scholarly journals Durability of mRNA-1273 against COVID-19 in the time of Delta: Interim results from an observational cohort study

Author(s):  
Ana Florea ◽  
Lina S. Sy ◽  
Yi Luo ◽  
Lei Qian ◽  
Katia J. Bruxvoort ◽  
...  

Background: We conducted a prospective cohort study at Kaiser Permanente Southern California to study the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of mRNA-1273 over time and during the emergence of the Delta variant. Methods: The cohort for this planned interim analysis consisted of individuals aged ≥18 years receiving 2 doses of mRNA-1273 through June 2021, matched 1:1 to randomly selected unvaccinated individuals by age, sex, and race/ethnicity, with follow-up through September 2021. Outcomes were SARS-CoV-2 infection, and COVID-19 hospitalization and hospital death. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing outcomes in the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. Adjusted VE (%) was calculated as (1-aHR)x100. HRs and VEs were also estimated for SARS-CoV-2 infection by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and during the Delta period (June-September 2021). VE against SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 hospitalization was estimated at 0-<2, 2-<4, 4-<6, and 6-<8 months post-vaccination. Results: 927,004 recipients of 2 doses of mRNA-1273 were matched to 927,004 unvaccinated individuals. VE (95% CI) was 82.8% (82.2-83.3%) against SARS-CoV-2 infection, 96.1% (95.5-96.6%) against COVID-19 hospitalization, and 97.2% (94.8-98.4%) against COVID-19 hospital death. VE against SARS-CoV-2 infection was similar by age, sex, and race/ethnicity, and was 86.5% (84.8-88.0%) during the Delta period. VE against SARS-CoV-2 infection decreased from 88.0% at 0-<2 months to 75.5% at 6-<8 months. Conclusions: These interim results provide continued evidence for protection of 2 doses of mRNA-1273 against SARS-CoV-2 infection over 8 months post-vaccination and during the Delta period, and against COVID-19 hospitalization and hospital death.

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 1286-1296 ◽  
Author(s):  
Camilla Plambeck Hansen ◽  
Kim Overvad ◽  
Inge Tetens ◽  
Anne Tjønneland ◽  
Erik Thorlund Parner ◽  
...  

AbstractObjectiveA direct way to evaluate food-based dietary guidelines is to assess if adherence is associated with development of non-communicable diseases. Thus, the objective was to develop an index to assess adherence to the 2013 Danish food-based dietary guidelines and to investigate the association between adherence to the index and risk of myocardial infarction (MI).DesignPopulation-based cohort study with recruitment of participants in 1993–1997. Information on dietary intake was collected at baseline using an FFQ and an index ranging from 0 to 6 points was created to assess adherence to the 2013 Danish food-based dietary guidelines. MI cases were identified by record linkage to the Danish National Patient Register and the Causes of Death Register. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) of MI.SettingGreater areas of Aarhus and Copenhagen, Denmark.SubjectsMen and women aged 50–64 years (n55 021) from the Diet, Cancer and Health study.ResultsA total of 3046 participants were diagnosed with first-time MI during a median follow-up of 16·9 years. A higher Danish Dietary Guidelines Index score was associated with a lower risk of MI. After adjustment for potential confounders, the hazard of MI was 13 % lower among men with a score of 3–<4 (HR=0·87; 95 % CI 0·78, 0·96) compared with men with a score of <3. The corresponding HR among women was 0·76 (95 % CI 0·63, 0·93).ConclusionsAdherence to the 2013 Danish food-based dietary guidelines was inversely associated with risk of MI.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1177
Author(s):  
In Young Choi ◽  
Sohyun Chun ◽  
Dong Wook Shin ◽  
Kyungdo Han ◽  
Keun Hye Jeon ◽  
...  

Objective: To our knowledge, no studies have yet looked at how the risk of developing breast cancer (BC) varies with changes in metabolic syndrome (MetS) status. This study aimed to investigate the association between changes in MetS and subsequent BC occurrence. Research Design and Methods: We enrolled 930,055 postmenopausal women aged 40–74 years who participated in a biennial National Health Screening Program in 2009–2010 and 2011–2012. Participants were categorized into four groups according to change in MetS status during the two-year interval screening: sustained non-MetS, transition to MetS, transition to non-MetS, and sustained MetS. We calculated multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for BC incidence using the Cox proportional hazards models. Results: At baseline, MetS was associated with a significantly increased risk of BC (aHR 1.11, 95% CI 1.06–1.17) and so were all of its components. The risk of BC increased as the number of the components increased (aHR 1.46, 95% CI 1.26–1.61 for women with all five components). Compared to the sustained non-MetS group, the aHR (95% CI) for BC was 1.11 (1.04–1.19) in the transition to MetS group, 1.05 (0.96–1.14) in the transition to non-MetS group, and 1.18 (1.12–1.25) in the sustained MetS group. Conclusions: Significantly increased BC risk was observed in the sustained MetS and transition to MetS groups. These findings are clinically meaningful in that efforts to recover from MetS may lead to reduced risk of BC.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Kochav ◽  
R.C Chen ◽  
J.M.D Dizon ◽  
J.A.R Reiffel

Abstract Background Theoretical concern exists regarding AV block (AVB) with class I antiarrhythmics (AADs) when bundle branch block (BBB) is present. Whether this is substantiated in real-world populations is unknown. Purpose To determine the relationship between type of AAD and incidence of AVB in patients with preexisting BBB. Methods We retrospectively studied all patients with BBB who received class I and III AADs between 1997–2019 to compare incidence of AVB. We defined index time as first exposure to either drug class and excluded patients with prior AVB or exposed to both classes. Time-at-risk window ended at first outcome occurrence or when patients were no longer observed in the database. We estimated hazard ratios for incident AVB using Cox proportional hazards models with propensity score stratification, adjusting for over 32,000 covariates from the electronic health record. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to determine treatment effects over time. Results Of 40,120 individuals with BBB, 148 were exposed to a class I AAD and 2401 to a class III AAD. Over nearly 4,200 person-years of follow up, there were 22 and 620 outcome events in the class I and class III cohorts, respectively (Figure). In adjusted analyses, AVB risk was markedly lower in patients exposed to class I AADs compared with class III (HR 0.48 [95% CI 0.30–0.75]). Conclusion Among patients with BBB, exposure to class III AADs was strongly associated with greater risk of incident AVB. This likely reflects differences in natural history of patients receiving class I vs class III AADs rather than adverse class III effects, however, the lack of worse outcomes acutely with class I AADs suggests that they may be safer in BBB than suspected. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (30) ◽  
pp. 4029-4035 ◽  
Author(s):  
David J. Biau ◽  
Peter C. Ferguson ◽  
Robert E. Turcotte ◽  
Peter Chung ◽  
Marc H. Isler ◽  
...  

Purpose To examine the effect of age on the recurrence of soft tissue sarcoma in the extremities and trunk. Patients and Methods This was a multicenter study that included 2,385 patients with median age at surgery of 57 years. The end points considered were local recurrence and metastasis. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios across the age ranges with and without adjustment for known confounding factors. Results Older patients presented with tumors that were larger (P < .001) and of higher grade (P < .001). The proportion of positive margins increased significantly as patients age (P < .001), but radiation therapy was relatively underused in patients older than age 60 years. The 5-year cumulative incidences of local recurrence were 7.2% (95% CI, 4% to 11.7%) for patients age 30 years or younger and 12.9% (95% CI, 9.1% to 17.5%) for patients age 75 years or older. The corresponding 5-year cumulative incidences of metastasis were 17.5% (95% CI, 12.1% to 23.7%) and 33.9% (95% CI, 28.1% to 39.8%) for the same groups. Regression models showed that age was significantly associated with local recurrence (P < .001) and metastasis (P < .001) in nonadjusted models. After adjusting for imbalance in presentation and treatment variables, age remained significantly associated with local recurrence (P = .031) and metastasis (P = .019). Conclusion Older patients have worse outcomes because they tend to present with worse tumors and are treated less aggressively. However, there remained a significant increase in the risk of both local and systemic recurrence associated with increasing age that could not be explained by tumor or treatment characteristics.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pei-Pei Zheng ◽  
Si-Min Yao ◽  
Di Guo ◽  
Ling-ling Cui ◽  
Guo-Bin Miao ◽  
...  

Background: The prevalence and prognostic value of heart failure (HF) stages among elderly hospitalized patients is unclear.Methods: We conducted a prospective, observational, multi-center, cohort study, including hospitalized patients with the sample size of 1,068; patients were age 65 years or more, able to cooperate with the assessment and to complete the echocardiogram. Two cardiologists classified all participants in various HF stages according to 2013 ACC/AHA HF staging guidelines. The outcome was rate of 1-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The Kaplan–Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models were used for survival analyses. Survival classification and regression tree analysis were used to determine the optimal cutoff of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) to predict MACE.Results: Participants' mean age was 75.3 ± 6.88 years. Of them, 4.7% were healthy and without HF risk factors, 21.0% were stage A, 58.7% were stage B, and 15.6% were stage C/D. HF stages were associated with worsening 1-year survival without MACE (log-rank χ2 = 69.62, P &lt; 0.001). Deterioration from stage B to C/D was related to significant increases in HR (3.636, 95% CI, 2.174–6.098, P &lt; 0.001). Patients with NT-proBNP levels over 280.45 pg/mL in stage B (HR 2; 95% CI 1.112–3.597; P = 0.021) and 11,111.5 pg/ml in stage C/D (HR 2.603, 95% CI 1.014–6.682; P = 0.047) experienced a high incidence of MACE adjusted for age, sex, and glomerular filtration rate.Conclusions : HF stage B, rather than stage A, was most common in elderly inpatients. NT-proBNP may help predict MACE in stage B.Trial Registration: ChiCTR1800017204; 07/18/2018.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lisa Mirel

This report describes a comparative analysis of the public-use and restricted-use NHANES LMFs. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate relative hazard ratios for a standard set of sociodemographic covariates for all-cause as well as cause-specific mortality, using the public-use and restricted-use NHANES LMFs.


Neurosurgery ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 87 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-70
Author(s):  
Haruhisa Fukuda ◽  
Daisuke Sato ◽  
Yoriko Kato ◽  
Wataro Tsuruta ◽  
Masahiro Katsumata ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Flow diverters (FDs) have marked the beginning of innovations in the endovascular treatment of large unruptured intracranial aneurysms, but no multi-institutional studies have been conducted on these devices from both the clinical and economic perspectives. OBJECTIVE To compare retreatment rates and healthcare expenditures between FDs and conventional coiling-based treatments in all eligible cases in Japan. METHODS We identified patients who had undergone endovascular treatments during the study period (October 2015-March 2018) from a national-level claims database. The outcome measures were retreatment rates and 1-yr total healthcare expenditures, which were compared among patients who had undergone FD, coiling, and stent-assisted coiling (SAC) treatments. The coiling and SAC groups were further categorized according to the number of coils used. Retreatment rates were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models, and total expenditures were analyzed using multilevel mixed-effects generalized linear models. RESULTS The study sample comprised 512 FD patients, 1499 coiling patients, and 711 SAC patients. The coiling groups with ≥10 coils and ≥9 coils had significantly higher retreatment rates than the FD group with hazard ratios of 2.75 (1.30-5.82) and 2.52 (1.24-5.09), respectively. In addition, the coiling group with ≥10 coils and SAC group with ≥10 coils had significantly higher 1-year expenditures than the FD group with cost ratios (95% CI) of 1.30 (1.13-1.49) and 1.31 (1.15-1.50), respectively. CONCLUSION In this national-level study, FDs demonstrated significantly lower retreatment rates and total expenditures than conventional coiling with ≥ 9 coils.


2019 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 604-614 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gianmarco Lombardi ◽  
Pietro Manuel Ferraro ◽  
Luca Calvaruso ◽  
Alessandro Naticchia ◽  
Silvia D’Alonzo ◽  
...  

Background/Aims: Aim of our study was to describe the association between natremia (Na) fluctuation and hospital mortality in a general population admitted to a tertiary medical center. Methods: We performed a retrospective observational cohort study on the patient population admitted to the Fondazione Policlinico A. Gemelli IRCCS Hospital between January 2010 and December 2014 with inclusion of adult patients with at least 2 Na values available and with a normonatremic condition at hospital admission. Patients were categorized according to all Na values recorded during hospital stay in the following groups: normonatremia, hyponatremia, hypernatremia, and mixed dysnatremia. The difference between the highest or the lowest Na value reached during hospital stay and the Na value read at hospital admission was used to identify the maximum Na fluctuation. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for in-hospital death in the groups with dysnatremias and across quartiles of Na fluctuation. Covariates assessed were age, sex, highest and lowest Na level, Charlson/Deyo score, cardiovascular diseases, cerebrovascular diseases, dementia, congestive heart failure, severe kidney disease, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and number of Na measurements during hospital stay. Results: 46,634 admissions matched inclusion criteria. Incident dysnatremia was independently associated with in-hospital mortality (hyponatremia: HR 3.11, 95% CI 2.53, 3.84, p < 0.001; hypernatremia: HR 5.12, 95% CI 3.94, 6.65, p < 0.001; mixed-dysnatremia: HR 4.94, 95% CI 3.08, 7.92, p < 0.001). We found a higher risk of in-hospital death by linear increase of quartile of Na fluctuation (p trend <0.001) irrespective of severity of dysnatremia (HR 2.34, 95% CI 1.55, 3.54, p < 0.001, for the highest quartile of Na fluctuation compared with the lowest). Conclusions: Incident dysnatremia is associated with higher hospital mortality. Fluctuation of Na during hospital stay is a prognostic marker for hospital death independent of dysnatremia severity.


BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. e025124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takako Fujita ◽  
Akira Babazono ◽  
Yumi Harano ◽  
Peng Jiang

ObjectiveWe sought to examine the effect of smoking cessation on subsequent development of depressive disorders.DesignThis was a retrospective cohort study.MethodsWe used administrative claim and health check data from fiscal years 2010 to 2014, obtained from the largest health insurance association in Fukuoka, Japan. Study participants were between 30 and 69 years old. The end-point outcome was incidence of depressive disorders. Survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were conducted. The evaluated potential confounders were sex, age, standard monthly income and psychiatric medical history.ResultsThe final number of participants was 87 255, with 7841 in the smoking cessation group and 79 414 in the smoking group. The result of survival analysis showed no significant difference in depressive disorders between the two groups. The results of Cox proportional hazards models showed no significant difference by multivariate analysis between participants, including users of smoking cessation medication (HR 1.04, 95% Cl 0.89 to 1.22) and excluding medication use (HR 0.97, 95% Cl 0.82 to 1.15).ConclusionsThe present study showed that there were no significant differences with respect to having depressive disorders between smoking cessation and smoking groups. We also showed that smoking cessation was not related to incidence of depressive disorders among participants, including and excluding users of smoking cessation medication, after adjusting for potential confounders. Although the results have some limitations because of the nature of the study design, our findings will provide helpful information to smokers, health professionals and policy makers for improving smoking cessation.


2002 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 353-360 ◽  
Author(s):  
Malcolm M Koo ◽  
Thomas E Rohan ◽  
Meera Jain ◽  
John R McLaughlin ◽  
Paul N Corey

AbstractObjective:To evaluate the influence of dietary fibre on menarche in a cohort of pre-menarcheal girls.Design:Prospective cohort study.Setting:Ontario, Canada.Subjects:Free-living pre-menarcheal girls (n = 637), 6 to 14 years of age.Methodology:Information on dietary intake, physical activity and date of menarche was collected at baseline and was updated annually by self-administered questionnaires for three years. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association between dietary fibre and menarche, adjusting for age at entry to the study and potential confounders.Results:A higher intake of energy-adjusted dietary fibre was associated with a lower risk of (i.e. a later age at) menarche (relative hazard 0.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.31–0.94 for highest vs. lowest quartile, P for trend = 0.027). At the fibre component level, a higher intake of energy-adjusted cellulose was associated with a lower risk of menarche (relative hazard 0.45, 95% CI 0.26–0.76, P for trend = 0.009).Conclusions:The findings are consistent with the hypothesis that pre-menarcheal dietary intake can influence menarche.


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