 28 COVID-19 severeness associated biomarkers may also be investigated for their underlining mechanisms how they were involved in the COVID-19 infections.

Using Machine Learning Algorithms on Prediction of Stock Price

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 84-99
Author(s):  
Li-Pang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Historical Database ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.

A Comparative Study of Different Machine Learning Algorithms for Disease Prediction

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (7) ◽  
pp. 172
Author(s):  
Anantvir Singh Romana
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Subsequent Treatment ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Disease Prediction ◽  
Classification Problems ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Neural Network Classifiers ◽  
Diagnostic Detection

Accurate diagnostic detection of the disease in a patient is critical and may alter the subsequent treatment and increase the chances of survival rate. Machine learning techniques have been instrumental in disease detection and are currently being used in various classification problems due to their accurate prediction performance. Various techniques may provide different desired accuracies and it is therefore imperative to use the most suitable method which provides the best desired results. This research seeks to provide comparative analysis of Support Vector Machine, Naïve bayes, J48 Decision Tree and neural network classifiers breast cancer and diabetes datsets.

scholarly journals Predicting Future Occurrence of Acute Hypotensive Episodes Using Noninvasive and Invasive Features

2021 ◽  
Vol 186 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 445-451
Author(s):  
Yifei Sun ◽  
Navid Rashedi ◽  
Vikrant Vaze ◽  
Parikshit Shah ◽  
Ryan Halter ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Real World ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Learning Technologies ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
K Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Continuous Map

ABSTRACT Introduction Early prediction of the acute hypotensive episode (AHE) in critically ill patients has the potential to improve outcomes. In this study, we apply different machine learning algorithms to the MIMIC III Physionet dataset, containing more than 60,000 real-world intensive care unit records, to test commonly used machine learning technologies and compare their performances. Materials and Methods Five classification methods including K-nearest neighbor, logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, and a deep learning method called long short-term memory are applied to predict an AHE 30 minutes in advance. An analysis comparing model performance when including versus excluding invasive features was conducted. To further study the pattern of the underlying mean arterial pressure (MAP), we apply a regression method to predict the continuous MAP values using linear regression over the next 60 minutes. Results Support vector machine yields the best performance in terms of recall (84%). Including the invasive features in the classification improves the performance significantly with both recall and precision increasing by more than 20 percentage points. We were able to predict the MAP with a root mean square error (a frequently used measure of the differences between the predicted values and the observed values) of 10 mmHg 60 minutes in the future. After converting continuous MAP predictions into AHE binary predictions, we achieve a 91% recall and 68% precision. In addition to predicting AHE, the MAP predictions provide clinically useful information regarding the timing and severity of the AHE occurrence. Conclusion We were able to predict AHE with precision and recall above 80% 30 minutes in advance with the large real-world dataset. The prediction of regression model can provide a more fine-grained, interpretable signal to practitioners. Model performance is improved by the inclusion of invasive features in predicting AHE, when compared to predicting the AHE based on only the available, restricted set of noninvasive technologies. This demonstrates the importance of exploring more noninvasive technologies for AHE prediction.

scholarly journals Text Classification in Clinical Practice Guidelines Using Machine-Learning Assisted Pattern-Based Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 3296
Author(s):  
Musarrat Hussain ◽  
Jamil Hussain ◽  
Taqdir Ali ◽  
Syed Imran Ali ◽  
Hafiz Syed Muhammad Bilal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Clinical Practice ◽  
Clinical Practice Guidelines ◽  
Practice Guidelines ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Nominal Group ◽  
Specific Information ◽  
Matching Techniques ◽  
Disease Specific

Clinical Practice Guidelines (CPGs) aim to optimize patient care by assisting physicians during the decision-making process. However, guideline adherence is highly affected by its unstructured format and aggregation of background information with disease-specific information. The objective of our study is to extract disease-specific information from CPG for enhancing its adherence ratio. In this research, we propose a semi-automatic mechanism for extracting disease-specific information from CPGs using pattern-matching techniques. We apply supervised and unsupervised machine-learning algorithms on CPG to extract a list of salient terms contributing to distinguishing recommendation sentences (RS) from non-recommendation sentences (NRS). Simultaneously, a group of experts also analyzes the same CPG and extract the initial patterns “Heuristic Patterns” using a group decision-making method, nominal group technique (NGT). We provide the list of salient terms to the experts and ask them to refine their extracted patterns. The experts refine patterns considering the provided salient terms. The extracted heuristic patterns depend on specific terms and suffer from the specialization problem due to synonymy and polysemy. Therefore, we generalize the heuristic patterns to part-of-speech (POS) patterns and unified medical language system (UMLS) patterns, which make the proposed method generalize for all types of CPGs. We evaluated the initial extracted patterns on asthma, rhinosinusitis, and hypertension guidelines with the accuracy of 76.92%, 84.63%, and 89.16%, respectively. The accuracy increased to 78.89%, 85.32%, and 92.07% with refined machine-learning assistive patterns, respectively. Our system assists physicians by locating disease-specific information in the CPGs, which enhances the physicians’ performance and reduces CPG processing time. Additionally, it is beneficial in CPGs content annotation.

Efficient detection of hacker community based on twitter data using complex networks and machine learning algorithm

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Ahmed Al-Tarawneh ◽  
Ja’afer Al-Saraireh
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Complex Networks ◽  
Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
K Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Efficient Detection ◽  
Suggested Keywords

Twitter is one of the most popular platforms used to share and post ideas. Hackers and anonymous attackers use these platforms maliciously, and their behavior can be used to predict the risk of future attacks, by gathering and classifying hackers’ tweets using machine-learning techniques. Previous approaches for detecting infected tweets are based on human efforts or text analysis, thus they are limited to capturing the hidden text between tweet lines. The main aim of this research paper is to enhance the efficiency of hacker detection for the Twitter platform using the complex networks technique with adapted machine learning algorithms. This work presents a methodology that collects a list of users with their followers who are sharing their posts that have similar interests from a hackers’ community on Twitter. The list is built based on a set of suggested keywords that are the commonly used terms by hackers in their tweets. After that, a complex network is generated for all users to find relations among them in terms of network centrality, closeness, and betweenness. After extracting these values, a dataset of the most influential users in the hacker community is assembled. Subsequently, tweets belonging to users in the extracted dataset are gathered and classified into positive and negative classes. The output of this process is utilized with a machine learning process by applying different algorithms. This research build and investigate an accurate dataset containing real users who belong to a hackers’ community. Correctly, classified instances were measured for accuracy using the average values of K-nearest neighbor, Naive Bayes, Random Tree, and the support vector machine techniques, demonstrating about 90% and 88% accuracy for cross-validation and percentage split respectively. Consequently, the proposed network cyber Twitter model is able to detect hackers, and determine if tweets pose a risk to future institutions and individuals to provide early warning of possible attacks.

Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Lane-Change Maneuvers using the SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study Data

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812110035
Author(s):  
Anik Das ◽  
Mohamed M. Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Lane Change ◽  
Adaptive Boosting ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Naturalistic Driving Study ◽  
Naturalistic Driving ◽  
Change Prediction

Accurate lane-change prediction information in real time is essential to safely operate Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) on the roadways, especially at the early stage of AVs deployment, where there will be an interaction between AVs and human-driven vehicles. This study proposed reliable lane-change prediction models considering features from vehicle kinematics, machine vision, driver, and roadway geometric characteristics using the trajectory-level SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study and Roadway Information Database. Several machine learning algorithms were trained, validated, tested, and comparatively analyzed including, Classification And Regression Trees (CART), Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Naïve Bayes (NB) based on six different sets of features. In each feature set, relevant features were extracted through a wrapper-based algorithm named Boruta. The results showed that the XGBoost model outperformed all other models in relation to its highest overall prediction accuracy (97%) and F1-score (95.5%) considering all features. However, the highest overall prediction accuracy of 97.3% and F1-score of 95.9% were observed in the XGBoost model based on vehicle kinematics features. Moreover, it was found that XGBoost was the only model that achieved a reliable and balanced prediction performance across all six feature sets. Furthermore, a simplified XGBoost model was developed for each feature set considering the practical implementation of the model. The proposed prediction model could help in trajectory planning for AVs and could be used to develop more reliable advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) in a cooperative connected and automated vehicle environment.

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